La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
AD Ceuta FC v Cádiz CF
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
AD Ceuta FC (Local)
Predicción 42.37%2.36momio equitativo
EV -3.39%
Ventaja -1.49%
Kelly -2.65%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.28
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.29%42.38%42.37%43.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.172.192.2850.00%45.99%45.66%43.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Cádiz CF (Visitante)
Predicción 29.14%3.43momio equitativo
EV -0.649%
Ventaja -0.190%
Kelly -0.269%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.41
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.93%29.20%29.06%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.133.103.4134.72%31.90%32.26%29.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 28.49%3.51momio equitativo
EV -0.276%
Ventaja -0.079%
Kelly -0.110%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.27%28.41%28.57%30.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.753.213.203.5036.36%31.14%31.25%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.17%EV -3.39%E -1.49%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.70%EV -2.40%E -0.715%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.13%EV -5.97%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-27 18:05 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.17%EV -3.39%E -1.49%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.70%EV -2.40%E -0.715%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.13%EV -5.97%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-27 18:05 |
| BetAnything | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.17%EV -3.39%E -1.49%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.70%EV -2.40%E -0.715%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.13%EV -5.97%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-27 18:05 |
| Pinnacle | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.82%EV -4.24%E -1.88%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 28.38%EV -0.649%E -0.190%K -0.269%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.80%EV -4.26%E -1.27%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-28 01:10 |
| Coolbet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.42%EV -4.66%E -2.07%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.30%EV -8.22%E -2.61%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV -0.276%E -0.079%K -0.110%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-26 08:35 |
| Fanatics | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.66%E -2.07%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -3.85%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -5.97%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-26 08:33 |
| DraftKings | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.12%EV -4.66%E -2.07%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.16%EV -5.31%E -1.63%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -5.97%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-27 13:04 |
| Unibet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -4.66%E -2.07%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -6.77%E -2.11%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -5.97%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-27 11:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -4.66%E -2.07%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -6.77%E -2.11%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -5.97%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-27 11:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -4.66%E -2.07%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -6.77%E -2.11%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -5.97%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-27 11:39 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -4.66%E -2.07%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -6.77%E -2.11%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -5.97%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-27 11:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -4.66%E -2.07%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -6.77%E -2.11%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -5.97%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-27 11:39 |
| 1xBet | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.82%EV -5.09%E -2.27%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.72%EV -2.69%E -0.805%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.46%EV -3.98%E -1.18%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-28 01:55 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.78%E -3.08%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -3.13%E -0.919%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-26 08:34 |
| theScore Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.78%E -3.08%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -4.55%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-26 08:34 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.78%E -3.08%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -6.77%E -2.11%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -8.82%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-27 16:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.78%E -3.08%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -6.77%E -2.11%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -8.82%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-27 23:10 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -6.78%E -3.08%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -5.97%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-26 08:34 |
| NordicBet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.91%EV -6.78%E -3.08%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -8.22%E -2.61%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -8.82%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-26 12:55 |
| Betsson | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.91%EV -6.78%E -3.08%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -8.22%E -2.61%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -8.82%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-26 12:54 |
| Betway | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -6.78%E -3.08%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -7.40%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-26 12:54 |
| Casumo | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.78%E -3.08%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -8.82%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-27 11:40 |
| TABtouch | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.78%E -3.08%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -8.82%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-27 11:39 |
| Grosvenor | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.78%E -3.08%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -8.82%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-27 11:40 |
| betPARX | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.78%E -3.08%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -8.82%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-27 11:39 |
| BetMGM | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.78%E -3.08%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -8.82%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-26 14:39 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.82%EV -7.63%E -3.50%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -5.31%E -1.63%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.46%EV -6.54%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-28 01:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.94%EV -7.63%E -3.50%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -8.82%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-27 11:39 |
| LeoVegas | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.05%EV -8.05%E -3.71%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -8.82%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-27 11:39 |
| FanDuel | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -8.90%E -4.14%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -6.77%E -2.11%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -5.97%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-27 23:47 |
| Bet Victor | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.54%EV -8.90%E -4.14%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.32%EV -9.10%E -2.92%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -7.40%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-26 08:34 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.26%EV -8.90%E -4.14%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.79%EV -11.14%E -3.65%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -7.40%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-28 00:15 |
| William Hill | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -8.90%E -4.14%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -11.67%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-27 16:49 |
| PlayUp | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -8.90%E -4.14%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -11.67%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-26 08:14 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -8.90%E -4.14%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.53%EV -11.14%E -3.65%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.59%EV -10.25%E -3.25%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-27 11:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -8.90%E -4.14%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.53%EV -11.14%E -3.65%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.59%EV -10.25%E -3.25%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-27 11:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -8.90%E -4.14%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.59%E -4.20%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.67%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-26 08:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -8.90%E -4.14%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.59%E -4.20%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.67%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-26 08:34 |
| Neds | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -8.90%E -4.14%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.59%E -4.20%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.67%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-26 08:34 |
| Coral | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -8.90%E -4.14%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.59%E -4.20%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.67%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-26 08:15 |
| Bovada | 2.13I 46.95%NM 43.27%EV -9.75%E -4.58%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -3.85%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -8.82%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-22 07:19 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.89%EV -10.17%E -4.80%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.87%EV -8.22%E -2.61%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.24%EV -8.25%E -2.56%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-28 01:05 |
| SportsBet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -11.02%E -5.25%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -8.82%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-27 23:50 |
| Paddy Power | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -11.02%E -5.25%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -8.82%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-27 23:04 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.66%EV -11.02%E -5.25%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.44%EV -10.25%E -3.25%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-27 13:04 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.66%EV -11.02%E -5.25%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.44%EV -10.25%E -3.25%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-27 13:04 |
| BoyleSports | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -11.02%E -5.25%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -11.67%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-26 08:15 |
| Sky Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -11.02%E -5.25%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -12.59%E -4.20%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -11.67%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-03-27 23:05 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.66%EV -13.14%E -6.41%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.67%EV -11.14%E -3.65%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.67%EV -13.10%E -4.29%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-03-28 02:14 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.63%EV -13.14%E -6.41%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.62%EV -14.05%E -4.76%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.74%EV -10.25%E -3.25%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-03-28 00:15 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.65%EV -15.26%E -7.63%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 28.92%EV -14.05%E -4.76%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.43%EV -14.52%E -4.84%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 17.2% | 2026-03-27 23:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 41.29%EV -15.26%E -7.63%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 28.68%EV -16.09%E -5.59%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 30.03%EV -21.65%E -7.87%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 21.1% | 2026-03-27 22:35 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.03% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.0% | 2026-03-28 01:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.85% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.99% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.16% | 1.5% | 2026-03-28 00:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.85% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.99% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.16% | 1.5% | 2026-03-28 01:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.85% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.99% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.16% | 1.5% | 2026-03-28 00:15 |
| Smarkets | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.89% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.76% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.35% | 2.3% | 2026-03-28 00:10 |
| Kalshi | 2.13I 46.95%NM 43.87% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.06% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.06% | 7.0% | 2026-03-28 03:05 |