مدرسة الاحتمالات

Almería v CD Castellón

البداية: 2026-06-09 19:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Almería 3–2 CD Castellón

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

47 شركة مراهنات (15 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Almería (المضيف)

التنبؤ 39.89%2.51السعر العادل
EV -3.08%
الأفضلية -1.27%
Kelly -2.15%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.43

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
38.88%39.87%39.98%40.81%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.102.322.332.4347.62%43.06%42.92%41.15%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

CD Castellón (الضيف)

التنبؤ 33.08%3.02السعر العادل
EV -1.42%
الأفضلية -0.475%
Kelly -0.715%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.98

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
31.58%33.15%33.05%34.50%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.602.772.752.9838.46%36.15%36.36%33.56%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 27.03%3.70السعر العادل
EV -2.69%
الأفضلية -0.746%
Kelly -1.03%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.60

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.87%26.98%26.97%29.32%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.803.393.403.6035.71%29.48%29.41%27.78%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (47 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Svenska Spel2.43I 41.15%NM 39.03%EV -3.08%E -1.27%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.87%EV -7.37%E -2.63%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.10%EV -5.39%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-09 17:09
ATG (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 39.03%EV -3.08%E -1.27%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.87%EV -7.37%E -2.63%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.10%EV -5.39%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-09 17:09
Pinnacle2.42I 41.32%NM 40.01%EV -3.47%E -1.44%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.49%EV -1.42%E -0.475%K -0.715%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.50%EV -4.85%E -1.38%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-09 17:09
Marathon Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 40.36%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.73%EV -2.08%E -0.702%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.91%EV -2.69%E -0.746%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-09 17:09
Coolbet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.71%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.44%EV -5.72%E -2.01%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.85%EV -4.04%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-09 17:39
LowVig.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 39.29%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.97%EV -5.39%E -1.88%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -8.09%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-09 17:09
BetOnline.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 39.29%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.97%EV -5.39%E -1.88%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -8.09%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-09 17:09
BetAnything2.40I 41.67%NM 39.29%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.97%EV -5.39%E -1.88%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -8.09%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-09 17:09
Unibet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.94%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.98%EV -9.03%E -3.28%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -6.74%E -1.95%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-09 17:09
Unibet (NL)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.94%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.98%EV -9.03%E -3.28%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -6.74%E -1.95%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-09 17:09
Unibet (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.94%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.98%EV -9.03%E -3.28%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -6.74%E -1.95%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-09 17:09
Betway2.38I 42.02%NM 39.53%EV -5.07%E -2.13%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -7.37%E -2.63%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -5.39%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-08 13:30
1xBet2.37I 42.19%NM 40.52%EV -5.47%E -2.31%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.66%EV -2.74%E -0.932%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.82%EV -3.23%E -0.901%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-09 17:40
DraftKings2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%EV -6.27%E -2.67%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -5.72%E -2.01%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -6.74%E -1.95%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-09 17:09
Betr (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -6.27%E -2.67%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -9.03%E -3.28%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -2.69%E -0.746%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-09 17:09
FanDuel2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -6.27%E -2.67%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -5.72%E -2.01%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -8.09%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-09 17:08
theScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.63%EV -6.27%E -2.67%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -10.68%E -3.96%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -2.69%E -0.746%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-09 17:09
PointsBet (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.34%EV -6.27%E -2.67%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -10.68%E -3.96%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -5.39%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-09 17:09
Casumo2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -6.27%E -2.67%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -10.68%E -3.96%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -8.09%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-09 17:09
Grosvenor2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -6.27%E -2.67%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -10.68%E -3.96%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -8.09%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-09 17:09
TABtouch2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -6.27%E -2.67%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -10.68%E -3.96%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -8.09%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-09 17:09
betPARX2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -6.27%E -2.67%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -10.68%E -3.96%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -8.09%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-09 17:09
LeoVegas (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.88%EV -6.27%E -2.67%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.84%EV -10.68%E -3.96%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -9.44%E -2.82%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-09 17:09
