L’École des cotes

AD Ceuta FC v Cádiz CF

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-28 13:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

AD Ceuta FC (Local)

Prévision 42.37%2.36cote équitable
EV -3.39%
Avantage -1.49%
Kelly -2.65%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.28

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.29%42.38%42.37%43.27%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.172.192.2850.00%45.99%45.66%43.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cádiz CF (Visiteur)

Prévision 29.14%3.43cote équitable
EV -0.649%
Avantage -0.190%
Kelly -0.269%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.41

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.93%29.20%29.06%30.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.133.103.4134.72%31.90%32.26%29.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.49%3.51cote équitable
EV -0.276%
Avantage -0.079%
Kelly -0.110%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.27%28.41%28.57%30.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.753.213.203.5036.36%31.14%31.25%28.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
BetOnline.ag2.28I 43.86%NM 42.17%EV -3.39%E -1.49%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.70%EV -2.40%E -0.715%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.13%EV -5.97%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-27 18:05
LowVig.ag2.28I 43.86%NM 42.17%EV -3.39%E -1.49%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.70%EV -2.40%E -0.715%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.13%EV -5.97%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-27 18:05
BetAnything2.28I 43.86%NM 42.17%EV -3.39%E -1.49%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.70%EV -2.40%E -0.715%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.13%EV -5.97%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-27 18:05
Pinnacle2.26I 44.25%NM 42.82%EV -4.24%E -1.88%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.38%EV -0.649%E -0.190%K -0.269%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.80%EV -4.26%E -1.27%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-28 01:10
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.42%EV -4.66%E -2.07%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.30%EV -8.22%E -2.61%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV -0.276%E -0.079%K -0.110%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-26 08:35
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.66%E -2.07%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -3.85%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -5.97%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-26 08:33
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 42.12%EV -4.66%E -2.07%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.16%EV -5.31%E -1.63%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -5.97%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-27 13:04
Unibet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -4.66%E -2.07%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -6.77%E -2.11%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -5.97%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-27 11:40
Unibet (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -4.66%E -2.07%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -6.77%E -2.11%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -5.97%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-27 11:40
Unibet (NL)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -4.66%E -2.07%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -6.77%E -2.11%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -5.97%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-27 11:39
Svenska Spel2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -4.66%E -2.07%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -6.77%E -2.11%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -5.97%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-27 11:40
ATG (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -4.66%E -2.07%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -6.77%E -2.11%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -5.97%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-27 11:39
1xBet2.24I 44.64%NM 42.82%EV -5.09%E -2.27%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.72%EV -2.69%E -0.805%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.46%EV -3.98%E -1.18%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-28 01:55
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.78%E -3.08%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -3.13%E -0.919%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-26 08:34
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.78%E -3.08%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -4.55%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-26 08:34
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.78%E -3.08%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -6.77%E -2.11%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -8.82%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-27 16:50
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.78%E -3.08%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -6.77%E -2.11%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -8.82%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-27 23:10
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -6.78%E -3.08%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -5.97%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-26 08:34
NordicBet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.91%EV -6.78%E -3.08%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -8.22%E -2.61%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -8.82%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-26 12:55
Betsson2.20I 45.45%NM 41.91%EV -6.78%E -3.08%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -8.22%E -2.61%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -8.82%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-26 12:54
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -6.78%E -3.08%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -7.40%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-26 12:54
Casumo2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.78%E -3.08%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -8.82%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-27 11:40
TABtouch2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.78%E -3.08%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -8.82%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-27 11:39
Grosvenor2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.78%E -3.08%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -8.82%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-27 11:40
betPARX2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.78%E -3.08%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -8.82%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-27 11:39
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.78%E -3.08%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -8.82%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-26 14:39
Marathon Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.82%EV -7.63%E -3.50%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -5.31%E -1.63%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.46%EV -6.54%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-28 01:49
LeoVegas (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 41.94%EV -7.63%E -3.50%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -8.82%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-27 11:39
LeoVegas2.17I 46.08%NM 42.05%EV -8.05%E -3.71%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -8.82%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-27 11:39
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -8.90%E -4.14%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -6.77%E -2.11%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -5.97%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-27 23:47
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 42.54%EV -8.90%E -4.14%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.32%EV -9.10%E -2.92%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -7.40%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-26 08:34
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.26%EV -8.90%E -4.14%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.79%EV -11.14%E -3.65%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -7.40%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-28 00:15
William Hill2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -8.90%E -4.14%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -11.67%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-27 16:49
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -8.90%E -4.14%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -11.67%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-26 08:14
Virgin Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -8.90%E -4.14%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.53%EV -11.14%E -3.65%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.59%EV -10.25%E -3.25%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-27 11:40
LiveScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -8.90%E -4.14%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.53%EV -11.14%E -3.65%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.59%EV -10.25%E -3.25%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-27 11:39
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -8.90%E -4.14%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.59%E -4.20%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.67%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-26 08:34
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -8.90%E -4.14%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.59%E -4.20%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.67%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-26 08:34
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -8.90%E -4.14%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.59%E -4.20%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.67%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-26 08:34
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -8.90%E -4.14%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.59%E -4.20%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.67%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-26 08:15
Bovada2.13I 46.95%NM 43.27%EV -9.75%E -4.58%K -8.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -3.85%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -8.82%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-22 07:19
Betclic (FR)2.12I 47.17%NM 42.89%EV -10.17%E -4.80%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.87%EV -8.22%E -2.61%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.24%EV -8.25%E -2.56%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-28 01:05
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -11.02%E -5.25%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -8.82%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-27 23:50
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -11.02%E -5.25%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -8.82%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-27 23:04
Parions Sport (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.66%EV -11.02%E -5.25%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.44%EV -10.25%E -3.25%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-27 13:04
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.66%EV -11.02%E -5.25%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.44%EV -10.25%E -3.25%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-27 13:04
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -11.02%E -5.25%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -11.67%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-26 08:15
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -11.02%E -5.25%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -12.59%E -4.20%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -11.67%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%13.2%2026-03-27 23:05
NetBet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.66%EV -13.14%E -6.41%K -12.51%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.67%EV -11.14%E -3.65%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.67%EV -13.10%E -4.29%K -6.39%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-28 02:14
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.63%EV -13.14%E -6.41%K -12.51%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.62%EV -14.05%E -4.76%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.74%EV -10.25%E -3.25%K -4.77%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-28 00:15
PMU (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.65%EV -15.26%E -7.63%K -15.26%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 28.92%EV -14.05%E -4.76%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.43%EV -14.52%E -4.84%K -7.26%G +0.000%17.2%2026-03-27 23:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 41.29%EV -15.26%E -7.63%K -15.26%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.68%EV -16.09%E -5.59%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 30.03%EV -21.65%E -7.87%K -12.37%G +0.000%21.1%2026-03-27 22:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.30I 43.48%NM 43.03%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.0%2026-03-28 01:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.85%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.99%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.16%1.5%2026-03-28 00:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.85%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.99%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.16%1.5%2026-03-28 01:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.85%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.99%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.16%1.5%2026-03-28 00:15
Smarkets2.28I 43.86%NM 42.89%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.76%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.35%2.3%2026-03-28 00:10
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 43.87%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.06%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.06%7.0%2026-03-28 03:05