赔率学院

AD Ceuta FC v CD Castellón

开赛时间: 2026-05-09 12:02 UTC

最终结果: AD Ceuta FC 1–1 CD Castellón

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

53 家博彩公司 (19 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:IQM

AD Ceuta FC (主队)

预测 16.78%5.96公平赔率
EV +5.35%
优势 +0.852%
Kelly +1.01%
增长率 +0.054%

假设最高赔率为 6.28

博彩公司预测分布
15.37%16.75%16.82%18.30%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
4.505.325.256.2822.22%18.79%19.05%15.92%MIN均值中位数MAX

CD Castellón (客队)

预测 63.61%1.57公平赔率
EV -0.761%
优势 -0.488%
Kelly -1.36%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.56

博彩公司预测分布
58.82%63.61%63.58%65.21%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
1.361.461.451.5673.53%68.35%68.97%64.10%MIN均值中位数MAX

平局

预测 19.61%5.10公平赔率
EV -0.187%
优势 -0.037%
Kelly -0.046%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 5.09

博彩公司预测分布
18.63%19.64%19.60%22.88%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
3.604.534.505.0927.78%22.09%22.22%19.65%MIN均值中位数MAX

博彩公司赔率 (53 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Pinnacle6.28I 15.92%NM 15.37%EV +5.35%E +0.852%K +1.01%G +0.054%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.21%EV -5.85%E -3.95%K -12.19%G +0.000%4.97I 20.12%NM 19.42%EV -2.54%E -0.511%K -0.640%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-09 11:59
LowVig.ag6.00I 16.67%NM 15.52%EV +0.654%E +0.109%K +0.131%G +0.001%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.67%EV -8.39%E -5.83%K -19.08%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.81%EV -7.83%E -1.67%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-09 11:59
BetOnline.ag6.00I 16.67%NM 15.52%EV +0.654%E +0.109%K +0.131%G +0.001%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.67%EV -8.39%E -5.83%K -19.08%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.81%EV -7.83%E -1.67%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-09 11:59
Coolbet5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -3.54%E -0.616%K -0.745%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.43%EV -4.58%E -3.05%K -9.16%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.85%E -1.44%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 11:58
DraftKings5.75I 17.39%NM 16.44%EV -3.54%E -0.616%K -0.745%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.87%EV -5.85%E -3.95%K -12.19%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV -5.87%E -1.22%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 11:59
Betr (AU)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -3.54%E -0.616%K -0.745%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.33%EV -5.85%E -3.95%K -12.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -9.80%E -2.13%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 11:59
Bovada5.75I 17.39%NM 16.05%EV -3.54%E -0.616%K -0.745%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -8.39%E -5.83%K -19.08%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.85%EV -8.82%E -1.90%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-09 11:59
BetAnything5.75I 17.39%NM 16.02%EV -3.54%E -0.616%K -0.745%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.96%EV -8.39%E -5.83%K -19.08%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -9.80%E -2.13%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-09 11:59
FanDuel5.70I 17.54%NM 16.28%EV -4.38%E -0.768%K -0.932%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.98%EV -7.76%E -5.35%K -17.24%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.74%EV -7.83%E -1.67%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 11:59
Marathon Bet5.65I 17.70%NM 16.50%EV -5.22%E -0.924%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.28%EV -7.76%E -5.35%K -17.24%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.22%EV -4.89%E -1.01%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 11:59
Fanatics5.50I 18.18%NM 17.19%EV -7.73%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.89%EV -5.85%E -3.95%K -12.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.91%EV -1.95%E -0.390%K -0.488%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-09 11:59
PointsBet (AU)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -7.73%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.42%EV -6.49%E -4.41%K -13.80%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -6.85%E -1.44%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 11:59
NordicBet5.50I 18.18%NM 16.87%EV -7.73%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.00%EV -7.76%E -5.35%K -17.24%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.13%EV -4.89%E -1.01%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 11:59
Betsson5.50I 18.18%NM 16.87%EV -7.73%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.00%EV -7.76%E -5.35%K -17.24%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.13%EV -4.89%E -1.01%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 11:59
Betway5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -7.73%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.58%EV -5.85%E -3.95%K -12.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -11.76%E -2.61%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 11:59
theScore Bet5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -7.73%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.58%EV -5.85%E -3.95%K -12.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -11.76%E -2.61%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 11:59
