مدرسة الاحتمالاتالعربية
AD Ceuta FC v CD Castellón
أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →
نتيجة المباراة
AD Ceuta FC (المضيف)
التنبؤ 16.78%5.96السعر العادل
EV +5.35%
الأفضلية +0.852%
Kelly +1.01%
النمو +0.054%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 6.28
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
15.37%16.75%16.82%18.30%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.505.325.256.2822.22%18.79%19.05%15.92%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
CD Castellón (الضيف)
التنبؤ 63.61%1.57السعر العادل
EV -0.761%
الأفضلية -0.488%
Kelly -1.36%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.56
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
58.82%63.61%63.58%65.21%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.361.461.451.5673.53%68.35%68.97%64.10%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
تعادل
التنبؤ 19.61%5.10السعر العادل
EV -0.187%
الأفضلية -0.037%
Kelly -0.046%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.09
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
18.63%19.64%19.60%22.88%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.604.534.505.0927.78%22.09%22.22%19.65%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
أسعار شركات المراهنات (53 شركة مراهنات)
لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف ▼ | الضيف | تعادل | الهامش | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 6.28I 15.92%NM 15.37%EV +5.35%E +0.852%K +1.01%G +0.054% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.21%EV -5.85%E -3.95%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 4.97I 20.12%NM 19.42%EV -2.54%E -0.511%K -0.640%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.52%EV +0.654%E +0.109%K +0.131%G +0.001% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.67%EV -8.39%E -5.83%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.81%EV -7.83%E -1.67%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.52%EV +0.654%E +0.109%K +0.131%G +0.001% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.67%EV -8.39%E -5.83%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.81%EV -7.83%E -1.67%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| Coolbet | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -3.54%E -0.616%K -0.745%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.43%EV -4.58%E -3.05%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.85%E -1.44%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 11:58 |
| DraftKings | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.44%EV -3.54%E -0.616%K -0.745%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.87%EV -5.85%E -3.95%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV -5.87%E -1.22%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -3.54%E -0.616%K -0.745%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.33%EV -5.85%E -3.95%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -9.80%E -2.13%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| Bovada | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.05%EV -3.54%E -0.616%K -0.745%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -8.39%E -5.83%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.85%EV -8.82%E -1.90%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| BetAnything | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.02%EV -3.54%E -0.616%K -0.745%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.96%EV -8.39%E -5.83%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -9.80%E -2.13%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| FanDuel | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.28%EV -4.38%E -0.768%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.98%EV -7.76%E -5.35%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.74%EV -7.83%E -1.67%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 5.65I 17.70%NM 16.50%EV -5.22%E -0.924%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.28%EV -7.76%E -5.35%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.22%EV -4.89%E -1.01%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| Fanatics | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.19%EV -7.73%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.89%EV -5.85%E -3.95%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.91%EV -1.95%E -0.390%K -0.488%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -7.73%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.42%EV -6.49%E -4.41%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -6.85%E -1.44%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| NordicBet | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.87%EV -7.73%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.00%EV -7.76%E -5.35%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.13%EV -4.89%E -1.01%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| Betsson | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.87%EV -7.73%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.00%EV -7.76%E -5.35%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.13%EV -4.89%E -1.01%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| Betway | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -7.73%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.58%EV -5.85%E -3.95%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -11.76%E -2.61%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| theScore Bet | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -7.73%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.58%EV -5.85%E -3.95%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -11.76%E -2.61%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -7.73%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.34%EV -7.76%E -5.35%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.96%EV -9.80%E -2.13%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -7.73%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.50%EV -8.39%E -5.83%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -9.80%E -2.13%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| betfred_uk | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -7.73%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.22%EV -8.39%E -5.83%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -11.76%E -2.61%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-09 11:58 |
| SportsBet | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -7.73%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.22%EV -8.39%E -5.83%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -11.76%E -2.61%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| William Hill | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -7.73%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.22%EV -8.39%E -5.83%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -11.76%E -2.61%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-09 11:58 |
| Bet Victor | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -7.73%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.22%EV -8.39%E -5.83%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -11.76%E -2.61%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| PlayUp | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -7.73%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.62%EV -7.76%E -5.35%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.87%EV -14.70%E -3.38%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.88%EV -9.41%E -1.74%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.73%EV -9.03%E -6.32%K -21.00%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.39%EV -7.83%E -1.67%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-09 12:00 |
| 1xBet | 5.33I 18.76%NM 17.86%EV -10.59%E -1.99%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.45%EV -4.58%E -3.05%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 5.09I 19.65%NM 18.70%EV -0.187%E -0.037%K -0.046%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| BetMGM | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.36%EV -11.93%E -2.27%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.84%EV -7.76%E -5.35%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.81%EV -9.80%E -2.13%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| Betclic (FR) | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.97%EV -11.93%E -2.27%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.65%EV -10.94%E -7.81%K -27.35%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.37%EV -9.80%E -2.13%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-09 11:58 |
