La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
AD Ceuta FC v CD Castellón
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
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AD Ceuta FC (Casa)
Previsione 16.78%5.96quota equa
EV +5.35%
Vantaggio +0.852%
Kelly +1.01%
Crescita +0.054%
ipotizzando la quota massima 6.28
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
15.37%16.75%16.82%18.30%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.505.325.256.2822.22%18.79%19.05%15.92%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
CD Castellón (Trasferta)
Previsione 63.61%1.57quota equa
EV -0.761%
Vantaggio -0.488%
Kelly -1.36%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.56
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
58.82%63.61%63.58%65.21%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.361.461.451.5673.53%68.35%68.97%64.10%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 19.61%5.10quota equa
EV -0.187%
Vantaggio -0.037%
Kelly -0.046%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 5.09
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
18.63%19.64%19.60%22.88%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.604.534.505.0927.78%22.09%22.22%19.65%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (53 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 6.28I 15.92%NM 15.37%EV +5.35%E +0.852%K +1.01%G +0.054% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.21%EV -5.85%E -3.95%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 4.97I 20.12%NM 19.42%EV -2.54%E -0.511%K -0.640%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.52%EV +0.654%E +0.109%K +0.131%G +0.001% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.67%EV -8.39%E -5.83%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.81%EV -7.83%E -1.67%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.52%EV +0.654%E +0.109%K +0.131%G +0.001% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.67%EV -8.39%E -5.83%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.81%EV -7.83%E -1.67%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| Coolbet | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -3.54%E -0.616%K -0.745%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.43%EV -4.58%E -3.05%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.85%E -1.44%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 11:58 |
| DraftKings | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.44%EV -3.54%E -0.616%K -0.745%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.87%EV -5.85%E -3.95%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV -5.87%E -1.22%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -3.54%E -0.616%K -0.745%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.33%EV -5.85%E -3.95%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -9.80%E -2.13%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| Bovada | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.05%EV -3.54%E -0.616%K -0.745%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -8.39%E -5.83%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.85%EV -8.82%E -1.90%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| BetAnything | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.02%EV -3.54%E -0.616%K -0.745%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.96%EV -8.39%E -5.83%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -9.80%E -2.13%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| FanDuel | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.28%EV -4.38%E -0.768%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.98%EV -7.76%E -5.35%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.74%EV -7.83%E -1.67%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 5.65I 17.70%NM 16.50%EV -5.22%E -0.924%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.28%EV -7.76%E -5.35%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.22%EV -4.89%E -1.01%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| Fanatics | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.19%EV -7.73%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.89%EV -5.85%E -3.95%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.91%EV -1.95%E -0.390%K -0.488%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -7.73%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.42%EV -6.49%E -4.41%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -6.85%E -1.44%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| NordicBet | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.87%EV -7.73%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.00%EV -7.76%E -5.35%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.13%EV -4.89%E -1.01%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| Betsson | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.87%EV -7.73%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.00%EV -7.76%E -5.35%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.13%EV -4.89%E -1.01%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| Betway | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -7.73%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.58%EV -5.85%E -3.95%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -11.76%E -2.61%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| theScore Bet | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -7.73%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.58%EV -5.85%E -3.95%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -11.76%E -2.61%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -7.73%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.34%EV -7.76%E -5.35%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.96%EV -9.80%E -2.13%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -7.73%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.50%EV -8.39%E -5.83%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -9.80%E -2.13%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| betfred_uk | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -7.73%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.22%EV -8.39%E -5.83%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -11.76%E -2.61%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-09 11:58 |
| SportsBet | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -7.73%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.22%EV -8.39%E -5.83%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -11.76%E -2.61%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| William Hill | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -7.73%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.22%EV -8.39%E -5.83%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -11.76%E -2.61%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-09 11:58 |
| Bet Victor | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -7.73%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.22%EV -8.39%E -5.83%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -11.76%E -2.61%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| PlayUp | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -7.73%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.62%EV -7.76%E -5.35%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.87%EV -14.70%E -3.38%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.88%EV -9.41%E -1.74%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.73%EV -9.03%E -6.32%K -21.00%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.39%EV -7.83%E -1.67%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-09 12:00 |
| 1xBet | 5.33I 18.76%NM 17.86%EV -10.59%E -1.99%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.45%EV -4.58%E -3.05%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 5.09I 19.65%NM 18.70%EV -0.187%E -0.037%K -0.046%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| BetMGM | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.36%EV -11.93%E -2.27%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.84%EV -7.76%E -5.35%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.81%EV -9.80%E -2.13%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| Betclic (FR) | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.97%EV -11.93%E -2.27%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.65%EV -10.94%E -7.81%K -27.35%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.37%EV -9.80%E -2.13%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-09 11:58 |
