La escuela de los momiosAtlético Madrid v Málaga
Resultado del partido
Atlético Madrid (Local)
Predicción 71.92%1.39momio equitativo
EV -3.63%
Ventaja -2.71%
Kelly -10.67%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.34
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
69.11%71.79%72.17%73.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.211.301.301.3482.64%76.89%76.92%74.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Málaga (Visitante)
Predicción 10.02%9.98momio equitativo
EV +14.20%
Ventaja +1.25%
Kelly +1.37%
Crecimiento +0.194%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 11.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
8.58%10.06%9.90%11.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
7.759.529.5011.4012.90%10.51%10.53%8.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 18.06%5.54momio equitativo
EV +3.86%
Ventaja +0.671%
Kelly +0.812%
Crecimiento +0.031%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.82%18.16%17.92%19.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.605.135.005.7521.74%19.51%20.00%17.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (33 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.42%EV -3.63%E -2.71%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 11.40I 8.77%NM 8.63%EV +14.20%E +1.25%K +1.37%G +0.194% | 5.48I 18.25%NM 17.95%EV -1.02%E -0.186%K -0.227%G +0.000% | 1.6% | 2026-07-22 12:15 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.43%EV -5.07%E -3.84%K -15.83%G +0.000% | 11.25I 8.89%NM 8.62%EV +12.70%E +1.13%K +1.24%G +0.157% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.95%EV -2.46%E -0.456%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-22 12:14 |
| Coolbet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.22%EV -6.50%E -5.00%K -21.68%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.65%EV +10.19%E +0.927%K +1.02%G +0.104% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.13%EV -5.17%E -0.985%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-23 07:00 |
| betfred_uk | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.56%EV -6.50%E -5.00%K -21.68%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.58%EV +10.19%E +0.927%K +1.02%G +0.104% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.87%EV -9.69%E -1.94%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-25 00:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.26%EV -6.50%E -5.00%K -21.68%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.95%EV +5.18%E +0.494%K +0.546%G +0.028% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -9.69%E -1.94%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-23 06:59 |
| SportsBet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.71%EV -6.50%E -5.00%K -21.68%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.45%EV +0.176%E +0.018%K +0.020%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.84%EV -4.27%E -0.806%K -0.993%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-22 14:34 |
| William Hill | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.94%EV -6.50%E -5.00%K -21.68%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.35%EV +0.176%E +0.018%K +0.020%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -9.69%E -1.94%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-22 12:15 |
| BoyleSports | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.10%EV -7.22%E -5.60%K -24.91%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.30%EV +0.176%E +0.018%K +0.020%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -9.69%E -1.94%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-22 12:15 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.39%EV -6.50%E -5.00%K -21.68%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.28%EV +0.176%E +0.018%K +0.020%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -13.30%E -2.77%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-22 12:14 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.26%EV -5.07%E -3.84%K -15.83%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.92%EV -2.33%E -0.239%K -0.266%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.82%EV +3.86%E +0.671%K +0.812%G +0.031% | 3.4% | 2026-07-22 15:39 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.26%EV -5.07%E -3.84%K -15.83%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.92%EV -2.33%E -0.239%K -0.266%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.82%EV +3.86%E +0.671%K +0.812%G +0.031% | 3.4% | 2026-07-22 20:49 |
| Bovada | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.01%EV -6.50%E -5.00%K -21.68%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.73%EV -2.33%E -0.239%K -0.266%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.26%EV -0.657%E -0.119%K -0.146%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-24 03:37 |
| BetMGM | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.31%EV -4.35%E -3.27%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.73%EV -2.33%E -0.239%K -0.266%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.97%EV -9.69%E -1.94%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-24 17:34 |
| Pinnacle | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.80%EV -6.50%E -5.00%K -21.68%G +0.000% | 9.65I 10.36%NM 9.81%EV -3.33%E -0.345%K -0.385%G +0.000% | 5.44I 18.38%NM 17.40%EV -1.74%E -0.320%K -0.392%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-24 03:40 |
| BetUS | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.56%EV -5.78%E -4.42%K -18.66%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.00%EV -4.83%E -0.509%K -0.569%G +0.000% | 5.45I 18.35%NM 17.44%EV -1.56%E -0.286%K -0.351%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-19 00:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.12%EV -4.35%E -3.27%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.96%EV -4.83%E -0.509%K -0.569%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -9.69%E -1.94%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-24 17:35 |
| Coral | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.12%EV -4.35%E -3.27%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.96%EV -4.83%E -0.509%K -0.569%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -9.69%E -1.94%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-24 17:35 |
| DraftKings | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.23%EV -6.50%E -5.00%K -21.68%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -4.83%E -0.509%K -0.569%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.89%EV -5.17%E -0.985%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-20 15:00 |
| Sky Bet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.75%EV -7.22%E -5.60%K -24.91%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.74%EV -4.83%E -0.509%K -0.569%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -9.69%E -1.94%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-22 14:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.75%EV -7.22%E -5.60%K -24.91%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.74%EV -4.83%E -0.509%K -0.569%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -9.69%E -1.94%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-22 14:34 |
| Bet Victor | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.05%EV -7.22%E -5.60%K -24.91%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.65%EV -4.83%E -0.509%K -0.569%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.30%EV -14.20%E -2.99%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-23 16:08 |
| betano_uk | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.05%EV -7.22%E -5.60%K -24.91%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.65%EV -4.83%E -0.509%K -0.569%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.30%EV -14.20%E -2.99%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-23 16:04 |
| Paddy Power | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.38%EV -10.10%E -8.08%K -40.40%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.52%EV -4.83%E -0.509%K -0.569%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -9.69%E -1.94%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-07-22 14:33 |
| Neds | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.93%EV -4.35%E -3.27%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.20%EV -7.34%E -0.793%K -0.889%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.87%EV -9.69%E -1.94%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-24 17:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.93%EV -4.35%E -3.27%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.20%EV -7.34%E -0.793%K -0.889%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.87%EV -9.69%E -1.94%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-24 17:35 |
| FanDuel | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.27%EV -7.94%E -6.20%K -28.37%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -9.84%E -1.09%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.45%EV -4.27%E -0.806%K -0.993%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-22 14:34 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 72.19%EV -12.98%E -10.72%K -61.79%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 9.98%EV -12.35%E -1.41%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.83%EV -11.49%E -2.35%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-07-24 14:45 |
| Betway | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.40%EV -6.50%E -5.00%K -21.68%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.92%EV -14.85%E -1.75%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -5.17%E -0.985%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-24 11:19 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.62%EV -4.35%E -3.27%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.89%EV -14.85%E -1.75%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -14.20%E -2.99%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-24 14:54 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.58%EV -7.94%E -6.20%K -28.37%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.45%EV -19.86%E -2.48%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.97%EV -2.46%E -0.456%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-24 22:50 |
| LeoVegas | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.04%EV -6.50%E -5.00%K -21.68%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV -19.86%E -2.48%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.58%EV -11.49%E -2.35%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-24 14:55 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.02%EV -8.66%E -6.82%K -32.08%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.64%EV -22.36%E -2.89%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.34%EV -6.08%E -1.17%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-24 22:55 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.11%EV -7.22%E -5.60%K -24.91%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.50%EV -22.36%E -2.89%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.38%EV -16.91%E -3.68%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-07-24 14:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.83% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.12% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.05% | 2.6% | 2026-07-26 02:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.58% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.09% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.33% | 3.0% | 2026-07-26 02:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.58% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.09% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.33% | 3.0% | 2026-07-25 23:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.58% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.09% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.33% | 3.0% | 2026-07-26 02:00 |