Langue:Français
Real Madrid v Villarreal
Résultat du match
Real Madrid (Local)
Prévision 75.37%1.33cote équitable
EV -4.27%
Avantage -3.37%
Kelly -15.83%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.27
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
73.29%75.47%75.42%77.94%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.171.231.231.2785.47%81.02%81.30%78.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Villarreal (Visiteur)
Prévision 10.05%9.95cote équitable
EV +15.62%
Avantage +1.36%
Kelly +1.49%
Croissance +0.232%
avec la cote maximale 11.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
8.18%9.83%10.05%11.53%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
7.509.549.5011.5013.33%10.48%10.53%8.70%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 14.57%6.86cote équitable
EV +9.00%
Avantage +1.20%
Kelly +1.39%
Croissance +0.125%
avec la cote maximale 7.48
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
13.13%14.70%14.53%16.51%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.706.466.507.4817.54%15.48%15.38%13.37%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Real Madrid (Local) : 75.37% ; Villarreal (Visiteur) : 10.05% ; Match nul : 14.57%. Pour Villarreal (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 9.95. 10 opérateurs proposent une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 11.50, pour une espérance positive de +15.62%.
Cotes des opérateurs (30 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betsson🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.41%EV -5.78%E -4.63%K -23.13%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.20%EV +15.62%E +1.36%K +1.49%G +0.232% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -16.21%E -2.82%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-17 16:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.30%EV -5.78%E -4.63%K -23.13%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.18%EV +15.62%E +1.36%K +1.49%G +0.232% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.51%EV -16.94%E -2.97%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-17 16:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.94%EV -5.03%E -3.99%K -19.34%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.93%EV +10.59%E +0.963%K +1.06%G +0.112% | 7.48I 13.37%NM 13.13%EV +9.00%E +1.20%K +1.39%G +0.125% | 1.8% | 2026-09-17 16:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.81%EV -8.04%E -6.59%K -36.56%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.63%EV +10.59%E +0.963%K +1.06%G +0.112% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.56%EV +2.00%E +0.286%K +0.333%G +0.007% | 5.3% | 2026-09-17 14:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.11%EV -8.04%E -6.59%K -36.56%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.96%EV +5.56%E +0.530%K +0.586%G +0.033% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.94%EV -1.64%E -0.243%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-17 14:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.04%EV -4.27%E -3.37%K -15.83%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.66%EV +0.537%E +0.054%K +0.060%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.31%EV -1.64%E -0.243%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-17 12:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.04%EV -4.27%E -3.37%K -15.83%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.66%EV +0.537%E +0.054%K +0.060%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.31%EV -1.64%E -0.243%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-17 12:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.04%EV -4.27%E -3.37%K -15.83%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.66%EV +0.537%E +0.054%K +0.060%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.31%EV -1.64%E -0.243%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-17 12:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.04%EV -4.27%E -3.37%K -15.83%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.66%EV +0.537%E +0.054%K +0.060%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.31%EV -1.64%E -0.243%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-17 12:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.04%EV -4.27%E -3.37%K -15.83%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.66%EV +0.537%E +0.054%K +0.060%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.31%EV -1.64%E -0.243%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-17 12:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.67%EV -6.54%E -5.27%K -27.23%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.75%EV -1.98%E -0.203%K -0.226%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +2.00%E +0.286%K +0.333%G +0.007% | 5.2% | 2026-09-17 16:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.54%EV -5.78%E -4.63%K -23.13%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV -4.49%E -0.473%K -0.528%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -5.28%E -0.813%K -0.961%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-17 12:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.54%EV -5.78%E -4.63%K -23.13%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV -4.49%E -0.473%K -0.528%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -5.28%E -0.813%K -0.961%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-17 12:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.54%EV -5.78%E -4.63%K -23.13%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV -4.49%E -0.473%K -0.528%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -5.28%E -0.813%K -0.961%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-17 12:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.54%EV -5.78%E -4.63%K -23.13%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV -4.49%E -0.473%K -0.528%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -5.28%E -0.813%K -0.961%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-17 13:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.98%EV -8.04%E -6.59%K -36.56%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.76%EV -4.49%E -0.473%K -0.528%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -5.28%E -0.813%K -0.961%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-17 17:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.98%EV -8.04%E -6.59%K -36.56%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.76%EV -4.49%E -0.473%K -0.528%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -5.28%E -0.813%K -0.961%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-17 17:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.54%EV -7.29%E -5.93%K -31.69%G +0.000% | 9.37I 10.67%NM 10.05%EV -5.80%E -0.619%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 7.02I 14.25%NM 13.41%EV +2.29%E +0.327%K +0.381%G +0.009% | 6.2% | 2026-09-17 16:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.10%EV -6.54%E -5.27%K -27.23%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.35%EV -9.52%E -1.06%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.55%EV -6.74%E -1.05%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-17 12:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.99%EV -7.29%E -5.93%K -31.69%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV -9.52%E -1.06%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.76%EV -8.93%E -1.43%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-17 12:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.99%EV -7.29%E -5.93%K -31.69%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV -9.52%E -1.06%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.76%EV -8.93%E -1.43%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-17 12:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.99%EV -7.29%E -5.93%K -31.69%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV -9.52%E -1.06%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.76%EV -8.93%E -1.43%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-17 12:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.99%EV -7.29%E -5.93%K -31.69%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV -9.52%E -1.06%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.76%EV -8.93%E -1.43%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-17 12:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.72%EV -8.80%E -7.27%K -41.89%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.18%EV -9.52%E -1.06%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -5.28%E -0.813%K -0.961%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-17 15:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 74.92%EV -11.81%E -10.10%K -69.48%G +0.000% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 9.96%EV -11.53%E -1.31%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.11%EV -15.48%E -2.67%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-09-17 16:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 74.76%EV -10.30%E -8.66%K -54.23%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.17%EV -12.03%E -1.37%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.08%EV -14.03%E -2.38%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-17 16:34 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.12%EV -8.04%E -6.59%K -36.56%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -14.54%E -1.71%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -5.28%E -0.813%K -0.961%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-17 16:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.12%EV -8.04%E -6.59%K -36.56%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -14.54%E -1.71%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -5.28%E -0.813%K -0.961%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-17 14:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.25%EV -8.04%E -6.59%K -36.56%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.66%EV -14.54%E -1.71%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.10%EV -12.57%E -2.10%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-17 12:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 73.29%EV -11.06%E -9.37%K -61.43%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.53%EV -24.60%E -3.28%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.17%EV -16.94%E -2.97%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-09-17 16:35 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (1)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 72.78% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.01% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.20% | 16.4% | 2026-09-17 16:35 |