Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Almería v Cádiz CF

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-06 19:00 UTC

Score final : Almería 3–2 Cádiz CF

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Almería (Local)

Prévision 61.69%1.62cote équitable
EV -4.38%
Avantage -2.82%
Kelly -7.96%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
59.50%61.73%61.63%63.33%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.381.481.491.5572.46%67.39%67.11%64.52%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Cádiz CF (Visiteur)

Prévision 15.38%6.50cote équitable
EV +3.20%
Avantage +0.477%
Kelly +0.560%
Croissance +0.018%

avec la cote maximale 6.71

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.33%15.34%15.41%16.55%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.405.976.006.7118.52%16.76%16.67%14.90%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 22.93%4.36cote équitable
EV -3.71%
Avantage -0.883%
Kelly -1.16%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.86%22.93%22.96%24.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.653.963.984.2027.40%25.26%25.13%23.81%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Almería (Local) : 61.69% ; Cádiz CF (Visiteur) : 15.38% ; Match nul : 22.93%. Pour Cádiz CF (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 6.50. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 6.71, soit une espérance positive de +3.20%.

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.65%EV -4.99%E -3.24%K -9.25%G +0.000%6.71I 14.90%NM 14.38%EV +3.20%E +0.477%K +0.560%G +0.018%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.97%EV -3.71%E -0.883%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-06 18:55
Fanatics🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.63%EV -7.46%E -4.97%K -14.92%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -0.030%E -0.005%K -0.006%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.91%EV -6.00%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-06 18:15
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.95%EV -8.69%E -5.87%K -18.11%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -0.030%E -0.005%K -0.006%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -6.00%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-06 18:44
Marathon Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.98%EV -8.69%E -5.87%K -18.11%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -1.57%E -0.245%K -0.290%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.46%EV -4.85%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-06 18:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.14%EV -4.38%E -2.82%K -7.96%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.16%EV -3.88%E -0.620%K -0.738%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.69%EV -8.29%E -2.07%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-06 18:45
Coolbet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.14%EV -4.38%E -2.82%K -7.96%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.16%EV -3.88%E -0.620%K -0.738%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.69%EV -8.29%E -2.07%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-06 18:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.27%EV -7.46%E -4.97%K -14.92%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -3.88%E -0.620%K -0.738%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -6.00%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 18:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.27%EV -7.46%E -4.97%K -14.92%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -3.88%E -0.620%K -0.738%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -6.00%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 18:15
Unibet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.27%EV -7.46%E -4.97%K -14.92%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -3.88%E -0.620%K -0.738%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -6.00%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 18:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.27%EV -7.46%E -4.97%K -14.92%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -3.88%E -0.620%K -0.738%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -6.00%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 18:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.27%EV -7.46%E -4.97%K -14.92%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -3.88%E -0.620%K -0.738%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -6.00%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 18:15
SportsBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.39%EV -9.31%E -6.33%K -19.81%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.68%EV -3.88%E -0.620%K -0.738%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.93%EV -8.29%E -2.07%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-06 18:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.69%EV -6.84%E -4.53%K -13.42%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.02%EV -4.64%E -0.749%K -0.893%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -8.29%E -2.07%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-06 18:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.69%EV -6.84%E -4.53%K -13.42%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.02%EV -4.64%E -0.749%K -0.893%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -8.29%E -2.07%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-06 18:45
BetAnything🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.69%EV -6.84%E -4.53%K -13.42%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.02%EV -4.64%E -0.749%K -0.893%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -8.29%E -2.07%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-06 18:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.33%EV -10.54%E -7.27%K -23.43%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.81%EV -4.64%E -0.749%K -0.893%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.86%EV -3.71%E -0.883%K -1.16%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-06 18:55
1xBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.11%EV -4.38%E -2.82%K -7.96%G +0.000%6.09I 16.42%NM 15.55%EV -6.34%E -1.04%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.06I 24.63%NM 23.33%EV -6.92%E -1.70%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 18:50
DraftKings🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.76%EV -5.61%E -3.67%K -10.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -7.72%E -1.29%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.50%EV -3.71%E -0.883%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-06 18:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.71%EV -5.61%E -3.67%K -10.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -7.72%E -1.29%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.82%EV -10.59%E -2.71%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-06 18:50
betfred_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.46%E -4.97%K -14.92%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -7.72%E -1.29%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.29%E -2.07%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-06 05:30
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.46%E -4.97%K -14.92%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -7.72%E -1.29%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.29%E -2.07%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-06 18:45
Bovada🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -8.08%E -5.42%K -16.48%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV -7.72%E -1.29%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -8.29%E -2.07%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-06 18:43
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.80%EV -7.46%E -4.97%K -14.92%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.20%EV -7.72%E -1.29%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -12.88%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-06 18:45
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.80%EV -7.46%E -4.97%K -14.92%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.20%EV -7.72%E -1.29%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -12.88%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-06 18:45
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.80%EV -7.46%E -4.97%K -14.92%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.20%EV -7.72%E -1.29%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -12.88%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-06 18:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.80%EV -7.46%E -4.97%K -14.92%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.20%EV -7.72%E -1.29%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -12.88%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-06 18:55
