La scuola delle quote

Almería v CD Castellón

Inizio: 2026-06-09 19:00 UTC

Finale: Almería 3–2 CD Castellón

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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47 bookmaker (15 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Almería (Casa)

Previsione 39.89%2.51quota equa
EV -3.08%
Vantaggio -1.27%
Kelly -2.15%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.43

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
38.88%39.87%39.98%40.81%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.102.322.332.4347.62%43.06%42.92%41.15%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

CD Castellón (Trasferta)

Previsione 33.08%3.02quota equa
EV -1.42%
Vantaggio -0.475%
Kelly -0.715%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.98

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
31.58%33.15%33.05%34.50%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.602.772.752.9838.46%36.15%36.36%33.56%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 27.03%3.70quota equa
EV -2.69%
Vantaggio -0.746%
Kelly -1.03%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.87%26.98%26.97%29.32%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.803.393.403.6035.71%29.48%29.41%27.78%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (47 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Svenska Spel2.43I 41.15%NM 39.03%EV -3.08%E -1.27%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.87%EV -7.37%E -2.63%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.10%EV -5.39%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-09 17:09
ATG (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 39.03%EV -3.08%E -1.27%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.87%EV -7.37%E -2.63%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.10%EV -5.39%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-09 17:09
Pinnacle2.42I 41.32%NM 40.01%EV -3.47%E -1.44%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.49%EV -1.42%E -0.475%K -0.715%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.50%EV -4.85%E -1.38%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-09 17:09
Marathon Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 40.36%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.73%EV -2.08%E -0.702%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.91%EV -2.69%E -0.746%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-09 17:09
Coolbet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.71%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.44%EV -5.72%E -2.01%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.85%EV -4.04%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-09 17:39
LowVig.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 39.29%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.97%EV -5.39%E -1.88%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -8.09%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-09 17:09
BetOnline.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 39.29%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.97%EV -5.39%E -1.88%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -8.09%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-09 17:09
BetAnything2.40I 41.67%NM 39.29%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.97%EV -5.39%E -1.88%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -8.09%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-09 17:09
Unibet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.94%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.98%EV -9.03%E -3.28%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -6.74%E -1.95%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-09 17:09
Unibet (NL)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.94%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.98%EV -9.03%E -3.28%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -6.74%E -1.95%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-09 17:09
Unibet (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.94%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.98%EV -9.03%E -3.28%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -6.74%E -1.95%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-09 17:09
Betway2.38I 42.02%NM 39.53%EV -5.07%E -2.13%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -7.37%E -2.63%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -5.39%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-08 13:30
1xBet2.37I 42.19%NM 40.52%EV -5.47%E -2.31%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.66%EV -2.74%E -0.932%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.82%EV -3.23%E -0.901%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-09 17:40
DraftKings2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%EV -6.27%E -2.67%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -5.72%E -2.01%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -6.74%E -1.95%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-09 17:09
Betr (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -6.27%E -2.67%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -9.03%E -3.28%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -2.69%E -0.746%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-09 17:09
FanDuel2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -6.27%E -2.67%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -5.72%E -2.01%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -8.09%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-09 17:08
theScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.63%EV -6.27%E -2.67%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -10.68%E -3.96%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -2.69%E -0.746%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-09 17:09
PointsBet (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.34%EV -6.27%E -2.67%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -10.68%E -3.96%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -5.39%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-09 17:09
Casumo2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -6.27%E -2.67%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -10.68%E -3.96%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -8.09%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-09 17:09
Grosvenor2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -6.27%E -2.67%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -10.68%E -3.96%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -8.09%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-09 17:09
TABtouch2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -6.27%E -2.67%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -10.68%E -3.96%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -8.09%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-09 17:09
betPARX2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -6.27%E -2.67%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -10.68%E -3.96%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -8.09%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-09 17:09
LeoVegas (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.88%EV -6.27%E -2.67%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.84%EV -10.68%E -3.96%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -9.44%E -2.82%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-09 17:09
