Language:English
AD Ceuta FC v Cádiz CF
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
AD Ceuta FC (Local)
Prediction 42.37%2.36fair odd
EV -3.39%
Edge -1.49%
Kelly -2.65%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.28
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.29%42.38%42.37%43.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.172.192.2850.00%45.99%45.66%43.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Cádiz CF (Visit)
Prediction 29.14%3.43fair odd
EV -0.649%
Edge -0.190%
Kelly -0.269%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.41
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.93%29.20%29.06%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.133.103.4134.72%31.90%32.26%29.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.49%3.51fair odd
EV -0.276%
Edge -0.079%
Kelly -0.110%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.27%28.41%28.57%30.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.753.213.203.5036.36%31.14%31.25%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: AD Ceuta FC (Local): 42.37%; Cádiz CF (Visit): 29.14%; Draw: 28.49%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.51. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.50, with an expected value of -0.276%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.17%EV -3.39%E -1.49%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.70%EV -2.40%E -0.715%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.13%EV -5.97%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-27 18:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.17%EV -3.39%E -1.49%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.70%EV -2.40%E -0.715%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.13%EV -5.97%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-27 18:05 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.17%EV -3.39%E -1.49%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.70%EV -2.40%E -0.715%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.13%EV -5.97%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-27 18:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.82%EV -4.24%E -1.88%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 28.38%EV -0.649%E -0.190%K -0.269%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.80%EV -4.26%E -1.27%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-28 01:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.42%EV -4.66%E -2.07%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.30%EV -8.22%E -2.61%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV -0.276%E -0.079%K -0.110%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-26 08:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.66%E -2.07%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -3.85%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -5.97%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-26 08:33 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.12%EV -4.66%E -2.07%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.16%EV -5.31%E -1.63%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -5.97%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-27 13:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -4.66%E -2.07%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -6.77%E -2.11%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -5.97%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-27 11:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -4.66%E -2.07%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -6.77%E -2.11%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -5.97%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-27 11:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -4.66%E -2.07%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -6.77%E -2.11%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -5.97%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-27 11:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -4.66%E -2.07%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -6.77%E -2.11%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -5.97%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-27 11:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -4.66%E -2.07%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -6.77%E -2.11%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -5.97%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-27 11:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.82%EV -5.09%E -2.27%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.72%EV -2.69%E -0.805%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.46%EV -3.98%E -1.18%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-28 01:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.78%E -3.08%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -3.13%E -0.919%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-26 08:34 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.78%E -3.08%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -4.55%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-26 08:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.78%E -3.08%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -6.77%E -2.11%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -8.82%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-27 16:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.78%E -3.08%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -6.77%E -2.11%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -8.82%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-27 23:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -6.78%E -3.08%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -5.97%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-26 08:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.91%EV -6.78%E -3.08%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -8.22%E -2.61%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -8.82%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-26 12:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.91%EV -6.78%E -3.08%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -8.22%E -2.61%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -8.82%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-26 12:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -6.78%E -3.08%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -7.40%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-26 12:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.78%E -3.08%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -8.82%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-27 11:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.78%E -3.08%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -8.82%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-27 11:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.78%E -3.08%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -8.82%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-27 11:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.78%E -3.08%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -8.82%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-27 11:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.78%E -3.08%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -8.82%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-26 14:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.82%EV -7.63%E -3.50%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -5.31%E -1.63%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.46%EV -6.54%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-28 01:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.94%EV -7.63%E -3.50%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -8.82%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-27 11:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.05%EV -8.05%E -3.71%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -8.82%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-27 11:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -8.90%E -4.14%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -6.77%E -2.11%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -5.97%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-27 23:47 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.54%EV -8.90%E -4.14%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.32%EV -9.10%E -2.92%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -7.40%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-26 08:34 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.26%EV -8.90%E -4.14%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.79%EV -11.14%E -3.65%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -7.40%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-28 00:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -8.90%E -4.14%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -11.67%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-27 16:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -8.90%E -4.14%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -11.67%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-26 08:14 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -8.90%E -4.14%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.53%EV -11.14%E -3.65%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.59%EV -10.25%E -3.25%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-27 11:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -8.90%E -4.14%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.53%EV -11.14%E -3.65%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.59%EV -10.25%E -3.25%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-27 11:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -8.90%E -4.14%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.59%E -4.20%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.67%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-26 08:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -8.90%E -4.14%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.59%E -4.20%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.67%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-26 08:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -8.90%E -4.14%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.59%E -4.20%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.67%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-26 08:34 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -8.90%E -4.14%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.59%E -4.20%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.67%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-26 08:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 43.27%EV -9.75%E -4.58%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -3.85%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -8.82%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-22 07:19 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.89%EV -10.17%E -4.80%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.87%EV -8.22%E -2.61%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.24%EV -8.25%E -2.56%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-28 01:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -11.02%E -5.25%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -8.82%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-27 23:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -11.02%E -5.25%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -8.82%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-27 23:04 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.66%EV -11.02%E -5.25%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.44%EV -10.25%E -3.25%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-27 13:04 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.66%EV -11.02%E -5.25%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.44%EV -10.25%E -3.25%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-27 13:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -11.02%E -5.25%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -11.67%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-26 08:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -11.02%E -5.25%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -12.59%E -4.20%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -11.67%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-03-27 23:05 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.66%EV -13.14%E -6.41%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.67%EV -11.14%E -3.65%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.67%EV -13.10%E -4.29%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-03-28 02:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.63%EV -13.14%E -6.41%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.62%EV -14.05%E -4.76%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.74%EV -10.25%E -3.25%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-03-28 00:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.65%EV -15.26%E -7.63%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 28.92%EV -14.05%E -4.76%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.43%EV -14.52%E -4.84%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 17.2% | 2026-03-27 23:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 41.29%EV -15.26%E -7.63%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 28.68%EV -16.09%E -5.59%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 30.03%EV -21.65%E -7.87%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 21.1% | 2026-03-27 22:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.03% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.0% | 2026-03-28 01:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.85% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.99% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.16% | 1.5% | 2026-03-28 00:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.85% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.99% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.16% | 1.5% | 2026-03-28 01:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.85% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.99% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.16% | 1.5% | 2026-03-28 00:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.89% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.76% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.35% | 2.3% | 2026-03-28 00:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.13I 46.95%NM 43.87% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.06% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.06% | 7.0% | 2026-03-28 03:05 |