| Unibet | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.13%EV -12.77%E -2.46%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.44%EV -0.761%E -0.488%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -13.72%E -3.12%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| Unibet (SE) | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.13%EV -12.77%E -2.46%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.44%EV -0.761%E -0.488%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -13.72%E -3.12%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| Unibet (NL) | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.13%EV -12.77%E -2.46%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.44%EV -0.761%E -0.488%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -13.72%E -3.12%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| Svenska Spel | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.13%EV -12.77%E -2.46%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.44%EV -0.761%E -0.488%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -13.72%E -3.12%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| ATG (SE) | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.13%EV -12.77%E -2.46%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.44%EV -0.761%E -0.488%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -13.72%E -3.12%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.55%EV -12.77%E -2.46%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.82%EV -9.03%E -6.32%K -21.00%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.63%EV -3.91%E -0.799%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| NetBet (FR) | 5.20I 19.23%NM 16.80%EV -12.77%E -2.46%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.22%EV -13.48%E -9.91%K -37.46%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 18.99%EV -9.80%E -2.13%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| Grosvenor | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.97%EV -14.44%E -2.83%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.71%EV -3.94%E -2.61%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.32%EV -15.68%E -3.65%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| Casumo | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.97%EV -14.44%E -2.83%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.71%EV -3.94%E -2.61%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.32%EV -15.68%E -3.65%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| TABtouch | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.97%EV -14.44%E -2.83%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.71%EV -3.94%E -2.61%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.32%EV -15.68%E -3.65%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| betPARX | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.97%EV -14.44%E -2.83%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.71%EV -3.94%E -2.61%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.32%EV -15.68%E -3.65%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -16.12%E -3.22%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.34%EV -3.94%E -2.61%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.44%EV -16.66%E -3.92%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| LeoVegas | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -16.12%E -3.22%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.50%EV -4.58%E -3.05%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.35%EV -16.66%E -3.92%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| LiveScore Bet | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.03%EV -16.12%E -3.22%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 60.50%EV -5.21%E -3.50%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.46%EV -17.64%E -4.20%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| Virgin Bet | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.03%EV -16.12%E -3.22%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 60.50%EV -5.21%E -3.50%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.46%EV -17.64%E -4.20%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| Neds | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -16.12%E -3.22%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -8.39%E -5.83%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -11.76%E -2.61%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -16.12%E -3.22%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -8.39%E -5.83%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -11.76%E -2.61%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -16.12%E -3.22%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -8.39%E -5.83%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -11.76%E -2.61%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| Coral | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -16.12%E -3.22%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -8.39%E -5.83%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -11.76%E -2.61%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| Sky Bet | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -16.12%E -3.22%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.71%EV -8.39%E -5.83%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -15.09%E -3.49%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| Paddy Power | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.60%EV -16.12%E -3.22%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.85%EV -10.94%E -7.81%K -27.35%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.55%EV -11.76%E -2.61%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| BoyleSports | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.60%EV -16.12%E -3.22%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.85%EV -10.94%E -7.81%K -27.35%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.55%EV -11.76%E -2.61%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| Unibet (FR) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.36%EV -16.12%E -3.22%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 62.91%EV -12.21%E -8.85%K -32.14%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.73%EV -13.72%E -3.12%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| Winamax (FR) | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.97%EV -17.80%E -3.63%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.89%EV -10.94%E -7.81%K -27.35%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.14%EV -9.80%E -2.13%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| PMU (FR) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.24%EV -19.48%E -4.06%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 60.40%EV -7.76%E -5.35%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.36%EV -19.60%E -4.78%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 18.30%EV -24.51%E -5.45%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 58.82%EV -10.94%E -7.81%K -27.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 22.88%EV -29.41%E -8.17%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 21.4% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات
آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.
بورصات المراهنات (6)
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف | تعادل | الهامش ▲ | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.87% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.27% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.86% | 0.8% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| Smarkets | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.65% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.40% | 1.1% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.65% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.40% | 1.1% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.65% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.40% | 1.1% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.65% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.40% | 1.1% | 2026-05-09 12:00 |
| Matchbook | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.65% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.40% | 1.1% | 2026-05-09 11:59 |