A Escola das Odds

Almería v Real Sociedad B

Início: 2026-03-29 19:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

48 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Almería (Local)

Previsão 60.38%1.66odd justa
EV -2.79%
Vantagem -1.73%
Kelly -4.57%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.61

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
58.43%60.39%60.36%61.55%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.401.531.531.6171.43%65.29%65.36%62.11%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Real Sociedad B (Visitante)

Previsão 17.29%5.78odd justa
EV +6.84%
Vantagem +1.11%
Kelly +1.32%
Crescimento +0.090%

pressupondo odds máximas de 6.18

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
15.34%17.21%17.30%18.81%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.605.245.256.1821.74%19.07%19.05%16.18%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 22.33%4.48odd justa
EV -3.97%
Vantagem -0.924%
Kelly -1.20%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.55%22.40%22.34%24.19%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.754.014.004.3026.67%24.91%25.00%23.26%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (48 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle1.54I 64.94%NM 61.55%EV -7.01%E -4.55%K -12.99%G +0.000%6.18I 16.18%NM 15.34%EV +6.84%E +1.11%K +1.32%G +0.090%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.12%EV -8.44%E -2.06%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-27 23:55
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -9.43%E -6.29%K -18.86%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV +0.267%E +0.046%K +0.056%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -10.67%E -2.67%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-27 23:56
Coolbet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.20%EV -5.81%E -3.72%K -10.37%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.60%EV -0.598%E -0.104%K -0.126%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.20%EV -3.97%E -0.924%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-27 00:40
Bovada1.51I 66.23%NM 60.79%EV -8.83%E -5.84%K -17.31%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.97%EV -0.598%E -0.104%K -0.126%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.24%EV -11.79%E -2.98%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-27 23:59
1xBet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.25%EV -4.00%E -2.51%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 17.26%EV -4.06%E -0.731%K -0.891%G +0.000%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.49%EV -4.86%E -1.14%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-28 00:00
Fanatics1.56I 64.10%NM 60.74%EV -5.81%E -3.72%K -10.37%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.23%EV -4.92%E -0.894%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.04%EV -3.97%E -0.924%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-26 19:25
theScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 60.89%EV -7.01%E -4.55%K -12.99%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -4.92%E -0.894%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.06%EV -5.09%E -1.20%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-27 00:40
DraftKings1.54I 64.94%NM 60.73%EV -7.01%E -4.55%K -12.99%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV -4.92%E -0.894%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -6.20%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-27 00:30
Betr (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.20%EV -8.22%E -5.41%K -15.81%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -4.92%E -0.894%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -5.09%E -1.20%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-27 00:39
PointsBet (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -7.62%E -4.98%K -14.37%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -4.92%E -0.894%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -10.67%E -2.67%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-27 00:40
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -9.43%E -6.29%K -18.86%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -4.92%E -0.894%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -6.20%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-27 00:40
FanDuel1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -9.43%E -6.29%K -18.86%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -4.92%E -0.894%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -6.20%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-27 00:37
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -7.62%E -4.98%K -14.37%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -4.92%E -0.894%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -12.90%E -3.31%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-27 00:39
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -7.62%E -4.98%K -14.37%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -4.92%E -0.894%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -12.90%E -3.31%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-27 00:39
ATG (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.63%EV -2.79%E -1.73%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.48%EV -6.65%E -1.23%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.90%EV -11.79%E -2.98%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-26 09:25
Svenska Spel1.61I 62.11%NM 58.63%EV -2.79%E -1.73%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.48%EV -6.65%E -1.23%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.90%EV -11.79%E -2.98%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-26 09:25
Marathon Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.22%EV -6.41%E -4.14%K -11.66%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -6.65%E -1.23%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -7.32%E -1.76%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-27 23:55
Unibet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.43%EV -2.79%E -1.73%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.75%EV -8.38%E -1.58%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -11.79%E -2.98%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-26 09:19
Unibet (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.43%EV -2.79%E -1.73%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.75%EV -8.38%E -1.58%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -11.79%E -2.98%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-26 09:19
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 60.03%EV -6.41%E -4.14%K -11.66%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.55%EV -8.38%E -1.58%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.42%EV -7.32%E -1.76%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-27 00:39
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.03%EV -6.41%E -4.14%K -11.66%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.55%EV -8.38%E -1.58%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.42%EV -7.32%E -1.76%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-27 00:39
Grosvenor1.56I 64.10%NM 58.74%EV -5.81%E -3.72%K -10.37%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.45%EV -9.24%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.80%EV -14.02%E -3.64%K -4.92%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-26 09:19
Casumo1.56I 64.10%NM 58.74%EV -5.81%E -3.72%K -10.37%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.45%EV -9.24%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.80%EV -14.02%E -3.64%K -4.92%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-26 09:19
TABtouch1.56I 64.10%NM 58.74%EV -5.81%E -3.72%K -10.37%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.45%EV -9.24%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.80%EV -14.02%E -3.64%K -4.92%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-26 09:19
