مدرسة الاحتمالات

Elche CF v Valencia

البداية: 2026-04-11 14:15 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

56 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Elche CF (المضيف)

التنبؤ 36.22%2.76السعر العادل
EV -0.387%
الأفضلية -0.141%
Kelly -0.221%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.75

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
35.57%36.35%36.16%37.65%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.402.612.602.7541.67%38.31%38.46%36.36%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Valencia (الضيف)

التنبؤ 36.05%2.77السعر العادل
EV -0.871%
الأفضلية -0.317%
Kelly -0.497%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.75

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
35.05%36.03%36.11%37.05%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.402.622.602.7541.67%38.23%38.46%36.36%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 27.73%3.61السعر العادل
EV -0.172%
الأفضلية -0.048%
Kelly -0.066%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.60

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.15%27.62%27.73%28.57%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.003.403.403.6033.33%29.42%29.41%27.78%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (56 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
ATG (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 35.66%EV -0.387%E -0.141%K -0.221%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%EV -2.67%E -0.990%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.02%EV -2.94%E -0.841%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-11 13:34
Unibet (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.08%EV -2.20%E -0.814%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.08%EV -2.67%E -0.990%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.84%EV -2.94%E -0.841%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-11 13:34
Svenska Spel2.70I 37.04%NM 36.08%EV -2.20%E -0.814%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.08%EV -2.67%E -0.990%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.84%EV -2.94%E -0.841%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-11 13:35
Unibet (NL)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.84%EV -2.20%E -0.814%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.51%EV -4.48%E -1.69%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.65%EV -2.94%E -0.841%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-11 13:34
Pinnacle2.69I 37.17%NM 36.20%EV -2.56%E -0.952%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.06%EV -2.67%E -0.990%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.74%EV -2.67%E -0.760%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-11 14:00
BetOnline.ag2.68I 37.31%NM 36.06%EV -2.92%E -1.09%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.52%EV -1.95%E -0.718%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42%EV -5.72%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-11 13:55
LowVig.ag2.68I 37.31%NM 36.06%EV -2.92%E -1.09%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.52%EV -1.95%E -0.718%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42%EV -5.72%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-11 13:55
NordicBet2.68I 37.31%NM 35.71%EV -2.92%E -1.09%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.71%EV -3.39%E -1.27%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -7.10%E -2.12%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-11 14:09
Betsson2.68I 37.31%NM 35.71%EV -2.92%E -1.09%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.71%EV -3.39%E -1.27%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -7.10%E -2.12%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-11 14:09
1xBet2.67I 37.45%NM 36.36%EV -3.28%E -1.23%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.36%EV -3.75%E -1.41%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.27%EV -1.28%E -0.360%K -0.500%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-11 14:10
Marathon Bet2.67I 37.45%NM 36.29%EV -3.28%E -1.23%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 36.02%EV -3.03%E -1.13%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV -2.94%E -0.841%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-11 13:40
Coolbet2.65I 37.74%NM 36.55%EV -4.01%E -1.51%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.22%EV -0.871%E -0.317%K -0.497%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 28.24%EV -4.89%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-11 13:44
Codere (IT)2.65I 37.74%NM 36.13%EV -4.01%E -1.51%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.13%EV -4.48%E -1.69%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.75%EV -4.33%E -1.26%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-11 13:39
DraftKings2.65I 37.74%NM 36.13%EV -4.01%E -1.51%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.13%EV -4.48%E -1.69%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.75%EV -4.33%E -1.26%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-11 13:19
BetUS2.65I 37.74%NM 35.98%EV -4.01%E -1.51%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.98%EV -4.48%E -1.69%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -5.72%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-11 13:39
betPARX2.65I 37.74%NM 35.88%EV -4.01%E -1.51%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.15%EV -5.20%E -1.98%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.72%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-11 13:35
Casumo2.65I 37.74%NM 35.88%EV -4.01%E -1.51%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.15%EV -5.20%E -1.98%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.72%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-11 13:35
Grosvenor2.65I 37.74%NM 35.88%EV -4.01%E -1.51%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.15%EV -5.20%E -1.98%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.72%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-11 13:35
Bally Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.88%EV -4.01%E -1.51%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.15%EV -5.20%E -1.98%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.72%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-11 13:35
Everygame2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73%EV -4.01%E -1.51%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -6.28%E -2.41%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -5.72%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 13:20
Betclic (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.57%EV -4.01%E -1.51%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.54%EV -7.00%E -2.71%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.89%EV -6.27%E -1.86%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 13:48
SportsBet2.62I 38.17%NM 36.09%EV -5.10%E -1.95%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.09%EV -5.56%E -2.12%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -5.72%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-11 13:39
Betway2.62I 38.17%NM 35.99%EV -5.10%E -1.95%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.28%E -2.41%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -5.72%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-11 14:09
Bet Victor2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -5.82%E -2.24%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -6.28%E -2.41%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -2.94%E -0.841%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-11 13:24
FanDuel2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -5.82%E -2.24%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73%EV -4.48%E -1.69%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -5.72%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 14:10
Winamax (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.34%EV -5.82%E -2.24%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.05%EV -8.08%E -3.17%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.61%EV -1.56%E -0.439%K -0.611%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-11 13:39
Ladbrokes (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.82%E -2.24%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.99%EV -5.56%E -2.12%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -5.72%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-11 13:35
