StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Almería v Cádiz CF

Matchstart: 2026-09-06 19:00 UTC

Slutresultat: Almería 3–2 Cádiz CF

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

53 spelbolag (19 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Almería (Hemma)

Prognos 61.69%1.62rättvist odds
EV -4.38%
Fördel -2.82%
Kelly -7.96%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.55

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
59.50%61.73%61.63%63.33%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.381.481.491.5572.46%67.39%67.11%64.52%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Cádiz CF (Borta)

Prognos 15.38%6.50rättvist odds
EV +3.20%
Fördel +0.477%
Kelly +0.560%
Tillväxt +0.018%

med antagandet om högsta odds 6.71

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
14.33%15.34%15.41%16.55%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
5.405.976.006.7118.52%16.76%16.67%14.90%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 22.93%4.36rättvist odds
EV -3.71%
Fördel -0.883%
Kelly -1.16%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.20

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
21.86%22.93%22.96%24.78%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.653.963.984.2027.40%25.26%25.13%23.81%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Almería (Hemma): 61.69%; Cádiz CF (Borta): 15.38%; Oavgjort: 22.93%. För Cádiz CF (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 6.50. 1 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 6.71, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +3.20%.

Spelbolagsodds (53 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Pinnacle🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.65%EV -4.99%E -3.24%K -9.25%G +0.000%6.71I 14.90%NM 14.38%EV +3.20%E +0.477%K +0.560%G +0.018%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.97%EV -3.71%E -0.883%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-06 18:55
Fanatics🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.63%EV -7.46%E -4.97%K -14.92%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -0.030%E -0.005%K -0.006%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.91%EV -6.00%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-06 18:15
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.95%EV -8.69%E -5.87%K -18.11%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -0.030%E -0.005%K -0.006%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -6.00%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-06 18:44
Marathon Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.98%EV -8.69%E -5.87%K -18.11%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -1.57%E -0.245%K -0.290%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.46%EV -4.85%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-06 18:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.14%EV -4.38%E -2.82%K -7.96%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.16%EV -3.88%E -0.620%K -0.738%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.69%EV -8.29%E -2.07%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-06 18:45
Coolbet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.14%EV -4.38%E -2.82%K -7.96%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.16%EV -3.88%E -0.620%K -0.738%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.69%EV -8.29%E -2.07%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-06 18:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.27%EV -7.46%E -4.97%K -14.92%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -3.88%E -0.620%K -0.738%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -6.00%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 18:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.27%EV -7.46%E -4.97%K -14.92%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -3.88%E -0.620%K -0.738%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -6.00%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 18:15
Unibet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.27%EV -7.46%E -4.97%K -14.92%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -3.88%E -0.620%K -0.738%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -6.00%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 18:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.27%EV -7.46%E -4.97%K -14.92%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -3.88%E -0.620%K -0.738%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -6.00%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 18:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.27%EV -7.46%E -4.97%K -14.92%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -3.88%E -0.620%K -0.738%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -6.00%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 18:15
SportsBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.39%EV -9.31%E -6.33%K -19.81%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.68%EV -3.88%E -0.620%K -0.738%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.93%EV -8.29%E -2.07%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-06 18:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.69%EV -6.84%E -4.53%K -13.42%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.02%EV -4.64%E -0.749%K -0.893%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -8.29%E -2.07%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-06 18:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.69%EV -6.84%E -4.53%K -13.42%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.02%EV -4.64%E -0.749%K -0.893%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -8.29%E -2.07%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-06 18:45
BetAnything🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.69%EV -6.84%E -4.53%K -13.42%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.02%EV -4.64%E -0.749%K -0.893%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -8.29%E -2.07%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-06 18:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.33%EV -10.54%E -7.27%K -23.43%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.81%EV -4.64%E -0.749%K -0.893%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.86%EV -3.71%E -0.883%K -1.16%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-06 18:55
1xBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.11%EV -4.38%E -2.82%K -7.96%G +0.000%6.09I 16.42%NM 15.55%EV -6.34%E -1.04%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.06I 24.63%NM 23.33%EV -6.92%E -1.70%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 18:50
DraftKings🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.76%EV -5.61%E -3.67%K -10.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -7.72%E -1.29%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.50%EV -3.71%E -0.883%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-06 18:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.71%EV -5.61%E -3.67%K -10.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -7.72%E -1.29%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.82%EV -10.59%E -2.71%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-06 18:50
betfred_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.46%E -4.97%K -14.92%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -7.72%E -1.29%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.29%E -2.07%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-06 05:30
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.46%E -4.97%K -14.92%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -7.72%E -1.29%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.29%E -2.07%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-06 18:45
Bovada🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -8.08%E -5.42%K -16.48%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV -7.72%E -1.29%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -8.29%E -2.07%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-06 18:43
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.80%EV -7.46%E -4.97%K -14.92%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.20%EV -7.72%E -1.29%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -12.88%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-06 18:45
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.80%EV -7.46%E -4.97%K -14.92%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.20%EV -7.72%E -1.29%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -12.88%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-06 18:45
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.80%EV -7.46%E -4.97%K -14.92%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.20%EV -7.72%E -1.29%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -12.88%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-06 18:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.80%EV -7.46%E -4.97%K -14.92%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.20%EV -7.72%E -1.29%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -12.88%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-06 18:55
