The School of OddsAtlético Madrid v Málaga
Head to Head
Atlético Madrid (Local)
Prediction 72.05%1.39fair odd
EV -6.33%
Edge -4.87%
Kelly -21.12%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.26%72.00%72.34%74.07%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.221.271.271.3082%79%79%77%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Málaga (Visit)
Prediction 9.59%10.43fair odd
EV +10.23%
Edge +0.890%
Kelly +0.975%
Growth +0.100%
assuming max odds 11.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
8.18%9.69%9.33%11.48%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
8.009.9210.2511.5013%10%10%9%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Draw
Prediction 18.36%5.45fair odd
EV -2.67%
Edge -0.504%
Kelly -0.621%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 5.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.23%18.31%18.32%19.19%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
4.605.065.005.3022%20%20%19%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.07%EV -8.50%E -6.69%K -31.47%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.18%EV +10.23%E +0.890%K +0.975%G +0.100% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.75%EV -2.67%E -0.504%K -0.621%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-14 11:29 |
| Coolbet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.22%EV -6.33%E -4.87%K -21.12%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.65%EV +5.44%E +0.495%K +0.544%G +0.030% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.13%EV -3.59%E -0.684%K -0.844%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-14 12:59 |
| betfred_uk | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.56%EV -6.33%E -4.87%K -21.12%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.58%EV +5.44%E +0.495%K +0.544%G +0.030% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.87%EV -8.18%E -1.64%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-14 11:29 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.52%EV -7.78%E -6.07%K -27.77%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV +5.44%E +0.495%K +0.544%G +0.030% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.92%EV -3.59%E -0.684%K -0.844%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-14 11:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.33%EV -9.94%E -7.95%K -39.75%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV +5.44%E +0.495%K +0.544%G +0.030% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -8.18%E -1.64%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-14 11:29 |
| Bet Victor | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.04%EV -9.94%E -7.95%K -39.75%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.70%EV +0.648%E +0.062%K +0.068%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -8.18%E -1.64%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-14 11:29 |
| betano_uk | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.04%EV -9.94%E -7.95%K -39.75%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.70%EV +0.648%E +0.062%K +0.068%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -8.18%E -1.64%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-14 11:28 |
| Sky Bet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.04%EV -9.94%E -7.95%K -39.75%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.70%EV +0.648%E +0.062%K +0.068%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -8.18%E -1.64%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-14 11:29 |
| BoyleSports | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.10%EV -7.06%E -5.47%K -24.33%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.30%EV -4.14%E -0.414%K -0.460%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -8.18%E -1.64%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-14 11:29 |
| FanDuel | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.64%EV -10.66%E -8.59%K -44.41%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.13%EV -4.14%E -0.414%K -0.460%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.23%EV -2.67%E -0.504%K -0.621%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-14 11:29 |
| Paddy Power | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.21%EV -12.10%E -9.92%K -54.99%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.93%EV -4.14%E -0.414%K -0.460%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.86%EV -8.18%E -1.64%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-14 11:29 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.68%EV -7.06%E -5.47%K -24.33%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.13%EV -13.73%E -1.53%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.19%EV -12.77%E -2.69%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-14 12:59 |
| LeoVegas | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.35%EV -7.78%E -6.07%K -27.77%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.74%EV -18.52%E -2.18%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.91%EV -6.34%E -1.24%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-14 13:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 70.26%EV -9.94%E -7.95%K -39.75%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 10.65%EV -20.92%E -2.54%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.09%EV -15.53%E -3.38%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-07-14 12:58 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.19%EV -7.06%E -5.47%K -24.33%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.48%EV -23.32%E -2.91%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.33%EV -2.67%E -0.504%K -0.621%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-14 12:59 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.03%EV -8.50%E -6.69%K -31.47%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.28%EV -23.32%E -2.91%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.69%EV -6.34%E -1.24%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-14 12:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.97% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 9.73% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30% | 7.1% | 2026-07-14 13:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.97% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 9.73% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30% | 7.1% | 2026-07-14 13:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.24I 80.65%NM 68.89% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 11.24% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 19.87% | 17.1% | 2026-07-14 13:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 30.29% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 33.14% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 36.58% | 157.9% | 2026-07-14 12:59 |