預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Real Madrid v Villarreal

2026-10-10 19:00 UTC — La Liga - Spain

獨贏

30 家博彩公司 (5 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Real Madrid (主隊)

預測 75.37%1.33公平賠率
EV -4.27%
優勢 -3.37%
Kelly -15.83%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.27

博彩公司預測分布
73.29%75.47%75.42%77.94%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.171.231.231.2785.47%81.02%81.30%78.74%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Villarreal (客隊)

預測 10.05%9.95公平賠率
EV +15.62%
優勢 +1.36%
Kelly +1.49%
成長率 +0.232%

假設最高賠率為 11.50

博彩公司預測分布
8.18%9.83%10.05%11.53%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
7.509.549.5011.5013.33%10.48%10.53%8.70%最小值平均值中位數最大值

和局

預測 14.57%6.86公平賠率
EV +9.00%
優勢 +1.20%
Kelly +1.39%
成長率 +0.125%

假設最高賠率為 7.48

博彩公司預測分布
13.13%14.70%14.53%16.51%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
5.706.466.507.4817.54%15.48%15.38%13.37%最小值平均值中位數最大值

對於獨贏,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)估計各選項的機率為:Real Madrid (主隊):75.37%;Villarreal (客隊):10.05%;和局:14.57%。 對於「Villarreal (客隊)」,該估計相當於9.95的公平十進位賠率。 有10家博彩公司提供高於該水準的賠率;目前最佳賠率為11.50,因此產生+15.62%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (30 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊客隊 ▼和局利潤率更新時間
Betsson🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.41%EV -5.78%E -4.63%K -23.13%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.20%EV +15.62%E +1.36%K +1.49%G +0.232%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -16.21%E -2.82%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-17 16:30
NordicBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.30%EV -5.78%E -4.63%K -23.13%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.18%EV +15.62%E +1.36%K +1.49%G +0.232%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.51%EV -16.94%E -2.97%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-17 16:30
1xBet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 77.94%EV -5.03%E -3.99%K -19.34%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.93%EV +10.59%E +0.963%K +1.06%G +0.112%7.48I 13.37%NM 13.13%EV +9.00%E +1.20%K +1.39%G +0.125%1.8%2026-09-17 16:35
betfred_uk🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.81%EV -8.04%E -6.59%K -36.56%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.63%EV +10.59%E +0.963%K +1.06%G +0.112%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.56%EV +2.00%E +0.286%K +0.333%G +0.007%5.3%2026-09-17 14:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.11%EV -8.04%E -6.59%K -36.56%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.96%EV +5.56%E +0.530%K +0.586%G +0.033%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.94%EV -1.64%E -0.243%K -0.286%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-17 14:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 76.04%EV -4.27%E -3.37%K -15.83%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.66%EV +0.537%E +0.054%K +0.060%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.31%EV -1.64%E -0.243%K -0.286%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-17 12:45
Grosvenor🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 76.04%EV -4.27%E -3.37%K -15.83%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.66%EV +0.537%E +0.054%K +0.060%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.31%EV -1.64%E -0.243%K -0.286%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-17 12:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 76.04%EV -4.27%E -3.37%K -15.83%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.66%EV +0.537%E +0.054%K +0.060%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.31%EV -1.64%E -0.243%K -0.286%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-17 12:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 76.04%EV -4.27%E -3.37%K -15.83%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.66%EV +0.537%E +0.054%K +0.060%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.31%EV -1.64%E -0.243%K -0.286%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-17 12:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 76.04%EV -4.27%E -3.37%K -15.83%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.66%EV +0.537%E +0.054%K +0.060%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.31%EV -1.64%E -0.243%K -0.286%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-17 12:45
Bovada🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.67%EV -6.54%E -5.27%K -27.23%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.75%EV -1.98%E -0.203%K -0.226%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +2.00%E +0.286%K +0.333%G +0.007%5.2%2026-09-17 16:35
BetRivers🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.54%EV -5.78%E -4.63%K -23.13%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV -4.49%E -0.473%K -0.528%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -5.28%E -0.813%K -0.961%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-17 12:45
betPARX🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.54%EV -5.78%E -4.63%K -23.13%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV -4.49%E -0.473%K -0.528%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -5.28%E -0.813%K -0.961%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-17 12:45
Bally Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.54%EV -5.78%E -4.63%K -23.13%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV -4.49%E -0.473%K -0.528%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -5.28%E -0.813%K -0.961%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-17 12:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.54%EV -5.78%E -4.63%K -23.13%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV -4.49%E -0.473%K -0.528%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -5.28%E -0.813%K -0.961%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-17 13:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.98%EV -8.04%E -6.59%K -36.56%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.76%EV -4.49%E -0.473%K -0.528%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -5.28%E -0.813%K -0.961%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-17 17:20
William Hill🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.98%EV -8.04%E -6.59%K -36.56%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.76%EV -4.49%E -0.473%K -0.528%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -5.28%E -0.813%K -0.961%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-17 17:19
Pinnacle🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.54%EV -7.29%E -5.93%K -31.69%G +0.000%9.37I 10.67%NM 10.05%EV -5.80%E -0.619%K -0.693%G +0.000%7.02I 14.25%NM 13.41%EV +2.29%E +0.327%K +0.381%G +0.009%6.2%2026-09-17 16:40
Unibet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.10%EV -6.54%E -5.27%K -27.23%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.35%EV -9.52%E -1.06%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.55%EV -6.74%E -1.05%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-17 12:45
PMU (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 74.99%EV -7.29%E -5.93%K -31.69%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV -9.52%E -1.06%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.76%EV -8.93%E -1.43%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-17 12:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 74.99%EV -7.29%E -5.93%K -31.69%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV -9.52%E -1.06%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.76%EV -8.93%E -1.43%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-17 12:45
TABtouch🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 74.99%EV -7.29%E -5.93%K -31.69%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV -9.52%E -1.06%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.76%EV -8.93%E -1.43%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-17 12:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 74.99%EV -7.29%E -5.93%K -31.69%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV -9.52%E -1.06%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.76%EV -8.93%E -1.43%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-17 12:45
LeoVegas🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 75.72%EV -8.80%E -7.27%K -41.89%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.18%EV -9.52%E -1.06%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -5.28%E -0.813%K -0.961%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-17 15:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 74.92%EV -11.81%E -10.10%K -69.48%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 9.96%EV -11.53%E -1.31%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.11%EV -15.48%E -2.67%K -3.23%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-17 16:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 74.76%EV -10.30%E -8.66%K -54.23%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.17%EV -12.03%E -1.37%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.08%EV -14.03%E -2.38%K -2.86%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-17 16:34
Winamax (DE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.12%EV -8.04%E -6.59%K -36.56%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -14.54%E -1.71%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -5.28%E -0.813%K -0.961%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-17 16:35
BoyleSports🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.12%EV -8.04%E -6.59%K -36.56%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -14.54%E -1.71%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -5.28%E -0.813%K -0.961%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-17 14:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.25%EV -8.04%E -6.59%K -36.56%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.66%EV -14.54%E -1.71%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.10%EV -12.57%E -2.10%K -2.51%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-17 12:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 73.29%EV -11.06%E -9.37%K -61.43%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.53%EV -24.60%E -3.28%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.17%EV -16.94%E -2.97%K -3.60%G +0.000%15.6%2026-09-17 16:35
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (1)

博彩公司主隊客隊和局利潤率 ▲更新時間
Smarkets1.18I 84.75%NM 72.78%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.01%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.20%16.4%2026-09-17 16:35