Language:English
Almería v Cádiz CF
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Almería (Local)
Prediction 61.69%1.62fair odd
EV -4.38%
Edge -2.82%
Kelly -7.96%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.50%61.73%61.63%63.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.381.481.491.5572.46%67.39%67.11%64.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Cádiz CF (Visit)
Prediction 15.38%6.50fair odd
EV +3.20%
Edge +0.477%
Kelly +0.560%
Growth +0.018%
assuming max odds 6.71
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.33%15.34%15.41%16.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.405.976.006.7118.52%16.76%16.67%14.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 22.93%4.36fair odd
EV -3.71%
Edge -0.883%
Kelly -1.16%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.86%22.93%22.96%24.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.653.963.984.2027.40%25.26%25.13%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Almería (Local): 61.69%; Cádiz CF (Visit): 15.38%; Draw: 22.93%. For Cádiz CF (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.50. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.71, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.20%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.65%EV -4.99%E -3.24%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 6.71I 14.90%NM 14.38%EV +3.20%E +0.477%K +0.560%G +0.018% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.97%EV -3.71%E -0.883%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-06 18:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.63%EV -7.46%E -4.97%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -0.030%E -0.005%K -0.006%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.91%EV -6.00%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-06 18:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.95%EV -8.69%E -5.87%K -18.11%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -0.030%E -0.005%K -0.006%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -6.00%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-06 18:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.98%EV -8.69%E -5.87%K -18.11%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -1.57%E -0.245%K -0.290%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.46%EV -4.85%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-06 18:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.14%EV -4.38%E -2.82%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.16%EV -3.88%E -0.620%K -0.738%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.69%EV -8.29%E -2.07%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-06 18:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.14%EV -4.38%E -2.82%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.16%EV -3.88%E -0.620%K -0.738%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.69%EV -8.29%E -2.07%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-06 18:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.27%EV -7.46%E -4.97%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -3.88%E -0.620%K -0.738%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -6.00%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-06 18:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.27%EV -7.46%E -4.97%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -3.88%E -0.620%K -0.738%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -6.00%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-06 18:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.27%EV -7.46%E -4.97%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -3.88%E -0.620%K -0.738%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -6.00%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-06 18:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.27%EV -7.46%E -4.97%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -3.88%E -0.620%K -0.738%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -6.00%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-06 18:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.27%EV -7.46%E -4.97%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -3.88%E -0.620%K -0.738%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -6.00%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-06 18:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.39%EV -9.31%E -6.33%K -19.81%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.68%EV -3.88%E -0.620%K -0.738%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.93%EV -8.29%E -2.07%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-06 18:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.69%EV -6.84%E -4.53%K -13.42%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.02%EV -4.64%E -0.749%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -8.29%E -2.07%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-06 18:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.69%EV -6.84%E -4.53%K -13.42%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.02%EV -4.64%E -0.749%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -8.29%E -2.07%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-06 18:45 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.69%EV -6.84%E -4.53%K -13.42%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.02%EV -4.64%E -0.749%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -8.29%E -2.07%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-06 18:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.33%EV -10.54%E -7.27%K -23.43%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.81%EV -4.64%E -0.749%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.86%EV -3.71%E -0.883%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-06 18:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.11%EV -4.38%E -2.82%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 6.09I 16.42%NM 15.55%EV -6.34%E -1.04%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.06I 24.63%NM 23.33%EV -6.92%E -1.70%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-06 18:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.76%EV -5.61%E -3.67%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -7.72%E -1.29%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.50%EV -3.71%E -0.883%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-06 18:04 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.71%EV -5.61%E -3.67%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -7.72%E -1.29%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.82%EV -10.59%E -2.71%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-06 18:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.46%E -4.97%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -7.72%E -1.29%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.29%E -2.07%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-06 05:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.46%E -4.97%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -7.72%E -1.29%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.29%E -2.07%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-06 18:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -8.08%E -5.42%K -16.48%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV -7.72%E -1.29%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -8.29%E -2.07%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-06 18:43 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.80%EV -7.46%E -4.97%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.20%EV -7.72%E -1.29%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -12.88%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-06 18:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.80%EV -7.46%E -4.97%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.20%EV -7.72%E -1.29%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -12.88%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-06 18:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.80%EV -7.46%E -4.97%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.20%EV -7.72%E -1.29%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -12.88%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-06 18:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.80%EV -7.46%E -4.97%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.20%EV -7.72%E -1.29%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -12.88%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-06 18:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.84%EV -9.31%E -6.33%K -19.81%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -7.72%E -1.29%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.01%EV -9.44%E -2.39%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-06 18:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.84%EV -9.31%E -6.33%K -19.81%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -7.72%E -1.29%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.01%EV -9.44%E -2.39%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-06 18:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.84%EV -9.31%E -6.33%K -19.81%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -7.72%E -1.29%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.01%EV -9.44%E -2.39%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-06 18:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.84%EV -9.31%E -6.33%K -19.81%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -7.72%E -1.29%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.01%EV -9.44%E -2.39%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-06 18:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.14%EV -11.16%E -7.75%K -25.37%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.91%EV -7.72%E -1.29%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.94%EV -10.59%E -2.71%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-06 18:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.77%EV -11.16%E -7.75%K -25.37%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.82%EV -7.72%E -1.29%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.41%EV -12.88%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-06 18:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.36%EV -8.08%E -5.42%K -16.48%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.50%EV -9.26%E -1.57%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.15%EV -9.44%E -2.39%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-06 18:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.36%EV -8.08%E -5.42%K -16.48%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.50%EV -9.26%E -1.57%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.15%EV -9.44%E -2.39%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-06 18:35 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.36%EV -8.69%E -5.87%K -18.11%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.66%EV -10.80%E -1.86%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.99%EV -9.44%E -2.39%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-06 18:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.82%EV -11.16%E -7.75%K -25.37%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.35%EV -10.80%E -1.86%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%EV -10.59%E -2.71%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-06 18:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.82%EV -11.16%E -7.75%K -25.37%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.35%EV -10.80%E -1.86%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%EV -10.59%E -2.71%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-06 18:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 61.99%EV -11.78%E -8.24%K -27.39%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.28%EV -10.80%E -1.86%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.73%EV -10.59%E -2.71%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-06 18:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -7.46%E -4.97%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -11.57%E -2.01%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -8.29%E -2.07%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-06 18:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.45%EV -8.69%E -5.87%K -18.11%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.82%EV -11.57%E -2.01%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -8.29%E -2.07%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-06 18:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.50%EV -6.23%E -4.10%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.73%EV -11.57%E -2.01%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -16.32%E -4.47%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-06 18:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 61.70%EV -9.93%E -6.80%K -21.58%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.67%EV -11.57%E -2.01%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 22.63%EV -8.75%E -2.20%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-06 18:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.37%EV -11.16%E -7.75%K -25.37%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.37%EV -11.57%E -2.01%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.26%EV -12.88%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-09-06 18:29 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 61.79%EV -13.01%E -9.23%K -31.74%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.28%EV -12.33%E -2.16%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.93%EV -12.88%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-09-06 18:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.53%EV -8.69%E -5.87%K -18.11%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.26%EV -13.87%E -2.48%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -6.00%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-06 18:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 61.82%EV -12.40%E -8.73%K -29.51%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.68%EV -13.87%E -2.48%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.51%EV -10.59%E -2.71%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-09-06 18:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 61.94%EV -14.86%E -10.77%K -39.11%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.26%EV -13.87%E -2.48%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.79%EV -14.02%E -3.74%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 17.0% | 2026-09-06 18:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -7.46%E -4.97%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -15.41%E -2.80%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -8.29%E -2.07%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-06 18:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.29%EV -8.69%E -5.87%K -18.11%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.22%EV -15.41%E -2.80%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.48%EV -12.88%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-06 18:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.29%EV -8.69%E -5.87%K -18.11%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.22%EV -15.41%E -2.80%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.48%EV -12.88%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-06 18:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.29%EV -8.69%E -5.87%K -18.11%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.22%EV -15.41%E -2.80%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.48%EV -12.88%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-06 18:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.29%EV -8.69%E -5.87%K -18.11%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.22%EV -15.41%E -2.80%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.48%EV -12.88%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-06 18:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 61.15%EV -9.93%E -6.80%K -21.58%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.53%EV -16.95%E -3.14%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.32%EV -8.29%E -2.07%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-06 18:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.35% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.48% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.17% | 0.3% | 2026-09-06 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.79% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.73% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.47% | 1.1% | 2026-09-06 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.79% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.73% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.47% | 1.1% | 2026-09-06 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.79% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.73% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.47% | 1.1% | 2026-09-06 18:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.94% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.68% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.38% | 1.6% | 2026-09-06 18:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.79% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.69% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.52% | 2.1% | 2026-09-06 18:25 |