La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Almería v Real Sociedad B
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Almería (Local)
Predicción 60.38%1.66momio equitativo
EV -2.79%
Ventaja -1.73%
Kelly -4.57%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.61
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.43%60.39%60.36%61.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.401.531.531.6171.43%65.29%65.36%62.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Real Sociedad B (Visitante)
Predicción 17.29%5.78momio equitativo
EV +6.84%
Ventaja +1.11%
Kelly +1.32%
Crecimiento +0.090%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.18
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.34%17.21%17.30%18.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.605.245.256.1821.74%19.07%19.05%16.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 22.33%4.48momio equitativo
EV -3.97%
Ventaja -0.924%
Kelly -1.20%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.55%22.40%22.34%24.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.014.004.3026.67%24.91%25.00%23.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.55%EV -7.01%E -4.55%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 6.18I 16.18%NM 15.34%EV +6.84%E +1.11%K +1.32%G +0.090% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.12%EV -8.44%E -2.06%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-27 23:55 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -9.43%E -6.29%K -18.86%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV +0.267%E +0.046%K +0.056%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -10.67%E -2.67%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-27 23:56 |
| Coolbet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.20%EV -5.81%E -3.72%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.60%EV -0.598%E -0.104%K -0.126%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.20%EV -3.97%E -0.924%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-27 00:40 |
| Bovada | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.79%EV -8.83%E -5.84%K -17.31%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.97%EV -0.598%E -0.104%K -0.126%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.24%EV -11.79%E -2.98%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-27 23:59 |
| 1xBet | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.25%EV -4.00%E -2.51%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 5.55I 18.02%NM 17.26%EV -4.06%E -0.731%K -0.891%G +0.000% | 4.26I 23.47%NM 22.49%EV -4.86%E -1.14%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-28 00:00 |
| Fanatics | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.74%EV -5.81%E -3.72%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.23%EV -4.92%E -0.894%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.04%EV -3.97%E -0.924%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-26 19:25 |
| theScore Bet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.89%EV -7.01%E -4.55%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -4.92%E -0.894%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.06%EV -5.09%E -1.20%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-27 00:40 |
| DraftKings | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.73%EV -7.01%E -4.55%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV -4.92%E -0.894%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -6.20%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-27 00:30 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.20%EV -8.22%E -5.41%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -4.92%E -0.894%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -5.09%E -1.20%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-27 00:39 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -7.62%E -4.98%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -4.92%E -0.894%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -10.67%E -2.67%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-27 00:40 |
| SportsBet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -9.43%E -6.29%K -18.86%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -4.92%E -0.894%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -6.20%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-27 00:40 |
| FanDuel | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -9.43%E -6.29%K -18.86%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -4.92%E -0.894%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -6.20%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-27 00:37 |
| William Hill | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -7.62%E -4.98%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -4.92%E -0.894%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -12.90%E -3.31%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-27 00:39 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -7.62%E -4.98%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -4.92%E -0.894%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -12.90%E -3.31%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-27 00:39 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.63%EV -2.79%E -1.73%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.48%EV -6.65%E -1.23%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.90%EV -11.79%E -2.98%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-26 09:25 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.63%EV -2.79%E -1.73%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.48%EV -6.65%E -1.23%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.90%EV -11.79%E -2.98%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-26 09:25 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.22%EV -6.41%E -4.14%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -6.65%E -1.23%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -7.32%E -1.76%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-27 23:55 |
| Unibet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.43%EV -2.79%E -1.73%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.75%EV -8.38%E -1.58%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -11.79%E -2.98%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-26 09:19 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.43%EV -2.79%E -1.73%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.75%EV -8.38%E -1.58%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -11.79%E -2.98%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-26 09:19 |
| Betsson | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.03%EV -6.41%E -4.14%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.55%EV -8.38%E -1.58%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.42%EV -7.32%E -1.76%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-27 00:39 |
| NordicBet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.03%EV -6.41%E -4.14%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.55%EV -8.38%E -1.58%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.42%EV -7.32%E -1.76%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-27 00:39 |
| Grosvenor | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.74%EV -5.81%E -3.72%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.45%EV -9.24%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.80%EV -14.02%E -3.64%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-26 09:19 |
| Casumo | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.74%EV -5.81%E -3.72%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.45%EV -9.24%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.80%EV -14.02%E -3.64%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-26 09:19 |
| TABtouch | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.74%EV -5.81%E -3.72%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.45%EV -9.24%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.80%EV -14.02%E -3.64%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-26 09:19 |
