Die Schule der Quoten

Real Madrid v Alavés

Spielbeginn: 2026-04-21 19:30 UTC

Endstand: Real Madrid 2–1 Alavés

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

56 Wettanbieter (19 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Real Madrid (Heim)

Prognose 79.29%1.26faire Quote
EV -1.68%
Vorteil -1.35%
Kelly -6.99%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.24

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
76.91%79.23%79.45%82.59%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.131.191.191.2488.50%84.26%84.03%80.65%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Alavés (Auswärts)

Prognose 7.98%12.54faire Quote
EV +27.64%
Vorteil +1.73%
Kelly +1.84%
Wachstum +0.509%

bei einer Höchstquote von 16.00

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
6.04%8.04%7.89%10.14%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
9.2512.4912.0016.0010.81%8.01%8.33%6.25%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Unentschieden

Prognose 12.73%7.86faire Quote
EV +8.20%
Vorteil +0.965%
Kelly +1.09%
Wachstum +0.090%

bei einer Höchstquote von 8.50

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
11.37%12.73%12.66%14.27%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
6.507.557.508.5015.38%13.24%13.33%11.76%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (56 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼UnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
Unibet (NL)1.17I 85.47%NM 82.59%EV -7.23%E -6.18%K -42.51%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 6.04%EV +27.64%E +1.73%K +1.84%G +0.509%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.37%EV +8.20%E +0.965%K +1.09%G +0.090%3.5%2026-04-21 19:25
Unibet (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 81.88%EV -6.43%E -5.45%K -35.75%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 6.04%EV +27.64%E +1.73%K +1.84%G +0.509%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.08%EV +1.84%E +0.230%K +0.262%G +0.005%3.5%2026-04-21 19:25
Svenska Spel1.18I 84.75%NM 81.88%EV -6.43%E -5.45%K -35.75%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 6.04%EV +27.64%E +1.73%K +1.84%G +0.509%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.08%EV +1.84%E +0.230%K +0.262%G +0.005%3.5%2026-04-21 19:25
ATG (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 81.88%EV -6.43%E -5.45%K -35.75%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 6.04%EV +27.64%E +1.73%K +1.84%G +0.509%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.08%EV +1.84%E +0.230%K +0.262%G +0.005%3.5%2026-04-21 19:25
PMU (FR)1.18I 84.75%NM 81.55%EV -6.43%E -5.45%K -35.75%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.42%EV +19.66%E +1.31%K +1.40%G +0.276%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.03%EV +1.84%E +0.230%K +0.262%G +0.005%3.9%2026-04-21 19:25
Grosvenor1.16I 86.21%NM 81.81%EV -8.02%E -6.91%K -50.13%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.33%EV +19.66%E +1.31%K +1.40%G +0.276%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.86%EV +1.84%E +0.230%K +0.262%G +0.005%5.4%2026-04-21 19:25
Casumo1.16I 86.21%NM 81.81%EV -8.02%E -6.91%K -50.13%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.33%EV +19.66%E +1.31%K +1.40%G +0.276%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.86%EV +1.84%E +0.230%K +0.262%G +0.005%5.4%2026-04-21 19:25
betPARX1.16I 86.21%NM 81.81%EV -8.02%E -6.91%K -50.13%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.33%EV +19.66%E +1.31%K +1.40%G +0.276%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.86%EV +1.84%E +0.230%K +0.262%G +0.005%5.4%2026-04-21 19:25
Bally Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 81.81%EV -8.02%E -6.91%K -50.13%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.33%EV +19.66%E +1.31%K +1.40%G +0.276%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.86%EV +1.84%E +0.230%K +0.262%G +0.005%5.4%2026-04-21 19:25
Unibet1.15I 86.96%NM 81.94%EV -8.81%E -7.66%K -58.75%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.28%EV +19.66%E +1.31%K +1.40%G +0.276%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV +1.84%E +0.230%K +0.262%G +0.005%6.1%2026-04-21 19:25
TABtouch1.15I 86.96%NM 81.94%EV -8.81%E -7.66%K -58.75%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.28%EV +19.66%E +1.31%K +1.40%G +0.276%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV +1.84%E +0.230%K +0.262%G +0.005%6.1%2026-04-21 19:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.15I 86.96%NM 81.94%EV -8.81%E -7.66%K -58.75%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.28%EV +19.66%E +1.31%K +1.40%G +0.276%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV +1.84%E +0.230%K +0.262%G +0.005%6.1%2026-04-21 19:25
LeoVegas1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -10.40%E -9.20%K -79.99%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.14%EV +19.66%E +1.31%K +1.40%G +0.276%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -4.53%E -0.604%K -0.697%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-21 19:25
Unibet (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 81.05%EV -5.64%E -4.74%K -29.69%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.89%EV +11.69%E +0.835%K +0.899%G +0.105%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.06%EV +1.84%E +0.230%K +0.262%G +0.005%3.7%2026-04-21 19:25
Virgin Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 81.70%EV -9.61%E -8.43%K -68.62%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.65%EV +11.69%E +0.835%K +0.899%G +0.105%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.64%EV +1.84%E +0.230%K +0.262%G +0.005%7.4%2026-04-21 19:25
BetRivers1.15I 86.96%NM 80.94%EV -8.81%E -7.66%K -58.75%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.65%EV +11.69%E +0.835%K +0.899%G +0.105%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV -4.53%E -0.604%K -0.697%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-21 19:01