betPARX1.56I 64.10%NM 58.74%EV -5.81%E -3.72%K -10.37%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.45%EV -9.24%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.80%EV -14.02%E -3.64%K -4.92%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-26 09:24
Bet Victor1.53I 65.36%NM 59.74%EV -7.62%E -4.98%K -14.37%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.41%EV -9.24%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -10.67%E -2.67%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-28 02:19
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 58.53%EV -6.41%E -4.14%K -11.66%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.28%EV -9.24%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.19%EV -16.25%E -4.33%K -5.91%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-28 00:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.64%EV -5.81%E -3.72%K -10.37%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.59%EV -10.11%E -1.94%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.76%EV -14.02%E -3.64%K -4.92%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-26 09:19
LeoVegas1.56I 64.10%NM 58.46%EV -5.81%E -3.72%K -10.37%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.54%EV -10.11%E -1.94%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -15.14%E -3.98%K -5.41%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-26 09:20
NetBet (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 60.56%EV -13.66%E -9.55%K -31.76%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.65%EV -10.11%E -1.94%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.79%EV -15.14%E -3.98%K -5.41%G +0.000%15.5%2026-03-27 19:29
LiveScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 58.57%EV -7.01%E -4.55%K -12.99%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.69%EV -11.83%E -2.32%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -15.14%E -3.98%K -5.41%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-26 09:19
Virgin Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 58.57%EV -7.01%E -4.55%K -12.99%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.69%EV -11.83%E -2.32%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -15.14%E -3.98%K -5.41%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-26 09:20
Betway1.55I 64.52%NM 59.56%EV -6.41%E -4.14%K -11.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -13.56%E -2.71%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -6.20%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-28 00:00
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 59.55%EV -7.62%E -4.98%K -14.37%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -13.56%E -2.71%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -8.44%E -2.06%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-27 00:40
Codere (IT)1.52I 65.79%NM 59.71%EV -8.22%E -5.41%K -15.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -13.56%E -2.71%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -8.44%E -2.06%K -2.72%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-27 00:39
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -9.43%E -6.29%K -18.86%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -13.56%E -2.71%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -6.20%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-27 00:39
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -9.43%E -6.29%K -18.86%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -13.56%E -2.71%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -10.67%E -2.67%K -3.56%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-27 00:40
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -9.43%E -6.29%K -18.86%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -13.56%E -2.71%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -10.67%E -2.67%K -3.56%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-26 16:25
Betclic (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 59.86%EV -10.03%E -6.73%K -20.48%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.84%EV -13.56%E -2.71%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -10.67%E -2.67%K -3.56%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-27 19:59
PMU (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 61.01%EV -15.47%E -11.05%K -38.67%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.08%EV -13.56%E -2.71%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.90%EV -12.90%E -3.31%K -4.45%G +0.000%17.1%2026-03-27 19:05
Parions Sport (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 59.75%EV -10.64%E -7.19%K -22.16%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 17.86%EV -14.43%E -2.91%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.39%EV -11.79%E -2.98%K -4.00%G +0.000%13.1%2026-03-27 19:25
Unibet (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 59.75%EV -10.64%E -7.19%K -22.16%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 17.86%EV -14.43%E -2.91%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.39%EV -11.79%E -2.98%K -4.00%G +0.000%13.1%2026-03-27 19:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.78%EV -7.62%E -4.98%K -14.37%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.74%EV -17.02%E -3.55%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -10.67%E -2.67%K -3.56%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-27 09:05
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 58.78%EV -7.62%E -4.98%K -14.37%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.74%EV -17.02%E -3.55%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -10.67%E -2.67%K -3.56%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-27 09:05
Neds1.53I 65.36%NM 58.78%EV -7.62%E -4.98%K -14.37%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.74%EV -17.02%E -3.55%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -10.67%E -2.67%K -3.56%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-27 09:04
Ladbrokes (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.78%EV -7.62%E -4.98%K -14.37%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.74%EV -17.02%E -3.55%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -10.67%E -2.67%K -3.56%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-27 09:04
Winamax (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.58%EV -9.43%E -6.29%K -18.86%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.62%EV -17.02%E -3.55%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.80%EV -8.44%E -2.06%K -2.72%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-27 00:40
Winamax (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 59.28%EV -11.84%E -8.11%K -25.75%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.81%EV -20.48%E -4.45%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 21.91%EV -11.79%E -2.98%K -4.00%G +0.000%15.5%2026-03-27 00:39
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook1.57I 63.69%NM 62.42%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.31%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.27%2.0%2026-03-27 23:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 62.11%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.73%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.16%2.6%2026-03-28 00:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 62.11%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.73%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.16%2.6%2026-03-27 23:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.57I 63.69%NM 62.11%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.73%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.16%2.6%2026-03-27 23:55
Smarkets1.56I 64.10%NM 61.94%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.59%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.47%3.5%2026-03-28 02:35
Kalshi1.49I 67.11%NM 59.31%5.26I 19.01%NM 16.80%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.89%13.2%2026-03-28 02:55