Language:English
Real Madrid v Villarreal
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Real Madrid (Local)
Prediction 71.42%1.40fair odd
EV -2.87%
Edge -2.11%
Kelly -7.97%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.36
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.49%71.36%71.53%73.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.271.321.311.3678.74%75.83%76.05%73.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Villarreal (Visit)
Prediction 12.23%8.18fair odd
EV +10.07%
Edge +1.12%
Kelly +1.26%
Growth +0.127%
assuming max odds 9.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.55%12.30%12.03%14.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.507.838.009.0015.38%12.78%12.50%11.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 16.35%6.12fair odd
EV +6.27%
Edge +0.965%
Kelly +1.14%
Growth +0.072%
assuming max odds 6.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.87%16.34%16.43%18.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.005.725.756.5020.00%17.49%17.39%15.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Real Madrid (Local): 71.42%; Villarreal (Visit): 12.23%; Draw: 16.35%. For Villarreal (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.18. 21 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 9.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +10.07%.
Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -7.87%E -6.10%K -27.13%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.55%EV +10.07%E +1.12%K +1.26%G +0.127% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.83%EV -1.90%E -0.317%K -0.380%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-10 18:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.71%EV -2.87%E -2.11%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.47%EV +3.95%E +0.465%K +0.527%G +0.021% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.82%EV -5.17%E -0.891%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-10-10 18:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.60%EV -4.30%E -3.21%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.45%EV +3.95%E +0.465%K +0.527%G +0.021% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.95%EV -0.266%E -0.044%K -0.052%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-10-10 18:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.60%EV -4.30%E -3.21%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.45%EV +3.95%E +0.465%K +0.527%G +0.021% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.95%EV -0.266%E -0.044%K -0.052%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-10-10 18:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.60%EV -4.30%E -3.21%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.45%EV +3.95%E +0.465%K +0.527%G +0.021% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.95%EV -0.266%E -0.044%K -0.052%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-10-10 18:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.77%EV -6.44%E -4.92%K -20.77%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.37%EV +3.95%E +0.465%K +0.527%G +0.021% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.87%EV +6.27%E +0.965%K +1.14%G +0.072% | 3.5% | 2026-10-10 18:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -5.73%E -4.34%K -17.89%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.32%EV +3.95%E +0.465%K +0.527%G +0.021% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.78%EV -0.266%E -0.044%K -0.052%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-10 18:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.71%EV -5.73%E -4.34%K -17.89%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.29%EV +3.95%E +0.465%K +0.527%G +0.021% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.00%EV -1.90%E -0.317%K -0.380%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-10 18:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.01%EV -7.15%E -5.50%K -23.85%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.17%EV +3.95%E +0.465%K +0.527%G +0.021% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.82%EV -1.90%E -0.317%K -0.380%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-10 18:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.01%EV -7.15%E -5.50%K -23.85%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.17%EV +3.95%E +0.465%K +0.527%G +0.021% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.82%EV -1.90%E -0.317%K -0.380%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-10 18:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.36%EV -6.44%E -4.92%K -20.77%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.15%EV +3.95%E +0.465%K +0.527%G +0.021% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.49%EV -5.99%E -1.04%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-10 18:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.62%EV -7.15%E -5.50%K -23.85%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.11%EV +3.95%E +0.465%K +0.527%G +0.021% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.28%EV -5.17%E -0.891%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-10 18:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.62%EV -7.15%E -5.50%K -23.85%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.11%EV +3.95%E +0.465%K +0.527%G +0.021% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.28%EV -5.17%E -0.891%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-10 18:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.62%EV -7.15%E -5.50%K -23.85%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.11%EV +3.95%E +0.465%K +0.527%G +0.021% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.28%EV -5.17%E -0.891%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-10 18:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.20%EV -7.15%E -5.50%K -23.85%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.04%EV +3.95%E +0.465%K +0.527%G +0.021% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.76%EV -8.44%E -1.51%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-10 18:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.84%EV -5.01%E -3.77%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.22%EV +2.73%E +0.325%K +0.369%G +0.010% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.95%EV -14.16%E -2.70%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-10 18:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.71%EV -4.30%E -3.21%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 8.30I 12.05%NM 11.42%EV +1.51%E +0.182%K +0.207%G +0.003% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.88%EV -13.35%E -2.52%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-10 18:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.53%EV -3.58%E -2.65%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.70%EV +0.897%E +0.109%K +0.124%G +0.001% | 5.76I 17.36%NM 16.76%EV -5.82%E -1.01%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-10-10 18:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.53%EV -3.58%E -2.65%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.70%EV +0.897%E +0.109%K +0.124%G +0.001% | 5.76I 17.36%NM 16.76%EV -5.82%E -1.01%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-10-10 18:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.86%EV -5.73%E -4.34%K -17.89%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.50%EV +0.897%E +0.109%K +0.124%G +0.001% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.64%EV -6.81%E -1.19%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-10 18:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.77%EV -7.15%E -5.50%K -23.85%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.47%EV +0.897%E +0.109%K +0.124%G +0.001% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.77%EV -1.90%E -0.317%K -0.380%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-10 18:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.19%EV -5.01%E -3.77%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 8.04I 12.44%NM 11.94%EV -1.67%E -0.208%K -0.237%G +0.000% | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.87%EV -1.08%E -0.179%K -0.214%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-10 18:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.50%EV -2.87%E -2.11%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.16%EV -2.16%E -0.270%K -0.309%G +0.000% | 5.95I 16.81%NM 16.34%EV -2.72%E -0.457%K -0.549%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-10-10 18:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.60%EV -5.73%E -4.34%K -17.89%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV -2.16%E -0.270%K -0.309%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.58%EV -6.81%E -1.19%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-10 18:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.51%EV -7.15%E -5.50%K -23.85%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV -2.16%E -0.270%K -0.309%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -1.90%E -0.317%K -0.380%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-10 18:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.51%EV -7.15%E -5.50%K -23.85%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV -2.16%E -0.270%K -0.309%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -1.90%E -0.317%K -0.380%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-10 18:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.86%EV -6.44%E -4.92%K -20.77%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV -2.16%E -0.270%K -0.309%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.37%EV -5.99%E -1.04%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-10 18:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.70%EV -7.15%E -5.50%K -23.85%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV -2.16%E -0.270%K -0.309%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.65%EV -8.44%E -1.51%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-10 18:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.17%EV -7.87%E -6.10%K -27.13%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.64%EV -2.16%E -0.270%K -0.309%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -5.99%E -1.04%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-10 18:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.49%EV -7.15%E -5.50%K -23.85%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV -2.16%E -0.270%K -0.309%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -10.08%E -1.83%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-10 18:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.49%EV -7.15%E -5.50%K -23.85%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV -2.16%E -0.270%K -0.309%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -10.08%E -1.83%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-10 18:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.64%EV -7.87%E -6.10%K -27.13%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -2.16%E -0.270%K -0.309%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -10.08%E -1.83%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-10 18:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.64%EV -7.87%E -6.10%K -27.13%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -2.16%E -0.270%K -0.309%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -10.08%E -1.83%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-10 18:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.48%EV -9.30%E -7.32%K -34.43%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.51%EV -2.16%E -0.270%K -0.309%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.01%EV -5.99%E -1.04%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-10 18:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -7.15%E -5.50%K -23.85%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -2.16%E -0.270%K -0.309%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -18.25%E -3.65%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-10 18:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -7.15%E -5.50%K -23.85%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -2.16%E -0.270%K -0.309%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -18.25%E -3.65%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-10 18:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.31%EV -5.01%E -3.77%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 7.78I 12.85%NM 12.19%EV -4.85%E -0.623%K -0.715%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.50%EV -5.99%E -1.04%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-10 18:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.97%EV -5.01%E -3.77%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.18%EV -5.22%E -0.673%K -0.773%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.85%EV -8.44%E -1.51%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-10 18:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.56%EV -5.01%E -3.77%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.94%EV -5.22%E -0.673%K -0.773%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -18.25%E -3.65%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-10 18:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.84%EV -4.30%E -3.21%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.66%EV -8.28%E -1.10%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.51%EV -5.99%E -1.04%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-10 18:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.15%EV -3.58%E -2.65%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.63%EV -8.28%E -1.10%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.22%EV -10.08%E -1.83%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-10 17:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.99%EV -5.01%E -3.77%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -8.28%E -1.10%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -5.99%E -1.04%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-10 18:46 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.99%EV -5.01%E -3.77%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -8.28%E -1.10%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -5.99%E -1.04%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-10 18:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.94%EV -7.15%E -5.50%K -23.85%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.30%EV -8.28%E -1.10%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.77%EV -10.08%E -1.83%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-10 18:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -7.87%E -6.10%K -27.13%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -8.28%E -1.10%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.04%EV -18.25%E -3.65%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-10-10 18:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.85%EV -7.15%E -5.50%K -23.85%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.70%EV -11.33%E -1.56%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.45%EV -8.44%E -1.51%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-10 18:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.95%EV -4.30%E -3.21%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.20%EV -11.94%E -1.66%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -1.90%E -0.317%K -0.380%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-10 18:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.84%EV -7.87%E -6.10%K -27.13%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.69%EV -11.94%E -1.66%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.55I 18.02%NM 16.47%EV -9.26%E -1.67%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-10 18:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.89%EV -2.87%E -2.11%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -14.39%E -2.06%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.53%EV -5.99%E -1.04%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-10 18:11 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.89%EV -2.87%E -2.11%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -14.39%E -2.06%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.53%EV -5.99%E -1.04%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-10 16:01 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.89%EV -2.87%E -2.11%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -14.39%E -2.06%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.53%EV -5.99%E -1.04%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-10 18:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.20%EV -4.30%E -3.21%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.44%EV -14.39%E -2.06%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -5.99%E -1.04%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-10 18:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.21%EV -5.73%E -4.34%K -17.89%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -14.39%E -2.06%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.55%EV -8.44%E -1.51%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-10 18:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.67%EV -6.44%E -4.92%K -20.77%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.23%EV -14.39%E -2.06%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.10%EV -5.99%E -1.04%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-10 18:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.46%EV -3.58%E -2.65%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.79%EV -16.84%E -2.48%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.75%EV -8.44%E -1.51%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-10 18:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.46%EV -3.58%E -2.65%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.79%EV -16.84%E -2.48%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.75%EV -8.44%E -1.51%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-10 18:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.49%EV -5.01%E -3.77%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.89%EV -17.45%E -2.58%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -1.90%E -0.317%K -0.380%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-10 18:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.90%EV -7.87%E -6.10%K -27.13%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 13.86%EV -19.28%E -2.92%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.24%EV -1.90%E -0.317%K -0.380%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-10 18:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.25%EV -6.44%E -4.92%K -20.77%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -20.51%E -3.15%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.60%EV -3.54%E -0.599%K -0.722%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-10 18:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.49%EV -7.15%E -5.50%K -23.85%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -20.51%E -3.15%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -18.25%E -3.65%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-10-10 18:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.61% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.81% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.58% | 0.5% | 2026-10-10 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.61% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.81% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.58% | 0.5% | 2026-10-10 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.61% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.81% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.58% | 0.5% | 2026-10-10 18:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.61% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.81% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.58% | 0.5% | 2026-10-10 18:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.58% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.97% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.45% | 1.3% | 2026-10-10 18:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.86% | 8.33I 12.00%NM 11.65% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.50% | 3.1% | 2026-10-10 18:50 |