Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

AD Ceuta FC v Las Palmas

Początek: 2026-08-22 17:00 UTC

Wynik końcowy: AD Ceuta FC 0–2 Las Palmas

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

53 bukmacherów (19 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

AD Ceuta FC (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 32.63%3.06kurs godziwy
EV +1.16%
Przewaga +0.375%
Kelly +0.554%
Wzrost +0.006%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.10

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
30.32%32.63%32.64%33.46%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.672.862.853.1037.45%34.94%35.09%32.26%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Las Palmas (Goście)

Prognoza 39.18%2.55kurs godziwy
EV -3.62%
Przewaga -1.47%
Kelly -2.48%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.46

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
37.39%39.19%39.24%40.82%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.102.332.322.4647.62%42.95%43.10%40.65%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 28.19%3.55kurs godziwy
EV -1.35%
Przewaga -0.385%
Kelly -0.539%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.50

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
27.08%28.18%28.12%29.69%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.003.223.203.5033.33%31.07%31.25%28.57%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: AD Ceuta FC (Gospodarze): 32.63%; Las Palmas (Goście): 39.18%; Remis: 28.19%. Dla wyniku AD Ceuta FC (Gospodarze) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 3.06. 5 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 3.10, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +1.16%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (53 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeRemisMarżaAktualizacja
Unibet (NL)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV +1.16%E +0.375%K +0.554%G +0.006%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.79%EV -9.10%E -3.92%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.68%EV -6.99%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-22 06:50
Unibet (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV +1.16%E +0.375%K +0.554%G +0.006%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.79%EV -9.10%E -3.92%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.68%EV -6.99%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-22 06:50
Unibet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV +1.16%E +0.375%K +0.554%G +0.006%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.79%EV -9.10%E -3.92%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.68%EV -6.99%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-22 06:50
Svenska Spel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV +1.16%E +0.375%K +0.554%G +0.006%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.79%EV -9.10%E -3.92%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.68%EV -6.99%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-22 06:50
ATG (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV +1.16%E +0.375%K +0.554%G +0.006%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.79%EV -9.10%E -3.92%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.68%EV -6.99%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-22 06:50
Grosvenor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -2.10%E -0.700%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.80%EV -12.63%E -5.66%K -10.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -11.21%E -3.56%K -5.22%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-22 06:50
Casumo🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -2.10%E -0.700%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.80%EV -12.63%E -5.66%K -10.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -11.21%E -3.56%K -5.22%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-22 06:50
TABtouch🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -2.10%E -0.700%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.80%EV -12.63%E -5.66%K -10.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -11.21%E -3.56%K -5.22%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-22 06:50
betPARX🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -2.10%E -0.700%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.80%EV -12.63%E -5.66%K -10.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -11.21%E -3.56%K -5.22%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-22 06:50
Pinnacle🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 32.44%EV -2.75%E -0.924%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.30%EV -3.62%E -1.47%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.27%EV -3.60%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-22 14:10
Tipico (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -3.73%E -1.27%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -9.88%E -4.30%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -9.80%E -3.06%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-22 15:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.37%EV -3.73%E -1.27%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.73%EV -13.80%E -6.27%K -11.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -12.62%E -4.07%K -6.01%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-22 06:50
1xBet🎯2.94I 34.01%NM 32.63%EV -4.06%E -1.38%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.32%EV -4.40%E -1.80%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.05%EV -3.60%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-22 12:15
Fanatics🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -5.36%E -1.85%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.47%EV -5.97%E -2.49%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -4.17%E -1.23%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-22 09:20
DraftKings🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -5.36%E -1.85%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.65%EV -4.01%E -1.64%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.70%EV -6.99%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-22 06:15
LowVig.ag🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -5.36%E -1.85%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.77%EV -5.18%E -2.14%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -8.39%E -2.58%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-22 15:00
BetOnline.ag🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -5.36%E -1.85%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.77%EV -5.18%E -2.14%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -8.39%E -2.58%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-22 15:00
BetAnything🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -5.36%E -1.85%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.77%EV -5.18%E -2.14%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -8.39%E -2.58%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-22 15:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.62%EV -5.36%E -1.85%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 40.73%EV -14.59%E -6.69%K -12.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.65%EV -12.62%E -4.07%K -6.01%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-22 06:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.62%EV -5.36%E -1.85%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 40.73%EV -14.59%E -6.69%K -12.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.65%EV -12.62%E -4.07%K -6.01%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-22 06:50
Betway🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.54%EV -6.02%E -2.09%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -5.97%E -2.49%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -6.99%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-22 08:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -6.02%E -2.09%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -5.97%E -2.49%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -12.62%E -4.07%K -6.01%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-22 06:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 32.65%EV -6.67%E -2.33%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.23%EV -6.75%E -2.84%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.12%EV -6.42%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-22 12:09
Coolbet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.31%EV -7.00%E -2.45%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.56%EV -5.97%E -2.49%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -1.35%E -0.385%K -0.539%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 11:54
Betr (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -7.00%E -2.45%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.25%EV -5.97%E -2.49%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -4.17%E -1.23%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-22 06:29