Coral2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.82%E -2.24%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.99%EV -5.56%E -2.12%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -5.72%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-11 13:34
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -5.82%E -2.24%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -6.28%E -2.41%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.72%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 13:29
Unibet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -5.82%E -2.24%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -6.28%E -2.41%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.72%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 13:34
TABtouch2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -5.82%E -2.24%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -6.28%E -2.41%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.72%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 13:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -5.82%E -2.24%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -6.28%E -2.41%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.72%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 13:34
Fanatics2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -5.82%E -2.24%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -6.28%E -2.41%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.72%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 13:40
BetRivers2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -5.82%E -2.24%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -6.28%E -2.41%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.10%E -2.12%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 13:34
Neds2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -5.82%E -2.24%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -6.28%E -2.41%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.10%E -2.12%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 13:34
Ladbrokes (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -5.82%E -2.24%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -6.28%E -2.41%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.10%E -2.12%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 13:34
Unibet (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -5.82%E -2.24%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -8.08%E -3.17%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -5.72%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 14:09
Paddy Power2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -5.82%E -2.24%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -6.28%E -2.41%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.49%E -2.57%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 13:40
Sky Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -5.82%E -2.24%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -6.28%E -2.41%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.49%E -2.57%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 13:40
TAB2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -5.82%E -2.24%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -6.28%E -2.41%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.49%E -2.57%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 14:10
William Hill2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -5.82%E -2.24%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -6.28%E -2.41%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.49%E -2.57%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 13:30
Mr Green (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -5.82%E -2.24%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -6.28%E -2.41%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.49%E -2.57%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 13:30
PMU (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.77%EV -5.82%E -2.24%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.47%EV -8.08%E -3.17%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -7.10%E -2.12%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 13:35
PlayUp2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -5.82%E -2.24%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -8.08%E -3.17%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -8.49%E -2.57%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-11 14:10
NetBet (FR)2.57I 38.91%NM 35.89%EV -6.91%E -2.69%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.17%EV -8.08%E -3.17%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -8.49%E -2.57%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-11 14:09
Tipico (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.11%EV -7.63%E -2.99%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.05%EV -2.67%E -0.990%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -5.72%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-11 13:54
BetMGM2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -7.63%E -2.99%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -4.48%E -1.69%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -5.72%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 14:09
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -7.63%E -2.99%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -8.08%E -3.17%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -8.49%E -2.57%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 13:34
LeoVegas2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -7.63%E -2.99%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -8.08%E -3.17%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -8.49%E -2.57%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 13:35
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -7.63%E -2.99%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -8.08%E -3.17%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -8.49%E -2.57%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 13:34
theScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -9.44%E -3.78%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -6.28%E -2.41%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -0.172%E -0.048%K -0.066%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 13:25
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -9.44%E -3.78%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -6.28%E -2.41%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -2.94%E -0.841%K -1.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 13:20
Bet Right2.50I 40.00%NM 37.23%EV -9.44%E -3.78%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.28%E -2.41%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -4.33%E -1.26%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 13:25
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -9.44%E -3.78%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -9.88%E -3.95%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -2.94%E -0.841%K -1.18%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 13:30
Winamax (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -9.44%E -3.78%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -9.88%E -3.95%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -4.33%E -1.26%K -1.77%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 13:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.71%EV -13.07%E -5.44%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.71%EV -13.49%E -5.62%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -16.81%E -5.60%K -8.40%G +0.000%16.7%2026-04-11 13:55
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.84%2.76I 36.23%NM 36.10%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.06%0.4%2026-04-11 14:10
Matchbook2.78I 35.97%NM 35.84%2.76I 36.23%NM 36.10%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.06%0.4%2026-04-11 14:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.76I 36.23%NM 36.00%2.76I 36.23%NM 36.00%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-04-11 14:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.27%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.74%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-04-11 14:10
Smarkets2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.43%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.92%0.9%2026-04-11 14:10
Kalshi2.70I 37.04%NM 36.28%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.28%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.44%2.1%2026-04-11 13:25