La scuola delle quote

Real Madrid v Oviedo

Inizio: 2026-05-14 19:30 UTC

Finale: Real Madrid 2–0 Oviedo

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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58 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Real Madrid (Casa)

Previsione 75.68%1.32quota equa
EV -3.12%
Vantaggio -2.44%
Kelly -11.16%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.28

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
73.28%75.61%75.67%78.35%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.201.241.251.2883.33%80.37%80.00%78.13%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Oviedo (Trasferta)

Previsione 9.37%10.67quota equa
EV +17.13%
Vantaggio +1.37%
Kelly +1.49%
Crescita +0.255%

ipotizzando la quota massima 12.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
7.77%9.41%9.50%11.45%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
8.0010.2210.0012.5012.50%9.79%10.00%8.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 14.94%6.69quota equa
EV +4.61%
Vantaggio +0.659%
Kelly +0.769%
Crescita +0.035%

ipotizzando la quota massima 7.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
13.85%14.98%14.83%16.27%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
5.756.296.407.0017.39%15.89%15.63%14.29%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (58 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Unibet (NL)1.24I 80.65%NM 78.35%EV -6.15%E -4.96%K -25.63%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.77%EV +17.13%E +1.37%K +1.49%G +0.255%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.88%EV +4.61%E +0.659%K +0.769%G +0.035%2.9%2026-05-14 18:35
Bet Victor1.22I 81.97%NM 77.56%EV -7.66%E -6.28%K -34.84%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.89%EV +12.44%E +1.04%K +1.13%G +0.141%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -2.86%E -0.440%K -0.520%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-14 19:25
ATG (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 77.01%EV -3.88%E -3.06%K -14.37%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.50%EV +7.76%E +0.675%K +0.739%G +0.057%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.49%EV +0.878%E +0.130%K +0.153%G +0.001%2.3%2026-05-14 18:35
Unibet (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 77.29%EV -5.39%E -4.32%K -21.58%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.40%EV +7.76%E +0.675%K +0.739%G +0.057%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.31%EV +0.878%E +0.130%K +0.153%G +0.001%3.5%2026-05-14 18:30
Svenska Spel1.25I 80.00%NM 77.29%EV -5.39%E -4.32%K -21.58%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.40%EV +7.76%E +0.675%K +0.739%G +0.057%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.31%EV +0.878%E +0.130%K +0.153%G +0.001%3.5%2026-05-14 18:30
Betsson1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.39%E -4.32%K -21.58%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.23%EV +7.76%E +0.675%K +0.739%G +0.057%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.04%EV -11.82%E -2.00%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-14 19:20
Coolbet1.28I 78.13%NM 76.14%EV -3.12%E -2.44%K -11.16%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.86%EV +3.07%E +0.279%K +0.307%G +0.009%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.99%EV -2.86%E -0.440%K -0.520%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-14 19:25
Marathon Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 76.37%EV -3.88%E -3.06%K -14.37%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.82%EV +3.07%E +0.279%K +0.307%G +0.009%6.55I 15.27%NM 14.81%EV -2.11%E -0.322%K -0.380%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-14 19:20
Grosvenor1.24I 80.65%NM 76.54%EV -6.15%E -4.96%K -25.63%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.63%EV +3.07%E +0.279%K +0.307%G +0.009%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.83%EV -4.35%E -0.680%K -0.806%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-14 18:31
Casumo1.24I 80.65%NM 76.54%EV -6.15%E -4.96%K -25.63%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.63%EV +3.07%E +0.279%K +0.307%G +0.009%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.83%EV -4.35%E -0.680%K -0.806%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-14 18:30
betPARX1.24I 80.65%NM 76.54%EV -6.15%E -4.96%K -25.63%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.63%EV +3.07%E +0.279%K +0.307%G +0.009%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.83%EV -4.35%E -0.680%K -0.806%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-14 18:30
Bally Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.54%EV -6.15%E -4.96%K -25.63%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.63%EV +3.07%E +0.279%K +0.307%G +0.009%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.83%EV -4.35%E -0.680%K -0.806%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-14 18:30
betfred_uk1.25I 80.00%NM 75.64%EV -5.39%E -4.32%K -21.58%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.60%EV +3.07%E +0.279%K +0.307%G +0.009%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.76%EV -10.33%E -1.72%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-14 19:26
theScore Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.64%EV -5.39%E -4.32%K -21.58%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.60%EV +3.07%E +0.279%K +0.307%G +0.009%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.76%EV -10.33%E -1.72%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-14 19:26
PlayUp1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -7.66%E -6.28%K -34.84%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV +3.07%E +0.279%K +0.307%G +0.009%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -10.33%E -1.72%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-14 19:25
LowVig.ag1.26I 79.37%NM 76.82%EV -4.64%E -3.68%K -17.84%G +0.000%10.90I 9.17%NM 8.88%EV +2.14%E +0.196%K +0.216%G +0.005%6.77I 14.77%NM 14.30%EV +1.18%E +0.174%K +0.204%G +0.002%3.3%2026-05-14 19:26
BetOnline.ag1.26I 79.37%NM 76.82%EV -4.64%E -3.68%K -17.84%G +0.000%10.90I 9.17%NM 8.88%EV +2.14%E +0.196%K +0.216%G +0.005%6.77I 14.77%NM 14.30%EV +1.18%E +0.174%K +0.204%G +0.002%3.3%2026-05-14 19:26
