مدرسة الاحتمالات

AD Ceuta FC v Cádiz CF

البداية: 2026-03-28 13:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

52 شركة مراهنات (18 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

AD Ceuta FC (المضيف)

التنبؤ 42.37%2.36السعر العادل
EV -3.39%
الأفضلية -1.49%
Kelly -2.65%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.28

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
41.29%42.38%42.37%43.27%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.002.172.192.2850.00%45.99%45.66%43.86%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Cádiz CF (الضيف)

التنبؤ 29.14%3.43السعر العادل
EV -0.649%
الأفضلية -0.190%
Kelly -0.269%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.41

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
27.93%29.20%29.06%30.30%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.883.133.103.4134.72%31.90%32.26%29.33%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 28.49%3.51السعر العادل
EV -0.276%
الأفضلية -0.079%
Kelly -0.110%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
27.27%28.41%28.57%30.03%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.753.213.203.5036.36%31.14%31.25%28.57%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (52 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
BetOnline.ag2.28I 43.86%NM 42.17%EV -3.39%E -1.49%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.70%EV -2.40%E -0.715%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.13%EV -5.97%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-27 18:05
LowVig.ag2.28I 43.86%NM 42.17%EV -3.39%E -1.49%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.70%EV -2.40%E -0.715%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.13%EV -5.97%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-27 18:05
BetAnything2.28I 43.86%NM 42.17%EV -3.39%E -1.49%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.70%EV -2.40%E -0.715%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.13%EV -5.97%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-27 18:05
Pinnacle2.26I 44.25%NM 42.82%EV -4.24%E -1.88%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.38%EV -0.649%E -0.190%K -0.269%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.80%EV -4.26%E -1.27%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-28 01:10
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.42%EV -4.66%E -2.07%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.30%EV -8.22%E -2.61%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV -0.276%E -0.079%K -0.110%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-26 08:35
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.66%E -2.07%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -3.85%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -5.97%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-26 08:33
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 42.12%EV -4.66%E -2.07%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.16%EV -5.31%E -1.63%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -5.97%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-27 13:04
Unibet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -4.66%E -2.07%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -6.77%E -2.11%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -5.97%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-27 11:40
Unibet (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -4.66%E -2.07%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -6.77%E -2.11%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -5.97%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-27 11:40
Unibet (NL)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -4.66%E -2.07%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -6.77%E -2.11%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -5.97%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-27 11:39
Svenska Spel2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -4.66%E -2.07%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -6.77%E -2.11%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -5.97%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-27 11:40
ATG (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -4.66%E -2.07%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -6.77%E -2.11%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -5.97%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-27 11:39
1xBet2.24I 44.64%NM 42.82%EV -5.09%E -2.27%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.72%EV -2.69%E -0.805%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.46%EV -3.98%E -1.18%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-28 01:55
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.78%E -3.08%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -3.13%E -0.919%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-26 08:34
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.78%E -3.08%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -4.55%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-26 08:34
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.78%E -3.08%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -6.77%E -2.11%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -8.82%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-27 16:50
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.78%E -3.08%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -6.77%E -2.11%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -8.82%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-27 23:10
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -6.78%E -3.08%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -5.97%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-26 08:34
NordicBet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.91%EV -6.78%E -3.08%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -8.22%E -2.61%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -8.82%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-26 12:55
Betsson2.20I 45.45%NM 41.91%EV -6.78%E -3.08%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -8.22%E -2.61%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -8.82%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-26 12:54
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -6.78%E -3.08%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -7.40%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-26 12:54
Casumo2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.78%E -3.08%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -8.82%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-27 11:40
TABtouch2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.78%E -3.08%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -8.82%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-27 11:39
Grosvenor2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.78%E -3.08%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -8.82%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-27 11:40
betPARX2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.78%E -3.08%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -8.82%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-27 11:39
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.78%E -3.08%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -8.82%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-26 14:39
Marathon Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.82%EV -7.63%E -3.50%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -5.31%E -1.63%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.46%EV -6.54%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-28 01:49
LeoVegas (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 41.94%EV -7.63%E -3.50%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -8.82%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-27 11:39
LeoVegas2.17I 46.08%NM 42.05%EV -8.05%E -3.71%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -8.82%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-27 11:39
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -8.90%E -4.14%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -6.77%E -2.11%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -5.97%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-27 23:47
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 42.54%EV -8.90%E -4.14%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.32%EV -9.10%E -2.92%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -7.40%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-26 08:34
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.26%EV -8.90%E -4.14%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.79%EV -11.14%E -3.65%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -7.40%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-28 00:15
William Hill2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -8.90%E -4.14%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -11.67%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-27 16:49
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -8.90%E -4.14%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -11.67%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-26 08:14
Virgin Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -8.90%E -4.14%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.53%EV -11.14%E -3.65%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.59%EV -10.25%E -3.25%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-27 11:40
LiveScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -8.90%E -4.14%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.53%EV -11.14%E -3.65%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.59%EV -10.25%E -3.25%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-27 11:39
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -8.90%E -4.14%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.59%E -4.20%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.67%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-26 08:34
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -8.90%E -4.14%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.59%E -4.20%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.67%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-26 08:34
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -8.90%E -4.14%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.59%E -4.20%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.67%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-26 08:34
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -8.90%E -4.14%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.59%E -4.20%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.67%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-26 08:15
Bovada2.13I 46.95%NM 43.27%EV -9.75%E -4.58%K -8.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -3.85%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -8.82%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-22 07:19
Betclic (FR)2.12I 47.17%NM 42.89%EV -10.17%E -4.80%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.87%EV -8.22%E -2.61%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.24%EV -8.25%E -2.56%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-28 01:05
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -11.02%E -5.25%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -8.82%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-27 23:50
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -11.02%E -5.25%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -8.82%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-27 23:04
Parions Sport (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.66%EV -11.02%E -5.25%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.44%EV -10.25%E -3.25%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-27 13:04
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.66%EV -11.02%E -5.25%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.44%EV -10.25%E -3.25%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-27 13:04
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -11.02%E -5.25%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -11.67%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-26 08:15
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -11.02%E -5.25%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -12.59%E -4.20%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -11.67%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%13.2%2026-03-27 23:05
NetBet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.66%EV -13.14%E -6.41%K -12.51%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.67%EV -11.14%E -3.65%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.67%EV -13.10%E -4.29%K -6.39%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-28 02:14
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.63%EV -13.14%E -6.41%K -12.51%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.62%EV -14.05%E -4.76%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.74%EV -10.25%E -3.25%K -4.77%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-28 00:15
PMU (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.65%EV -15.26%E -7.63%K -15.26%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 28.92%EV -14.05%E -4.76%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.43%EV -14.52%E -4.84%K -7.26%G +0.000%17.2%2026-03-27 23:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 41.29%EV -15.26%E -7.63%K -15.26%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.68%EV -16.09%E -5.59%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 30.03%EV -21.65%E -7.87%K -12.37%G +0.000%21.1%2026-03-27 22:35
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook2.30I 43.48%NM 43.03%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.0%2026-03-28 01:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.85%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.99%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.16%1.5%2026-03-28 00:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.85%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.99%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.16%1.5%2026-03-28 01:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.85%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.99%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.16%1.5%2026-03-28 00:15
Smarkets2.28I 43.86%NM 42.89%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.76%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.35%2.3%2026-03-28 00:10
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 43.87%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.06%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.06%7.0%2026-03-28 03:05