Die Schule der Quoten

AD Ceuta FC v CD Castellón

Spielbeginn: 2026-05-09 12:02 UTC

Endstand: AD Ceuta FC 1–1 CD Castellón

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

53 Wettanbieter (19 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

AD Ceuta FC (Heim)

Prognose 16.78%5.96faire Quote
EV +5.35%
Vorteil +0.852%
Kelly +1.01%
Wachstum +0.054%

bei einer Höchstquote von 6.28

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
15.37%16.75%16.82%18.30%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
4.505.325.256.2822.22%18.79%19.05%15.92%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

CD Castellón (Auswärts)

Prognose 63.61%1.57faire Quote
EV -0.761%
Vorteil -0.488%
Kelly -1.36%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.56

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
58.82%63.61%63.58%65.21%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.361.461.451.5673.53%68.35%68.97%64.10%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Unentschieden

Prognose 19.61%5.10faire Quote
EV -0.187%
Vorteil -0.037%
Kelly -0.046%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 5.09

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
18.63%19.64%19.60%22.88%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
3.604.534.505.0927.78%22.09%22.22%19.65%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (53 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsUnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
Pinnacle6.28I 15.92%NM 15.37%EV +5.35%E +0.852%K +1.01%G +0.054%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.21%EV -5.85%E -3.95%K -12.19%G +0.000%4.97I 20.12%NM 19.42%EV -2.54%E -0.511%K -0.640%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-09 11:59
LowVig.ag6.00I 16.67%NM 15.52%EV +0.654%E +0.109%K +0.131%G +0.001%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.67%EV -8.39%E -5.83%K -19.08%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.81%EV -7.83%E -1.67%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-09 11:59
BetOnline.ag6.00I 16.67%NM 15.52%EV +0.654%E +0.109%K +0.131%G +0.001%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.67%EV -8.39%E -5.83%K -19.08%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.81%EV -7.83%E -1.67%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-09 11:59
Coolbet5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -3.54%E -0.616%K -0.745%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.43%EV -4.58%E -3.05%K -9.16%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.85%E -1.44%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 11:58
DraftKings5.75I 17.39%NM 16.44%EV -3.54%E -0.616%K -0.745%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.87%EV -5.85%E -3.95%K -12.19%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV -5.87%E -1.22%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 11:59
Betr (AU)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -3.54%E -0.616%K -0.745%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.33%EV -5.85%E -3.95%K -12.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -9.80%E -2.13%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 11:59
Bovada5.75I 17.39%NM 16.05%EV -3.54%E -0.616%K -0.745%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -8.39%E -5.83%K -19.08%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.85%EV -8.82%E -1.90%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-09 11:59
BetAnything5.75I 17.39%NM 16.02%EV -3.54%E -0.616%K -0.745%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.96%EV -8.39%E -5.83%K -19.08%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -9.80%E -2.13%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-09 11:59
FanDuel5.70I 17.54%NM 16.28%EV -4.38%E -0.768%K -0.932%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.98%EV -7.76%E -5.35%K -17.24%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.74%EV -7.83%E -1.67%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 11:59
Marathon Bet5.65I 17.70%NM 16.50%EV -5.22%E -0.924%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.28%EV -7.76%E -5.35%K -17.24%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.22%EV -4.89%E -1.01%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 11:59
Fanatics5.50I 18.18%NM 17.19%EV -7.73%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.89%EV -5.85%E -3.95%K -12.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.91%EV -1.95%E -0.390%K -0.488%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-09 11:59
PointsBet (AU)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -7.73%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.42%EV -6.49%E -4.41%K -13.80%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -6.85%E -1.44%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 11:59
NordicBet5.50I 18.18%NM 16.87%EV -7.73%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.00%EV -7.76%E -5.35%K -17.24%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.13%EV -4.89%E -1.01%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 11:59
Betsson5.50I 18.18%NM 16.87%EV -7.73%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.00%EV -7.76%E -5.35%K -17.24%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.13%EV -4.89%E -1.01%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 11:59
Betway5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -7.73%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.58%EV -5.85%E -3.95%K -12.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -11.76%E -2.61%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 11:59
