مدرسة الاحتمالات

Real Madrid v Alavés

البداية: 2026-04-21 19:30 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Real Madrid 2–1 Alavés

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

56 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Real Madrid (المضيف)

التنبؤ 79.29%1.26السعر العادل
EV -1.68%
الأفضلية -1.35%
Kelly -6.99%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.24

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
76.91%79.23%79.45%82.59%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.131.191.191.2488.50%84.26%84.03%80.65%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Alavés (الضيف)

التنبؤ 7.98%12.54السعر العادل
EV +27.64%
الأفضلية +1.73%
Kelly +1.84%
النمو +0.509%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 16.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
6.04%8.04%7.89%10.14%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
9.2512.4912.0016.0010.81%8.01%8.33%6.25%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 12.73%7.86السعر العادل
EV +8.20%
الأفضلية +0.965%
Kelly +1.09%
النمو +0.090%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 8.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
11.37%12.73%12.66%14.27%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
6.507.557.508.5015.38%13.24%13.33%11.76%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (56 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Unibet (NL)1.17I 85.47%NM 82.59%EV -7.23%E -6.18%K -42.51%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 6.04%EV +27.64%E +1.73%K +1.84%G +0.509%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.37%EV +8.20%E +0.965%K +1.09%G +0.090%3.5%2026-04-21 19:25
Unibet (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 81.88%EV -6.43%E -5.45%K -35.75%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 6.04%EV +27.64%E +1.73%K +1.84%G +0.509%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.08%EV +1.84%E +0.230%K +0.262%G +0.005%3.5%2026-04-21 19:25
Svenska Spel1.18I 84.75%NM 81.88%EV -6.43%E -5.45%K -35.75%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 6.04%EV +27.64%E +1.73%K +1.84%G +0.509%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.08%EV +1.84%E +0.230%K +0.262%G +0.005%3.5%2026-04-21 19:25
ATG (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 81.88%EV -6.43%E -5.45%K -35.75%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 6.04%EV +27.64%E +1.73%K +1.84%G +0.509%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.08%EV +1.84%E +0.230%K +0.262%G +0.005%3.5%2026-04-21 19:25
PMU (FR)1.18I 84.75%NM 81.55%EV -6.43%E -5.45%K -35.75%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.42%EV +19.66%E +1.31%K +1.40%G +0.276%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.03%EV +1.84%E +0.230%K +0.262%G +0.005%3.9%2026-04-21 19:25
Grosvenor1.16I 86.21%NM 81.81%EV -8.02%E -6.91%K -50.13%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.33%EV +19.66%E +1.31%K +1.40%G +0.276%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.86%EV +1.84%E +0.230%K +0.262%G +0.005%5.4%2026-04-21 19:25
Casumo1.16I 86.21%NM 81.81%EV -8.02%E -6.91%K -50.13%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.33%EV +19.66%E +1.31%K +1.40%G +0.276%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.86%EV +1.84%E +0.230%K +0.262%G +0.005%5.4%2026-04-21 19:25
betPARX1.16I 86.21%NM 81.81%EV -8.02%E -6.91%K -50.13%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.33%EV +19.66%E +1.31%K +1.40%G +0.276%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.86%EV +1.84%E +0.230%K +0.262%G +0.005%5.4%2026-04-21 19:25
Bally Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 81.81%EV -8.02%E -6.91%K -50.13%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.33%EV +19.66%E +1.31%K +1.40%G +0.276%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.86%EV +1.84%E +0.230%K +0.262%G +0.005%5.4%2026-04-21 19:25
Unibet1.15I 86.96%NM 81.94%EV -8.81%E -7.66%K -58.75%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.28%EV +19.66%E +1.31%K +1.40%G +0.276%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV +1.84%E +0.230%K +0.262%G +0.005%6.1%2026-04-21 19:25
TABtouch1.15I 86.96%NM 81.94%EV -8.81%E -7.66%K -58.75%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.28%EV +19.66%E +1.31%K +1.40%G +0.276%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV +1.84%E +0.230%K +0.262%G +0.005%6.1%2026-04-21 19:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.15I 86.96%NM 81.94%EV -8.81%E -7.66%K -58.75%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.28%EV +19.66%E +1.31%K +1.40%G +0.276%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV +1.84%E +0.230%K +0.262%G +0.005%6.1%2026-04-21 19:25
LeoVegas1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -10.40%E -9.20%K -79.99%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.14%EV +19.66%E +1.31%K +1.40%G +0.276%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -4.53%E -0.604%K -0.697%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-21 19:25
Unibet (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 81.05%EV -5.64%E -4.74%K -29.69%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.89%EV +11.69%E +0.835%K +0.899%G +0.105%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.06%EV +1.84%E +0.230%K +0.262%G +0.005%3.7%2026-04-21 19:25
Virgin Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 81.70%EV -9.61%E -8.43%K -68.62%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.65%EV +11.69%E +0.835%K +0.899%G +0.105%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.64%EV +1.84%E +0.230%K +0.262%G +0.005%7.4%2026-04-21 19:25
BetRivers1.15I 86.96%NM 80.94%EV -8.81%E -7.66%K -58.75%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.65%EV +11.69%E +0.835%K +0.899%G +0.105%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV -4.53%E -0.604%K -0.697%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-21 19:01
