Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Almería v Cádiz CF

Início: 2026-09-06 19:00 UTC

Final: Almería 3–2 Cádiz CF

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

53 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Almería (Local)

Previsão 61.69%1.62odd justa
EV -4.38%
Vantagem -2.82%
Kelly -7.96%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.55

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
59.50%61.73%61.63%63.33%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.381.481.491.5572.46%67.39%67.11%64.52%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Cádiz CF (Visitante)

Previsão 15.38%6.50odd justa
EV +3.20%
Vantagem +0.477%
Kelly +0.560%
Crescimento +0.018%

pressupondo odds máximas de 6.71

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
14.33%15.34%15.41%16.55%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
5.405.976.006.7118.52%16.76%16.67%14.90%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 22.93%4.36odd justa
EV -3.71%
Vantagem -0.883%
Kelly -1.16%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.86%22.93%22.96%24.78%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.653.963.984.2027.40%25.26%25.13%23.81%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Almería (Local): 61.69%; Cádiz CF (Visitante): 15.38%; Empate: 22.93%. Para Cádiz CF (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 6.50. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 6.71, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +3.20%.

Odds das casas de apostas (53 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.65%EV -4.99%E -3.24%K -9.25%G +0.000%6.71I 14.90%NM 14.38%EV +3.20%E +0.477%K +0.560%G +0.018%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.97%EV -3.71%E -0.883%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-06 18:55
Fanatics🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.63%EV -7.46%E -4.97%K -14.92%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -0.030%E -0.005%K -0.006%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.91%EV -6.00%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-06 18:15
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.95%EV -8.69%E -5.87%K -18.11%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -0.030%E -0.005%K -0.006%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -6.00%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-06 18:44
Marathon Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.98%EV -8.69%E -5.87%K -18.11%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -1.57%E -0.245%K -0.290%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.46%EV -4.85%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-06 18:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.14%EV -4.38%E -2.82%K -7.96%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.16%EV -3.88%E -0.620%K -0.738%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.69%EV -8.29%E -2.07%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-06 18:45
Coolbet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.14%EV -4.38%E -2.82%K -7.96%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.16%EV -3.88%E -0.620%K -0.738%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.69%EV -8.29%E -2.07%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-06 18:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.27%EV -7.46%E -4.97%K -14.92%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -3.88%E -0.620%K -0.738%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -6.00%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 18:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.27%EV -7.46%E -4.97%K -14.92%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -3.88%E -0.620%K -0.738%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -6.00%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 18:15
Unibet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.27%EV -7.46%E -4.97%K -14.92%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -3.88%E -0.620%K -0.738%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -6.00%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 18:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.27%EV -7.46%E -4.97%K -14.92%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -3.88%E -0.620%K -0.738%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -6.00%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 18:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.27%EV -7.46%E -4.97%K -14.92%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -3.88%E -0.620%K -0.738%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -6.00%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 18:15
SportsBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.39%EV -9.31%E -6.33%K -19.81%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.68%EV -3.88%E -0.620%K -0.738%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.93%EV -8.29%E -2.07%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-06 18:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.69%EV -6.84%E -4.53%K -13.42%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.02%EV -4.64%E -0.749%K -0.893%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -8.29%E -2.07%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-06 18:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.69%EV -6.84%E -4.53%K -13.42%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.02%EV -4.64%E -0.749%K -0.893%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -8.29%E -2.07%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-06 18:45
BetAnything🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.69%EV -6.84%E -4.53%K -13.42%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.02%EV -4.64%E -0.749%K -0.893%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -8.29%E -2.07%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-06 18:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.33%EV -10.54%E -7.27%K -23.43%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.81%EV -4.64%E -0.749%K -0.893%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.86%EV -3.71%E -0.883%K -1.16%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-06 18:55
1xBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.11%EV -4.38%E -2.82%K -7.96%G +0.000%6.09I 16.42%NM 15.55%EV -6.34%E -1.04%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.06I 24.63%NM 23.33%EV -6.92%E -1.70%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 18:50
DraftKings🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.76%EV -5.61%E -3.67%K -10.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -7.72%E -1.29%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.50%EV -3.71%E -0.883%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-06 18:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.71%EV -5.61%E -3.67%K -10.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -7.72%E -1.29%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.82%EV -10.59%E -2.71%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-06 18:50
betfred_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.46%E -4.97%K -14.92%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -7.72%E -1.29%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.29%E -2.07%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-06 05:30
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.46%E -4.97%K -14.92%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -7.72%E -1.29%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.29%E -2.07%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-06 18:45
Bovada🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -8.08%E -5.42%K -16.48%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV -7.72%E -1.29%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -8.29%E -2.07%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-06 18:43
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.80%EV -7.46%E -4.97%K -14.92%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.20%EV -7.72%E -1.29%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -12.88%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-06 18:45
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.80%EV -7.46%E -4.97%K -14.92%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.20%EV -7.72%E -1.29%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -12.88%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-06 18:45
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.80%EV -7.46%E -4.97%K -14.92%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.20%EV -7.72%E -1.29%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -12.88%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-06 18:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.80%EV -7.46%E -4.97%K -14.92%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.20%EV -7.72%E -1.29%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -12.88%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-06 18:55
