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Almería v Cádiz CF

2026-09-06 19:00 UTC — La Liga 2 - Spain

Head to Head

27 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Almería (Local)

Prediction 61.19%1.63fair odd
EV -6.38%
Edge -4.17%
Kelly -12.03%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.35%61.25%61.30%62.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.431.491.501.5369.93%67.06%66.67%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Cádiz CF (Visit)

Prediction 16.53%6.05fair odd
EV +3.31%
Edge +0.530%
Kelly +0.631%
Growth +0.021%

assuming max odds 6.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.93%16.48%16.38%18.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.705.545.506.2521.28%18.04%18.18%16.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.28%4.49fair odd
EV -0.641%
Edge -0.144%
Kelly -0.185%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.46

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.48%22.27%22.31%23.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.074.004.4626.67%24.59%25.00%22.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Almería (Local): 61.19%; Cádiz CF (Visit): 16.53%; Draw: 22.28%. For Cádiz CF (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.05. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 6.25, producing a positive expected value of +3.31%.

Sportsbook Odds (27 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Betr (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.30%EV -6.99%E -4.60%K -13.44%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.15%EV +3.31%E +0.530%K +0.631%G +0.021%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55%EV -6.43%E -1.53%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-31 08:55
1xBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.61%EV -6.38%E -4.17%K -12.03%G +0.000%6.02I 16.61%NM 15.91%EV -0.487%E -0.081%K -0.097%G +0.000%4.46I 22.42%NM 21.48%EV -0.641%E -0.144%K -0.185%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-31 12:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.54%EV -8.82%E -5.92%K -18.01%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -0.818%E -0.136%K -0.164%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -5.32%E -1.25%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-31 08:55
betfred_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.21%E -5.47%K -16.42%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -0.818%E -0.136%K -0.164%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -10.89%E -2.72%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-31 08:55
SportsBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 62.52%EV -10.66%E -7.30%K -23.17%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.21%EV -0.818%E -0.136%K -0.164%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -8.66%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-31 08:55
FanDuel🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.68%EV -11.27%E -7.77%K -25.05%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -0.818%E -0.136%K -0.164%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -8.66%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-31 08:59
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -11.88%E -8.25%K -27.01%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -0.818%E -0.136%K -0.164%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -10.89%E -2.72%K -3.63%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-31 09:00
theScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.66%EV -12.50%E -8.74%K -29.06%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.93%EV -0.818%E -0.136%K -0.164%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -10.89%E -2.72%K -3.63%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-31 11:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.55%EV -8.82%E -5.92%K -18.01%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 15.93%EV -3.30%E -0.564%K -0.680%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.52%EV -3.54%E -0.817%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-31 12:55
Pinnacle🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.76%EV -6.38%E -4.17%K -12.03%G +0.000%5.83I 17.15%NM 16.21%EV -3.63%E -0.622%K -0.751%G +0.000%4.29I 23.31%NM 22.03%EV -4.43%E -1.03%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 09:35
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.66%EV -6.38%E -4.17%K -12.03%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.41%EV -4.95%E -0.861%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.94%EV -4.21%E -0.978%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 09:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -8.21%E -5.47%K -16.42%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -4.95%E -0.861%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -10.89%E -2.72%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-31 10:35
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -8.21%E -5.47%K -16.42%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -9.08%E -1.65%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -10.89%E -2.72%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-31 09:20
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -8.21%E -5.47%K -16.42%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -9.08%E -1.65%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -10.89%E -2.72%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-31 09:18
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -8.21%E -5.47%K -16.42%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -9.08%E -1.65%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -10.89%E -2.72%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-31 10:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.51%EV -10.05%E -6.84%K -21.38%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.44%EV -9.08%E -1.65%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -8.66%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-31 09:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.17%EV -6.38%E -4.17%K -12.03%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.37%EV -12.39%E -2.34%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -8.66%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-31 10:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.17%EV -6.38%E -4.17%K -12.03%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.37%EV -12.39%E -2.34%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -8.66%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-31 10:35
NordicBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.16%EV -6.99%E -4.60%K -13.44%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.25%EV -12.39%E -2.34%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.58%EV -9.77%E -2.41%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-31 09:35
Betsson🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.16%EV -6.99%E -4.60%K -13.44%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.25%EV -12.39%E -2.34%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.58%EV -9.77%E -2.41%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-31 09:35
Betclic (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.37%EV -9.44%E -6.38%K -19.66%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.02%EV -13.22%E -2.52%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.62%EV -12.00%E -3.04%K -4.07%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-31 09:34
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.30%EV -11.88%E -8.25%K -27.01%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.54%EV -13.22%E -2.52%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.16%EV -16.46%E -4.39%K -5.98%G +0.000%15.2%2026-08-31 08:55
Codere (IT)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.80%EV -6.99%E -4.60%K -13.44%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.48%EV -14.04%E -2.70%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.72%EV -10.89%E -2.72%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-31 09:35
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -8.21%E -5.47%K -16.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -17.35%E -3.47%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -10.89%E -2.72%K -3.63%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-31 09:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 59.49%EV -11.88%E -8.25%K -27.01%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 17.66%EV -19.83%E -4.09%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.84%EV -16.46%E -4.39%K -5.98%G +0.000%16.7%2026-08-31 09:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 59.58%EV -9.44%E -6.38%K -19.66%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.37%EV -20.65%E -4.30%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.05%EV -10.89%E -2.72%K -3.63%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-31 09:34
Winamax (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 59.35%EV -10.66%E -7.30%K -23.17%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.44%EV -22.31%E -4.75%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.22%EV -13.12%E -3.36%K -4.52%G +0.000%15.4%2026-08-31 09:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.56I 64.10%NM 61.59%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.37%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.04%4.1%2026-08-31 13:05
Smarkets◎1.46I 68.49%NM 58.87%4.80I 20.83%NM 17.91%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.23%16.4%2026-08-31 09:35