1xBet1.26I 79.37%NM 76.68%EV -4.64%E -3.68%K -17.84%G +0.000%10.80I 9.26%NM 8.95%EV +1.20%E +0.111%K +0.122%G +0.001%6.72I 14.88%NM 14.38%EV +0.430%E +0.064%K +0.075%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-14 19:26
NordicBet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.84%EV -3.88%E -3.06%K -14.37%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.05%EV -1.61%E -0.154%K -0.170%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.11%EV -11.82%E -2.00%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-14 19:15
SportsBet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.34%EV -5.39%E -4.32%K -21.58%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV -1.61%E -0.154%K -0.170%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -10.33%E -1.72%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-14 18:16
Tipico (DE)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.18%EV -7.66%E -6.28%K -34.84%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV -1.61%E -0.154%K -0.170%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.85%EV +1.63%E +0.239%K +0.280%G +0.005%6.2%2026-05-14 19:26
Betr (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.83%EV -5.39%E -4.32%K -21.58%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV -1.61%E -0.154%K -0.170%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -14.07%E -2.45%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-14 19:26
NetBet (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 75.83%EV -6.91%E -5.62%K -30.03%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.88%EV -1.61%E -0.154%K -0.170%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.29%EV -8.84%E -1.45%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-14 19:25
Pinnacle1.28I 78.13%NM 75.84%EV -3.12%E -2.44%K -11.16%G +0.000%10.27I 9.74%NM 9.45%EV -3.77%E -0.367%K -0.406%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.71%EV -1.36%E -0.207%K -0.243%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-14 19:16
Unibet (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 75.77%EV -4.64%E -3.68%K -17.84%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.55%EV -6.30%E -0.630%K -0.700%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.69%EV -2.86%E -0.440%K -0.520%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-14 19:05
DraftKings1.26I 79.37%NM 75.77%EV -4.64%E -3.68%K -17.84%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.55%EV -6.30%E -0.630%K -0.700%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.69%EV -2.86%E -0.440%K -0.520%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-14 19:26
Betclic (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 75.77%EV -4.64%E -3.68%K -17.84%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.55%EV -6.30%E -0.630%K -0.700%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.69%EV -2.86%E -0.440%K -0.520%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-14 19:02
Sky Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.91%EV -5.39%E -4.32%K -21.58%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV -6.30%E -0.630%K -0.700%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV -2.86%E -0.440%K -0.520%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-14 19:15
Bovada1.25I 80.00%NM 75.91%EV -5.39%E -4.32%K -21.58%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV -6.30%E -0.630%K -0.700%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV -2.86%E -0.440%K -0.520%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-14 19:26
TAB1.25I 80.00%NM 75.91%EV -5.39%E -4.32%K -21.58%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV -6.30%E -0.630%K -0.700%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV -2.86%E -0.440%K -0.520%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-14 19:26
Everygame1.25I 80.00%NM 75.91%EV -5.39%E -4.32%K -21.58%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV -6.30%E -0.630%K -0.700%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV -2.86%E -0.440%K -0.520%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-14 19:25
BetUS1.25I 80.00%NM 75.91%EV -5.39%E -4.32%K -21.58%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV -6.30%E -0.630%K -0.700%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV -2.86%E -0.440%K -0.520%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-14 19:26
Unibet (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.39%E -4.32%K -21.58%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -6.30%E -0.630%K -0.700%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -10.33%E -1.72%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-14 19:26
Bet Right1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -5.39%E -4.32%K -21.58%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.31%EV -6.30%E -0.630%K -0.700%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -14.07%E -2.45%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-14 19:26
Paddy Power1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.66%E -6.28%K -34.84%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -6.30%E -0.630%K -0.700%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -10.33%E -1.72%K -2.07%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-14 18:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.66%E -6.28%K -34.84%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -6.30%E -0.630%K -0.700%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -10.33%E -1.72%K -2.07%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-14 18:35
Unibet1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.66%E -6.28%K -34.84%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -6.30%E -0.630%K -0.700%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -10.33%E -1.72%K -2.07%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-14 18:30
TABtouch1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.66%E -6.28%K -34.84%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -6.30%E -0.630%K -0.700%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -10.33%E -1.72%K -2.07%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-14 18:30
Virgin Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 75.60%EV -8.42%E -6.96%K -40.10%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.15%EV -6.30%E -0.630%K -0.700%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV -10.33%E -1.72%K -2.07%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-14 18:35
LiveScore Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 75.60%EV -8.42%E -6.96%K -40.10%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.15%EV -6.30%E -0.630%K -0.700%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV -10.33%E -1.72%K -2.07%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-14 18:35
Fliff1.21I 82.64%NM 75.82%EV -8.42%E -6.96%K -40.10%G +0.000%9.90I 10.10%NM 9.27%EV -7.23%E -0.731%K -0.813%G +0.000%6.15I 16.26%NM 14.92%EV -8.09%E -1.32%K -1.57%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-14 19:26
Codere (IT)1.26I 79.37%NM 75.45%EV -4.64%E -3.68%K -17.84%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.70%EV -8.17%E -0.834%K -0.929%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.85%EV -4.35%E -0.680%K -0.806%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-14 19:25
BetMGM1.27I 78.74%NM 75.24%EV -3.88%E -3.06%K -14.37%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.06%EV -10.98%E -1.16%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -2.86%E -0.440%K -0.520%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-14 19:25
Fanatics1.25I 80.00%NM 75.54%EV -5.39%E -4.32%K -21.58%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV -10.98%E -1.16%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -2.86%E -0.440%K -0.520%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-14 19:26
Ladbrokes (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.54%EV -5.39%E -4.32%K -21.58%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV -10.98%E -1.16%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -2.86%E -0.440%K -0.520%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-14 19:26
Coral1.25I 80.00%NM 75.54%EV -5.39%E -4.32%K -21.58%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV -10.98%E -1.16%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -2.86%E -0.440%K -0.520%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-14 19:26
Mr Green (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.63%EV -5.39%E -4.32%K -21.58%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV -10.98%E -1.16%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -10.33%E -1.72%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-14 19:21
William Hill1.25I 80.00%NM 74.63%EV -5.39%E -4.32%K -21.58%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV -10.98%E -1.16%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -10.33%E -1.72%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-14 19:21
BoyleSports1.22I 81.97%NM 75.09%EV -7.66%E -6.28%K -34.84%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.64%EV -10.98%E -1.16%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -10.33%E -1.72%K -2.07%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-14 19:25
BetRivers1.22I 81.97%NM 74.70%EV -7.66%E -6.28%K -34.84%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.59%EV -10.98%E -1.16%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.71%EV -13.32%E -2.30%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-14 18:30
PMU (FR)1.21I 82.64%NM 74.85%EV -8.42%E -6.96%K -40.10%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.53%EV -10.98%E -1.16%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.62%EV -13.32%E -2.30%K -2.77%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-14 18:30
LeoVegas1.20I 83.33%NM 75.01%EV -9.18%E -7.65%K -45.89%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.47%EV -10.98%E -1.16%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.52%EV -13.32%E -2.30%K -2.77%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-14 18:30
Neds1.24I 80.65%NM 75.31%EV -6.15%E -4.96%K -25.63%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.10%EV -13.32%E -1.44%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.59%EV -4.35%E -0.680%K -0.806%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-14 19:26
Ladbrokes (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 75.31%EV -6.15%E -4.96%K -25.63%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.10%EV -13.32%E -1.44%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.59%EV -4.35%E -0.680%K -0.806%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-14 19:26
Betway1.25I 80.00%NM 75.12%EV -5.39%E -4.32%K -21.58%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.43%EV -15.67%E -1.74%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -2.86%E -0.440%K -0.520%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-14 19:15
FanDuel1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -4.64%E -3.68%K -17.84%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.37%EV -15.67%E -1.74%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -10.33%E -1.72%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-14 18:45
Winamax (DE)1.27I 78.74%NM 73.93%EV -3.88%E -3.06%K -14.37%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.05%EV -20.35%E -2.39%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.02%EV -6.59%E -1.06%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-14 19:11
Winamax (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 73.28%EV -5.39%E -4.32%K -21.58%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.45%EV -25.04%E -3.13%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -10.33%E -1.72%K -2.07%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-14 19:00
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook1.27I 78.74%NM 78.25%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.95%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.80%0.6%2026-05-14 19:26
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.28I 78.13%NM 77.55%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.27%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.18%0.7%2026-05-14 19:26
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 77.55%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.27%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.18%0.7%2026-05-14 19:26
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 77.55%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.27%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.18%0.7%2026-05-14 19:21
Smarkets1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.25%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.76%1.0%2026-05-14 19:26
Kalshi1.28I 78.13%NM 76.50%11.11I 9.00%NM 8.81%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.68%2.1%2026-05-14 19:15