Grosvenor🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.84%EV -9.31%E -6.33%K -19.81%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -7.72%E -1.29%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.01%EV -9.44%E -2.39%K -3.20%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-06 18:10
TABtouch🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.84%EV -9.31%E -6.33%K -19.81%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -7.72%E -1.29%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.01%EV -9.44%E -2.39%K -3.20%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-06 18:15
Casumo🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.84%EV -9.31%E -6.33%K -19.81%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -7.72%E -1.29%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.01%EV -9.44%E -2.39%K -3.20%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-06 18:15
betPARX🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.84%EV -9.31%E -6.33%K -19.81%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -7.72%E -1.29%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.01%EV -9.44%E -2.39%K -3.20%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-06 18:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.14%EV -11.16%E -7.75%K -25.37%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.91%EV -7.72%E -1.29%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.94%EV -10.59%E -2.71%K -3.65%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-06 18:30
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.77%EV -11.16%E -7.75%K -25.37%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.82%EV -7.72%E -1.29%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.41%EV -12.88%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-06 18:30
NordicBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.36%EV -8.08%E -5.42%K -16.48%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.50%EV -9.26%E -1.57%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.15%EV -9.44%E -2.39%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-06 18:40
Betsson🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.36%EV -8.08%E -5.42%K -16.48%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.50%EV -9.26%E -1.57%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.15%EV -9.44%E -2.39%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-06 18:35
Codere (IT)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.36%EV -8.69%E -5.87%K -18.11%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.66%EV -10.80%E -1.86%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.99%EV -9.44%E -2.39%K -3.20%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-06 18:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.82%EV -11.16%E -7.75%K -25.37%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.35%EV -10.80%E -1.86%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%EV -10.59%E -2.71%K -3.65%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-06 18:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.82%EV -11.16%E -7.75%K -25.37%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.35%EV -10.80%E -1.86%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%EV -10.59%E -2.71%K -3.65%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-06 18:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 61.99%EV -11.78%E -8.24%K -27.39%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.28%EV -10.80%E -1.86%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.73%EV -10.59%E -2.71%K -3.65%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-06 18:15
theScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -7.46%E -4.97%K -14.92%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -11.57%E -2.01%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -8.29%E -2.07%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 18:25
BetMGM🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.45%EV -8.69%E -5.87%K -18.11%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.82%EV -11.57%E -2.01%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -8.29%E -2.07%K -2.76%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-06 18:35
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.50%EV -6.23%E -4.10%K -11.97%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.73%EV -11.57%E -2.01%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -16.32%E -4.47%K -6.16%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-06 18:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 61.70%EV -9.93%E -6.80%K -21.58%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.67%EV -11.57%E -2.01%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 22.63%EV -8.75%E -2.20%K -2.94%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-06 18:40
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.37%EV -11.16%E -7.75%K -25.37%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.37%EV -11.57%E -2.01%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.26%EV -12.88%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-06 18:29
NetBet (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 61.79%EV -13.01%E -9.23%K -31.74%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.28%EV -12.33%E -2.16%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.93%EV -12.88%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000%14.8%2026-09-06 18:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.53%EV -8.69%E -5.87%K -18.11%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.26%EV -13.87%E -2.48%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -6.00%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-06 18:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 61.82%EV -12.40%E -8.73%K -29.51%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.68%EV -13.87%E -2.48%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.51%EV -10.59%E -2.71%K -3.65%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-06 18:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 61.94%EV -14.86%E -10.77%K -39.11%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.26%EV -13.87%E -2.48%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.79%EV -14.02%E -3.74%K -5.10%G +0.000%17.0%2026-09-06 18:15
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -7.46%E -4.97%K -14.92%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -15.41%E -2.80%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -8.29%E -2.07%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-06 18:30
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.29%EV -8.69%E -5.87%K -18.11%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.22%EV -15.41%E -2.80%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.48%EV -12.88%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-06 18:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.29%EV -8.69%E -5.87%K -18.11%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.22%EV -15.41%E -2.80%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.48%EV -12.88%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-06 18:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.29%EV -8.69%E -5.87%K -18.11%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.22%EV -15.41%E -2.80%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.48%EV -12.88%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-06 18:35
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.29%EV -8.69%E -5.87%K -18.11%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.22%EV -15.41%E -2.80%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.48%EV -12.88%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-06 18:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 61.15%EV -9.93%E -6.80%K -21.58%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.53%EV -16.95%E -3.14%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.32%EV -8.29%E -2.07%K -2.76%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-06 18:35
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook◎1.55I 64.52%NM 64.35%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.48%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.17%0.3%2026-09-06 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.55I 64.52%NM 63.79%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.73%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.47%1.1%2026-09-06 18:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.55I 64.52%NM 63.79%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.73%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.47%1.1%2026-09-06 18:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.55I 64.52%NM 63.79%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.73%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.47%1.1%2026-09-06 18:50
Smarkets◎1.54I 64.94%NM 63.94%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.68%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.38%1.6%2026-09-06 18:55
Kalshi◎1.56I 64.10%NM 62.79%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.69%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.52%2.1%2026-09-06 18:25