Language:English
AD Ceuta FC v Las Palmas
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
AD Ceuta FC (Local)
Prediction 32.63%3.06fair odd
EV +1.16%
Edge +0.375%
Kelly +0.554%
Growth +0.006%
assuming max odds 3.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.32%32.63%32.64%33.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.672.862.853.1037.45%34.94%35.09%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Las Palmas (Visit)
Prediction 39.18%2.55fair odd
EV -3.62%
Edge -1.47%
Kelly -2.48%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.46
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.39%39.19%39.24%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.332.322.4647.62%42.95%43.10%40.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.19%3.55fair odd
EV -1.35%
Edge -0.385%
Kelly -0.539%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.08%28.18%28.12%29.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.223.203.5033.33%31.07%31.25%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: AD Ceuta FC (Local): 32.63%; Las Palmas (Visit): 39.18%; Draw: 28.19%. For AD Ceuta FC (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.06. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.16%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV +1.16%E +0.375%K +0.554%G +0.006% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.79%EV -9.10%E -3.92%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.68%EV -6.99%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-22 06:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV +1.16%E +0.375%K +0.554%G +0.006% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.79%EV -9.10%E -3.92%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.68%EV -6.99%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-22 06:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV +1.16%E +0.375%K +0.554%G +0.006% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.79%EV -9.10%E -3.92%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.68%EV -6.99%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-22 06:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV +1.16%E +0.375%K +0.554%G +0.006% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.79%EV -9.10%E -3.92%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.68%EV -6.99%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-22 06:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV +1.16%E +0.375%K +0.554%G +0.006% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.79%EV -9.10%E -3.92%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.68%EV -6.99%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-22 06:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -2.10%E -0.700%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.80%EV -12.63%E -5.66%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -11.21%E -3.56%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-22 06:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -2.10%E -0.700%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.80%EV -12.63%E -5.66%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -11.21%E -3.56%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-22 06:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -2.10%E -0.700%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.80%EV -12.63%E -5.66%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -11.21%E -3.56%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-22 06:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -2.10%E -0.700%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.80%EV -12.63%E -5.66%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -11.21%E -3.56%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-22 06:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.44%EV -2.75%E -0.924%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.30%EV -3.62%E -1.47%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.27%EV -3.60%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-22 14:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -3.73%E -1.27%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -9.88%E -4.30%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -9.80%E -3.06%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-22 15:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.37%EV -3.73%E -1.27%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.73%EV -13.80%E -6.27%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -12.62%E -4.07%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-22 06:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.63%EV -4.06%E -1.38%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.32%EV -4.40%E -1.80%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.05%EV -3.60%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-22 12:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -5.36%E -1.85%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.47%EV -5.97%E -2.49%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -4.17%E -1.23%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-22 09:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -5.36%E -1.85%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.65%EV -4.01%E -1.64%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.70%EV -6.99%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-22 06:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -5.36%E -1.85%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.77%EV -5.18%E -2.14%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -8.39%E -2.58%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-22 15:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -5.36%E -1.85%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.77%EV -5.18%E -2.14%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -8.39%E -2.58%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-22 15:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -5.36%E -1.85%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.77%EV -5.18%E -2.14%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -8.39%E -2.58%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-22 15:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.62%EV -5.36%E -1.85%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 40.73%EV -14.59%E -6.69%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.65%EV -12.62%E -4.07%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-22 06:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.62%EV -5.36%E -1.85%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 40.73%EV -14.59%E -6.69%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.65%EV -12.62%E -4.07%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-22 06:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.54%EV -6.02%E -2.09%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -5.97%E -2.49%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -6.99%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-22 08:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -6.02%E -2.09%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -5.97%E -2.49%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -12.62%E -4.07%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-22 06:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.65%EV -6.67%E -2.33%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.23%EV -6.75%E -2.84%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.12%EV -6.42%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-22 12:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.31%EV -7.00%E -2.45%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.56%EV -5.97%E -2.49%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -1.35%E -0.385%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-22 11:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -7.00%E -2.45%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.25%EV -5.97%E -2.49%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -4.17%E -1.23%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-22 06:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -7.00%E -2.45%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV -4.01%E -1.64%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -9.80%E -3.06%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-22 11:19 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.48%EV -7.00%E -2.45%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.73%EV -8.71%E -3.74%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 27.80%EV -6.14%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-22 06:18 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.42%EV -7.00%E -2.45%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.15%EV -7.53%E -3.19%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -8.39%E -2.58%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-22 12:14 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -7.00%E -2.45%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.60%EV -6.75%E -2.84%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -11.21%E -3.56%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-22 06:18 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -7.00%E -2.45%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.60%EV -6.75%E -2.84%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -11.21%E -3.56%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-22 06:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.95%EV -7.00%E -2.45%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.59%EV -9.88%E -4.30%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -9.80%E -3.06%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-22 06:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -8.63%E -3.08%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -7.93%E -3.37%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -4.17%E -1.23%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-22 07:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -8.63%E -3.08%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -9.88%E -4.30%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -4.17%E -1.23%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-22 07:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -8.63%E -3.08%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.18%EV -5.97%E -2.49%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -11.21%E -3.56%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-22 11:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.61%EV -8.63%E -3.08%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.86%EV -7.93%E -3.37%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -9.80%E -3.06%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-22 06:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -8.63%E -3.08%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.20%EV -6.75%E -2.84%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -12.62%E -4.07%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-22 06:34 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -8.63%E -3.08%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.68%EV -7.93%E -3.37%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -11.21%E -3.56%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-22 06:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.19%EV -8.63%E -3.08%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.19%EV -9.88%E -4.30%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.62%EV -11.21%E -3.56%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-22 12:14 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.61%EV -8.63%E -3.08%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.82%EV -17.72%E -8.44%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -15.44%E -5.15%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-08-22 06:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -10.26%E -3.73%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -6.75%E -2.84%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -6.99%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-22 11:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -10.26%E -3.73%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.88%E -4.30%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -6.99%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-22 14:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -10.26%E -3.73%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.88%E -4.30%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -6.99%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-22 14:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.88%EV -10.26%E -3.73%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -9.88%E -4.30%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -8.39%E -2.58%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-22 06:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.87%EV -10.26%E -3.73%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.98%EV -6.75%E -2.84%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.16%EV -12.62%E -4.07%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-22 14:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -10.26%E -3.73%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -9.88%E -4.30%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.62%E -4.07%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-22 14:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -10.26%E -3.73%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -9.88%E -4.30%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.62%E -4.07%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-22 06:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -10.26%E -3.73%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -9.88%E -4.30%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.62%E -4.07%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-22 06:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -10.26%E -3.73%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -9.88%E -4.30%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.62%E -4.07%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-22 06:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -10.26%E -3.73%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -9.88%E -4.30%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.62%E -4.07%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-22 06:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -11.89%E -4.40%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.90%EV -9.88%E -4.30%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -9.80%E -3.06%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-22 06:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.95%EV -11.89%E -4.40%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.39%EV -6.75%E -2.84%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -15.44%E -5.15%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-22 11:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.85%EV -11.89%E -4.40%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.43%EV -11.84%E -5.26%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -9.80%E -3.06%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-22 09:15 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 32.64%EV -12.87%E -4.82%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 39.25%EV -13.02%E -5.86%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.11%EV -12.62%E -4.07%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-08-22 11:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.66% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.66% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68% | 1.1% | 2026-08-22 09:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.94% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.00% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.06% | 1.2% | 2026-08-22 15:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.94% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.00% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.06% | 1.2% | 2026-08-22 15:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.94% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.00% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.06% | 1.2% | 2026-08-22 15:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.79% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.84% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.37% | 1.6% | 2026-08-22 15:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.54% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.74% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.71% | 2.4% | 2026-08-22 15:20 |