Szkoła KursówJęzyk:Polski
AD Ceuta FC v CD Castellón
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
AD Ceuta FC (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 16.78%5.96kurs godziwy
EV +5.35%
Przewaga +0.852%
Kelly +1.01%
Wzrost +0.054%
przy maksymalnym kursie 6.28
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
15.37%16.75%16.82%18.30%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
4.505.325.256.2822.22%18.79%19.05%15.92%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
CD Castellón (Goście)
Prognoza 63.61%1.57kurs godziwy
EV -0.761%
Przewaga -0.488%
Kelly -1.36%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.56
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
58.82%63.61%63.58%65.21%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.361.461.451.5673.53%68.35%68.97%64.10%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Remis
Prognoza 19.61%5.10kurs godziwy
EV -0.187%
Przewaga -0.037%
Kelly -0.046%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 5.09
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
18.63%19.64%19.60%22.88%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.604.534.505.0927.78%22.09%22.22%19.65%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Kursy bukmacherskie (53 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze ▼ | Goście | Remis | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 6.28I 15.92%NM 15.37%EV +5.35%E +0.852%K +1.01%G +0.054% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.21%EV -5.85%E -3.95%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 4.97I 20.12%NM 19.42%EV -2.54%E -0.511%K -0.640%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.52%EV +0.654%E +0.109%K +0.131%G +0.001% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.67%EV -8.39%E -5.83%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.81%EV -7.83%E -1.67%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.52%EV +0.654%E +0.109%K +0.131%G +0.001% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.67%EV -8.39%E -5.83%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.81%EV -7.83%E -1.67%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| Coolbet | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -3.54%E -0.616%K -0.745%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.43%EV -4.58%E -3.05%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.85%E -1.44%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 11:58 |
| DraftKings | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.44%EV -3.54%E -0.616%K -0.745%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.87%EV -5.85%E -3.95%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV -5.87%E -1.22%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -3.54%E -0.616%K -0.745%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.33%EV -5.85%E -3.95%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -9.80%E -2.13%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| Bovada | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.05%EV -3.54%E -0.616%K -0.745%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -8.39%E -5.83%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.85%EV -8.82%E -1.90%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| BetAnything | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.02%EV -3.54%E -0.616%K -0.745%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.96%EV -8.39%E -5.83%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -9.80%E -2.13%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| FanDuel | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.28%EV -4.38%E -0.768%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.98%EV -7.76%E -5.35%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.74%EV -7.83%E -1.67%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 5.65I 17.70%NM 16.50%EV -5.22%E -0.924%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.28%EV -7.76%E -5.35%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.22%EV -4.89%E -1.01%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| Fanatics | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.19%EV -7.73%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.89%EV -5.85%E -3.95%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.91%EV -1.95%E -0.390%K -0.488%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -7.73%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.42%EV -6.49%E -4.41%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -6.85%E -1.44%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| NordicBet | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.87%EV -7.73%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.00%EV -7.76%E -5.35%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.13%EV -4.89%E -1.01%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| Betsson | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.87%EV -7.73%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.00%EV -7.76%E -5.35%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.13%EV -4.89%E -1.01%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| Betway | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -7.73%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.58%EV -5.85%E -3.95%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -11.76%E -2.61%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| theScore Bet | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -7.73%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.58%EV -5.85%E -3.95%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -11.76%E -2.61%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -7.73%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.34%EV -7.76%E -5.35%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.96%EV -9.80%E -2.13%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -7.73%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.50%EV -8.39%E -5.83%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -9.80%E -2.13%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| betfred_uk | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -7.73%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.22%EV -8.39%E -5.83%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -11.76%E -2.61%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-09 11:58 |
| SportsBet | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -7.73%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.22%EV -8.39%E -5.83%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -11.76%E -2.61%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| William Hill | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -7.73%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.22%EV -8.39%E -5.83%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -11.76%E -2.61%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-09 11:58 |
| Bet Victor | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -7.73%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.22%EV -8.39%E -5.83%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -11.76%E -2.61%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| PlayUp | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -7.73%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.62%EV -7.76%E -5.35%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.87%EV -14.70%E -3.38%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.88%EV -9.41%E -1.74%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.73%EV -9.03%E -6.32%K -21.00%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.39%EV -7.83%E -1.67%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-09 12:00 |
| 1xBet | 5.33I 18.76%NM 17.86%EV -10.59%E -1.99%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.45%EV -4.58%E -3.05%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 5.09I 19.65%NM 18.70%EV -0.187%E -0.037%K -0.046%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| BetMGM | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.36%EV -11.93%E -2.27%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.84%EV -7.76%E -5.35%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.81%EV -9.80%E -2.13%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| Betclic (FR) | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.97%EV -11.93%E -2.27%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.65%EV -10.94%E -7.81%K -27.35%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.37%EV -9.80%E -2.13%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-09 11:58 |