Grosvenor🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.84%EV -9.31%E -6.33%K -19.81%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -7.72%E -1.29%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.01%EV -9.44%E -2.39%K -3.20%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-06 18:10
TABtouch🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.84%EV -9.31%E -6.33%K -19.81%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -7.72%E -1.29%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.01%EV -9.44%E -2.39%K -3.20%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-06 18:15
Casumo🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.84%EV -9.31%E -6.33%K -19.81%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -7.72%E -1.29%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.01%EV -9.44%E -2.39%K -3.20%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-06 18:15
betPARX🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.84%EV -9.31%E -6.33%K -19.81%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -7.72%E -1.29%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.01%EV -9.44%E -2.39%K -3.20%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-06 18:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.14%EV -11.16%E -7.75%K -25.37%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.91%EV -7.72%E -1.29%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.94%EV -10.59%E -2.71%K -3.65%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-06 18:30
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.77%EV -11.16%E -7.75%K -25.37%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.82%EV -7.72%E -1.29%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.41%EV -12.88%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-06 18:30
NordicBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.36%EV -8.08%E -5.42%K -16.48%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.50%EV -9.26%E -1.57%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.15%EV -9.44%E -2.39%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-06 18:40
Betsson🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.36%EV -8.08%E -5.42%K -16.48%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.50%EV -9.26%E -1.57%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.15%EV -9.44%E -2.39%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-06 18:35
Codere (IT)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.36%EV -8.69%E -5.87%K -18.11%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.66%EV -10.80%E -1.86%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.99%EV -9.44%E -2.39%K -3.20%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-06 18:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.82%EV -11.16%E -7.75%K -25.37%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.35%EV -10.80%E -1.86%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%EV -10.59%E -2.71%K -3.65%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-06 18:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.82%EV -11.16%E -7.75%K -25.37%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.35%EV -10.80%E -1.86%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%EV -10.59%E -2.71%K -3.65%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-06 18:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 61.99%EV -11.78%E -8.24%K -27.39%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.28%EV -10.80%E -1.86%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.73%EV -10.59%E -2.71%K -3.65%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-06 18:15
theScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -7.46%E -4.97%K -14.92%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -11.57%E -2.01%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -8.29%E -2.07%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 18:25
BetMGM🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.45%EV -8.69%E -5.87%K -18.11%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.82%EV -11.57%E -2.01%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -8.29%E -2.07%K -2.76%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-06 18:35
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.50%EV -6.23%E -4.10%K -11.97%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.73%EV -11.57%E -2.01%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -16.32%E -4.47%K -6.16%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-06 18:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 61.70%EV -9.93%E -6.80%K -21.58%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.67%EV -11.57%E -2.01%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 22.63%EV -8.75%E -2.20%K -2.94%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-06 18:40
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.37%EV -11.16%E -7.75%K -25.37%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.37%EV -11.57%E -2.01%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.26%EV -12.88%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-06 18:29
NetBet (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 61.79%EV -13.01%E -9.23%K -31.74%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.28%EV -12.33%E -2.16%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.93%EV -12.88%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000%14.8%2026-09-06 18:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.53%EV -8.69%E -5.87%K -18.11%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.26%EV -13.87%E -2.48%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -6.00%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-06 18:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 61.82%EV -12.40%E -8.73%K -29.51%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.68%EV -13.87%E -2.48%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.51%EV -10.59%E -2.71%K -3.65%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-06 18:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 61.94%EV -14.86%E -10.77%K -39.11%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.26%EV -13.87%E -2.48%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.79%EV -14.02%E -3.74%K -5.10%G +0.000%17.0%2026-09-06 18:15
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -7.46%E -4.97%K -14.92%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -15.41%E -2.80%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -8.29%E -2.07%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-06 18:30
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.29%EV -8.69%E -5.87%K -18.11%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.22%EV -15.41%E -2.80%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.48%EV -12.88%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-06 18:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.29%EV -8.69%E -5.87%K -18.11%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.22%EV -15.41%E -2.80%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.48%EV -12.88%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-06 18:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.29%EV -8.69%E -5.87%K -18.11%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.22%EV -15.41%E -2.80%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.48%EV -12.88%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-06 18:35
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.29%EV -8.69%E -5.87%K -18.11%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.22%EV -15.41%E -2.80%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.48%EV -12.88%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-06 18:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 61.15%EV -9.93%E -6.80%K -21.58%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.53%EV -16.95%E -3.14%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.32%EV -8.29%E -2.07%K -2.76%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-06 18:35
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎1.55I 64.52%NM 64.35%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.48%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.17%0.3%2026-09-06 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.55I 64.52%NM 63.79%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.73%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.47%1.1%2026-09-06 18:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.55I 64.52%NM 63.79%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.73%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.47%1.1%2026-09-06 18:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.55I 64.52%NM 63.79%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.73%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.47%1.1%2026-09-06 18:50
Smarkets◎1.54I 64.94%NM 63.94%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.68%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.38%1.6%2026-09-06 18:55
Kalshi◎1.56I 64.10%NM 62.79%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.69%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.52%2.1%2026-09-06 18:25