Lingua:Italiano
Real Madrid v Villarreal
Testa a testa
Real Madrid (Casa)
Previsione 75.37%1.33quota equa
EV -4.27%
Vantaggio -3.37%
Kelly -15.83%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.27
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
73.29%75.47%75.42%77.94%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.171.231.231.2785.47%81.02%81.30%78.74%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Villarreal (Trasferta)
Previsione 10.05%9.95quota equa
EV +15.62%
Vantaggio +1.36%
Kelly +1.49%
Crescita +0.232%
ipotizzando la quota massima 11.50
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
8.18%9.83%10.05%11.53%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
7.509.549.5011.5013.33%10.48%10.53%8.70%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Pareggio
Previsione 14.57%6.86quota equa
EV +9.00%
Vantaggio +1.20%
Kelly +1.39%
Crescita +0.125%
ipotizzando la quota massima 7.48
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
13.13%14.70%14.53%16.51%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
5.706.466.507.4817.54%15.48%15.38%13.37%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Per Testa a testa, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stima queste probabilità: Real Madrid (Casa): 75.37%; Villarreal (Trasferta): 10.05%; Pareggio: 14.57%. Per Villarreal (Trasferta), questa stima equivale a una quota decimale equa di 9.95. 10 bookmaker offrono quote superiori a tale livello; la migliore quota disponibile è 11.50, con un valore atteso positivo del +15.62%.
Quote dei bookmaker (30 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betsson🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.41%EV -5.78%E -4.63%K -23.13%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.20%EV +15.62%E +1.36%K +1.49%G +0.232% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -16.21%E -2.82%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-17 16:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.30%EV -5.78%E -4.63%K -23.13%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.18%EV +15.62%E +1.36%K +1.49%G +0.232% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.51%EV -16.94%E -2.97%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-17 16:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.94%EV -5.03%E -3.99%K -19.34%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.93%EV +10.59%E +0.963%K +1.06%G +0.112% | 7.48I 13.37%NM 13.13%EV +9.00%E +1.20%K +1.39%G +0.125% | 1.8% | 2026-09-17 16:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.81%EV -8.04%E -6.59%K -36.56%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.63%EV +10.59%E +0.963%K +1.06%G +0.112% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.56%EV +2.00%E +0.286%K +0.333%G +0.007% | 5.3% | 2026-09-17 14:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.11%EV -8.04%E -6.59%K -36.56%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.96%EV +5.56%E +0.530%K +0.586%G +0.033% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.94%EV -1.64%E -0.243%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-17 14:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.04%EV -4.27%E -3.37%K -15.83%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.66%EV +0.537%E +0.054%K +0.060%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.31%EV -1.64%E -0.243%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-17 12:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.04%EV -4.27%E -3.37%K -15.83%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.66%EV +0.537%E +0.054%K +0.060%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.31%EV -1.64%E -0.243%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-17 12:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.04%EV -4.27%E -3.37%K -15.83%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.66%EV +0.537%E +0.054%K +0.060%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.31%EV -1.64%E -0.243%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-17 12:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.04%EV -4.27%E -3.37%K -15.83%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.66%EV +0.537%E +0.054%K +0.060%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.31%EV -1.64%E -0.243%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-17 12:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.04%EV -4.27%E -3.37%K -15.83%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.66%EV +0.537%E +0.054%K +0.060%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.31%EV -1.64%E -0.243%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-17 12:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.67%EV -6.54%E -5.27%K -27.23%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.75%EV -1.98%E -0.203%K -0.226%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +2.00%E +0.286%K +0.333%G +0.007% | 5.2% | 2026-09-17 16:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.54%EV -5.78%E -4.63%K -23.13%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV -4.49%E -0.473%K -0.528%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -5.28%E -0.813%K -0.961%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-17 12:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.54%EV -5.78%E -4.63%K -23.13%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV -4.49%E -0.473%K -0.528%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -5.28%E -0.813%K -0.961%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-17 12:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.54%EV -5.78%E -4.63%K -23.13%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV -4.49%E -0.473%K -0.528%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -5.28%E -0.813%K -0.961%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-17 12:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.54%EV -5.78%E -4.63%K -23.13%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV -4.49%E -0.473%K -0.528%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -5.28%E -0.813%K -0.961%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-17 13:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.98%EV -8.04%E -6.59%K -36.56%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.76%EV -4.49%E -0.473%K -0.528%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -5.28%E -0.813%K -0.961%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-17 17:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.98%EV -8.04%E -6.59%K -36.56%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.76%EV -4.49%E -0.473%K -0.528%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -5.28%E -0.813%K -0.961%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-17 17:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.54%EV -7.29%E -5.93%K -31.69%G +0.000% | 9.37I 10.67%NM 10.05%EV -5.80%E -0.619%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 7.02I 14.25%NM 13.41%EV +2.29%E +0.327%K +0.381%G +0.009% | 6.2% | 2026-09-17 16:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.10%EV -6.54%E -5.27%K -27.23%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.35%EV -9.52%E -1.06%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.55%EV -6.74%E -1.05%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-17 12:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.99%EV -7.29%E -5.93%K -31.69%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV -9.52%E -1.06%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.76%EV -8.93%E -1.43%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-17 12:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.99%EV -7.29%E -5.93%K -31.69%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV -9.52%E -1.06%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.76%EV -8.93%E -1.43%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-17 12:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.99%EV -7.29%E -5.93%K -31.69%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV -9.52%E -1.06%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.76%EV -8.93%E -1.43%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-17 12:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.99%EV -7.29%E -5.93%K -31.69%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV -9.52%E -1.06%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.76%EV -8.93%E -1.43%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-17 12:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.72%EV -8.80%E -7.27%K -41.89%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.18%EV -9.52%E -1.06%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -5.28%E -0.813%K -0.961%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-17 15:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 74.92%EV -11.81%E -10.10%K -69.48%G +0.000% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 9.96%EV -11.53%E -1.31%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.11%EV -15.48%E -2.67%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-09-17 16:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 74.76%EV -10.30%E -8.66%K -54.23%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.17%EV -12.03%E -1.37%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.08%EV -14.03%E -2.38%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-17 16:34 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.12%EV -8.04%E -6.59%K -36.56%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -14.54%E -1.71%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -5.28%E -0.813%K -0.961%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-17 16:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.12%EV -8.04%E -6.59%K -36.56%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -14.54%E -1.71%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -5.28%E -0.813%K -0.961%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-17 14:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.25%EV -8.04%E -6.59%K -36.56%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.66%EV -14.54%E -1.71%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.10%EV -12.57%E -2.10%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-17 12:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 73.29%EV -11.06%E -9.37%K -61.43%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.53%EV -24.60%E -3.28%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.17%EV -16.94%E -2.97%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-09-17 16:35 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (1)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 72.78% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.01% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.20% | 16.4% | 2026-09-17 16:35 |