Pinnacle1.21I 82.64%NM 80.89%EV -4.06%E -3.35%K -19.31%G +0.000%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.25%EV +7.70%E +0.570%K +0.616%G +0.047%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.86%EV +5.02%E +0.608%K +0.692%G +0.035%2.2%2026-04-21 19:20
BetOnline.ag1.21I 82.64%NM 79.94%EV -4.06%E -3.35%K -19.31%G +0.000%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.16%EV +7.70%E +0.570%K +0.616%G +0.047%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.90%EV -4.53%E -0.604%K -0.697%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-21 19:05
LowVig.ag1.21I 82.64%NM 79.94%EV -4.06%E -3.35%K -19.31%G +0.000%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.16%EV +7.70%E +0.570%K +0.616%G +0.047%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.90%EV -4.53%E -0.604%K -0.697%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-21 19:05
Coolbet1.22I 81.97%NM 80.23%EV -3.26%E -2.67%K -14.83%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.53%EV +3.71%E +0.285%K +0.309%G +0.011%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.24%EV +1.84%E +0.230%K +0.262%G +0.005%2.2%2026-04-21 19:05
theScore Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 79.13%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.30%EV +3.71%E +0.285%K +0.309%G +0.011%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.57%EV -10.89%E -1.56%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 18:30
Bet Victor1.18I 84.75%NM 80.12%EV -6.43%E -5.45%K -35.75%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.27%EV +3.71%E +0.285%K +0.309%G +0.011%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.61%EV -4.53%E -0.604%K -0.697%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 18:55
NordicBet1.19I 84.03%NM 79.62%EV -5.64%E -4.74%K -29.69%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.58%EV -0.281%E -0.022%K -0.024%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.80%EV -5.80%E -0.784%K -0.906%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-21 19:20
Betsson1.19I 84.03%NM 79.62%EV -5.64%E -4.74%K -29.69%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.58%EV -0.281%E -0.022%K -0.024%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.80%EV -5.80%E -0.784%K -0.906%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-21 19:19
Codere (IT)1.20I 83.33%NM 79.50%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.95%EV -4.27%E -0.356%K -0.388%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.55%EV -3.25%E -0.428%K -0.493%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-21 19:25
DraftKings1.21I 82.64%NM 78.51%EV -4.06%E -3.35%K -19.31%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.92%EV -4.27%E -0.356%K -0.388%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.57%EV -10.89%E -1.56%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 18:50
TAB1.20I 83.33%NM 78.65%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.87%EV -4.27%E -0.356%K -0.388%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -10.89%E -1.56%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-21 18:55
betfred_uk1.20I 83.33%NM 78.65%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.87%EV -4.27%E -0.356%K -0.388%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -10.89%E -1.56%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-21 18:50
Tipico (DE)1.17I 85.47%NM 80.63%EV -7.23%E -6.18%K -42.51%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.86%EV -4.27%E -0.356%K -0.388%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.50%EV +4.38%E +0.535%K +0.609%G +0.027%6.0%2026-04-21 19:25
Sky Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -7.23%E -6.18%K -42.51%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.84%EV -4.27%E -0.356%K -0.388%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.76%EV +1.84%E +0.230%K +0.262%G +0.005%6.3%2026-04-21 19:04
Fanatics1.18I 84.75%NM 79.64%EV -6.43%E -5.45%K -35.75%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -4.27%E -0.356%K -0.388%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.53%EV -4.53%E -0.604%K -0.697%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-21 18:50
Everygame1.18I 84.75%NM 79.64%EV -6.43%E -5.45%K -35.75%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -4.27%E -0.356%K -0.388%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.53%EV -4.53%E -0.604%K -0.697%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-21 18:50
Betclic (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 78.79%EV -5.64%E -4.74%K -29.69%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.81%EV -4.27%E -0.356%K -0.388%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -10.89%E -1.56%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-21 19:03
Paddy Power1.17I 85.47%NM 79.78%EV -7.23%E -6.18%K -42.51%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV -4.27%E -0.356%K -0.388%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV -4.53%E -0.604%K -0.697%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-21 19:05
PlayUp1.19I 84.03%NM 78.40%EV -5.64%E -4.74%K -29.69%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.77%EV -4.27%E -0.356%K -0.388%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.82%EV -14.07%E -2.09%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-21 19:20
SportsBet1.16I 86.21%NM 79.91%EV -8.02%E -6.91%K -50.13%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.73%EV -4.27%E -0.356%K -0.388%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -4.53%E -0.604%K -0.697%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-21 19:05
Betr (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.00%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.14%EV -8.26%E -0.718%K -0.787%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.87%EV -14.07%E -2.09%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 18:50
1xBet1.22I 81.97%NM 79.48%EV -3.26%E -2.67%K -14.83%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.81%EV -12.25%E -1.11%K -1.22%G +0.000%8.28I 12.08%NM 11.71%EV +5.40%E +0.652%K +0.742%G +0.040%3.1%2026-04-21 19:20
