Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.75
assuming max odds 2.75
assuming max odds 3.60
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Elche CF (Local): 36.22%; Valencia (Visit): 36.05%; Draw: 27.73%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.61. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.60, with an expected value of -0.172%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.66%EV -0.387%E -0.141%K -0.221%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%EV -2.67%E -0.990%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.02%EV -2.94%E -0.841%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-04-11 13:34 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.08%EV -2.20%E -0.814%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.08%EV -2.67%E -0.990%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.84%EV -2.94%E -0.841%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-11 13:34 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.08%EV -2.20%E -0.814%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.08%EV -2.67%E -0.990%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.84%EV -2.94%E -0.841%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-11 13:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.84%EV -2.20%E -0.814%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.51%EV -4.48%E -1.69%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.65%EV -2.94%E -0.841%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-11 13:34 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.69I 37.17%NM 36.20%EV -2.56%E -0.952%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.06%EV -2.67%E -0.990%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.74%EV -2.67%E -0.760%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.06%EV -2.92%E -1.09%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.52%EV -1.95%E -0.718%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42%EV -5.72%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-11 13:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.06%EV -2.92%E -1.09%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.52%EV -1.95%E -0.718%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42%EV -5.72%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-11 13:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.71%EV -2.92%E -1.09%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.71%EV -3.39%E -1.27%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -7.10%E -2.12%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-11 14:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.71%EV -2.92%E -1.09%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.71%EV -3.39%E -1.27%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -7.10%E -2.12%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-11 14:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 36.36%EV -3.28%E -1.23%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 36.36%EV -3.75%E -1.41%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 27.27%EV -1.28%E -0.360%K -0.500%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-11 14:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 36.29%EV -3.28%E -1.23%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 36.02%EV -3.03%E -1.13%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV -2.94%E -0.841%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.55%EV -4.01%E -1.51%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.22%EV -0.871%E -0.317%K -0.497%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 28.24%EV -4.89%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-11 13:44 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.13%EV -4.01%E -1.51%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.13%EV -4.48%E -1.69%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.75%EV -4.33%E -1.26%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-11 13:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.13%EV -4.01%E -1.51%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.13%EV -4.48%E -1.69%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.75%EV -4.33%E -1.26%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-11 13:19 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.98%EV -4.01%E -1.51%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.98%EV -4.48%E -1.69%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -5.72%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-11 13:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.88%EV -4.01%E -1.51%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.15%EV -5.20%E -1.98%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.72%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-11 13:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.88%EV -4.01%E -1.51%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.15%EV -5.20%E -1.98%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.72%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-11 13:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.88%EV -4.01%E -1.51%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.15%EV -5.20%E -1.98%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.72%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-11 13:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.88%EV -4.01%E -1.51%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.15%EV -5.20%E -1.98%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.72%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-11 13:35 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73%EV -4.01%E -1.51%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -6.28%E -2.41%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -5.72%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-11 13:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.57%EV -4.01%E -1.51%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.54%EV -7.00%E -2.71%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.89%EV -6.27%E -1.86%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-11 13:48 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.09%EV -5.10%E -1.95%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.09%EV -5.56%E -2.12%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -5.72%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-11 13:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.99%EV -5.10%E -1.95%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.28%E -2.41%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -5.72%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-11 14:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -5.82%E -2.24%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -6.28%E -2.41%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -2.94%E -0.841%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-11 13:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -5.82%E -2.24%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73%EV -4.48%E -1.69%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -5.72%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-11 14:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.34%EV -5.82%E -2.24%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.05%EV -8.08%E -3.17%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.61%EV -1.56%E -0.439%K -0.611%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-11 13:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.82%E -2.24%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.99%EV -5.56%E -2.12%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -5.72%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-11 13:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.82%E -2.24%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.99%EV -5.56%E -2.12%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -5.72%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-11 13:34 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -5.82%E -2.24%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -6.28%E -2.41%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.72%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-11 13:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -5.82%E -2.24%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -6.28%E -2.41%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.72%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-11 13:34 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -5.82%E -2.24%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -6.28%E -2.41%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.72%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-11 13:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -5.82%E -2.24%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -6.28%E -2.41%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.72%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-11 13:34 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -5.82%E -2.24%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -6.28%E -2.41%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.72%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -5.82%E -2.24%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -6.28%E -2.41%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.10%E -2.12%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-11 13:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -5.82%E -2.24%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -6.28%E -2.41%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.10%E -2.12%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-11 13:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -5.82%E -2.24%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -6.28%E -2.41%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.10%E -2.12%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-11 13:34 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -5.82%E -2.24%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -8.08%E -3.17%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -5.72%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-11 14:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -5.82%E -2.24%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -6.28%E -2.41%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.49%E -2.57%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -5.82%E -2.24%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -6.28%E -2.41%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.49%E -2.57%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -5.82%E -2.24%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -6.28%E -2.41%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.49%E -2.57%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-11 14:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -5.82%E -2.24%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -6.28%E -2.41%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.49%E -2.57%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-11 13:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -5.82%E -2.24%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -6.28%E -2.41%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.49%E -2.57%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-11 13:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.77%EV -5.82%E -2.24%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.47%EV -8.08%E -3.17%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -7.10%E -2.12%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-11 13:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -5.82%E -2.24%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -8.08%E -3.17%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -8.49%E -2.57%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-11 14:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 35.89%EV -6.91%E -2.69%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.17%EV -8.08%E -3.17%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -8.49%E -2.57%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-11 14:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.11%EV -7.63%E -2.99%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.05%EV -2.67%E -0.990%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -5.72%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-11 13:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -7.63%E -2.99%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -4.48%E -1.69%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -5.72%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-11 14:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -7.63%E -2.99%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -8.08%E -3.17%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -8.49%E -2.57%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-11 13:34 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -7.63%E -2.99%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -8.08%E -3.17%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -8.49%E -2.57%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-11 13:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -7.63%E -2.99%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -8.08%E -3.17%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -8.49%E -2.57%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-11 13:34 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -9.44%E -3.78%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -6.28%E -2.41%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -0.172%E -0.048%K -0.066%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-11 13:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -9.44%E -3.78%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -6.28%E -2.41%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -2.94%E -0.841%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-11 13:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.23%EV -9.44%E -3.78%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.28%E -2.41%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -4.33%E -1.26%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-11 13:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -9.44%E -3.78%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -9.88%E -3.95%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -2.94%E -0.841%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-11 13:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -9.44%E -3.78%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -9.88%E -3.95%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -4.33%E -1.26%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 13:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.71%EV -13.07%E -5.44%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.71%EV -13.49%E -5.62%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -16.81%E -5.60%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-04-11 13:55 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.84% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 36.10% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.06% | 0.4% | 2026-04-11 14:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.84% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 36.10% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.06% | 0.4% | 2026-04-11 14:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.76I 36.23%NM 36.00% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 36.00% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 0.6% | 2026-04-11 14:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.27% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.74% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 0.6% | 2026-04-11 14:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.43% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.92% | 0.9% | 2026-04-11 14:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.28% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.28% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.44% | 2.1% | 2026-04-11 13:25 |