LeoVegas2.33I 42.92%NM 39.09%EV -7.06%E -3.03%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -10.68%E -3.96%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -9.44%E -2.82%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-09 17:09
Virgin Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 39.09%EV -7.06%E -3.03%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -10.68%E -3.96%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -9.44%E -2.82%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-09 17:09
LiveScore Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 39.09%EV -7.06%E -3.03%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -10.68%E -3.96%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -9.44%E -2.82%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-09 17:09
Betsson2.32I 43.10%NM 39.92%EV -7.46%E -3.22%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.84%EV -6.71%E -2.38%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.09%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-09 17:09
NordicBet2.32I 43.10%NM 39.92%EV -7.46%E -3.22%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.84%EV -6.71%E -2.38%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.09%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-09 17:09
Bovada2.31I 43.29%NM 40.00%EV -7.86%E -3.40%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.42%EV -5.72%E -2.01%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -9.44%E -2.82%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-09 17:39
betfred_uk2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -8.26%E -3.59%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -9.03%E -3.28%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -5.39%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-09 17:09
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -8.26%E -3.59%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -7.37%E -2.63%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -8.09%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-09 17:09
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -8.26%E -3.59%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -7.37%E -2.63%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -10.79%E -3.27%K -4.69%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-09 12:59
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -8.26%E -3.59%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -7.37%E -2.63%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -10.79%E -3.27%K -4.69%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-09 17:09
Betclic (FR)2.27I 44.05%NM 40.81%EV -9.46%E -4.17%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.50%EV -5.72%E -2.01%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 26.69%EV -6.20%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-09 17:07
Unibet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -10.26%E -4.56%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -7.37%E -2.63%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -8.09%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-09 17:09
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -10.26%E -4.56%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -9.03%E -3.28%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -8.09%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-09 12:59
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -10.26%E -4.56%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -7.37%E -2.63%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -10.79%E -3.27%K -4.69%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-09 17:09
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -10.26%E -4.56%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -9.03%E -3.28%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -10.79%E -3.27%K -4.69%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-09 17:08
Sky Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -10.26%E -4.56%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -9.03%E -3.28%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -12.15%E -3.74%K -5.40%G +0.000%11.6%2026-06-09 17:09
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -10.26%E -4.56%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -10.68%E -3.96%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -10.79%E -3.27%K -4.69%G +0.000%11.8%2026-06-09 09:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -10.26%E -4.56%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -10.68%E -3.96%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -10.79%E -3.27%K -4.69%G +0.000%11.8%2026-06-09 09:40
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -10.26%E -4.56%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -10.68%E -3.96%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -10.79%E -3.27%K -4.69%G +0.000%11.8%2026-06-09 09:40
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -10.26%E -4.56%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -10.68%E -3.96%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -10.79%E -3.27%K -4.69%G +0.000%11.8%2026-06-09 09:39
PMU (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.10%EV -10.26%E -4.56%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.83%EV -13.99%E -5.38%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.07%EV -12.15%E -3.74%K -5.40%G +0.000%13.7%2026-06-09 17:09
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 39.90%EV -12.25%E -5.57%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.50%EV -13.33%E -5.09%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.60%EV -10.79%E -3.27%K -4.69%G +0.000%13.9%2026-06-09 17:10
NetBet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.89%EV -12.25%E -5.57%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.11%EV -12.33%E -4.65%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.00%EV -12.15%E -3.74%K -5.40%G +0.000%14.0%2026-06-09 17:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 39.10%EV -16.24%E -7.73%K -14.76%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 31.58%EV -13.99%E -5.38%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.32%EV -24.31%E -8.68%K -13.51%G +0.000%21.8%2026-06-09 17:09
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook2.46I 40.65%NM 40.46%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.64%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.90%0.5%2026-06-09 17:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.46%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.64%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.90%0.5%2026-06-09 17:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.46%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.64%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.90%0.5%2026-06-09 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.46%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.64%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.90%0.5%2026-06-09 17:40
Kalshi2.44I 40.98%NM 40.18%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.36%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.46%2.0%2026-06-09 17:09
Smarkets2.42I 41.32%NM 40.49%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.66%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.85%2.1%2026-06-09 17:40