theScore Bet5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -7.73%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.58%EV -5.85%E -3.95%K -12.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -11.76%E -2.61%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 11:59
Tipico (DE)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -7.73%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.34%EV -7.76%E -5.35%K -17.24%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.96%EV -9.80%E -2.13%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-09 11:59
Mr Green (SE)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -7.73%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.50%EV -8.39%E -5.83%K -19.08%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -9.80%E -2.13%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-09 11:59
betfred_uk5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -7.73%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.22%EV -8.39%E -5.83%K -19.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -11.76%E -2.61%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-09 11:58
SportsBet5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -7.73%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.22%EV -8.39%E -5.83%K -19.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -11.76%E -2.61%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-09 11:59
William Hill5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -7.73%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.22%EV -8.39%E -5.83%K -19.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -11.76%E -2.61%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-09 11:58
Bet Victor5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -7.73%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.22%EV -8.39%E -5.83%K -19.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -11.76%E -2.61%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-09 11:59
PlayUp5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -7.73%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.62%EV -7.76%E -5.35%K -17.24%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.87%EV -14.70%E -3.38%K -4.39%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-09 11:59
Codere (IT)5.40I 18.52%NM 16.88%EV -9.41%E -1.74%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 63.73%EV -9.03%E -6.32%K -21.00%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.39%EV -7.83%E -1.67%K -2.12%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-09 12:00
1xBet5.33I 18.76%NM 17.86%EV -10.59%E -1.99%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.45%EV -4.58%E -3.05%K -9.16%G +0.000%5.09I 19.65%NM 18.70%EV -0.187%E -0.037%K -0.046%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 11:59
BetMGM5.25I 19.05%NM 17.36%EV -11.93%E -2.27%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.84%EV -7.76%E -5.35%K -17.24%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.81%EV -9.80%E -2.13%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-09 11:59
Betclic (FR)5.25I 19.05%NM 16.97%EV -11.93%E -2.27%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.65%EV -10.94%E -7.81%K -27.35%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.37%EV -9.80%E -2.13%K -2.72%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-09 11:58
Unibet5.20I 19.23%NM 18.13%EV -12.77%E -2.46%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.44%EV -0.761%E -0.488%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -13.72%E -3.12%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-09 11:59
Unibet (SE)5.20I 19.23%NM 18.13%EV -12.77%E -2.46%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.44%EV -0.761%E -0.488%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -13.72%E -3.12%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-09 11:59
Unibet (NL)5.20I 19.23%NM 18.13%EV -12.77%E -2.46%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.44%EV -0.761%E -0.488%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -13.72%E -3.12%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-09 11:59
Svenska Spel5.20I 19.23%NM 18.13%EV -12.77%E -2.46%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.44%EV -0.761%E -0.488%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -13.72%E -3.12%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-09 11:59
ATG (SE)5.20I 19.23%NM 18.13%EV -12.77%E -2.46%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.44%EV -0.761%E -0.488%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -13.72%E -3.12%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-09 11:59
Winamax (DE)5.20I 19.23%NM 17.55%EV -12.77%E -2.46%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 63.82%EV -9.03%E -6.32%K -21.00%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.63%EV -3.91%E -0.799%K -1.00%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-09 11:59
NetBet (FR)5.20I 19.23%NM 16.80%EV -12.77%E -2.46%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 64.22%EV -13.48%E -9.91%K -37.46%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.99%EV -9.80%E -2.13%K -2.72%G +0.000%14.5%2026-05-09 11:59
Grosvenor5.10I 19.61%NM 17.97%EV -14.44%E -2.83%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 60.71%EV -3.94%E -2.61%K -7.73%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.32%EV -15.68%E -3.65%K -4.75%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-09 11:59
Casumo5.10I 19.61%NM 17.97%EV -14.44%E -2.83%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 60.71%EV -3.94%E -2.61%K -7.73%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.32%EV -15.68%E -3.65%K -4.75%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-09 11:59