Tipico (DE)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -7.73%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.34%EV -7.76%E -5.35%K -17.24%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.96%EV -9.80%E -2.13%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-09 11:59
Mr Green (SE)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -7.73%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.50%EV -8.39%E -5.83%K -19.08%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -9.80%E -2.13%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-09 11:59
betfred_uk5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -7.73%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.22%EV -8.39%E -5.83%K -19.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -11.76%E -2.61%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-09 11:58
SportsBet5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -7.73%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.22%EV -8.39%E -5.83%K -19.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -11.76%E -2.61%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-09 11:59
William Hill5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -7.73%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.22%EV -8.39%E -5.83%K -19.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -11.76%E -2.61%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-09 11:58
Bet Victor5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -7.73%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.22%EV -8.39%E -5.83%K -19.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -11.76%E -2.61%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-09 11:59
PlayUp5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -7.73%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.62%EV -7.76%E -5.35%K -17.24%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.87%EV -14.70%E -3.38%K -4.39%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-09 11:59
Codere (IT)5.40I 18.52%NM 16.88%EV -9.41%E -1.74%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 63.73%EV -9.03%E -6.32%K -21.00%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.39%EV -7.83%E -1.67%K -2.12%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-09 12:00
1xBet5.33I 18.76%NM 17.86%EV -10.59%E -1.99%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.45%EV -4.58%E -3.05%K -9.16%G +0.000%5.09I 19.65%NM 18.70%EV -0.187%E -0.037%K -0.046%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 11:59
BetMGM5.25I 19.05%NM 17.36%EV -11.93%E -2.27%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.84%EV -7.76%E -5.35%K -17.24%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.81%EV -9.80%E -2.13%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-09 11:59
Betclic (FR)5.25I 19.05%NM 16.97%EV -11.93%E -2.27%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.65%EV -10.94%E -7.81%K -27.35%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.37%EV -9.80%E -2.13%K -2.72%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-09 11:58
Unibet5.20I 19.23%NM 18.13%EV -12.77%E -2.46%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.44%EV -0.761%E -0.488%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -13.72%E -3.12%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-09 11:59
Unibet (SE)5.20I 19.23%NM 18.13%EV -12.77%E -2.46%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.44%EV -0.761%E -0.488%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -13.72%E -3.12%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-09 11:59
Unibet (NL)5.20I 19.23%NM 18.13%EV -12.77%E -2.46%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.44%EV -0.761%E -0.488%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -13.72%E -3.12%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-09 11:59
Svenska Spel5.20I 19.23%NM 18.13%EV -12.77%E -2.46%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.44%EV -0.761%E -0.488%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -13.72%E -3.12%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-09 11:59
ATG (SE)5.20I 19.23%NM 18.13%EV -12.77%E -2.46%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.44%EV -0.761%E -0.488%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -13.72%E -3.12%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-09 11:59
Winamax (DE)5.20I 19.23%NM 17.55%EV -12.77%E -2.46%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 63.82%EV -9.03%E -6.32%K -21.00%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.63%EV -3.91%E -0.799%K -1.00%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-09 11:59
NetBet (FR)5.20I 19.23%NM 16.80%EV -12.77%E -2.46%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 64.22%EV -13.48%E -9.91%K -37.46%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.99%EV -9.80%E -2.13%K -2.72%G +0.000%14.5%2026-05-09 11:59
Grosvenor5.10I 19.61%NM 17.97%EV -14.44%E -2.83%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 60.71%EV -3.94%E -2.61%K -7.73%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.32%EV -15.68%E -3.65%K -4.75%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-09 11:59
Casumo5.10I 19.61%NM 17.97%EV -14.44%E -2.83%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 60.71%EV -3.94%E -2.61%K -7.73%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.32%EV -15.68%E -3.65%K -4.75%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-09 11:59
TABtouch5.10I 19.61%NM 17.97%EV -14.44%E -2.83%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 60.71%EV -3.94%E -2.61%K -7.73%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.32%EV -15.68%E -3.65%K -4.75%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-09 11:59
