La scuola delle quote

Elche CF v Valencia

Inizio: 2026-04-11 14:15 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

56 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Elche CF (Casa)

Previsione 36.22%2.76quota equa
EV -0.387%
Vantaggio -0.141%
Kelly -0.221%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.75

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
35.57%36.35%36.16%37.65%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.402.612.602.7541.67%38.31%38.46%36.36%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Valencia (Trasferta)

Previsione 36.05%2.77quota equa
EV -0.871%
Vantaggio -0.317%
Kelly -0.497%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.75

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
35.05%36.03%36.11%37.05%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.402.622.602.7541.67%38.23%38.46%36.36%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 27.73%3.61quota equa
EV -0.172%
Vantaggio -0.048%
Kelly -0.066%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.15%27.62%27.73%28.57%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.403.403.6033.33%29.42%29.41%27.78%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (56 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
ATG (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 35.66%EV -0.387%E -0.141%K -0.221%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%EV -2.67%E -0.990%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.02%EV -2.94%E -0.841%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-11 13:34
Unibet (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.08%EV -2.20%E -0.814%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.08%EV -2.67%E -0.990%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.84%EV -2.94%E -0.841%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-11 13:34
Svenska Spel2.70I 37.04%NM 36.08%EV -2.20%E -0.814%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.08%EV -2.67%E -0.990%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.84%EV -2.94%E -0.841%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-11 13:35
Unibet (NL)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.84%EV -2.20%E -0.814%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.51%EV -4.48%E -1.69%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.65%EV -2.94%E -0.841%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-11 13:34
Pinnacle2.69I 37.17%NM 36.20%EV -2.56%E -0.952%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.06%EV -2.67%E -0.990%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.74%EV -2.67%E -0.760%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-11 14:00
BetOnline.ag2.68I 37.31%NM 36.06%EV -2.92%E -1.09%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.52%EV -1.95%E -0.718%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42%EV -5.72%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-11 13:55
LowVig.ag2.68I 37.31%NM 36.06%EV -2.92%E -1.09%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.52%EV -1.95%E -0.718%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42%EV -5.72%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-11 13:55
NordicBet2.68I 37.31%NM 35.71%EV -2.92%E -1.09%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.71%EV -3.39%E -1.27%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -7.10%E -2.12%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-11 14:09
Betsson2.68I 37.31%NM 35.71%EV -2.92%E -1.09%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.71%EV -3.39%E -1.27%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -7.10%E -2.12%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-11 14:09
1xBet2.67I 37.45%NM 36.36%EV -3.28%E -1.23%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.36%EV -3.75%E -1.41%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.27%EV -1.28%E -0.360%K -0.500%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-11 14:10
Marathon Bet2.67I 37.45%NM 36.29%EV -3.28%E -1.23%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 36.02%EV -3.03%E -1.13%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV -2.94%E -0.841%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-11 13:40
Coolbet2.65I 37.74%NM 36.55%EV -4.01%E -1.51%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.22%EV -0.871%E -0.317%K -0.497%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 28.24%EV -4.89%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-11 13:44
Codere (IT)2.65I 37.74%NM 36.13%EV -4.01%E -1.51%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.13%EV -4.48%E -1.69%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.75%EV -4.33%E -1.26%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-11 13:39
DraftKings2.65I 37.74%NM 36.13%EV -4.01%E -1.51%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.13%EV -4.48%E -1.69%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.75%EV -4.33%E -1.26%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-11 13:19
BetUS2.65I 37.74%NM 35.98%EV -4.01%E -1.51%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.98%EV -4.48%E -1.69%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -5.72%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-11 13:39
betPARX2.65I 37.74%NM 35.88%EV -4.01%E -1.51%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.15%EV -5.20%E -1.98%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.72%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-11 13:35
Casumo2.65I 37.74%NM 35.88%EV -4.01%E -1.51%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.15%EV -5.20%E -1.98%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.72%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-11 13:35
Grosvenor2.65I 37.74%NM 35.88%EV -4.01%E -1.51%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.15%EV -5.20%E -1.98%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.72%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-11 13:35
Bally Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.88%EV -4.01%E -1.51%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.15%EV -5.20%E -1.98%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.72%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-11 13:35
Everygame2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73%EV -4.01%E -1.51%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -6.28%E -2.41%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -5.72%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 13:20
Betclic (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.57%EV -4.01%E -1.51%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.54%EV -7.00%E -2.71%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.89%EV -6.27%E -1.86%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 13:48
SportsBet2.62I 38.17%NM 36.09%EV -5.10%E -1.95%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.09%EV -5.56%E -2.12%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -5.72%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-11 13:39
Betway2.62I 38.17%NM 35.99%EV -5.10%E -1.95%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.28%E -2.41%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -5.72%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-11 14:09
Bet Victor2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -5.82%E -2.24%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -6.28%E -2.41%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -2.94%E -0.841%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-11 13:24
FanDuel2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -5.82%E -2.24%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73%EV -4.48%E -1.69%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -5.72%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 14:10
Winamax (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.34%EV -5.82%E -2.24%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.05%EV -8.08%E -3.17%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.61%EV -1.56%E -0.439%K -0.611%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-11 13:39
Ladbrokes (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.82%E -2.24%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.99%EV -5.56%E -2.12%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -5.72%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-11 13:35
