Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Almería v Cádiz CF

Początek: 2026-09-06 19:00 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Almería 3–2 Cádiz CF

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

53 bukmacherów (19 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Almería (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 61.69%1.62kurs godziwy
EV -4.38%
Przewaga -2.82%
Kelly -7.96%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.55

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
59.50%61.73%61.63%63.33%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.381.481.491.5572.46%67.39%67.11%64.52%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Cádiz CF (Goście)

Prognoza 15.38%6.50kurs godziwy
EV +3.20%
Przewaga +0.477%
Kelly +0.560%
Wzrost +0.018%

przy maksymalnym kursie 6.71

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
14.33%15.34%15.41%16.55%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
5.405.976.006.7118.52%16.76%16.67%14.90%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 22.93%4.36kurs godziwy
EV -3.71%
Przewaga -0.883%
Kelly -1.16%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 4.20

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
21.86%22.93%22.96%24.78%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.653.963.984.2027.40%25.26%25.13%23.81%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Almería (Gospodarze): 61.69%; Cádiz CF (Goście): 15.38%; Remis: 22.93%. Dla wyniku Cádiz CF (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 6.50. 1 bukmacher oferował kurs zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 6.71, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +3.20%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (53 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼RemisMarżaAktualizacja
Pinnacle🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.65%EV -4.99%E -3.24%K -9.25%G +0.000%6.71I 14.90%NM 14.38%EV +3.20%E +0.477%K +0.560%G +0.018%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.97%EV -3.71%E -0.883%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-06 18:55
Fanatics🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.63%EV -7.46%E -4.97%K -14.92%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -0.030%E -0.005%K -0.006%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.91%EV -6.00%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-06 18:15
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.95%EV -8.69%E -5.87%K -18.11%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -0.030%E -0.005%K -0.006%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -6.00%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-06 18:44
Marathon Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.98%EV -8.69%E -5.87%K -18.11%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -1.57%E -0.245%K -0.290%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.46%EV -4.85%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-06 18:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.14%EV -4.38%E -2.82%K -7.96%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.16%EV -3.88%E -0.620%K -0.738%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.69%EV -8.29%E -2.07%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-06 18:45
Coolbet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.14%EV -4.38%E -2.82%K -7.96%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.16%EV -3.88%E -0.620%K -0.738%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.69%EV -8.29%E -2.07%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-06 18:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.27%EV -7.46%E -4.97%K -14.92%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -3.88%E -0.620%K -0.738%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -6.00%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 18:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.27%EV -7.46%E -4.97%K -14.92%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -3.88%E -0.620%K -0.738%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -6.00%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 18:15
Unibet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.27%EV -7.46%E -4.97%K -14.92%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -3.88%E -0.620%K -0.738%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -6.00%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 18:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.27%EV -7.46%E -4.97%K -14.92%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -3.88%E -0.620%K -0.738%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -6.00%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 18:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.27%EV -7.46%E -4.97%K -14.92%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -3.88%E -0.620%K -0.738%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -6.00%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 18:15
SportsBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.39%EV -9.31%E -6.33%K -19.81%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.68%EV -3.88%E -0.620%K -0.738%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.93%EV -8.29%E -2.07%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-06 18:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.69%EV -6.84%E -4.53%K -13.42%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.02%EV -4.64%E -0.749%K -0.893%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -8.29%E -2.07%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-06 18:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.69%EV -6.84%E -4.53%K -13.42%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.02%EV -4.64%E -0.749%K -0.893%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -8.29%E -2.07%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-06 18:45
BetAnything🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.69%EV -6.84%E -4.53%K -13.42%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.02%EV -4.64%E -0.749%K -0.893%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -8.29%E -2.07%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-06 18:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.33%EV -10.54%E -7.27%K -23.43%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.81%EV -4.64%E -0.749%K -0.893%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.86%EV -3.71%E -0.883%K -1.16%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-06 18:55
1xBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.11%EV -4.38%E -2.82%K -7.96%G +0.000%6.09I 16.42%NM 15.55%EV -6.34%E -1.04%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.06I 24.63%NM 23.33%EV -6.92%E -1.70%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 18:50
DraftKings🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.76%EV -5.61%E -3.67%K -10.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -7.72%E -1.29%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.50%EV -3.71%E -0.883%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-06 18:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.71%EV -5.61%E -3.67%K -10.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -7.72%E -1.29%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.82%EV -10.59%E -2.71%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-06 18:50
betfred_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.46%E -4.97%K -14.92%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -7.72%E -1.29%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.29%E -2.07%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-06 05:30
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.46%E -4.97%K -14.92%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -7.72%E -1.29%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.29%E -2.07%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-06 18:45
Bovada🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -8.08%E -5.42%K -16.48%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV -7.72%E -1.29%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -8.29%E -2.07%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-06 18:43
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.80%EV -7.46%E -4.97%K -14.92%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.20%EV -7.72%E -1.29%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -12.88%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-06 18:45
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.80%EV -7.46%E -4.97%K -14.92%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.20%EV -7.72%E -1.29%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -12.88%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-06 18:45
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.80%EV -7.46%E -4.97%K -14.92%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.20%EV -7.72%E -1.29%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -12.88%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-06 18:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.80%EV -7.46%E -4.97%K -14.92%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.20%EV -7.72%E -1.29%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -12.88%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-06 18:55