Pinnacle1.21I 82.64%NM 80.89%EV -4.06%E -3.35%K -19.31%G +0.000%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.25%EV +7.70%E +0.570%K +0.616%G +0.047%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.86%EV +5.02%E +0.608%K +0.692%G +0.035%2.2%2026-04-21 19:20
BetOnline.ag1.21I 82.64%NM 79.94%EV -4.06%E -3.35%K -19.31%G +0.000%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.16%EV +7.70%E +0.570%K +0.616%G +0.047%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.90%EV -4.53%E -0.604%K -0.697%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-21 19:05
LowVig.ag1.21I 82.64%NM 79.94%EV -4.06%E -3.35%K -19.31%G +0.000%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.16%EV +7.70%E +0.570%K +0.616%G +0.047%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.90%EV -4.53%E -0.604%K -0.697%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-21 19:05
Coolbet1.22I 81.97%NM 80.23%EV -3.26%E -2.67%K -14.83%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.53%EV +3.71%E +0.285%K +0.309%G +0.011%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.24%EV +1.84%E +0.230%K +0.262%G +0.005%2.2%2026-04-21 19:05
theScore Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 79.13%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.30%EV +3.71%E +0.285%K +0.309%G +0.011%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.57%EV -10.89%E -1.56%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 18:30
Bet Victor1.18I 84.75%NM 80.12%EV -6.43%E -5.45%K -35.75%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.27%EV +3.71%E +0.285%K +0.309%G +0.011%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.61%EV -4.53%E -0.604%K -0.697%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 18:55
NordicBet1.19I 84.03%NM 79.62%EV -5.64%E -4.74%K -29.69%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.58%EV -0.281%E -0.022%K -0.024%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.80%EV -5.80%E -0.784%K -0.906%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-21 19:20
Betsson1.19I 84.03%NM 79.62%EV -5.64%E -4.74%K -29.69%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.58%EV -0.281%E -0.022%K -0.024%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.80%EV -5.80%E -0.784%K -0.906%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-21 19:19
Codere (IT)1.20I 83.33%NM 79.50%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.95%EV -4.27%E -0.356%K -0.388%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.55%EV -3.25%E -0.428%K -0.493%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-21 19:25
DraftKings1.21I 82.64%NM 78.51%EV -4.06%E -3.35%K -19.31%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.92%EV -4.27%E -0.356%K -0.388%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.57%EV -10.89%E -1.56%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 18:50
TAB1.20I 83.33%NM 78.65%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.87%EV -4.27%E -0.356%K -0.388%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -10.89%E -1.56%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-21 18:55
betfred_uk1.20I 83.33%NM 78.65%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.87%EV -4.27%E -0.356%K -0.388%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -10.89%E -1.56%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-21 18:50
Tipico (DE)1.17I 85.47%NM 80.63%EV -7.23%E -6.18%K -42.51%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.86%EV -4.27%E -0.356%K -0.388%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.50%EV +4.38%E +0.535%K +0.609%G +0.027%6.0%2026-04-21 19:25
Sky Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -7.23%E -6.18%K -42.51%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.84%EV -4.27%E -0.356%K -0.388%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.76%EV +1.84%E +0.230%K +0.262%G +0.005%6.3%2026-04-21 19:04
Fanatics1.18I 84.75%NM 79.64%EV -6.43%E -5.45%K -35.75%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -4.27%E -0.356%K -0.388%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.53%EV -4.53%E -0.604%K -0.697%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-21 18:50
Everygame1.18I 84.75%NM 79.64%EV -6.43%E -5.45%K -35.75%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -4.27%E -0.356%K -0.388%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.53%EV -4.53%E -0.604%K -0.697%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-21 18:50
Betclic (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 78.79%EV -5.64%E -4.74%K -29.69%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.81%EV -4.27%E -0.356%K -0.388%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -10.89%E -1.56%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-21 19:03
Paddy Power1.17I 85.47%NM 79.78%EV -7.23%E -6.18%K -42.51%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV -4.27%E -0.356%K -0.388%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV -4.53%E -0.604%K -0.697%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-21 19:05
PlayUp1.19I 84.03%NM 78.40%EV -5.64%E -4.74%K -29.69%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.77%EV -4.27%E -0.356%K -0.388%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.82%EV -14.07%E -2.09%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-21 19:20
SportsBet1.16I 86.21%NM 79.91%EV -8.02%E -6.91%K -50.13%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.73%EV -4.27%E -0.356%K -0.388%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -4.53%E -0.604%K -0.697%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-21 19:05
Betr (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.00%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.14%EV -8.26%E -0.718%K -0.787%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.87%EV -14.07%E -2.09%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 18:50
1xBet1.22I 81.97%NM 79.48%EV -3.26%E -2.67%K -14.83%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.81%EV -12.25%E -1.11%K -1.22%G +0.000%8.28I 12.08%NM 11.71%EV +5.40%E +0.652%K +0.742%G +0.040%3.1%2026-04-21 19:20
