مدرسة الاحتمالات

Almería v Real Sociedad B

البداية: 2026-03-29 19:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

48 شركة مراهنات (16 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Almería (المضيف)

التنبؤ 60.38%1.66السعر العادل
EV -2.79%
الأفضلية -1.73%
Kelly -4.57%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.61

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
58.43%60.39%60.36%61.55%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.401.531.531.6171.43%65.29%65.36%62.11%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Real Sociedad B (الضيف)

التنبؤ 17.29%5.78السعر العادل
EV +6.84%
الأفضلية +1.11%
Kelly +1.32%
النمو +0.090%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 6.18

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
15.34%17.21%17.30%18.81%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.605.245.256.1821.74%19.07%19.05%16.18%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 22.33%4.48السعر العادل
EV -3.97%
الأفضلية -0.924%
Kelly -1.20%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.30

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
21.55%22.40%22.34%24.19%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.754.014.004.3026.67%24.91%25.00%23.26%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (48 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle1.54I 64.94%NM 61.55%EV -7.01%E -4.55%K -12.99%G +0.000%6.18I 16.18%NM 15.34%EV +6.84%E +1.11%K +1.32%G +0.090%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.12%EV -8.44%E -2.06%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-27 23:55
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -9.43%E -6.29%K -18.86%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV +0.267%E +0.046%K +0.056%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -10.67%E -2.67%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-27 23:56
Coolbet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.20%EV -5.81%E -3.72%K -10.37%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.60%EV -0.598%E -0.104%K -0.126%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.20%EV -3.97%E -0.924%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-27 00:40
Bovada1.51I 66.23%NM 60.79%EV -8.83%E -5.84%K -17.31%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.97%EV -0.598%E -0.104%K -0.126%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.24%EV -11.79%E -2.98%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-27 23:59
1xBet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.25%EV -4.00%E -2.51%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 17.26%EV -4.06%E -0.731%K -0.891%G +0.000%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.49%EV -4.86%E -1.14%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-28 00:00
Fanatics1.56I 64.10%NM 60.74%EV -5.81%E -3.72%K -10.37%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.23%EV -4.92%E -0.894%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.04%EV -3.97%E -0.924%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-26 19:25
theScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 60.89%EV -7.01%E -4.55%K -12.99%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -4.92%E -0.894%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.06%EV -5.09%E -1.20%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-27 00:40
DraftKings1.54I 64.94%NM 60.73%EV -7.01%E -4.55%K -12.99%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV -4.92%E -0.894%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -6.20%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-27 00:30
Betr (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.20%EV -8.22%E -5.41%K -15.81%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -4.92%E -0.894%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -5.09%E -1.20%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-27 00:39
PointsBet (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -7.62%E -4.98%K -14.37%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -4.92%E -0.894%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -10.67%E -2.67%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-27 00:40
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -9.43%E -6.29%K -18.86%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -4.92%E -0.894%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -6.20%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-27 00:40
FanDuel1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -9.43%E -6.29%K -18.86%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -4.92%E -0.894%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -6.20%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-27 00:37
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -7.62%E -4.98%K -14.37%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -4.92%E -0.894%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -12.90%E -3.31%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-27 00:39
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -7.62%E -4.98%K -14.37%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -4.92%E -0.894%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -12.90%E -3.31%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-27 00:39
ATG (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.63%EV -2.79%E -1.73%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.48%EV -6.65%E -1.23%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.90%EV -11.79%E -2.98%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-26 09:25
Svenska Spel1.61I 62.11%NM 58.63%EV -2.79%E -1.73%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.48%EV -6.65%E -1.23%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.90%EV -11.79%E -2.98%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-26 09:25
Marathon Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.22%EV -6.41%E -4.14%K -11.66%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -6.65%E -1.23%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -7.32%E -1.76%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-27 23:55
Unibet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.43%EV -2.79%E -1.73%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.75%EV -8.38%E -1.58%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -11.79%E -2.98%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-26 09:19
Unibet (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.43%EV -2.79%E -1.73%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.75%EV -8.38%E -1.58%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -11.79%E -2.98%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-26 09:19
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 60.03%EV -6.41%E -4.14%K -11.66%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.55%EV -8.38%E -1.58%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.42%EV -7.32%E -1.76%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-27 00:39
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.03%EV -6.41%E -4.14%K -11.66%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.55%EV -8.38%E -1.58%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.42%EV -7.32%E -1.76%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-27 00:39
Grosvenor1.56I 64.10%NM 58.74%EV -5.81%E -3.72%K -10.37%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.45%EV -9.24%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.80%EV -14.02%E -3.64%K -4.92%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-26 09:19
Casumo1.56I 64.10%NM 58.74%EV -5.81%E -3.72%K -10.37%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.45%EV -9.24%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.80%EV -14.02%E -3.64%K -4.92%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-26 09:19
TABtouch1.56I 64.10%NM 58.74%EV -5.81%E -3.72%K -10.37%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.45%EV -9.24%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.80%EV -14.02%E -3.64%K -4.92%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-26 09:19