Grosvenor🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.84%EV -9.31%E -6.33%K -19.81%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -7.72%E -1.29%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.01%EV -9.44%E -2.39%K -3.20%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-06 18:10
TABtouch🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.84%EV -9.31%E -6.33%K -19.81%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -7.72%E -1.29%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.01%EV -9.44%E -2.39%K -3.20%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-06 18:15
Casumo🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.84%EV -9.31%E -6.33%K -19.81%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -7.72%E -1.29%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.01%EV -9.44%E -2.39%K -3.20%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-06 18:15
betPARX🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.84%EV -9.31%E -6.33%K -19.81%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -7.72%E -1.29%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.01%EV -9.44%E -2.39%K -3.20%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-06 18:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.14%EV -11.16%E -7.75%K -25.37%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.91%EV -7.72%E -1.29%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.94%EV -10.59%E -2.71%K -3.65%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-06 18:30
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.77%EV -11.16%E -7.75%K -25.37%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.82%EV -7.72%E -1.29%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.41%EV -12.88%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-06 18:30
NordicBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.36%EV -8.08%E -5.42%K -16.48%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.50%EV -9.26%E -1.57%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.15%EV -9.44%E -2.39%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-06 18:40
Betsson🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.36%EV -8.08%E -5.42%K -16.48%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.50%EV -9.26%E -1.57%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.15%EV -9.44%E -2.39%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-06 18:35
Codere (IT)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.36%EV -8.69%E -5.87%K -18.11%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.66%EV -10.80%E -1.86%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.99%EV -9.44%E -2.39%K -3.20%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-06 18:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.82%EV -11.16%E -7.75%K -25.37%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.35%EV -10.80%E -1.86%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%EV -10.59%E -2.71%K -3.65%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-06 18:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.82%EV -11.16%E -7.75%K -25.37%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.35%EV -10.80%E -1.86%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%EV -10.59%E -2.71%K -3.65%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-06 18:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 61.99%EV -11.78%E -8.24%K -27.39%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.28%EV -10.80%E -1.86%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.73%EV -10.59%E -2.71%K -3.65%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-06 18:15
theScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -7.46%E -4.97%K -14.92%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -11.57%E -2.01%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -8.29%E -2.07%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 18:25
BetMGM🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.45%EV -8.69%E -5.87%K -18.11%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.82%EV -11.57%E -2.01%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -8.29%E -2.07%K -2.76%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-06 18:35
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.50%EV -6.23%E -4.10%K -11.97%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.73%EV -11.57%E -2.01%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -16.32%E -4.47%K -6.16%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-06 18:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 61.70%EV -9.93%E -6.80%K -21.58%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.67%EV -11.57%E -2.01%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 22.63%EV -8.75%E -2.20%K -2.94%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-06 18:40
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.37%EV -11.16%E -7.75%K -25.37%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.37%EV -11.57%E -2.01%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.26%EV -12.88%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-06 18:29
NetBet (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 61.79%EV -13.01%E -9.23%K -31.74%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.28%EV -12.33%E -2.16%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.93%EV -12.88%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000%14.8%2026-09-06 18:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.53%EV -8.69%E -5.87%K -18.11%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.26%EV -13.87%E -2.48%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -6.00%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-06 18:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 61.82%EV -12.40%E -8.73%K -29.51%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.68%EV -13.87%E -2.48%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.51%EV -10.59%E -2.71%K -3.65%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-06 18:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 61.94%EV -14.86%E -10.77%K -39.11%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.26%EV -13.87%E -2.48%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.79%EV -14.02%E -3.74%K -5.10%G +0.000%17.0%2026-09-06 18:15
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -7.46%E -4.97%K -14.92%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -15.41%E -2.80%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -8.29%E -2.07%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-06 18:30
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.29%EV -8.69%E -5.87%K -18.11%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.22%EV -15.41%E -2.80%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.48%EV -12.88%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-06 18:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.29%EV -8.69%E -5.87%K -18.11%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.22%EV -15.41%E -2.80%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.48%EV -12.88%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-06 18:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.29%EV -8.69%E -5.87%K -18.11%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.22%EV -15.41%E -2.80%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.48%EV -12.88%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-06 18:35
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.29%EV -8.69%E -5.87%K -18.11%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.22%EV -15.41%E -2.80%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.48%EV -12.88%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-06 18:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 61.15%EV -9.93%E -6.80%K -21.58%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.53%EV -16.95%E -3.14%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.32%EV -8.29%E -2.07%K -2.76%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-06 18:35
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Matchbook◎1.55I 64.52%NM 64.35%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.48%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.17%0.3%2026-09-06 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.55I 64.52%NM 63.79%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.73%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.47%1.1%2026-09-06 18:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.55I 64.52%NM 63.79%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.73%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.47%1.1%2026-09-06 18:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.55I 64.52%NM 63.79%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.73%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.47%1.1%2026-09-06 18:50
Smarkets◎1.54I 64.94%NM 63.94%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.68%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.38%1.6%2026-09-06 18:55
Kalshi◎1.56I 64.10%NM 62.79%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.69%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.52%2.1%2026-09-06 18:25