| betPARX | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.74%EV -5.81%E -3.72%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.45%EV -9.24%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.80%EV -14.02%E -3.64%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-26 09:24 |
| Bet Victor | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.74%EV -7.62%E -4.98%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.41%EV -9.24%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -10.67%E -2.67%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-28 02:19 |
| PlayUp | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.53%EV -6.41%E -4.14%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.28%EV -9.24%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.19%EV -16.25%E -4.33%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-28 00:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.64%EV -5.81%E -3.72%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.59%EV -10.11%E -1.94%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.76%EV -14.02%E -3.64%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-26 09:19 |
| LeoVegas | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.46%EV -5.81%E -3.72%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.54%EV -10.11%E -1.94%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -15.14%E -3.98%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-26 09:20 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 60.56%EV -13.66%E -9.55%K -31.76%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 16.65%EV -10.11%E -1.94%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.79%EV -15.14%E -3.98%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-03-27 19:29 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.57%EV -7.01%E -4.55%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.69%EV -11.83%E -2.32%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -15.14%E -3.98%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-26 09:19 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.57%EV -7.01%E -4.55%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.69%EV -11.83%E -2.32%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -15.14%E -3.98%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-26 09:20 |
| Betway | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.56%EV -6.41%E -4.14%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -13.56%E -2.71%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -6.20%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-28 00:00 |
| BetMGM | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.55%EV -7.62%E -4.98%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -13.56%E -2.71%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -8.44%E -2.06%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-27 00:40 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.71%EV -8.22%E -5.41%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -13.56%E -2.71%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -8.44%E -2.06%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-27 00:39 |
| Paddy Power | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -9.43%E -6.29%K -18.86%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -13.56%E -2.71%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -6.20%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-27 00:39 |
| Sky Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -9.43%E -6.29%K -18.86%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -13.56%E -2.71%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -10.67%E -2.67%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-03-27 00:40 |
| BoyleSports | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -9.43%E -6.29%K -18.86%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -13.56%E -2.71%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -10.67%E -2.67%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-03-26 16:25 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 59.86%EV -10.03%E -6.73%K -20.48%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.84%EV -13.56%E -2.71%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -10.67%E -2.67%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-27 19:59 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 61.01%EV -15.47%E -11.05%K -38.67%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.08%EV -13.56%E -2.71%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 21.90%EV -12.90%E -3.31%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 17.1% | 2026-03-27 19:05 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 59.75%EV -10.64%E -7.19%K -22.16%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 17.86%EV -14.43%E -2.91%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.39%EV -11.79%E -2.98%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-03-27 19:25 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 59.75%EV -10.64%E -7.19%K -22.16%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 17.86%EV -14.43%E -2.91%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.39%EV -11.79%E -2.98%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-03-27 19:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.78%EV -7.62%E -4.98%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.74%EV -17.02%E -3.55%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -10.67%E -2.67%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-27 09:05 |
| Coral | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.78%EV -7.62%E -4.98%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.74%EV -17.02%E -3.55%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -10.67%E -2.67%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-27 09:05 |
| Neds | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.78%EV -7.62%E -4.98%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.74%EV -17.02%E -3.55%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -10.67%E -2.67%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-27 09:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.78%EV -7.62%E -4.98%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.74%EV -17.02%E -3.55%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -10.67%E -2.67%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-27 09:04 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.58%EV -9.43%E -6.29%K -18.86%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.62%EV -17.02%E -3.55%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.80%EV -8.44%E -2.06%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-27 00:40 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 59.28%EV -11.84%E -8.11%K -25.75%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 18.81%EV -20.48%E -4.45%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 21.91%EV -11.79%E -2.98%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-03-27 00:39 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.42% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.31% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.27% | 2.0% | 2026-03-27 23:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.11% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.73% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.16% | 2.6% | 2026-03-28 00:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.11% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.73% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.16% | 2.6% | 2026-03-27 23:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.11% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.73% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.16% | 2.6% | 2026-03-27 23:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.94% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.59% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.47% | 3.5% | 2026-03-28 02:35 |
| Kalshi | 1.49I 67.11%NM 59.31% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 16.80% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.89% | 13.2% | 2026-03-28 02:55 |