L’École des cotesFrançais
Almería v CD Castellón
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Almería (Local)
Prévision 39.89%2.51cote équitable
EV -3.08%
Avantage -1.27%
Kelly -2.15%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.43
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.88%39.87%39.98%40.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.322.332.4347.62%43.06%42.92%41.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
CD Castellón (Visiteur)
Prévision 33.08%3.02cote équitable
EV -1.42%
Avantage -0.475%
Kelly -0.715%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.98
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.58%33.15%33.05%34.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.602.772.752.9838.46%36.15%36.36%33.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 27.03%3.70cote équitable
EV -2.69%
Avantage -0.746%
Kelly -1.03%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.60
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.87%26.98%26.97%29.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.393.403.6035.71%29.48%29.41%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.03%EV -3.08%E -1.27%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.87%EV -7.37%E -2.63%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.10%EV -5.39%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-09 17:09 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.03%EV -3.08%E -1.27%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.87%EV -7.37%E -2.63%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.10%EV -5.39%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-09 17:09 |
| Pinnacle | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.01%EV -3.47%E -1.44%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.49%EV -1.42%E -0.475%K -0.715%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.50%EV -4.85%E -1.38%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-06-09 17:09 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.36%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.73%EV -2.08%E -0.702%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.91%EV -2.69%E -0.746%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-06-09 17:09 |
| Coolbet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.71%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.44%EV -5.72%E -2.01%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.85%EV -4.04%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-09 17:39 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.29%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.97%EV -5.39%E -1.88%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -8.09%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-09 17:09 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.29%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.97%EV -5.39%E -1.88%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -8.09%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-09 17:09 |
| BetAnything | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.29%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.97%EV -5.39%E -1.88%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -8.09%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-09 17:09 |
| Unibet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.94%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.98%EV -9.03%E -3.28%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -6.74%E -1.95%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-09 17:09 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.94%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.98%EV -9.03%E -3.28%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -6.74%E -1.95%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-09 17:09 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.94%EV -4.27%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.98%EV -9.03%E -3.28%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -6.74%E -1.95%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-09 17:09 |
| Betway | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.53%EV -5.07%E -2.13%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -7.37%E -2.63%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -5.39%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-08 13:30 |
| 1xBet | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.52%EV -5.47%E -2.31%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.66%EV -2.74%E -0.932%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.82%EV -3.23%E -0.901%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-09 17:40 |
| DraftKings | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%EV -6.27%E -2.67%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -5.72%E -2.01%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -6.74%E -1.95%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-09 17:09 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -6.27%E -2.67%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -9.03%E -3.28%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -2.69%E -0.746%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-09 17:09 |
| FanDuel | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -6.27%E -2.67%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -5.72%E -2.01%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -8.09%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-09 17:08 |
| theScore Bet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.63%EV -6.27%E -2.67%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -10.68%E -3.96%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -2.69%E -0.746%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-09 17:09 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.34%EV -6.27%E -2.67%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -10.68%E -3.96%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -5.39%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-09 17:09 |
| Casumo | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -6.27%E -2.67%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -10.68%E -3.96%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -8.09%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-09 17:09 |
| Grosvenor | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -6.27%E -2.67%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -10.68%E -3.96%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -8.09%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-09 17:09 |
| TABtouch | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -6.27%E -2.67%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -10.68%E -3.96%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -8.09%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-09 17:09 |
| betPARX | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -6.27%E -2.67%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -10.68%E -3.96%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -8.09%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-09 17:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.88%EV -6.27%E -2.67%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.84%EV -10.68%E -3.96%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -9.44%E -2.82%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-06-09 17:09 |
| LeoVegas | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.09%EV -7.06%E -3.03%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -10.68%E -3.96%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -9.44%E -2.82%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-06-09 17:09 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.09%EV -7.06%E -3.03%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -10.68%E -3.96%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -9.44%E -2.82%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-06-09 17:09 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.09%EV -7.06%E -3.03%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -10.68%E -3.96%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -9.44%E -2.82%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-06-09 17:09 |
| Betsson | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.92%EV -7.46%E -3.22%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.84%EV -6.71%E -2.38%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.09%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-09 17:09 |
| NordicBet | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.92%EV -7.46%E -3.22%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.84%EV -6.71%E -2.38%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.09%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-09 17:09 |
| Bovada | 2.31I 43.29%NM 40.00%EV -7.86%E -3.40%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.42%EV -5.72%E -2.01%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -9.44%E -2.82%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-09 17:39 |
| betfred_uk | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -8.26%E -3.59%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -9.03%E -3.28%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -5.39%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-06-09 17:09 |
| SportsBet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -8.26%E -3.59%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -7.37%E -2.63%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -8.09%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-09 17:09 |
| Bet Victor | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -8.26%E -3.59%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -7.37%E -2.63%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -10.79%E -3.27%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-06-09 12:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -8.26%E -3.59%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -7.37%E -2.63%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -10.79%E -3.27%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-06-09 17:09 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.27I 44.05%NM 40.81%EV -9.46%E -4.17%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.50%EV -5.72%E -2.01%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 26.69%EV -6.20%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-09 17:07 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -10.26%E -4.56%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -7.37%E -2.63%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -8.09%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-09 17:09 |
| BetMGM | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -10.26%E -4.56%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -9.03%E -3.28%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -8.09%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-06-09 12:59 |
| William Hill | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -10.26%E -4.56%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -7.37%E -2.63%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -10.79%E -3.27%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-06-09 17:09 |
| Paddy Power | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -10.26%E -4.56%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -9.03%E -3.28%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -10.79%E -3.27%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-06-09 17:08 |
| Sky Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -10.26%E -4.56%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -9.03%E -3.28%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -12.15%E -3.74%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-06-09 17:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -10.26%E -4.56%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -10.68%E -3.96%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -10.79%E -3.27%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-06-09 09:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -10.26%E -4.56%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -10.68%E -3.96%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -10.79%E -3.27%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-06-09 09:40 |
| Neds | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -10.26%E -4.56%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -10.68%E -3.96%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -10.79%E -3.27%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-06-09 09:40 |
| Coral | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -10.26%E -4.56%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -10.68%E -3.96%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -10.79%E -3.27%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-06-09 09:39 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.10%EV -10.26%E -4.56%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.83%EV -13.99%E -5.38%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.07%EV -12.15%E -3.74%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-06-09 17:09 |
| BoyleSports | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.90%EV -12.25%E -5.57%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.50%EV -13.33%E -5.09%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.60%EV -10.79%E -3.27%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-06-09 17:10 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.89%EV -12.25%E -5.57%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.11%EV -12.33%E -4.65%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.00%EV -12.15%E -3.74%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-06-09 17:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 39.10%EV -16.24%E -7.73%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 31.58%EV -13.99%E -5.38%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 29.32%EV -24.31%E -8.68%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 21.8% | 2026-06-09 17:09 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.46% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.64% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.90% | 0.5% | 2026-06-09 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.46% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.64% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.90% | 0.5% | 2026-06-09 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.46% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.64% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.90% | 0.5% | 2026-06-09 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.46% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.64% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.90% | 0.5% | 2026-06-09 17:40 |
| Kalshi | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.18% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.36% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.46% | 2.0% | 2026-06-09 17:09 |
| Smarkets | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.49% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.66% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.85% | 2.1% | 2026-06-09 17:40 |