TABtouch5.10I 19.61%NM 17.97%EV -14.44%E -2.83%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 60.71%EV -3.94%E -2.61%K -7.73%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.32%EV -15.68%E -3.65%K -4.75%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-09 11:59
betPARX5.10I 19.61%NM 17.97%EV -14.44%E -2.83%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 60.71%EV -3.94%E -2.61%K -7.73%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.32%EV -15.68%E -3.65%K -4.75%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-09 11:59
LeoVegas (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -16.12%E -3.22%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 60.34%EV -3.94%E -2.61%K -7.73%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.44%EV -16.66%E -3.92%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-09 11:59
LeoVegas5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -16.12%E -3.22%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.50%EV -4.58%E -3.05%K -9.16%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.35%EV -16.66%E -3.92%K -5.13%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-09 11:59
LiveScore Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.03%EV -16.12%E -3.22%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 60.50%EV -5.21%E -3.50%K -10.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.46%EV -17.64%E -4.20%K -5.51%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-09 11:59
Virgin Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.03%EV -16.12%E -3.22%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 60.50%EV -5.21%E -3.50%K -10.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.46%EV -17.64%E -4.20%K -5.51%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-09 11:59
Neds5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -16.12%E -3.22%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -8.39%E -5.83%K -19.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -11.76%E -2.61%K -3.36%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-09 11:59
Ladbrokes (AU)5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -16.12%E -3.22%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -8.39%E -5.83%K -19.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -11.76%E -2.61%K -3.36%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-09 11:59
Ladbrokes (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -16.12%E -3.22%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -8.39%E -5.83%K -19.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -11.76%E -2.61%K -3.36%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-09 11:59
Coral5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -16.12%E -3.22%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -8.39%E -5.83%K -19.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -11.76%E -2.61%K -3.36%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-09 11:59
Sky Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -16.12%E -3.22%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.71%EV -8.39%E -5.83%K -19.08%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -15.09%E -3.49%K -4.53%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-09 11:59
Paddy Power5.00I 20.00%NM 17.60%EV -16.12%E -3.22%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 62.85%EV -10.94%E -7.81%K -27.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.55%EV -11.76%E -2.61%K -3.36%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-09 11:59
BoyleSports5.00I 20.00%NM 17.60%EV -16.12%E -3.22%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 62.85%EV -10.94%E -7.81%K -27.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.55%EV -11.76%E -2.61%K -3.36%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-09 11:59
Unibet (FR)5.00I 20.00%NM 17.36%EV -16.12%E -3.22%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 62.91%EV -12.21%E -8.85%K -32.14%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.73%EV -13.72%E -3.12%K -4.03%G +0.000%15.2%2026-05-09 11:59
Winamax (FR)4.90I 20.41%NM 17.97%EV -17.80%E -3.63%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 62.89%EV -10.94%E -7.81%K -27.35%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.14%EV -9.80%E -2.13%K -2.72%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-09 11:59
PMU (FR)4.80I 20.83%NM 18.24%EV -19.48%E -4.06%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 60.40%EV -7.76%E -5.35%K -17.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.36%EV -19.60%E -4.78%K -6.32%G +0.000%14.2%2026-05-09 11:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 18.30%EV -24.51%E -5.45%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 58.82%EV -10.94%E -7.81%K -27.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 22.88%EV -29.41%E -8.17%K -11.31%G +0.000%21.4%2026-05-09 11:59
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Kalshi6.25I 16.00%NM 15.87%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.27%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.86%0.8%2026-05-09 11:59
Smarkets6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.65%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.40%1.1%2026-05-09 11:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.65%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.40%1.1%2026-05-09 11:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.65%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.40%1.1%2026-05-09 11:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.65%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.40%1.1%2026-05-09 12:00
Matchbook6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.65%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.40%1.1%2026-05-09 11:59