مدرسة الاحتمالات

Real Madrid v Oviedo

البداية: 2026-05-14 19:30 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Real Madrid 2–0 Oviedo

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

58 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Real Madrid (المضيف)

التنبؤ 75.68%1.32السعر العادل
EV -3.12%
الأفضلية -2.44%
Kelly -11.16%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.28

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
73.28%75.61%75.67%78.35%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.201.241.251.2883.33%80.37%80.00%78.13%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Oviedo (الضيف)

التنبؤ 9.37%10.67السعر العادل
EV +17.13%
الأفضلية +1.37%
Kelly +1.49%
النمو +0.255%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 12.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
7.77%9.41%9.50%11.45%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
8.0010.2210.0012.5012.50%9.79%10.00%8.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 14.94%6.69السعر العادل
EV +4.61%
الأفضلية +0.659%
Kelly +0.769%
النمو +0.035%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 7.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
13.85%14.98%14.83%16.27%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
5.756.296.407.0017.39%15.89%15.63%14.29%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (58 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Unibet (NL)1.24I 80.65%NM 78.35%EV -6.15%E -4.96%K -25.63%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.77%EV +17.13%E +1.37%K +1.49%G +0.255%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.88%EV +4.61%E +0.659%K +0.769%G +0.035%2.9%2026-05-14 18:35
Bet Victor1.22I 81.97%NM 77.56%EV -7.66%E -6.28%K -34.84%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.89%EV +12.44%E +1.04%K +1.13%G +0.141%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -2.86%E -0.440%K -0.520%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-14 19:25
ATG (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 77.01%EV -3.88%E -3.06%K -14.37%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.50%EV +7.76%E +0.675%K +0.739%G +0.057%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.49%EV +0.878%E +0.130%K +0.153%G +0.001%2.3%2026-05-14 18:35
Unibet (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 77.29%EV -5.39%E -4.32%K -21.58%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.40%EV +7.76%E +0.675%K +0.739%G +0.057%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.31%EV +0.878%E +0.130%K +0.153%G +0.001%3.5%2026-05-14 18:30
Svenska Spel1.25I 80.00%NM 77.29%EV -5.39%E -4.32%K -21.58%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.40%EV +7.76%E +0.675%K +0.739%G +0.057%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.31%EV +0.878%E +0.130%K +0.153%G +0.001%3.5%2026-05-14 18:30
Betsson1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.39%E -4.32%K -21.58%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.23%EV +7.76%E +0.675%K +0.739%G +0.057%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.04%EV -11.82%E -2.00%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-14 19:20
Coolbet1.28I 78.13%NM 76.14%EV -3.12%E -2.44%K -11.16%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.86%EV +3.07%E +0.279%K +0.307%G +0.009%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.99%EV -2.86%E -0.440%K -0.520%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-14 19:25
Marathon Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 76.37%EV -3.88%E -3.06%K -14.37%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.82%EV +3.07%E +0.279%K +0.307%G +0.009%6.55I 15.27%NM 14.81%EV -2.11%E -0.322%K -0.380%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-14 19:20
Grosvenor1.24I 80.65%NM 76.54%EV -6.15%E -4.96%K -25.63%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.63%EV +3.07%E +0.279%K +0.307%G +0.009%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.83%EV -4.35%E -0.680%K -0.806%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-14 18:31
Casumo1.24I 80.65%NM 76.54%EV -6.15%E -4.96%K -25.63%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.63%EV +3.07%E +0.279%K +0.307%G +0.009%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.83%EV -4.35%E -0.680%K -0.806%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-14 18:30
betPARX1.24I 80.65%NM 76.54%EV -6.15%E -4.96%K -25.63%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.63%EV +3.07%E +0.279%K +0.307%G +0.009%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.83%EV -4.35%E -0.680%K -0.806%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-14 18:30
Bally Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.54%EV -6.15%E -4.96%K -25.63%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.63%EV +3.07%E +0.279%K +0.307%G +0.009%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.83%EV -4.35%E -0.680%K -0.806%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-14 18:30
betfred_uk1.25I 80.00%NM 75.64%EV -5.39%E -4.32%K -21.58%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.60%EV +3.07%E +0.279%K +0.307%G +0.009%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.76%EV -10.33%E -1.72%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-14 19:26
theScore Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.64%EV -5.39%E -4.32%K -21.58%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.60%EV +3.07%E +0.279%K +0.307%G +0.009%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.76%EV -10.33%E -1.72%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-14 19:26
PlayUp1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -7.66%E -6.28%K -34.84%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV +3.07%E +0.279%K +0.307%G +0.009%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -10.33%E -1.72%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-14 19:25
LowVig.ag1.26I 79.37%NM 76.82%EV -4.64%E -3.68%K -17.84%G +0.000%10.90I 9.17%NM 8.88%EV +2.14%E +0.196%K +0.216%G +0.005%6.77I 14.77%NM 14.30%EV +1.18%E +0.174%K +0.204%G +0.002%3.3%2026-05-14 19:26
BetOnline.ag1.26I 79.37%NM 76.82%EV -4.64%E -3.68%K -17.84%G +0.000%10.90I 9.17%NM 8.88%EV +2.14%E +0.196%K +0.216%G +0.005%6.77I 14.77%NM 14.30%EV +1.18%E +0.174%K +0.204%G +0.002%3.3%2026-05-14 19:26