Marathon Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 78.11%EV -1.68%E -1.35%K -6.99%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.80%EV -12.25%E -1.11%K -1.22%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.09%EV -5.80%E -0.784%K -0.906%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-21 19:20
Unibet (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.80%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.60%EV -12.25%E -1.11%K -1.22%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.61%EV -4.53%E -0.604%K -0.697%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 19:20
Bovada1.19I 84.03%NM 78.94%EV -5.64%E -4.74%K -29.69%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -12.25%E -1.11%K -1.22%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -4.53%E -0.604%K -0.697%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-21 19:11
BetUS1.19I 84.03%NM 78.94%EV -5.64%E -4.74%K -29.69%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -12.25%E -1.11%K -1.22%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -4.53%E -0.604%K -0.697%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-21 19:05
William Hill1.20I 83.33%NM 78.09%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.52%EV -12.25%E -1.11%K -1.22%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -10.89%E -1.56%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-21 18:50
Mr Green (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.09%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.52%EV -12.25%E -1.11%K -1.22%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -10.89%E -1.56%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-21 18:50
FanDuel1.18I 84.75%NM 79.08%EV -6.43%E -5.45%K -35.75%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.48%EV -12.25%E -1.11%K -1.22%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.44%EV -4.53%E -0.604%K -0.697%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-21 19:05
Bet Right1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -12.25%E -1.11%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -17.26%E -2.65%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-21 19:05
Fliff1.16I 86.21%NM 78.96%EV -8.02%E -6.91%K -50.13%G +0.000%10.90I 9.17%NM 8.40%EV -13.05%E -1.20%K -1.32%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.63%EV -7.71%E -1.06%K -1.23%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-21 19:25
Winamax (DE)1.20I 83.33%NM 79.10%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.04%EV -16.24%E -1.55%K -1.71%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.86%EV +1.84%E +0.230%K +0.262%G +0.005%5.4%2026-04-21 19:25
NetBet (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 78.28%EV -5.64%E -4.74%K -29.69%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.87%EV -16.24%E -1.55%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.85%EV -7.71%E -1.06%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-21 19:25
Betway1.22I 81.97%NM 77.14%EV -3.26%E -2.67%K -14.83%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.41%EV -20.22%E -2.02%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV -10.89%E -1.56%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-21 18:40
Winamax (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 78.27%EV -5.64%E -4.74%K -29.69%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.31%EV -20.22%E -2.02%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.42%EV -4.53%E -0.604%K -0.697%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-21 19:20
BoyleSports1.18I 84.75%NM 77.73%EV -6.43%E -5.45%K -35.75%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -20.22%E -2.02%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.10%EV -10.89%E -1.56%K -1.82%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-21 19:14
Coral1.22I 81.97%NM 77.45%EV -3.26%E -2.67%K -14.83%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -24.21%E -2.55%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.60%EV -4.53%E -0.604%K -0.697%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 19:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.45%EV -3.26%E -2.67%K -14.83%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -24.21%E -2.55%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.60%EV -4.53%E -0.604%K -0.697%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 18:40
Neds1.22I 81.97%NM 76.91%EV -3.26%E -2.67%K -14.83%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.14%EV -26.21%E -2.83%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.94%EV -7.71%E -1.06%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-21 18:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.91%EV -3.26%E -2.67%K -14.83%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.14%EV -26.21%E -2.83%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.94%EV -7.71%E -1.06%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-21 18:40
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 81.78%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.88%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.34%0.2%2026-04-21 19:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 81.57%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.86%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.57%0.5%2026-04-21 19:25
Smarkets1.22I 81.97%NM 81.56%14.49I 6.90%NM 6.87%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.57%0.5%2026-04-21 19:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.22I 81.97%NM 81.14%14.00I 7.14%NM 7.07%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.79%1.0%2026-04-21 19:25
Matchbook1.21I 82.64%NM 81.69%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.82%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.49%1.2%2026-04-21 19:25
Kalshi1.20I 83.33%NM 82.24%14.29I 7.00%NM 6.91%9.09I 11.00%NM 10.86%1.3%2026-04-21 19:25