FanDuel🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -7.00%E -2.45%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV -4.01%E -1.64%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -9.80%E -3.06%K -4.46%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 11:19
Betclic (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.48%EV -7.00%E -2.45%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.73%EV -8.71%E -3.74%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 27.80%EV -6.14%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-22 06:18
Bovada🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.42%EV -7.00%E -2.45%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.15%EV -7.53%E -3.19%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -8.39%E -2.58%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-22 12:14
Betsson🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -7.00%E -2.45%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.60%EV -6.75%E -2.84%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -11.21%E -3.56%K -5.22%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 06:18
NordicBet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -7.00%E -2.45%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.60%EV -6.75%E -2.84%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -11.21%E -3.56%K -5.22%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 06:20
Unibet (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.95%EV -7.00%E -2.45%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.59%EV -9.88%E -4.30%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -9.80%E -3.06%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-22 06:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -8.63%E -3.08%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -7.93%E -3.37%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -4.17%E -1.23%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-22 07:04
theScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -8.63%E -3.08%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -9.88%E -4.30%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -4.17%E -1.23%K -1.74%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-22 07:05
SportsBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -8.63%E -3.08%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.18%EV -5.97%E -2.49%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -11.21%E -3.56%K -5.22%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-22 11:19
BetMGM🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.61%EV -8.63%E -3.08%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.86%EV -7.93%E -3.37%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -9.80%E -3.06%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-22 06:25
William Hill🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -8.63%E -3.08%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.20%EV -6.75%E -2.84%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -12.62%E -4.07%K -6.01%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-22 06:34
Codere (IT)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -8.63%E -3.08%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.68%EV -7.93%E -3.37%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -11.21%E -3.56%K -5.22%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-22 06:25
PlayUp🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.19%EV -8.63%E -3.08%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.19%EV -9.88%E -4.30%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.62%EV -11.21%E -3.56%K -5.22%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-22 12:14
PMU (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 30.61%EV -8.63%E -3.08%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.82%EV -17.72%E -8.44%K -16.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -15.44%E -5.15%K -7.72%G +0.000%16.7%2026-08-22 06:50
betfred_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -10.26%E -3.73%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -6.75%E -2.84%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -6.99%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-22 11:59
Bet Victor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -10.26%E -3.73%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.88%E -4.30%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -6.99%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-22 14:55
betano_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -10.26%E -3.73%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.88%E -4.30%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -6.99%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-22 14:59
Winamax (DE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.88%EV -10.26%E -3.73%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -9.88%E -4.30%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -8.39%E -2.58%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-22 06:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.87%EV -10.26%E -3.73%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.98%EV -6.75%E -2.84%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.16%EV -12.62%E -4.07%K -6.01%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-22 14:00
Paddy Power🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -10.26%E -3.73%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -9.88%E -4.30%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.62%E -4.07%K -6.01%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-22 14:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -10.26%E -3.73%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -9.88%E -4.30%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.62%E -4.07%K -6.01%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-22 06:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -10.26%E -3.73%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -9.88%E -4.30%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.62%E -4.07%K -6.01%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-22 06:25
Neds🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -10.26%E -3.73%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -9.88%E -4.30%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.62%E -4.07%K -6.01%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-22 06:25
Coral🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -10.26%E -3.73%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -9.88%E -4.30%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.62%E -4.07%K -6.01%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-22 06:25
Winamax (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -11.89%E -4.40%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.90%EV -9.88%E -4.30%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -9.80%E -3.06%K -4.46%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-22 06:20
Sky Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.95%EV -11.89%E -4.40%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.39%EV -6.75%E -2.84%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -15.44%E -5.15%K -7.72%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-22 11:19
BoyleSports🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.85%EV -11.89%E -4.40%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.43%EV -11.84%E -5.26%K -9.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -9.80%E -3.06%K -4.46%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-22 09:15
NetBet (FR)🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 32.64%EV -12.87%E -4.82%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 39.25%EV -13.02%E -5.86%K -10.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.11%EV -12.62%E -4.07%K -6.01%G +0.000%14.8%2026-08-22 11:55
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Kalshi◎3.03I 33.00%NM 32.66%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.66%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%1.1%2026-08-22 09:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.00I 33.33%NM 32.94%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.00%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.06%1.2%2026-08-22 15:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.00I 33.33%NM 32.94%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.00%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.06%1.2%2026-08-22 15:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.00I 33.33%NM 32.94%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.00%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.06%1.2%2026-08-22 15:10
Smarkets◎3.00I 33.33%NM 32.79%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.84%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.37%1.6%2026-08-22 15:05
Matchbook◎3.00I 33.33%NM 32.54%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.74%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.71%2.4%2026-08-22 15:20