| Unibet | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.13%EV -12.77%E -2.46%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.44%EV -0.761%E -0.488%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -13.72%E -3.12%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| Unibet (SE) | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.13%EV -12.77%E -2.46%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.44%EV -0.761%E -0.488%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -13.72%E -3.12%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| Unibet (NL) | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.13%EV -12.77%E -2.46%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.44%EV -0.761%E -0.488%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -13.72%E -3.12%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| Svenska Spel | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.13%EV -12.77%E -2.46%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.44%EV -0.761%E -0.488%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -13.72%E -3.12%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| ATG (SE) | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.13%EV -12.77%E -2.46%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.44%EV -0.761%E -0.488%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -13.72%E -3.12%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.55%EV -12.77%E -2.46%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.82%EV -9.03%E -6.32%K -21.00%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.63%EV -3.91%E -0.799%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| NetBet (FR) | 5.20I 19.23%NM 16.80%EV -12.77%E -2.46%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.22%EV -13.48%E -9.91%K -37.46%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 18.99%EV -9.80%E -2.13%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| Grosvenor | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.97%EV -14.44%E -2.83%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.71%EV -3.94%E -2.61%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.32%EV -15.68%E -3.65%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| Casumo | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.97%EV -14.44%E -2.83%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.71%EV -3.94%E -2.61%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.32%EV -15.68%E -3.65%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| TABtouch | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.97%EV -14.44%E -2.83%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.71%EV -3.94%E -2.61%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.32%EV -15.68%E -3.65%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| betPARX | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.97%EV -14.44%E -2.83%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.71%EV -3.94%E -2.61%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.32%EV -15.68%E -3.65%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -16.12%E -3.22%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.34%EV -3.94%E -2.61%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.44%EV -16.66%E -3.92%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| LeoVegas | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -16.12%E -3.22%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.50%EV -4.58%E -3.05%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.35%EV -16.66%E -3.92%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| LiveScore Bet | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.03%EV -16.12%E -3.22%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 60.50%EV -5.21%E -3.50%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.46%EV -17.64%E -4.20%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| Virgin Bet | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.03%EV -16.12%E -3.22%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 60.50%EV -5.21%E -3.50%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.46%EV -17.64%E -4.20%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| Neds | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -16.12%E -3.22%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -8.39%E -5.83%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -11.76%E -2.61%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -16.12%E -3.22%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -8.39%E -5.83%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -11.76%E -2.61%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -16.12%E -3.22%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -8.39%E -5.83%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -11.76%E -2.61%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| Coral | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -16.12%E -3.22%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -8.39%E -5.83%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -11.76%E -2.61%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| Sky Bet | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -16.12%E -3.22%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.71%EV -8.39%E -5.83%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -15.09%E -3.49%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| Paddy Power | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.60%EV -16.12%E -3.22%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.85%EV -10.94%E -7.81%K -27.35%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.55%EV -11.76%E -2.61%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| BoyleSports | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.60%EV -16.12%E -3.22%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.85%EV -10.94%E -7.81%K -27.35%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.55%EV -11.76%E -2.61%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| Unibet (FR) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.36%EV -16.12%E -3.22%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 62.91%EV -12.21%E -8.85%K -32.14%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.73%EV -13.72%E -3.12%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| Winamax (FR) | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.97%EV -17.80%E -3.63%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.89%EV -10.94%E -7.81%K -27.35%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.14%EV -9.80%E -2.13%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| PMU (FR) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.24%EV -19.48%E -4.06%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 60.40%EV -7.76%E -5.35%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.36%EV -19.60%E -4.78%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 18.30%EV -24.51%E -5.45%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 58.82%EV -10.94%E -7.81%K -27.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 22.88%EV -29.41%E -8.17%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 21.4% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (6)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Remis | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.87% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.27% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.86% | 0.8% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| Smarkets | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.65% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.40% | 1.1% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.65% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.40% | 1.1% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.65% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.40% | 1.1% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.65% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.40% | 1.1% | 2026-05-09 12:00 |
| Matchbook | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.65% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.40% | 1.1% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |