La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Almería v CD Castellón
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Almería (Local)
Predicción 39.89%2.51momio equitativo
EV -3.08%
Ventaja -1.27%
Kelly -2.15%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.43
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.88%39.87%39.98%40.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.322.332.4347.62%43.06%42.92%41.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
CD Castellón (Visitante)
Predicción 33.08%3.02momio equitativo
EV -1.42%
Ventaja -0.475%
Kelly -0.715%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.98
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.58%33.15%33.05%34.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.602.772.752.9838.46%36.15%36.36%33.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 27.03%3.70momio equitativo
EV -2.69%
Ventaja -0.746%
Kelly -1.03%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.87%26.98%26.97%29.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.393.403.6035.71%29.48%29.41%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.03%EV -3.08%E -1.27%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.87%EV -7.37%E -2.63%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.10%EV -5.39%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-09 17:09 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.03%EV -3.08%E -1.27%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.87%EV -7.37%E -2.63%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.10%EV -5.39%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-09 17:09 |
| Pinnacle | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.01%EV -3.47%E -1.44%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.49%EV -1.42%E -0.475%K -0.715%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.50%EV -4.85%E -1.38%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-06-09 17:09 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.36%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.73%EV -2.08%E -0.702%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.91%EV -2.69%E -0.746%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-06-09 17:09 |
| Coolbet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.71%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.44%EV -5.72%E -2.01%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.85%EV -4.04%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-09 17:39 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.29%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.97%EV -5.39%E -1.88%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -8.09%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-09 17:09 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.29%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.97%EV -5.39%E -1.88%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -8.09%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-09 17:09 |
| BetAnything | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.29%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.97%EV -5.39%E -1.88%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -8.09%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-09 17:09 |
| Unibet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.94%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.98%EV -9.03%E -3.28%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -6.74%E -1.95%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-09 17:09 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.94%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.98%EV -9.03%E -3.28%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -6.74%E -1.95%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-09 17:09 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.94%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.98%EV -9.03%E -3.28%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -6.74%E -1.95%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-09 17:09 |
| Betway | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.53%EV -5.07%E -2.13%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -7.37%E -2.63%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -5.39%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-08 13:30 |
| 1xBet | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.52%EV -5.47%E -2.31%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.66%EV -2.74%E -0.932%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.82%EV -3.23%E -0.901%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-09 17:40 |
| DraftKings | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%EV -6.27%E -2.67%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -5.72%E -2.01%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -6.74%E -1.95%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-09 17:09 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -6.27%E -2.67%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -9.03%E -3.28%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -2.69%E -0.746%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-09 17:09 |
| FanDuel | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -6.27%E -2.67%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -5.72%E -2.01%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -8.09%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-09 17:08 |
| theScore Bet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.63%EV -6.27%E -2.67%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -10.68%E -3.96%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -2.69%E -0.746%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-09 17:09 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.34%EV -6.27%E -2.67%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -10.68%E -3.96%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -5.39%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-09 17:09 |
| Casumo | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -6.27%E -2.67%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -10.68%E -3.96%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -8.09%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-09 17:09 |
| Grosvenor | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -6.27%E -2.67%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -10.68%E -3.96%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -8.09%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-09 17:09 |
| TABtouch | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -6.27%E -2.67%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -10.68%E -3.96%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -8.09%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-09 17:09 |
| betPARX | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -6.27%E -2.67%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -10.68%E -3.96%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -8.09%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-09 17:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.88%EV -6.27%E -2.67%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.84%EV -10.68%E -3.96%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -9.44%E -2.82%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-06-09 17:09 |
| LeoVegas | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.09%EV -7.06%E -3.03%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -10.68%E -3.96%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -9.44%E -2.82%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-06-09 17:09 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.09%EV -7.06%E -3.03%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -10.68%E -3.96%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -9.44%E -2.82%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-06-09 17:09 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.09%EV -7.06%E -3.03%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -10.68%E -3.96%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -9.44%E -2.82%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-06-09 17:09 |
| Betsson | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.92%EV -7.46%E -3.22%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.84%EV -6.71%E -2.38%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.09%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-09 17:09 |
| NordicBet | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.92%EV -7.46%E -3.22%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.84%EV -6.71%E -2.38%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.09%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-09 17:09 |
| Bovada | 2.31I 43.29%NM 40.00%EV -7.86%E -3.40%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.42%EV -5.72%E -2.01%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -9.44%E -2.82%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-09 17:39 |
| betfred_uk | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -8.26%E -3.59%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -9.03%E -3.28%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -5.39%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-06-09 17:09 |
| SportsBet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -8.26%E -3.59%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -7.37%E -2.63%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -8.09%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-09 17:09 |
| Bet Victor | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -8.26%E -3.59%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -7.37%E -2.63%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -10.79%E -3.27%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-06-09 12:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -8.26%E -3.59%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -7.37%E -2.63%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -10.79%E -3.27%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-06-09 17:09 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.27I 44.05%NM 40.81%EV -9.46%E -4.17%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.50%EV -5.72%E -2.01%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 26.69%EV -6.20%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-09 17:07 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -10.26%E -4.56%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -7.37%E -2.63%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -8.09%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-09 17:09 |
| BetMGM | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -10.26%E -4.56%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -9.03%E -3.28%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -8.09%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-06-09 12:59 |
| William Hill | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -10.26%E -4.56%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -7.37%E -2.63%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -10.79%E -3.27%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-06-09 17:09 |
| Paddy Power | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -10.26%E -4.56%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -9.03%E -3.28%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -10.79%E -3.27%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-06-09 17:08 |
| Sky Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -10.26%E -4.56%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -9.03%E -3.28%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -12.15%E -3.74%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-06-09 17:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -10.26%E -4.56%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -10.68%E -3.96%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -10.79%E -3.27%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-06-09 09:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -10.26%E -4.56%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -10.68%E -3.96%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -10.79%E -3.27%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-06-09 09:40 |
| Neds | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -10.26%E -4.56%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -10.68%E -3.96%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -10.79%E -3.27%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-06-09 09:40 |
| Coral | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -10.26%E -4.56%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -10.68%E -3.96%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -10.79%E -3.27%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-06-09 09:39 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.10%EV -10.26%E -4.56%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.83%EV -13.99%E -5.38%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.07%EV -12.15%E -3.74%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-06-09 17:09 |
| BoyleSports | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.90%EV -12.25%E -5.57%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.50%EV -13.33%E -5.09%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.60%EV -10.79%E -3.27%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-06-09 17:10 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.89%EV -12.25%E -5.57%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.11%EV -12.33%E -4.65%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.00%EV -12.15%E -3.74%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-06-09 17:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 39.10%EV -16.24%E -7.73%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 31.58%EV -13.99%E -5.38%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 29.32%EV -24.31%E -8.68%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 21.8% | 2026-06-09 17:09 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.46% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.64% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.90% | 0.5% | 2026-06-09 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.46% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.64% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.90% | 0.5% | 2026-06-09 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.46% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.64% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.90% | 0.5% | 2026-06-09 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.46% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.64% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.90% | 0.5% | 2026-06-09 17:40 |
| Kalshi | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.18% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.36% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.46% | 2.0% | 2026-06-09 17:09 |
| Smarkets | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.49% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.66% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.85% | 2.1% | 2026-06-09 17:40 |