Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

AD Ceuta FC v Las Palmas

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-22 17:00 UTC

Score final : AD Ceuta FC 0–2 Las Palmas

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

AD Ceuta FC (Local)

Prévision 32.63%3.06cote équitable
EV +1.16%
Avantage +0.375%
Kelly +0.554%
Croissance +0.006%

avec la cote maximale 3.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.32%32.63%32.64%33.46%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.672.862.853.1037.45%34.94%35.09%32.26%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Las Palmas (Visiteur)

Prévision 39.18%2.55cote équitable
EV -3.62%
Avantage -1.47%
Kelly -2.48%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.46

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.39%39.19%39.24%40.82%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.102.332.322.4647.62%42.95%43.10%40.65%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 28.19%3.55cote équitable
EV -1.35%
Avantage -0.385%
Kelly -0.539%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.08%28.18%28.12%29.69%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.003.223.203.5033.33%31.07%31.25%28.57%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : AD Ceuta FC (Local) : 32.63% ; Las Palmas (Visiteur) : 39.18% ; Match nul : 28.19%. Pour AD Ceuta FC (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.06. 5 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.10, soit une espérance positive de +1.16%.

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (NL)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV +1.16%E +0.375%K +0.554%G +0.006%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.79%EV -9.10%E -3.92%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.68%EV -6.99%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-22 06:50
Unibet (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV +1.16%E +0.375%K +0.554%G +0.006%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.79%EV -9.10%E -3.92%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.68%EV -6.99%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-22 06:50
Unibet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV +1.16%E +0.375%K +0.554%G +0.006%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.79%EV -9.10%E -3.92%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.68%EV -6.99%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-22 06:50
Svenska Spel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV +1.16%E +0.375%K +0.554%G +0.006%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.79%EV -9.10%E -3.92%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.68%EV -6.99%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-22 06:50
ATG (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV +1.16%E +0.375%K +0.554%G +0.006%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.79%EV -9.10%E -3.92%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.68%EV -6.99%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-22 06:50
Grosvenor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -2.10%E -0.700%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.80%EV -12.63%E -5.66%K -10.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -11.21%E -3.56%K -5.22%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-22 06:50
Casumo🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -2.10%E -0.700%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.80%EV -12.63%E -5.66%K -10.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -11.21%E -3.56%K -5.22%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-22 06:50
TABtouch🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -2.10%E -0.700%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.80%EV -12.63%E -5.66%K -10.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -11.21%E -3.56%K -5.22%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-22 06:50
betPARX🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -2.10%E -0.700%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.80%EV -12.63%E -5.66%K -10.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -11.21%E -3.56%K -5.22%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-22 06:50
Pinnacle🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 32.44%EV -2.75%E -0.924%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.30%EV -3.62%E -1.47%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.27%EV -3.60%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-22 14:10
Tipico (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -3.73%E -1.27%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -9.88%E -4.30%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -9.80%E -3.06%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-22 15:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.37%EV -3.73%E -1.27%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.73%EV -13.80%E -6.27%K -11.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -12.62%E -4.07%K -6.01%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-22 06:50
1xBet🎯2.94I 34.01%NM 32.63%EV -4.06%E -1.38%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.32%EV -4.40%E -1.80%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.05%EV -3.60%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-22 12:15
Fanatics🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -5.36%E -1.85%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.47%EV -5.97%E -2.49%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -4.17%E -1.23%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-22 09:20
DraftKings🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -5.36%E -1.85%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.65%EV -4.01%E -1.64%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.70%EV -6.99%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-22 06:15
LowVig.ag🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -5.36%E -1.85%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.77%EV -5.18%E -2.14%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -8.39%E -2.58%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-22 15:00
BetOnline.ag🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -5.36%E -1.85%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.77%EV -5.18%E -2.14%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -8.39%E -2.58%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-22 15:00
BetAnything🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -5.36%E -1.85%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.77%EV -5.18%E -2.14%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -8.39%E -2.58%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-22 15:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.62%EV -5.36%E -1.85%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 40.73%EV -14.59%E -6.69%K -12.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.65%EV -12.62%E -4.07%K -6.01%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-22 06:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.62%EV -5.36%E -1.85%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 40.73%EV -14.59%E -6.69%K -12.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.65%EV -12.62%E -4.07%K -6.01%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-22 06:50
Betway🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.54%EV -6.02%E -2.09%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -5.97%E -2.49%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -6.99%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-22 08:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -6.02%E -2.09%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -5.97%E -2.49%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -12.62%E -4.07%K -6.01%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-22 06:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 32.65%EV -6.67%E -2.33%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.23%EV -6.75%E -2.84%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.12%EV -6.42%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-22 12:09
Coolbet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.31%EV -7.00%E -2.45%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.56%EV -5.97%E -2.49%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -1.35%E -0.385%K -0.539%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 11:54
Betr (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -7.00%E -2.45%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.25%EV -5.97%E -2.49%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -4.17%E -1.23%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-22 06:29
FanDuel🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -7.00%E -2.45%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV -4.01%E -1.64%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -9.80%E -3.06%K -4.46%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 11:19
