L’École des cotes

Elche CF v Valencia

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-11 14:15 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Elche CF (Local)

Prévision 36.22%2.76cote équitable
EV -0.387%
Avantage -0.141%
Kelly -0.221%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.57%36.35%36.16%37.65%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.402.612.602.7541.67%38.31%38.46%36.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Valencia (Visiteur)

Prévision 36.05%2.77cote équitable
EV -0.871%
Avantage -0.317%
Kelly -0.497%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.05%36.03%36.11%37.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.402.622.602.7541.67%38.23%38.46%36.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.73%3.61cote équitable
EV -0.172%
Avantage -0.048%
Kelly -0.066%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.15%27.62%27.73%28.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.403.403.6033.33%29.42%29.41%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
ATG (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 35.66%EV -0.387%E -0.141%K -0.221%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%EV -2.67%E -0.990%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.02%EV -2.94%E -0.841%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-11 13:34
Unibet (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.08%EV -2.20%E -0.814%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.08%EV -2.67%E -0.990%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.84%EV -2.94%E -0.841%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-11 13:34
Svenska Spel2.70I 37.04%NM 36.08%EV -2.20%E -0.814%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.08%EV -2.67%E -0.990%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.84%EV -2.94%E -0.841%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-11 13:35
Unibet (NL)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.84%EV -2.20%E -0.814%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.51%EV -4.48%E -1.69%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.65%EV -2.94%E -0.841%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-11 13:34
Pinnacle2.69I 37.17%NM 36.20%EV -2.56%E -0.952%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.06%EV -2.67%E -0.990%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.74%EV -2.67%E -0.760%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-11 14:00
BetOnline.ag2.68I 37.31%NM 36.06%EV -2.92%E -1.09%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.52%EV -1.95%E -0.718%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42%EV -5.72%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-11 13:55
LowVig.ag2.68I 37.31%NM 36.06%EV -2.92%E -1.09%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.52%EV -1.95%E -0.718%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42%EV -5.72%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-11 13:55
NordicBet2.68I 37.31%NM 35.71%EV -2.92%E -1.09%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.71%EV -3.39%E -1.27%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -7.10%E -2.12%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-11 14:09
Betsson2.68I 37.31%NM 35.71%EV -2.92%E -1.09%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.71%EV -3.39%E -1.27%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -7.10%E -2.12%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-11 14:09
1xBet2.67I 37.45%NM 36.36%EV -3.28%E -1.23%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.36%EV -3.75%E -1.41%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.27%EV -1.28%E -0.360%K -0.500%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-11 14:10
Marathon Bet2.67I 37.45%NM 36.29%EV -3.28%E -1.23%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 36.02%EV -3.03%E -1.13%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV -2.94%E -0.841%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-11 13:40
Coolbet2.65I 37.74%NM 36.55%EV -4.01%E -1.51%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.22%EV -0.871%E -0.317%K -0.497%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 28.24%EV -4.89%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-11 13:44
Codere (IT)2.65I 37.74%NM 36.13%EV -4.01%E -1.51%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.13%EV -4.48%E -1.69%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.75%EV -4.33%E -1.26%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-11 13:39
DraftKings2.65I 37.74%NM 36.13%EV -4.01%E -1.51%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.13%EV -4.48%E -1.69%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.75%EV -4.33%E -1.26%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-11 13:19
BetUS2.65I 37.74%NM 35.98%EV -4.01%E -1.51%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.98%EV -4.48%E -1.69%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -5.72%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-11 13:39
betPARX2.65I 37.74%NM 35.88%EV -4.01%E -1.51%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.15%EV -5.20%E -1.98%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.72%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-11 13:35
Casumo2.65I 37.74%NM 35.88%EV -4.01%E -1.51%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.15%EV -5.20%E -1.98%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.72%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-11 13:35
Grosvenor2.65I 37.74%NM 35.88%EV -4.01%E -1.51%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.15%EV -5.20%E -1.98%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.72%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-11 13:35
Bally Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.88%EV -4.01%E -1.51%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.15%EV -5.20%E -1.98%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.72%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-11 13:35
Everygame2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73%EV -4.01%E -1.51%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -6.28%E -2.41%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -5.72%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 13:20
Betclic (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.57%EV -4.01%E -1.51%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.54%EV -7.00%E -2.71%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.89%EV -6.27%E -1.86%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 13:48
SportsBet2.62I 38.17%NM 36.09%EV -5.10%E -1.95%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.09%EV -5.56%E -2.12%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -5.72%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-11 13:39
Betway2.62I 38.17%NM 35.99%EV -5.10%E -1.95%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.28%E -2.41%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -5.72%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-11 14:09
Bet Victor2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -5.82%E -2.24%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -6.28%E -2.41%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -2.94%E -0.841%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-11 13:24
FanDuel2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -5.82%E -2.24%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73%EV -4.48%E -1.69%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -5.72%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 14:10
Winamax (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.34%EV -5.82%E -2.24%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.05%EV -8.08%E -3.17%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.61%EV -1.56%E -0.439%K -0.611%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-11 13:39
Ladbrokes (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.82%E -2.24%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.99%EV -5.56%E -2.12%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -5.72%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-11 13:35
Coral2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.82%E -2.24%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.99%EV -5.56%E -2.12%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -5.72%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-11 13:34