Coral2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.82%E -2.24%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.99%EV -5.56%E -2.12%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -5.72%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-11 13:34
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -5.82%E -2.24%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -6.28%E -2.41%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.72%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 13:29
Unibet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -5.82%E -2.24%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -6.28%E -2.41%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.72%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 13:34
TABtouch2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -5.82%E -2.24%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -6.28%E -2.41%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.72%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 13:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -5.82%E -2.24%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -6.28%E -2.41%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.72%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 13:34
Fanatics2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -5.82%E -2.24%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -6.28%E -2.41%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.72%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 13:40
BetRivers2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -5.82%E -2.24%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -6.28%E -2.41%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.10%E -2.12%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 13:34
Neds2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -5.82%E -2.24%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -6.28%E -2.41%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.10%E -2.12%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 13:34
Ladbrokes (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -5.82%E -2.24%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -6.28%E -2.41%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.10%E -2.12%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 13:34
Unibet (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -5.82%E -2.24%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -8.08%E -3.17%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -5.72%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 14:09
Paddy Power2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -5.82%E -2.24%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -6.28%E -2.41%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.49%E -2.57%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 13:40
Sky Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -5.82%E -2.24%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -6.28%E -2.41%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.49%E -2.57%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 13:40
TAB2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -5.82%E -2.24%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -6.28%E -2.41%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.49%E -2.57%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 14:10
William Hill2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -5.82%E -2.24%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -6.28%E -2.41%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.49%E -2.57%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 13:30
Mr Green (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -5.82%E -2.24%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -6.28%E -2.41%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.49%E -2.57%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 13:30
PMU (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.77%EV -5.82%E -2.24%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.47%EV -8.08%E -3.17%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -7.10%E -2.12%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 13:35
PlayUp2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -5.82%E -2.24%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -8.08%E -3.17%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -8.49%E -2.57%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-11 14:10
NetBet (FR)2.57I 38.91%NM 35.89%EV -6.91%E -2.69%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.17%EV -8.08%E -3.17%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -8.49%E -2.57%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-11 14:09
Tipico (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.11%EV -7.63%E -2.99%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.05%EV -2.67%E -0.990%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -5.72%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-11 13:54
BetMGM2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -7.63%E -2.99%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -4.48%E -1.69%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -5.72%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 14:09
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -7.63%E -2.99%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -8.08%E -3.17%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -8.49%E -2.57%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 13:34
LeoVegas2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -7.63%E -2.99%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -8.08%E -3.17%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -8.49%E -2.57%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 13:35
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -7.63%E -2.99%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -8.08%E -3.17%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -8.49%E -2.57%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 13:34
theScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -9.44%E -3.78%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -6.28%E -2.41%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -0.172%E -0.048%K -0.066%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 13:25
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -9.44%E -3.78%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -6.28%E -2.41%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -2.94%E -0.841%K -1.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 13:20
Bet Right2.50I 40.00%NM 37.23%EV -9.44%E -3.78%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.28%E -2.41%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -4.33%E -1.26%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 13:25
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -9.44%E -3.78%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -9.88%E -3.95%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -2.94%E -0.841%K -1.18%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 13:30
Winamax (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -9.44%E -3.78%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -9.88%E -3.95%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -4.33%E -1.26%K -1.77%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 13:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.71%EV -13.07%E -5.44%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.71%EV -13.49%E -5.62%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -16.81%E -5.60%K -8.40%G +0.000%16.7%2026-04-11 13:55
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.84%2.76I 36.23%NM 36.10%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.06%0.4%2026-04-11 14:10
Matchbook2.78I 35.97%NM 35.84%2.76I 36.23%NM 36.10%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.06%0.4%2026-04-11 14:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.76I 36.23%NM 36.00%2.76I 36.23%NM 36.00%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-04-11 14:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.27%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.74%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-04-11 14:10
Smarkets2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.43%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.92%0.9%2026-04-11 14:10
Kalshi2.70I 37.04%NM 36.28%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.28%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.44%2.1%2026-04-11 13:25