Language:English
Real Madrid v Oviedo
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Real Madrid (Local)
Prediction 75.68%1.32fair odd
EV -3.12%
Edge -2.44%
Kelly -11.16%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.28
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
73.28%75.61%75.67%78.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.201.241.251.2883.33%80.37%80.00%78.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Oviedo (Visit)
Prediction 9.37%10.67fair odd
EV +17.13%
Edge +1.37%
Kelly +1.49%
Growth +0.255%
assuming max odds 12.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
7.77%9.41%9.50%11.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
8.0010.2210.0012.5012.50%9.79%10.00%8.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 14.94%6.69fair odd
EV +4.61%
Edge +0.659%
Kelly +0.769%
Growth +0.035%
assuming max odds 7.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.85%14.98%14.83%16.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.756.296.407.0017.39%15.89%15.63%14.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Real Madrid (Local): 75.68%; Oviedo (Visit): 9.37%; Draw: 14.94%. For Oviedo (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 10.67. 18 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 12.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +17.13%.
Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.35%EV -6.15%E -4.96%K -25.63%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.77%EV +17.13%E +1.37%K +1.49%G +0.255% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.88%EV +4.61%E +0.659%K +0.769%G +0.035% | 2.9% | 2026-05-14 18:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.56%EV -7.66%E -6.28%K -34.84%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.89%EV +12.44%E +1.04%K +1.13%G +0.141% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -2.86%E -0.440%K -0.520%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-14 19:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.01%EV -3.88%E -3.06%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.50%EV +7.76%E +0.675%K +0.739%G +0.057% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.49%EV +0.878%E +0.130%K +0.153%G +0.001% | 2.3% | 2026-05-14 18:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.29%EV -5.39%E -4.32%K -21.58%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.40%EV +7.76%E +0.675%K +0.739%G +0.057% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.31%EV +0.878%E +0.130%K +0.153%G +0.001% | 3.5% | 2026-05-14 18:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.29%EV -5.39%E -4.32%K -21.58%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.40%EV +7.76%E +0.675%K +0.739%G +0.057% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.31%EV +0.878%E +0.130%K +0.153%G +0.001% | 3.5% | 2026-05-14 18:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.39%E -4.32%K -21.58%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.23%EV +7.76%E +0.675%K +0.739%G +0.057% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.04%EV -11.82%E -2.00%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-14 19:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 76.14%EV -3.12%E -2.44%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.86%EV +3.07%E +0.279%K +0.307%G +0.009% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.99%EV -2.86%E -0.440%K -0.520%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-14 19:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.37%EV -3.88%E -3.06%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.82%EV +3.07%E +0.279%K +0.307%G +0.009% | 6.55I 15.27%NM 14.81%EV -2.11%E -0.322%K -0.380%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-14 19:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.54%EV -6.15%E -4.96%K -25.63%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.63%EV +3.07%E +0.279%K +0.307%G +0.009% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.83%EV -4.35%E -0.680%K -0.806%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-14 18:31 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.54%EV -6.15%E -4.96%K -25.63%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.63%EV +3.07%E +0.279%K +0.307%G +0.009% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.83%EV -4.35%E -0.680%K -0.806%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-14 18:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.54%EV -6.15%E -4.96%K -25.63%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.63%EV +3.07%E +0.279%K +0.307%G +0.009% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.83%EV -4.35%E -0.680%K -0.806%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-14 18:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.54%EV -6.15%E -4.96%K -25.63%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.63%EV +3.07%E +0.279%K +0.307%G +0.009% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.83%EV -4.35%E -0.680%K -0.806%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-14 18:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.64%EV -5.39%E -4.32%K -21.58%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.60%EV +3.07%E +0.279%K +0.307%G +0.009% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.76%EV -10.33%E -1.72%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-14 19:26 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.64%EV -5.39%E -4.32%K -21.58%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.60%EV +3.07%E +0.279%K +0.307%G +0.009% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.76%EV -10.33%E -1.72%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-14 19:26 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -7.66%E -6.28%K -34.84%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV +3.07%E +0.279%K +0.307%G +0.009% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -10.33%E -1.72%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-14 19:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.82%EV -4.64%E -3.68%K -17.84%G +0.000% | 10.90I 9.17%NM 8.88%EV +2.14%E +0.196%K +0.216%G +0.005% | 6.77I 14.77%NM 14.30%EV +1.18%E +0.174%K +0.204%G +0.002% | 3.3% | 2026-05-14 19:26 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.82%EV -4.64%E -3.68%K -17.84%G +0.000% | 10.90I 9.17%NM 8.88%EV +2.14%E +0.196%K +0.216%G +0.005% | 6.77I 14.77%NM 14.30%EV +1.18%E +0.174%K +0.204%G +0.002% | 3.3% | 2026-05-14 19:26 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.68%EV -4.64%E -3.68%K -17.84%G +0.000% | 10.80I 