| Unibet | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.13%EV -12.77%E -2.46%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.44%EV -0.761%E -0.488%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -13.72%E -3.12%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| Unibet (SE) | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.13%EV -12.77%E -2.46%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.44%EV -0.761%E -0.488%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -13.72%E -3.12%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| Unibet (NL) | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.13%EV -12.77%E -2.46%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.44%EV -0.761%E -0.488%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -13.72%E -3.12%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| Svenska Spel | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.13%EV -12.77%E -2.46%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.44%EV -0.761%E -0.488%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -13.72%E -3.12%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| ATG (SE) | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.13%EV -12.77%E -2.46%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.44%EV -0.761%E -0.488%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -13.72%E -3.12%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.55%EV -12.77%E -2.46%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.82%EV -9.03%E -6.32%K -21.00%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.63%EV -3.91%E -0.799%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| NetBet (FR) | 5.20I 19.23%NM 16.80%EV -12.77%E -2.46%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.22%EV -13.48%E -9.91%K -37.46%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 18.99%EV -9.80%E -2.13%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| Grosvenor | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.97%EV -14.44%E -2.83%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.71%EV -3.94%E -2.61%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.32%EV -15.68%E -3.65%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| Casumo | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.97%EV -14.44%E -2.83%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.71%EV -3.94%E -2.61%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.32%EV -15.68%E -3.65%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| TABtouch | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.97%EV -14.44%E -2.83%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.71%EV -3.94%E -2.61%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.32%EV -15.68%E -3.65%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| betPARX | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.97%EV -14.44%E -2.83%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.71%EV -3.94%E -2.61%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.32%EV -15.68%E -3.65%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -16.12%E -3.22%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.34%EV -3.94%E -2.61%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.44%EV -16.66%E -3.92%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| LeoVegas | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -16.12%E -3.22%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.50%EV -4.58%E -3.05%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.35%EV -16.66%E -3.92%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| LiveScore Bet | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.03%EV -16.12%E -3.22%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 60.50%EV -5.21%E -3.50%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.46%EV -17.64%E -4.20%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| Virgin Bet | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.03%EV -16.12%E -3.22%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 60.50%EV -5.21%E -3.50%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.46%EV -17.64%E -4.20%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| Neds | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -16.12%E -3.22%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -8.39%E -5.83%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -11.76%E -2.61%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -16.12%E -3.22%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -8.39%E -5.83%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -11.76%E -2.61%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -16.12%E -3.22%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -8.39%E -5.83%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -11.76%E -2.61%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| Coral | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -16.12%E -3.22%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -8.39%E -5.83%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -11.76%E -2.61%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| Sky Bet | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -16.12%E -3.22%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.71%EV -8.39%E -5.83%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -15.09%E -3.49%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| Paddy Power | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.60%EV -16.12%E -3.22%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.85%EV -10.94%E -7.81%K -27.35%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.55%EV -11.76%E -2.61%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| BoyleSports | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.60%EV -16.12%E -3.22%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.85%EV -10.94%E -7.81%K -27.35%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.55%EV -11.76%E -2.61%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| Unibet (FR) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.36%EV -16.12%E -3.22%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 62.91%EV -12.21%E -8.85%K -32.14%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.73%EV -13.72%E -3.12%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| Winamax (FR) | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.97%EV -17.80%E -3.63%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.89%EV -10.94%E -7.81%K -27.35%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.14%EV -9.80%E -2.13%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| PMU (FR) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.24%EV -19.48%E -4.06%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 60.40%EV -7.76%E -5.35%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.36%EV -19.60%E -4.78%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 18.30%EV -24.51%E -5.45%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 58.82%EV -10.94%E -7.81%K -27.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 22.88%EV -29.41%E -8.17%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 21.4% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.87% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.27% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.86% | 0.8% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| Smarkets | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.65% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.40% | 1.1% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.65% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.40% | 1.1% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.65% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.40% | 1.1% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.65% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.40% | 1.1% | 2026-05-09 12:00 |
| Matchbook | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.65% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.40% | 1.1% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |