Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

AD Ceuta FC v Cádiz CF

Inizio: 2026-03-28 13:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

52 bookmaker (18 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

AD Ceuta FC (Casa)

Previsione 42.37%2.36quota equa
EV -3.39%
Vantaggio -1.49%
Kelly -2.65%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.28

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
41.29%42.38%42.37%43.27%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.002.172.192.2850.00%45.99%45.66%43.86%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Cádiz CF (Trasferta)

Previsione 29.14%3.43quota equa
EV -0.649%
Vantaggio -0.190%
Kelly -0.269%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.41

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.93%29.20%29.06%30.30%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.883.133.103.4134.72%31.90%32.26%29.33%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 28.49%3.51quota equa
EV -0.276%
Vantaggio -0.079%
Kelly -0.110%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.27%28.41%28.57%30.03%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.753.213.203.5036.36%31.14%31.25%28.57%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: AD Ceuta FC (Casa): 42.37%; Cádiz CF (Trasferta): 29.14%; Pareggio: 28.49%. Per Pareggio, questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.51. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 3.50, con un valore atteso del -0.276%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (52 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
BetOnline.ag🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.17%EV -3.39%E -1.49%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.70%EV -2.40%E -0.715%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.13%EV -5.97%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-27 18:05
LowVig.ag🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.17%EV -3.39%E -1.49%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.70%EV -2.40%E -0.715%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.13%EV -5.97%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-27 18:05
BetAnything🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.17%EV -3.39%E -1.49%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.70%EV -2.40%E -0.715%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.13%EV -5.97%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-27 18:05
Pinnacle🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.82%EV -4.24%E -1.88%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.38%EV -0.649%E -0.190%K -0.269%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.80%EV -4.26%E -1.27%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-28 01:10
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.42%EV -4.66%E -2.07%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.30%EV -8.22%E -2.61%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV -0.276%E -0.079%K -0.110%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-26 08:35
Fanatics🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.66%E -2.07%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -3.85%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -5.97%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-26 08:33
DraftKings🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.12%EV -4.66%E -2.07%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.16%EV -5.31%E -1.63%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -5.97%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-27 13:04
Unibet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -4.66%E -2.07%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -6.77%E -2.11%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -5.97%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-27 11:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -4.66%E -2.07%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -6.77%E -2.11%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -5.97%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-27 11:40
Unibet (NL)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -4.66%E -2.07%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -6.77%E -2.11%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -5.97%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-27 11:39
Svenska Spel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -4.66%E -2.07%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -6.77%E -2.11%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -5.97%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-27 11:40
ATG (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -4.66%E -2.07%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -6.77%E -2.11%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -5.97%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-27 11:39
1xBet🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.82%EV -5.09%E -2.27%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.72%EV -2.69%E -0.805%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.46%EV -3.98%E -1.18%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-28 01:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.78%E -3.08%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -3.13%E -0.919%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-26 08:34
theScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.78%E -3.08%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -4.55%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-26 08:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.78%E -3.08%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -6.77%E -2.11%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -8.82%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-27 16:50
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.78%E -3.08%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -6.77%E -2.11%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -8.82%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-27 23:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -6.78%E -3.08%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -5.97%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-26 08:34
NordicBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.91%EV -6.78%E -3.08%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -8.22%E -2.61%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -8.82%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-26 12:55
Betsson🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.91%EV -6.78%E -3.08%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -8.22%E -2.61%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -8.82%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-26 12:54
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -6.78%E -3.08%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -7.40%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-26 12:54
Casumo🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.78%E -3.08%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -8.82%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-27 11:40
TABtouch🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.78%E -3.08%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -8.82%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-27 11:39
Grosvenor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.78%E -3.08%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -8.82%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-27 11:40
betPARX🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.78%E -3.08%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -8.82%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-27 11:39
BetMGM🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.78%E -3.08%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -8.82%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-26 14:39
Marathon Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.82%EV -7.63%E -3.50%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -5.31%E -1.63%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.46%EV -6.54%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-28 01:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.94%EV -7.63%E -3.50%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -8.82%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-27 11:39
LeoVegas🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.05%EV -8.05%E -3.71%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -8.82%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-27 11:39
FanDuel🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -8.90%E -4.14%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -6.77%E -2.11%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -5.97%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-27 23:47
Bet Victor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.54%EV -8.90%E -4.14%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.32%EV -9.10%E -2.92%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -7.40%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-26 08:34
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.26%EV -8.90%E -4.14%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.79%EV -11.14%E -3.65%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -7.40%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-28 00:15
William Hill🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -8.90%E -4.14%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -11.67%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-27 16:49
PlayUp🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -8.90%E -4.14%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -11.67%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-26 08:14
Virgin Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -8.90%E -4.14%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.53%EV -11.14%E -3.65%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.59%EV -10.25%E -3.25%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-27 11:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -8.90%E -4.14%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.53%EV -11.14%E -3.65%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.59%EV -10.25%E -3.25%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-27 11:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -8.90%E -4.14%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.59%E -4.20%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.67%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-26 08:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -8.90%E -4.14%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.59%E -4.20%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.67%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-26 08:34
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -8.90%E -4.14%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.59%E -4.20%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.67%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-26 08:34
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -8.90%E -4.14%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.59%E -4.20%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.67%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-26 08:15
Bovada🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 43.27%EV -9.75%E -4.58%K -8.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -3.85%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -8.82%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-22 07:19
Betclic (FR)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.89%EV -10.17%E -4.80%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.87%EV -8.22%E -2.61%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.24%EV -8.25%E -2.56%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-28 01:05
SportsBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -11.02%E -5.25%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -8.82%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-27 23:50
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -11.02%E -5.25%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -8.82%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-27 23:04
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.66%EV -11.02%E -5.25%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.44%EV -10.25%E -3.25%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-27 13:04
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.66%EV -11.02%E -5.25%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.44%EV -10.25%E -3.25%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-27 13:04
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -11.02%E -5.25%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -11.67%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-26 08:15
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -11.02%E -5.25%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -12.59%E -4.20%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -11.67%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%13.2%2026-03-27 23:05
NetBet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.66%EV -13.14%E -6.41%K -12.51%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.67%EV -11.14%E -3.65%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.67%EV -13.10%E -4.29%K -6.39%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-28 02:14
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.63%EV -13.14%E -6.41%K -12.51%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.62%EV -14.05%E -4.76%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.74%EV -10.25%E -3.25%K -4.77%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-28 00:15
PMU (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 42.65%EV -15.26%E -7.63%K -15.26%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 28.92%EV -14.05%E -4.76%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.43%EV -14.52%E -4.84%K -7.26%G +0.000%17.2%2026-03-27 23:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 41.29%EV -15.26%E -7.63%K -15.26%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.68%EV -16.09%E -5.59%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 30.03%EV -21.65%E -7.87%K -12.37%G +0.000%21.1%2026-03-27 22:35
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook2.30I 43.48%NM 43.03%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.0%2026-03-28 01:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.85%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.99%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.16%1.5%2026-03-28 00:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.85%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.99%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.16%1.5%2026-03-28 01:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.85%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.99%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.16%1.5%2026-03-28 00:15
Smarkets2.28I 43.86%NM 42.89%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.76%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.35%2.3%2026-03-28 00:10
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 43.87%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.06%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.06%7.0%2026-03-28 03:05