Grosvenor🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.84%EV -9.31%E -6.33%K -19.81%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -7.72%E -1.29%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.01%EV -9.44%E -2.39%K -3.20%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-06 18:10
TABtouch🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.84%EV -9.31%E -6.33%K -19.81%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -7.72%E -1.29%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.01%EV -9.44%E -2.39%K -3.20%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-06 18:15
Casumo🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.84%EV -9.31%E -6.33%K -19.81%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -7.72%E -1.29%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.01%EV -9.44%E -2.39%K -3.20%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-06 18:15
betPARX🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.84%EV -9.31%E -6.33%K -19.81%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -7.72%E -1.29%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.01%EV -9.44%E -2.39%K -3.20%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-06 18:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.14%EV -11.16%E -7.75%K -25.37%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.91%EV -7.72%E -1.29%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.94%EV -10.59%E -2.71%K -3.65%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-06 18:30
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.77%EV -11.16%E -7.75%K -25.37%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.82%EV -7.72%E -1.29%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.41%EV -12.88%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-06 18:30
NordicBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.36%EV -8.08%E -5.42%K -16.48%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.50%EV -9.26%E -1.57%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.15%EV -9.44%E -2.39%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-06 18:40
Betsson🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.36%EV -8.08%E -5.42%K -16.48%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.50%EV -9.26%E -1.57%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.15%EV -9.44%E -2.39%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-06 18:35
Codere (IT)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.36%EV -8.69%E -5.87%K -18.11%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.66%EV -10.80%E -1.86%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.99%EV -9.44%E -2.39%K -3.20%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-06 18:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.82%EV -11.16%E -7.75%K -25.37%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.35%EV -10.80%E -1.86%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%EV -10.59%E -2.71%K -3.65%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-06 18:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.82%EV -11.16%E -7.75%K -25.37%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.35%EV -10.80%E -1.86%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%EV -10.59%E -2.71%K -3.65%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-06 18:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 61.99%EV -11.78%E -8.24%K -27.39%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.28%EV -10.80%E -1.86%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.73%EV -10.59%E -2.71%K -3.65%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-06 18:15
theScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -7.46%E -4.97%K -14.92%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -11.57%E -2.01%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -8.29%E -2.07%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 18:25
BetMGM🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.45%EV -8.69%E -5.87%K -18.11%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.82%EV -11.57%E -2.01%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -8.29%E -2.07%K -2.76%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-06 18:35
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.50%EV -6.23%E -4.10%K -11.97%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.73%EV -11.57%E -2.01%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -16.32%E -4.47%K -6.16%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-06 18:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 61.70%EV -9.93%E -6.80%K -21.58%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.67%EV -11.57%E -2.01%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 22.63%EV -8.75%E -2.20%K -2.94%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-06 18:40
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.37%EV -11.16%E -7.75%K -25.37%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.37%EV -11.57%E -2.01%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.26%EV -12.88%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-06 18:29
NetBet (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 61.79%EV -13.01%E -9.23%K -31.74%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.28%EV -12.33%E -2.16%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.93%EV -12.88%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000%14.8%2026-09-06 18:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.53%EV -8.69%E -5.87%K -18.11%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.26%EV -13.87%E -2.48%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -6.00%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-06 18:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 61.82%EV -12.40%E -8.73%K -29.51%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.68%EV -13.87%E -2.48%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.51%EV -10.59%E -2.71%K -3.65%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-06 18:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 61.94%EV -14.86%E -10.77%K -39.11%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.26%EV -13.87%E -2.48%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.79%EV -14.02%E -3.74%K -5.10%G +0.000%17.0%2026-09-06 18:15
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -7.46%E -4.97%K -14.92%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -15.41%E -2.80%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -8.29%E -2.07%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-06 18:30
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.29%EV -8.69%E -5.87%K -18.11%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.22%EV -15.41%E -2.80%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.48%EV -12.88%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-06 18:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.29%EV -8.69%E -5.87%K -18.11%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.22%EV -15.41%E -2.80%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.48%EV -12.88%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-06 18:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.29%EV -8.69%E -5.87%K -18.11%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.22%EV -15.41%E -2.80%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.48%EV -12.88%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-06 18:35
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.29%EV -8.69%E -5.87%K -18.11%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.22%EV -15.41%E -2.80%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.48%EV -12.88%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-06 18:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 61.15%EV -9.93%E -6.80%K -21.58%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.53%EV -16.95%E -3.14%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.32%EV -8.29%E -2.07%K -2.76%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-06 18:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎1.55I 64.52%NM 64.35%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.48%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.17%0.3%2026-09-06 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.55I 64.52%NM 63.79%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.73%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.47%1.1%2026-09-06 18:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.55I 64.52%NM 63.79%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.73%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.47%1.1%2026-09-06 18:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.55I 64.52%NM 63.79%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.73%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.47%1.1%2026-09-06 18:50
Smarkets◎1.54I 64.94%NM 63.94%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.68%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.38%1.6%2026-09-06 18:55
Kalshi◎1.56I 64.10%NM 62.79%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.69%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.52%2.1%2026-09-06 18:25