Language:English
Almería v CD Castellón
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Almería (Local)
Prediction 39.89%2.51fair odd
EV -3.08%
Edge -1.27%
Kelly -2.15%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.43
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.88%39.87%39.98%40.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.322.332.4347.62%43.06%42.92%41.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
CD Castellón (Visit)
Prediction 33.08%3.02fair odd
EV -1.42%
Edge -0.475%
Kelly -0.715%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.98
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.58%33.15%33.05%34.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.772.752.9838.46%36.15%36.36%33.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.03%3.70fair odd
EV -2.69%
Edge -0.746%
Kelly -1.03%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.87%26.98%26.97%29.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.393.403.6035.71%29.48%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Almería (Local): 39.89%; CD Castellón (Visit): 33.08%; Draw: 27.03%. For CD Castellón (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.02. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.98, with an expected value of -1.42%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.03%EV -3.08%E -1.27%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.87%EV -7.37%E -2.63%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.10%EV -5.39%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-09 17:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.03%EV -3.08%E -1.27%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.87%EV -7.37%E -2.63%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.10%EV -5.39%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-09 17:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.01%EV -3.47%E -1.44%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.49%EV -1.42%E -0.475%K -0.715%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.50%EV -4.85%E -1.38%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-06-09 17:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.36%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.73%EV -2.08%E -0.702%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.91%EV -2.69%E -0.746%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-06-09 17:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.71%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.44%EV -5.72%E -2.01%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.85%EV -4.04%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-09 17:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.29%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.97%EV -5.39%E -1.88%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -8.09%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-09 17:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.29%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.97%EV -5.39%E -1.88%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -8.09%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-09 17:09 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.29%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.97%EV -5.39%E -1.88%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -8.09%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-09 17:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.94%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.98%EV -9.03%E -3.28%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -6.74%E -1.95%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-09 17:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.94%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.98%EV -9.03%E -3.28%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -6.74%E -1.95%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-09 17:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.94%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.98%EV -9.03%E -3.28%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -6.74%E -1.95%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-09 17:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.53%EV -5.07%E -2.13%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -7.37%E -2.63%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -5.39%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-08 13:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.52%EV -5.47%E -2.31%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.66%EV -2.74%E -0.932%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.82%EV -3.23%E -0.901%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-09 17:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%EV -6.27%E -2.67%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -5.72%E -2.01%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -6.74%E -1.95%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-09 17:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -6.27%E -2.67%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -9.03%E -3.28%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -2.69%E -0.746%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-09 17:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -6.27%E -2.67%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -5.72%E -2.01%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -8.09%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-09 17:08 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.63%EV -6.27%E -2.67%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -10.68%E -3.96%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -2.69%E -0.746%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-09 17:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.34%EV -6.27%E -2.67%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -10.68%E -3.96%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -5.39%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-09 17:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -6.27%E -2.67%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -10.68%E -3.96%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -8.09%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-09 17:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -6.27%E -2.67%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -10.68%E -3.96%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -8.09%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-09 17:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -6.27%E -2.67%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -10.68%E -3.96%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -8.09%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-09 17:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -6.27%E -2.67%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -10.68%E -3.96%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -8.09%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-09 17:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.88%EV -6.27%E -2.67%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.84%EV -10.68%E -3.96%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -9.44%E -2.82%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-06-09 17:09 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.09%EV -7.06%E -3.03%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -10.68%E -3.96%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -9.44%E -2.82%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-06-09 17:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.09%EV -7.06%E -3.03%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -10.68%E -3.96%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -9.44%E -2.82%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-06-09 17:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.09%EV -7.06%E -3.03%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -10.68%E -3.96%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -9.44%E -2.82%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-06-09 17:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.92%EV -7.46%E -3.22%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.84%EV -6.71%E -2.38%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.09%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-09 17:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.92%EV -7.46%E -3.22%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.84%EV -6.71%E -2.38%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.09%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-09 17:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 40.00%EV -7.86%E -3.40%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.42%EV -5.72%E -2.01%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -9.44%E -2.82%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-09 17:39 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -8.26%E -3.59%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -9.03%E -3.28%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -5.39%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-06-09 17:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -8.26%E -3.59%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -7.37%E -2.63%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -8.09%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-09 17:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -8.26%E -3.59%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -7.37%E -2.63%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -10.79%E -3.27%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-06-09 12:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -8.26%E -3.59%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -7.37%E -2.63%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -10.79%E -3.27%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-06-09 17:09 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 40.81%EV -9.46%E -4.17%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.50%EV -5.72%E -2.01%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 26.69%EV -6.20%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-09 17:07 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -10.26%E -4.56%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -7.37%E -2.63%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -8.09%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-09 17:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -10.26%E -4.56%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -9.03%E -3.28%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -8.09%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-06-09 12:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -10.26%E -4.56%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -7.37%E -2.63%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -10.79%E -3.27%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-06-09 17:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -10.26%E -4.56%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -9.03%E -3.28%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -10.79%E -3.27%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-06-09 17:08 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -10.26%E -4.56%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -9.03%E -3.28%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -12.15%E -3.74%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-06-09 17:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -10.26%E -4.56%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -10.68%E -3.96%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -10.79%E -3.27%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-06-09 09:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -10.26%E -4.56%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -10.68%E -3.96%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -10.79%E -3.27%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-06-09 09:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -10.26%E -4.56%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -10.68%E -3.96%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -10.79%E -3.27%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-06-09 09:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -10.26%E -4.56%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -10.68%E -3.96%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -10.79%E -3.27%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-06-09 09:39 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.10%EV -10.26%E -4.56%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.83%EV -13.99%E -5.38%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.07%EV -12.15%E -3.74%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-06-09 17:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.90%EV -12.25%E -5.57%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.50%EV -13.33%E -5.09%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.60%EV -10.79%E -3.27%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-06-09 17:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.89%EV -12.25%E -5.57%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.11%EV -12.33%E -4.65%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.00%EV -12.15%E -3.74%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-06-09 17:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 39.10%EV -16.24%E -7.73%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 31.58%EV -13.99%E -5.38%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 29.32%EV -24.31%E -8.68%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 21.8% | 2026-06-09 17:09 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.46% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.64% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.90% | 0.5% | 2026-06-09 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.46% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.64% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.90% | 0.5% | 2026-06-09 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.46% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.64% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.90% | 0.5% | 2026-06-09 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.46% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.64% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.90% | 0.5% | 2026-06-09 17:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.18% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.36% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.46% | 2.0% | 2026-06-09 17:09 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.49% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.66% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.85% | 2.1% | 2026-06-09 17:40 |