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -5.82%E -2.24%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -6.28%E -2.41%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.72%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 13:29
Unibet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -5.82%E -2.24%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -6.28%E -2.41%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.72%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 13:34
TABtouch2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -5.82%E -2.24%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -6.28%E -2.41%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.72%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 13:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -5.82%E -2.24%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -6.28%E -2.41%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.72%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 13:34
Fanatics2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -5.82%E -2.24%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -6.28%E -2.41%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.72%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 13:40
BetRivers2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -5.82%E -2.24%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -6.28%E -2.41%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.10%E -2.12%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 13:34
Neds2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -5.82%E -2.24%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -6.28%E -2.41%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.10%E -2.12%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 13:34
Ladbrokes (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -5.82%E -2.24%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -6.28%E -2.41%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.10%E -2.12%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 13:34
Unibet (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -5.82%E -2.24%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -8.08%E -3.17%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -5.72%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 14:09
Paddy Power2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -5.82%E -2.24%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -6.28%E -2.41%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.49%E -2.57%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 13:40
Sky Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -5.82%E -2.24%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -6.28%E -2.41%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.49%E -2.57%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 13:40
TAB2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -5.82%E -2.24%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -6.28%E -2.41%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.49%E -2.57%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 14:10
William Hill2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -5.82%E -2.24%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -6.28%E -2.41%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.49%E -2.57%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 13:30
Mr Green (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -5.82%E -2.24%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -6.28%E -2.41%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.49%E -2.57%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 13:30
PMU (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.77%EV -5.82%E -2.24%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.47%EV -8.08%E -3.17%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -7.10%E -2.12%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 13:35
PlayUp2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -5.82%E -2.24%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -8.08%E -3.17%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -8.49%E -2.57%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-11 14:10
NetBet (FR)2.57I 38.91%NM 35.89%EV -6.91%E -2.69%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.17%EV -8.08%E -3.17%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -8.49%E -2.57%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-11 14:09
Tipico (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.11%EV -7.63%E -2.99%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.05%EV -2.67%E -0.990%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -5.72%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-11 13:54
BetMGM2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -7.63%E -2.99%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -4.48%E -1.69%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -5.72%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 14:09
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -7.63%E -2.99%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -8.08%E -3.17%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -8.49%E -2.57%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 13:34
LeoVegas2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -7.63%E -2.99%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -8.08%E -3.17%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -8.49%E -2.57%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 13:35
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -7.63%E -2.99%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -8.08%E -3.17%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -8.49%E -2.57%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 13:34
theScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -9.44%E -3.78%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -6.28%E -2.41%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -0.172%E -0.048%K -0.066%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 13:25
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -9.44%E -3.78%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -6.28%E -2.41%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -2.94%E -0.841%K -1.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 13:20
Bet Right2.50I 40.00%NM 37.23%EV -9.44%E -3.78%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.28%E -2.41%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -4.33%E -1.26%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 13:25
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -9.44%E -3.78%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -9.88%E -3.95%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -2.94%E -0.841%K -1.18%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 13:30
Winamax (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -9.44%E -3.78%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -9.88%E -3.95%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -4.33%E -1.26%K -1.77%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 13:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.71%EV -13.07%E -5.44%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.71%EV -13.49%E -5.62%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -16.81%E -5.60%K -8.40%G +0.000%16.7%2026-04-11 13:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.84%2.76I 36.23%NM 36.10%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.06%0.4%2026-04-11 14:10
Matchbook2.78I 35.97%NM 35.84%2.76I 36.23%NM 36.10%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.06%0.4%2026-04-11 14:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.76I 36.23%NM 36.00%2.76I 36.23%NM 36.00%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-04-11 14:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.27%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.74%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-04-11 14:10
Smarkets2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.43%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.92%0.9%2026-04-11 14:10
Kalshi2.70I 37.04%NM 36.28%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.28%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.44%2.1%2026-04-11 13:25