9.26%NM 8.95%EV +1.20%E +0.111%K +0.122%G +0.001% | 6.72I 14.88%NM 14.38%EV +0.430%E +0.064%K +0.075%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-14 19:26 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.84%EV -3.88%E -3.06%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.05%EV -1.61%E -0.154%K -0.170%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.11%EV -11.82%E -2.00%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-14 19:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.34%EV -5.39%E -4.32%K -21.58%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV -1.61%E -0.154%K -0.170%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -10.33%E -1.72%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-14 18:16 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.18%EV -7.66%E -6.28%K -34.84%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV -1.61%E -0.154%K -0.170%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.85%EV +1.63%E +0.239%K +0.280%G +0.005% | 6.2% | 2026-05-14 19:26 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.83%EV -5.39%E -4.32%K -21.58%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV -1.61%E -0.154%K -0.170%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -14.07%E -2.45%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-14 19:26 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.83%EV -6.91%E -5.62%K -30.03%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.88%EV -1.61%E -0.154%K -0.170%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.29%EV -8.84%E -1.45%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-14 19:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.84%EV -3.12%E -2.44%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 10.27I 9.74%NM 9.45%EV -3.77%E -0.367%K -0.406%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.71%EV -1.36%E -0.207%K -0.243%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-14 19:16 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.77%EV -4.64%E -3.68%K -17.84%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.55%EV -6.30%E -0.630%K -0.700%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.69%EV -2.86%E -0.440%K -0.520%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-14 19:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.77%EV -4.64%E -3.68%K -17.84%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.55%EV -6.30%E -0.630%K -0.700%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.69%EV -2.86%E -0.440%K -0.520%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-14 19:26 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.77%EV -4.64%E -3.68%K -17.84%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.55%EV -6.30%E -0.630%K -0.700%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.69%EV -2.86%E -0.440%K -0.520%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-14 19:02 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.91%EV -5.39%E -4.32%K -21.58%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV -6.30%E -0.630%K -0.700%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV -2.86%E -0.440%K -0.520%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-14 19:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.91%EV -5.39%E -4.32%K -21.58%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV -6.30%E -0.630%K -0.700%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV -2.86%E -0.440%K -0.520%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-14 19:26 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.91%EV -5.39%E -4.32%K -21.58%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV -6.30%E -0.630%K -0.700%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV -2.86%E -0.440%K -0.520%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-14 19:26 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.91%EV -5.39%E -4.32%K -21.58%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV -6.30%E -0.630%K -0.700%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV -2.86%E -0.440%K -0.520%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-14 19:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.91%EV -5.39%E -4.32%K -21.58%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV -6.30%E -0.630%K -0.700%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV -2.86%E -0.440%K -0.520%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-14 19:26 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.39%E -4.32%K -21.58%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -6.30%E -0.630%K -0.700%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -10.33%E -1.72%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-14 19:26 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -5.39%E -4.32%K -21.58%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.31%EV -6.30%E -0.630%K -0.700%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -14.07%E -2.45%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-14 19:26 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.66%E -6.28%K -34.84%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -6.30%E -0.630%K -0.700%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -10.33%E -1.72%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-14 18:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.66%E -6.28%K -34.84%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -6.30%E -0.630%K -0.700%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -10.33%E -1.72%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-14 18:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.66%E -6.28%K -34.84%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -6.30%E -0.630%K -0.700%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -10.33%E -1.72%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-14 18:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.66%E -6.28%K -34.84%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -6.30%E -0.630%K -0.700%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -10.33%E -1.72%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-14 18:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.60%EV -8.42%E -6.96%K -40.10%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.15%EV -6.30%E -0.630%K -0.700%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV -10.33%E -1.72%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-14 18:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.60%EV -8.42%E -6.96%K -40.10%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.15%EV -6.30%E -0.630%K -0.700%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV -10.33%E -1.72%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-14 18:35 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.82%EV -8.42%E -6.96%K -40.10%G +0.000% | 9.90I 10.10%NM 9.27%EV -7.23%E -0.731%K -0.813%G +0.000% | 6.15I 16.26%NM 14.92%EV -8.09%E -1.32%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-14 19:26 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.45%EV -4.64%E -3.68%K -17.84%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.70%EV -8.17%E -0.834%K -0.929%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.85%EV -4.35%E -0.680%K -0.806%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-14 19:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.24%EV -3.88%E -3.06%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.06%EV -10.98%E -1.16%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -2.86%E -0.440%K -0.520%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-14 19:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.54%EV -5.39%E -4.32%K -21.58%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV -10.98%E -1.16%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -2.86%E -0.440%K -0.520%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-14 19:26 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.54%EV -5.39%E -4.32%K -21.58%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV -10.98%E -1.16%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -2.86%E -0.440%K -0.520%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-14 19:26 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.54%EV -5.39%E -4.32%K -21.58%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV -10.98%E -1.16%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -2.86%E -0.440%K -0.520%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-14 19:26 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.63%EV -5.39%E -4.32%K -21.58%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV -10.98%E -1.16%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -10.33%E -1.72%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-14 19:21 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.63%EV -5.39%E -4.32%K -21.58%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV -10.98%E -1.16%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -10.33%E -1.72%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-14 19:21 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.09%EV -7.66%E -6.28%K -34.84%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.64%EV -10.98%E -1.16%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -10.33%E -1.72%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-14 19:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.70%EV -7.66%E -6.28%K -34.84%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.59%EV -10.98%E -1.16%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.71%EV -13.32%E -2.30%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-14 18:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 74.85%EV -8.42%E -6.96%K -40.10%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.53%EV -10.98%E -1.16%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.62%EV -13.32%E -2.30%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-14 18:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.01%EV -9.18%E -7.65%K -45.89%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.47%EV -10.98%E -1.16%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.52%EV -13.32%E -2.30%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-14 18:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.31%EV -6.15%E -4.96%K -25.63%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.10%EV -13.32%E -1.44%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.59%EV -4.35%E -0.680%K -0.806%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-14 19:26 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.31%EV -6.15%E -4.96%K -25.63%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.10%EV -13.32%E -1.44%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.59%EV -4.35%E -0.680%K -0.806%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-14 19:26 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.12%EV -5.39%E -4.32%K -21.58%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.43%EV -15.67%E -1.74%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -2.86%E -0.440%K -0.520%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-14 19:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -4.64%E -3.68%K -17.84%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.37%EV -15.67%E -1.74%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -10.33%E -1.72%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-14 18:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.93%EV -3.88%E -3.06%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.05%EV -20.35%E -2.39%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.02%EV -6.59%E -1.06%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-14 19:11 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.28%EV -5.39%E -4.32%K -21.58%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.45%EV -25.04%E -3.13%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -10.33%E -1.72%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-14 19:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.25% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.95% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.80% | 0.6% | 2026-05-14 19:26 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.55% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.27% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.18% | 0.7% | 2026-05-14 19:26 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.55% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.27% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.18% | 0.7% | 2026-05-14 19:26 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.55% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.27% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.18% | 0.7% | 2026-05-14 19:21 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.25% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.76% | 1.0% | 2026-05-14 19:26 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 76.50% | 11.11I 9.00%NM 8.81% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.68% | 2.1% | 2026-05-14 19:15 |