1xBet1.26I 79.37%NM 76.68%EV -4.64%E -3.68%K -17.84%G +0.000%10.80I 9.26%NM 8.95%EV +1.20%E +0.111%K +0.122%G +0.001%6.72I 14.88%NM 14.38%EV +0.430%E +0.064%K +0.075%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-14 19:26
NordicBet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.84%EV -3.88%E -3.06%K -14.37%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.05%EV -1.61%E -0.154%K -0.170%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.11%EV -11.82%E -2.00%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-14 19:15
SportsBet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.34%EV -5.39%E -4.32%K -21.58%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV -1.61%E -0.154%K -0.170%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -10.33%E -1.72%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-14 18:16
Tipico (DE)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.18%EV -7.66%E -6.28%K -34.84%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV -1.61%E -0.154%K -0.170%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.85%EV +1.63%E +0.239%K +0.280%G +0.005%6.2%2026-05-14 19:26
Betr (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.83%EV -5.39%E -4.32%K -21.58%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV -1.61%E -0.154%K -0.170%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -14.07%E -2.45%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-14 19:26
NetBet (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 75.83%EV -6.91%E -5.62%K -30.03%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.88%EV -1.61%E -0.154%K -0.170%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.29%EV -8.84%E -1.45%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-14 19:25
Pinnacle1.28I 78.13%NM 75.84%EV -3.12%E -2.44%K -11.16%G +0.000%10.27I 9.74%NM 9.45%EV -3.77%E -0.367%K -0.406%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.71%EV -1.36%E -0.207%K -0.243%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-14 19:16
Unibet (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 75.77%EV -4.64%E -3.68%K -17.84%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.55%EV -6.30%E -0.630%K -0.700%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.69%EV -2.86%E -0.440%K -0.520%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-14 19:05
DraftKings1.26I 79.37%NM 75.77%EV -4.64%E -3.68%K -17.84%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.55%EV -6.30%E -0.630%K -0.700%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.69%EV -2.86%E -0.440%K -0.520%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-14 19:26
Betclic (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 75.77%EV -4.64%E -3.68%K -17.84%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.55%EV -6.30%E -0.630%K -0.700%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.69%EV -2.86%E -0.440%K -0.520%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-14 19:02
Sky Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.91%EV -5.39%E -4.32%K -21.58%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV -6.30%E -0.630%K -0.700%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV -2.86%E -0.440%K -0.520%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-14 19:15
Bovada1.25I 80.00%NM 75.91%EV -5.39%E -4.32%K -21.58%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV -6.30%E -0.630%K -0.700%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV -2.86%E -0.440%K -0.520%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-14 19:26
TAB1.25I 80.00%NM 75.91%EV -5.39%E -4.32%K -21.58%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV -6.30%E -0.630%K -0.700%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV -2.86%E -0.440%K -0.520%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-14 19:26
Everygame1.25I 80.00%NM 75.91%EV -5.39%E -4.32%K -21.58%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV -6.30%E -0.630%K -0.700%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV -2.86%E -0.440%K -0.520%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-14 19:25
BetUS1.25I 80.00%NM 75.91%EV -5.39%E -4.32%K -21.58%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV -6.30%E -0.630%K -0.700%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV -2.86%E -0.440%K -0.520%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-14 19:26
Unibet (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.39%E -4.32%K -21.58%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -6.30%E -0.630%K -0.700%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -10.33%E -1.72%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-14 19:26
Bet Right1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -5.39%E -4.32%K -21.58%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.31%EV -6.30%E -0.630%K -0.700%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -14.07%E -2.45%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-14 19:26
Paddy Power1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.66%E -6.28%K -34.84%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -6.30%E -0.630%K -0.700%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -10.33%E -1.72%K -2.07%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-14 18:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.66%E -6.28%K -34.84%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -6.30%E -0.630%K -0.700%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -10.33%E -1.72%K -2.07%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-14 18:35
Unibet1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.66%E -6.28%K -34.84%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -6.30%E -0.630%K -0.700%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -10.33%E -1.72%K -2.07%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-14 18:30
TABtouch1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.66%E -6.28%K -34.84%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -6.30%E -0.630%K -0.700%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -10.33%E -1.72%K -2.07%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-14 18:30
Virgin Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 75.60%EV -8.42%E -6.96%K -40.10%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.15%EV -6.30%E -0.630%K -0.700%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV -10.33%E -1.72%K -2.07%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-14 18:35