betPARX1.56I 64.10%NM 58.74%EV -5.81%E -3.72%K -10.37%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.45%EV -9.24%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.80%EV -14.02%E -3.64%K -4.92%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-26 09:24
Bet Victor1.53I 65.36%NM 59.74%EV -7.62%E -4.98%K -14.37%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.41%EV -9.24%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -10.67%E -2.67%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-28 02:19
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 58.53%EV -6.41%E -4.14%K -11.66%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.28%EV -9.24%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.19%EV -16.25%E -4.33%K -5.91%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-28 00:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.64%EV -5.81%E -3.72%K -10.37%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.59%EV -10.11%E -1.94%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.76%EV -14.02%E -3.64%K -4.92%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-26 09:19
LeoVegas1.56I 64.10%NM 58.46%EV -5.81%E -3.72%K -10.37%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.54%EV -10.11%E -1.94%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -15.14%E -3.98%K -5.41%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-26 09:20
NetBet (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 60.56%EV -13.66%E -9.55%K -31.76%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.65%EV -10.11%E -1.94%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.79%EV -15.14%E -3.98%K -5.41%G +0.000%15.5%2026-03-27 19:29
LiveScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 58.57%EV -7.01%E -4.55%K -12.99%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.69%EV -11.83%E -2.32%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -15.14%E -3.98%K -5.41%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-26 09:19
Virgin Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 58.57%EV -7.01%E -4.55%K -12.99%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.69%EV -11.83%E -2.32%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -15.14%E -3.98%K -5.41%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-26 09:20
Betway1.55I 64.52%NM 59.56%EV -6.41%E -4.14%K -11.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -13.56%E -2.71%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -6.20%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-28 00:00
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 59.55%EV -7.62%E -4.98%K -14.37%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -13.56%E -2.71%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -8.44%E -2.06%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-27 00:40
Codere (IT)1.52I 65.79%NM 59.71%EV -8.22%E -5.41%K -15.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -13.56%E -2.71%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -8.44%E -2.06%K -2.72%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-27 00:39
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -9.43%E -6.29%K -18.86%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -13.56%E -2.71%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -6.20%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-27 00:39
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -9.43%E -6.29%K -18.86%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -13.56%E -2.71%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -10.67%E -2.67%K -3.56%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-27 00:40
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -9.43%E -6.29%K -18.86%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -13.56%E -2.71%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -10.67%E -2.67%K -3.56%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-26 16:25
Betclic (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 59.86%EV -10.03%E -6.73%K -20.48%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.84%EV -13.56%E -2.71%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -10.67%E -2.67%K -3.56%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-27 19:59
PMU (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 61.01%EV -15.47%E -11.05%K -38.67%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.08%EV -13.56%E -2.71%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.90%EV -12.90%E -3.31%K -4.45%G +0.000%17.1%2026-03-27 19:05
Parions Sport (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 59.75%EV -10.64%E -7.19%K -22.16%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 17.86%EV -14.43%E -2.91%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.39%EV -11.79%E -2.98%K -4.00%G +0.000%13.1%2026-03-27 19:25
Unibet (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 59.75%EV -10.64%E -7.19%K -22.16%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 17.86%EV -14.43%E -2.91%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.39%EV -11.79%E -2.98%K -4.00%G +0.000%13.1%2026-03-27 19:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.78%EV -7.62%E -4.98%K -14.37%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.74%EV -17.02%E -3.55%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -10.67%E -2.67%K -3.56%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-27 09:05
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 58.78%EV -7.62%E -4.98%K -14.37%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.74%EV -17.02%E -3.55%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -10.67%E -2.67%K -3.56%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-27 09:05
Neds1.53I 65.36%NM 58.78%EV -7.62%E -4.98%K -14.37%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.74%EV -17.02%E -3.55%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -10.67%E -2.67%K -3.56%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-27 09:04
Ladbrokes (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.78%EV -7.62%E -4.98%K -14.37%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.74%EV -17.02%E -3.55%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -10.67%E -2.67%K -3.56%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-27 09:04
Winamax (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.58%EV -9.43%E -6.29%K -18.86%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.62%EV -17.02%E -3.55%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.80%EV -8.44%E -2.06%K -2.72%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-27 00:40
Winamax (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 59.28%EV -11.84%E -8.11%K -25.75%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.81%EV -20.48%E -4.45%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 21.91%EV -11.79%E -2.98%K -4.00%G +0.000%15.5%2026-03-27 00:39
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook1.57I 63.69%NM 62.42%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.31%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.27%2.0%2026-03-27 23:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 62.11%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.73%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.16%2.6%2026-03-28 00:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 62.11%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.73%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.16%2.6%2026-03-27 23:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.57I 63.69%NM 62.11%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.73%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.16%2.6%2026-03-27 23:55
Smarkets1.56I 64.10%NM 61.94%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.59%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.47%3.5%2026-03-28 02:35
Kalshi1.49I 67.11%NM 59.31%5.26I 19.01%NM 16.80%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.89%13.2%2026-03-28 02:55