Betclic (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.48%EV -7.00%E -2.45%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.73%EV -8.71%E -3.74%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 27.80%EV -6.14%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-22 06:18
Bovada🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.42%EV -7.00%E -2.45%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.15%EV -7.53%E -3.19%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -8.39%E -2.58%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-22 12:14
Betsson🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -7.00%E -2.45%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.60%EV -6.75%E -2.84%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -11.21%E -3.56%K -5.22%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 06:18
NordicBet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -7.00%E -2.45%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.60%EV -6.75%E -2.84%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -11.21%E -3.56%K -5.22%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 06:20
Unibet (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.95%EV -7.00%E -2.45%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.59%EV -9.88%E -4.30%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -9.80%E -3.06%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-22 06:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -8.63%E -3.08%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -7.93%E -3.37%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -4.17%E -1.23%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-22 07:04
theScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -8.63%E -3.08%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -9.88%E -4.30%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -4.17%E -1.23%K -1.74%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-22 07:05
SportsBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -8.63%E -3.08%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.18%EV -5.97%E -2.49%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -11.21%E -3.56%K -5.22%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-22 11:19
BetMGM🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.61%EV -8.63%E -3.08%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.86%EV -7.93%E -3.37%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -9.80%E -3.06%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-22 06:25
William Hill🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -8.63%E -3.08%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.20%EV -6.75%E -2.84%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -12.62%E -4.07%K -6.01%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-22 06:34
Codere (IT)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -8.63%E -3.08%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.68%EV -7.93%E -3.37%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -11.21%E -3.56%K -5.22%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-22 06:25
PlayUp🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.19%EV -8.63%E -3.08%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.19%EV -9.88%E -4.30%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.62%EV -11.21%E -3.56%K -5.22%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-22 12:14
PMU (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 30.61%EV -8.63%E -3.08%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.82%EV -17.72%E -8.44%K -16.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -15.44%E -5.15%K -7.72%G +0.000%16.7%2026-08-22 06:50
betfred_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -10.26%E -3.73%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -6.75%E -2.84%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -6.99%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-22 11:59
Bet Victor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -10.26%E -3.73%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.88%E -4.30%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -6.99%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-22 14:55
betano_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -10.26%E -3.73%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.88%E -4.30%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -6.99%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-22 14:59
Winamax (DE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.88%EV -10.26%E -3.73%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -9.88%E -4.30%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -8.39%E -2.58%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-22 06:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.87%EV -10.26%E -3.73%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.98%EV -6.75%E -2.84%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.16%EV -12.62%E -4.07%K -6.01%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-22 14:00
Paddy Power🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -10.26%E -3.73%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -9.88%E -4.30%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.62%E -4.07%K -6.01%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-22 14:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -10.26%E -3.73%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -9.88%E -4.30%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.62%E -4.07%K -6.01%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-22 06:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -10.26%E -3.73%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -9.88%E -4.30%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.62%E -4.07%K -6.01%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-22 06:25
Neds🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -10.26%E -3.73%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -9.88%E -4.30%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.62%E -4.07%K -6.01%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-22 06:25
Coral🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -10.26%E -3.73%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -9.88%E -4.30%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.62%E -4.07%K -6.01%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-22 06:25
Winamax (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -11.89%E -4.40%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.90%EV -9.88%E -4.30%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -9.80%E -3.06%K -4.46%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-22 06:20
Sky Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.95%EV -11.89%E -4.40%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.39%EV -6.75%E -2.84%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -15.44%E -5.15%K -7.72%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-22 11:19
BoyleSports🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.85%EV -11.89%E -4.40%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.43%EV -11.84%E -5.26%K -9.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -9.80%E -3.06%K -4.46%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-22 09:15
NetBet (FR)🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 32.64%EV -12.87%E -4.82%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 39.25%EV -13.02%E -5.86%K -10.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.11%EV -12.62%E -4.07%K -6.01%G +0.000%14.8%2026-08-22 11:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi◎3.03I 33.00%NM 32.66%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.66%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%1.1%2026-08-22 09:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.00I 33.33%NM 32.94%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.00%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.06%1.2%2026-08-22 15:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.00I 33.33%NM 32.94%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.00%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.06%1.2%2026-08-22 15:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.00I 33.33%NM 32.94%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.00%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.06%1.2%2026-08-22 15:10
Smarkets◎3.00I 33.33%NM 32.79%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.84%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.37%1.6%2026-08-22 15:05
Matchbook◎3.00I 33.33%NM 32.54%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.74%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.71%2.4%2026-08-22 15:20