LiveScore Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 75.60%EV -8.42%E -6.96%K -40.10%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.15%EV -6.30%E -0.630%K -0.700%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV -10.33%E -1.72%K -2.07%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-14 18:35
Fliff1.21I 82.64%NM 75.82%EV -8.42%E -6.96%K -40.10%G +0.000%9.90I 10.10%NM 9.27%EV -7.23%E -0.731%K -0.813%G +0.000%6.15I 16.26%NM 14.92%EV -8.09%E -1.32%K -1.57%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-14 19:26
Codere (IT)1.26I 79.37%NM 75.45%EV -4.64%E -3.68%K -17.84%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.70%EV -8.17%E -0.834%K -0.929%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.85%EV -4.35%E -0.680%K -0.806%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-14 19:25
BetMGM1.27I 78.74%NM 75.24%EV -3.88%E -3.06%K -14.37%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.06%EV -10.98%E -1.16%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -2.86%E -0.440%K -0.520%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-14 19:25
Fanatics1.25I 80.00%NM 75.54%EV -5.39%E -4.32%K -21.58%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV -10.98%E -1.16%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -2.86%E -0.440%K -0.520%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-14 19:26
Ladbrokes (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.54%EV -5.39%E -4.32%K -21.58%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV -10.98%E -1.16%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -2.86%E -0.440%K -0.520%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-14 19:26
Coral1.25I 80.00%NM 75.54%EV -5.39%E -4.32%K -21.58%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV -10.98%E -1.16%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -2.86%E -0.440%K -0.520%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-14 19:26
Mr Green (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.63%EV -5.39%E -4.32%K -21.58%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV -10.98%E -1.16%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -10.33%E -1.72%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-14 19:21
William Hill1.25I 80.00%NM 74.63%EV -5.39%E -4.32%K -21.58%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV -10.98%E -1.16%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -10.33%E -1.72%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-14 19:21
BoyleSports1.22I 81.97%NM 75.09%EV -7.66%E -6.28%K -34.84%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.64%EV -10.98%E -1.16%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -10.33%E -1.72%K -2.07%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-14 19:25
BetRivers1.22I 81.97%NM 74.70%EV -7.66%E -6.28%K -34.84%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.59%EV -10.98%E -1.16%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.71%EV -13.32%E -2.30%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-14 18:30
PMU (FR)1.21I 82.64%NM 74.85%EV -8.42%E -6.96%K -40.10%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.53%EV -10.98%E -1.16%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.62%EV -13.32%E -2.30%K -2.77%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-14 18:30
LeoVegas1.20I 83.33%NM 75.01%EV -9.18%E -7.65%K -45.89%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.47%EV -10.98%E -1.16%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.52%EV -13.32%E -2.30%K -2.77%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-14 18:30
Neds1.24I 80.65%NM 75.31%EV -6.15%E -4.96%K -25.63%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.10%EV -13.32%E -1.44%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.59%EV -4.35%E -0.680%K -0.806%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-14 19:26
Ladbrokes (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 75.31%EV -6.15%E -4.96%K -25.63%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.10%EV -13.32%E -1.44%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.59%EV -4.35%E -0.680%K -0.806%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-14 19:26
Betway1.25I 80.00%NM 75.12%EV -5.39%E -4.32%K -21.58%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.43%EV -15.67%E -1.74%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -2.86%E -0.440%K -0.520%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-14 19:15
FanDuel1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -4.64%E -3.68%K -17.84%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.37%EV -15.67%E -1.74%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -10.33%E -1.72%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-14 18:45
Winamax (DE)1.27I 78.74%NM 73.93%EV -3.88%E -3.06%K -14.37%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.05%EV -20.35%E -2.39%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.02%EV -6.59%E -1.06%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-14 19:11
Winamax (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 73.28%EV -5.39%E -4.32%K -21.58%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.45%EV -25.04%E -3.13%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -10.33%E -1.72%K -2.07%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-14 19:00
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook1.27I 78.74%NM 78.25%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.95%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.80%0.6%2026-05-14 19:26
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.28I 78.13%NM 77.55%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.27%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.18%0.7%2026-05-14 19:26
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 77.55%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.27%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.18%0.7%2026-05-14 19:26
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 77.55%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.27%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.18%0.7%2026-05-14 19:21
Smarkets1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.25%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.76%1.0%2026-05-14 19:26
Kalshi1.28I 78.13%NM 76.50%11.11I 9.00%NM 8.81%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.68%2.1%2026-05-14 19:15