LeoVegas2.33I 42.92%NM 39.09%EV -7.06%E -3.03%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -10.68%E -3.96%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -9.44%E -2.82%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-09 17:09
Virgin Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 39.09%EV -7.06%E -3.03%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -10.68%E -3.96%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -9.44%E -2.82%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-09 17:09
LiveScore Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 39.09%EV -7.06%E -3.03%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -10.68%E -3.96%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -9.44%E -2.82%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-09 17:09
Betsson2.32I 43.10%NM 39.92%EV -7.46%E -3.22%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.84%EV -6.71%E -2.38%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.09%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-09 17:09
NordicBet2.32I 43.10%NM 39.92%EV -7.46%E -3.22%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.84%EV -6.71%E -2.38%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.09%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-09 17:09
Bovada2.31I 43.29%NM 40.00%EV -7.86%E -3.40%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.42%EV -5.72%E -2.01%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -9.44%E -2.82%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-09 17:39
betfred_uk2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -8.26%E -3.59%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -9.03%E -3.28%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -5.39%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-09 17:09
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -8.26%E -3.59%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -7.37%E -2.63%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -8.09%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-09 17:09
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -8.26%E -3.59%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -7.37%E -2.63%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -10.79%E -3.27%K -4.69%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-09 12:59
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -8.26%E -3.59%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -7.37%E -2.63%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -10.79%E -3.27%K -4.69%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-09 17:09
Betclic (FR)2.27I 44.05%NM 40.81%EV -9.46%E -4.17%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.50%EV -5.72%E -2.01%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 26.69%EV -6.20%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-09 17:07
Unibet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -10.26%E -4.56%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -7.37%E -2.63%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -8.09%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-09 17:09
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -10.26%E -4.56%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -9.03%E -3.28%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -8.09%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-09 12:59
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -10.26%E -4.56%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -7.37%E -2.63%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -10.79%E -3.27%K -4.69%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-09 17:09
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -10.26%E -4.56%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -9.03%E -3.28%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -10.79%E -3.27%K -4.69%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-09 17:08
Sky Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -10.26%E -4.56%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -9.03%E -3.28%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -12.15%E -3.74%K -5.40%G +0.000%11.6%2026-06-09 17:09
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -10.26%E -4.56%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -10.68%E -3.96%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -10.79%E -3.27%K -4.69%G +0.000%11.8%2026-06-09 09:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -10.26%E -4.56%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -10.68%E -3.96%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -10.79%E -3.27%K -4.69%G +0.000%11.8%2026-06-09 09:40
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -10.26%E -4.56%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -10.68%E -3.96%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -10.79%E -3.27%K -4.69%G +0.000%11.8%2026-06-09 09:40
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -10.26%E -4.56%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -10.68%E -3.96%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -10.79%E -3.27%K -4.69%G +0.000%11.8%2026-06-09 09:39
PMU (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.10%EV -10.26%E -4.56%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.83%EV -13.99%E -5.38%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.07%EV -12.15%E -3.74%K -5.40%G +0.000%13.7%2026-06-09 17:09
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 39.90%EV -12.25%E -5.57%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.50%EV -13.33%E -5.09%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.60%EV -10.79%E -3.27%K -4.69%G +0.000%13.9%2026-06-09 17:10
NetBet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.89%EV -12.25%E -5.57%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.11%EV -12.33%E -4.65%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.00%EV -12.15%E -3.74%K -5.40%G +0.000%14.0%2026-06-09 17:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 39.10%EV -16.24%E -7.73%K -14.76%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 31.58%EV -13.99%E -5.38%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.32%EV -24.31%E -8.68%K -13.51%G +0.000%21.8%2026-06-09 17:09
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook2.46I 40.65%NM 40.46%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.64%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.90%0.5%2026-06-09 17:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.46%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.64%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.90%0.5%2026-06-09 17:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.46%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.64%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.90%0.5%2026-06-09 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.46%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.64%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.90%0.5%2026-06-09 17:40
Kalshi2.44I 40.98%NM 40.18%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.36%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.46%2.0%2026-06-09 17:09
Smarkets2.42I 41.32%NM 40.49%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.66%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.85%2.1%2026-06-09 17:40