betPARX5.10I 19.61%NM 17.97%EV -14.44%E -2.83%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 60.71%EV -3.94%E -2.61%K -7.73%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.32%EV -15.68%E -3.65%K -4.75%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-09 11:59
LeoVegas (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -16.12%E -3.22%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 60.34%EV -3.94%E -2.61%K -7.73%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.44%EV -16.66%E -3.92%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-09 11:59
LeoVegas5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -16.12%E -3.22%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.50%EV -4.58%E -3.05%K -9.16%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.35%EV -16.66%E -3.92%K -5.13%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-09 11:59
LiveScore Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.03%EV -16.12%E -3.22%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 60.50%EV -5.21%E -3.50%K -10.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.46%EV -17.64%E -4.20%K -5.51%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-09 11:59
Virgin Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.03%EV -16.12%E -3.22%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 60.50%EV -5.21%E -3.50%K -10.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.46%EV -17.64%E -4.20%K -5.51%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-09 11:59
Neds5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -16.12%E -3.22%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -8.39%E -5.83%K -19.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -11.76%E -2.61%K -3.36%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-09 11:59
Ladbrokes (AU)5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -16.12%E -3.22%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -8.39%E -5.83%K -19.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -11.76%E -2.61%K -3.36%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-09 11:59
Ladbrokes (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -16.12%E -3.22%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -8.39%E -5.83%K -19.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -11.76%E -2.61%K -3.36%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-09 11:59
Coral5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -16.12%E -3.22%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -8.39%E -5.83%K -19.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -11.76%E -2.61%K -3.36%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-09 11:59
Sky Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -16.12%E -3.22%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.71%EV -8.39%E -5.83%K -19.08%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -15.09%E -3.49%K -4.53%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-09 11:59
Paddy Power5.00I 20.00%NM 17.60%EV -16.12%E -3.22%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 62.85%EV -10.94%E -7.81%K -27.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.55%EV -11.76%E -2.61%K -3.36%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-09 11:59
BoyleSports5.00I 20.00%NM 17.60%EV -16.12%E -3.22%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 62.85%EV -10.94%E -7.81%K -27.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.55%EV -11.76%E -2.61%K -3.36%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-09 11:59
Unibet (FR)5.00I 20.00%NM 17.36%EV -16.12%E -3.22%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 62.91%EV -12.21%E -8.85%K -32.14%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.73%EV -13.72%E -3.12%K -4.03%G +0.000%15.2%2026-05-09 11:59
Winamax (FR)4.90I 20.41%NM 17.97%EV -17.80%E -3.63%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 62.89%EV -10.94%E -7.81%K -27.35%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.14%EV -9.80%E -2.13%K -2.72%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-09 11:59
PMU (FR)4.80I 20.83%NM 18.24%EV -19.48%E -4.06%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 60.40%EV -7.76%E -5.35%K -17.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.36%EV -19.60%E -4.78%K -6.32%G +0.000%14.2%2026-05-09 11:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 18.30%EV -24.51%E -5.45%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 58.82%EV -10.94%E -7.81%K -27.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 22.88%EV -29.41%E -8.17%K -11.31%G +0.000%21.4%2026-05-09 11:59
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi6.25I 16.00%NM 15.87%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.27%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.86%0.8%2026-05-09 11:59
Smarkets6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.65%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.40%1.1%2026-05-09 11:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.65%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.40%1.1%2026-05-09 11:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.65%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.40%1.1%2026-05-09 11:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.65%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.40%1.1%2026-05-09 12:00
Matchbook6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.65%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.40%1.1%2026-05-09 11:59