Marathon Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 78.11%EV -1.68%E -1.35%K -6.99%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.80%EV -12.25%E -1.11%K -1.22%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.09%EV -5.80%E -0.784%K -0.906%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-21 19:20
Unibet (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.80%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.60%EV -12.25%E -1.11%K -1.22%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.61%EV -4.53%E -0.604%K -0.697%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 19:20
Bovada1.19I 84.03%NM 78.94%EV -5.64%E -4.74%K -29.69%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -12.25%E -1.11%K -1.22%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -4.53%E -0.604%K -0.697%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-21 19:11
BetUS1.19I 84.03%NM 78.94%EV -5.64%E -4.74%K -29.69%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -12.25%E -1.11%K -1.22%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -4.53%E -0.604%K -0.697%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-21 19:05
William Hill1.20I 83.33%NM 78.09%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.52%EV -12.25%E -1.11%K -1.22%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -10.89%E -1.56%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-21 18:50
Mr Green (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.09%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.52%EV -12.25%E -1.11%K -1.22%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -10.89%E -1.56%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-21 18:50
FanDuel1.18I 84.75%NM 79.08%EV -6.43%E -5.45%K -35.75%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.48%EV -12.25%E -1.11%K -1.22%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.44%EV -4.53%E -0.604%K -0.697%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-21 19:05
Bet Right1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -12.25%E -1.11%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -17.26%E -2.65%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-21 19:05
Fliff1.16I 86.21%NM 78.96%EV -8.02%E -6.91%K -50.13%G +0.000%10.90I 9.17%NM 8.40%EV -13.05%E -1.20%K -1.32%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.63%EV -7.71%E -1.06%K -1.23%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-21 19:25
Winamax (DE)1.20I 83.33%NM 79.10%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.24%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.04%EV -16.24%E -1.55%K -1.71%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.86%EV +1.84%E +0.230%K +0.262%G +0.005%5.4%2026-04-21 19:25
NetBet (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 78.28%EV -5.64%E -4.74%K -29.69%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.87%EV -16.24%E -1.55%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.85%EV -7.71%E -1.06%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-21 19:25
Betway1.22I 81.97%NM 77.14%EV -3.26%E -2.67%K -14.83%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.41%EV -20.22%E -2.02%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV -10.89%E -1.56%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-21 18:40
Winamax (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 78.27%EV -5.64%E -4.74%K -29.69%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.31%EV -20.22%E -2.02%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.42%EV -4.53%E -0.604%K -0.697%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-21 19:20
BoyleSports1.18I 84.75%NM 77.73%EV -6.43%E -5.45%K -35.75%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -20.22%E -2.02%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.10%EV -10.89%E -1.56%K -1.82%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-21 19:14
Coral1.22I 81.97%NM 77.45%EV -3.26%E -2.67%K -14.83%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -24.21%E -2.55%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.60%EV -4.53%E -0.604%K -0.697%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 19:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.45%EV -3.26%E -2.67%K -14.83%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -24.21%E -2.55%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.60%EV -4.53%E -0.604%K -0.697%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 18:40
Neds1.22I 81.97%NM 76.91%EV -3.26%E -2.67%K -14.83%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.14%EV -26.21%E -2.83%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.94%EV -7.71%E -1.06%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-21 18:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.91%EV -3.26%E -2.67%K -14.83%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.14%EV -26.21%E -2.83%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.94%EV -7.71%E -1.06%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-21 18:40
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 81.78%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.88%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.34%0.2%2026-04-21 19:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 81.57%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.86%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.57%0.5%2026-04-21 19:25
Smarkets1.22I 81.97%NM 81.56%14.49I 6.90%NM 6.87%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.57%0.5%2026-04-21 19:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.22I 81.97%NM 81.14%14.00I 7.14%NM 7.07%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.79%1.0%2026-04-21 19:25
Matchbook1.21I 82.64%NM 81.69%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.82%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.49%1.2%2026-04-21 19:25
Kalshi1.20I 83.33%NM 82.24%14.29I 7.00%NM 6.91%9.09I 11.00%NM 10.86%1.3%2026-04-21 19:25