مدرسة الاحتمالات

Atlético Madrid v Málaga

2026-08-19 19:00 UTC — La Liga - Spain

نتيجة المباراة

33 شركة مراهنات (14 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Atlético Madrid (المضيف)

التنبؤ 71.92%1.39السعر العادل
EV -3.63%
الأفضلية -2.71%
Kelly -10.67%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.34

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
69.11%71.79%72.17%73.43%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.211.301.301.3482.64%76.89%76.92%74.63%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Málaga (الضيف)

التنبؤ 10.02%9.98السعر العادل
EV +14.20%
الأفضلية +1.25%
Kelly +1.37%
النمو +0.194%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 11.40

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
8.58%10.06%9.90%11.64%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
7.759.529.5011.4012.90%10.51%10.53%8.77%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 18.06%5.54السعر العادل
EV +3.86%
الأفضلية +0.671%
Kelly +0.812%
النمو +0.031%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.75

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
16.82%18.16%17.92%19.49%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.605.135.005.7521.74%19.51%20.00%17.39%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (33 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet1.34I 74.63%NM 73.42%EV -3.63%E -2.71%K -10.67%G +0.000%11.40I 8.77%NM 8.63%EV +14.20%E +1.25%K +1.37%G +0.194%5.48I 18.25%NM 17.95%EV -1.02%E -0.186%K -0.227%G +0.000%1.6%2026-07-22 12:15
Marathon Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 73.43%EV -5.07%E -3.84%K -15.83%G +0.000%11.25I 8.89%NM 8.62%EV +12.70%E +1.13%K +1.24%G +0.157%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.95%EV -2.46%E -0.456%K -0.560%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-22 12:14
Coolbet1.30I 76.92%NM 73.22%EV -6.50%E -5.00%K -21.68%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.65%EV +10.19%E +0.927%K +1.02%G +0.104%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.13%EV -5.17%E -0.985%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-23 07:00
betfred_uk1.30I 76.92%NM 72.56%EV -6.50%E -5.00%K -21.68%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.58%EV +10.19%E +0.927%K +1.02%G +0.104%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.87%EV -9.69%E -1.94%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-25 00:00
Betr (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.26%EV -6.50%E -5.00%K -21.68%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.95%EV +5.18%E +0.494%K +0.546%G +0.028%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -9.69%E -1.94%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-23 06:59
SportsBet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.71%EV -6.50%E -5.00%K -21.68%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.45%EV +0.176%E +0.018%K +0.020%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.84%EV -4.27%E -0.806%K -0.993%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-22 14:34
William Hill1.30I 76.92%NM 71.94%EV -6.50%E -5.00%K -21.68%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.35%EV +0.176%E +0.018%K +0.020%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -9.69%E -1.94%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-22 12:15
BoyleSports1.29I 77.52%NM 72.10%EV -7.22%E -5.60%K -24.91%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.30%EV +0.176%E +0.018%K +0.020%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -9.69%E -1.94%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-22 12:15
Mr Green (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.39%EV -6.50%E -5.00%K -21.68%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.28%EV +0.176%E +0.018%K +0.020%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -13.30%E -2.77%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-22 12:14
LowVig.ag1.32I 75.76%NM 73.26%EV -5.07%E -3.84%K -15.83%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.92%EV -2.33%E -0.239%K -0.266%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.82%EV +3.86%E +0.671%K +0.812%G +0.031%3.4%2026-07-22 15:39
BetOnline.ag1.32I 75.76%NM 73.26%EV -5.07%E -3.84%K -15.83%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.92%EV -2.33%E -0.239%K -0.266%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.82%EV +3.86%E +0.671%K +0.812%G +0.031%3.4%2026-07-22 20:49
Bovada1.30I 76.92%NM 73.01%EV -6.50%E -5.00%K -21.68%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.73%EV -2.33%E -0.239%K -0.266%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.26%EV -0.657%E -0.119%K -0.146%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-24 03:37
BetMGM1.33I 75.19%NM 71.31%EV -4.35%E -3.27%K -13.17%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.73%EV -2.33%E -0.239%K -0.266%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.97%EV -9.69%E -1.94%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-24 17:34
Pinnacle1.30I 76.92%NM 72.80%EV -6.50%E -5.00%K -21.68%G +0.000%9.65I 10.36%NM 9.81%EV -3.33%E -0.345%K -0.385%G +0.000%5.44I 18.38%NM 17.40%EV -1.74%E -0.320%K -0.392%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-24 03:40
BetUS1.31I 76.34%NM 72.56%EV -5.78%E -4.42%K -18.66%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.00%EV -4.83%E -0.509%K -0.569%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.44%EV -1.56%E -0.286%K -0.351%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-19 00:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.12%EV -4.35%E -3.27%K -13.17%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.96%EV -4.83%E -0.509%K -0.569%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -9.69%E -1.94%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-24 17:35
Coral1.33I 75.19%NM 71.12%EV -4.35%E -3.27%K -13.17%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.96%EV -4.83%E -0.509%K -0.569%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -9.69%E -1.94%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-24 17:35
DraftKings1.30I 76.92%NM 72.23%EV -6.50%E -5.00%K -21.68%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -4.83%E -0.509%K -0.569%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.89%EV -5.17%E -0.985%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-20 15:00
Sky Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 71.75%EV -7.22%E -5.60%K -24.91%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.74%EV -4.83%E -0.509%K -0.569%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -9.69%E -1.94%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-22 14:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.29I 77.52%NM 71.75%EV -7.22%E -5.60%K -24.91%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.74%EV -4.83%E -0.509%K -0.569%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -9.69%E -1.94%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-22 14:34
Bet Victor1.29I 77.52%NM 71.05%EV -7.22%E -5.60%K -24.91%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.65%EV -4.83%E -0.509%K -0.569%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.30%EV -14.20%E -2.99%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-23 16:08
betano_uk1.29I 77.52%NM 71.05%EV -7.22%E -5.60%K -24.91%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.65%EV -4.83%E -0.509%K -0.569%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.30%EV -14.20%E -2.99%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-23 16:04
Paddy Power1.25I 80.00%NM 72.38%EV -10.10%E -8.08%K -40.40%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.52%EV -4.83%E -0.509%K -0.569%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -9.69%E -1.94%K -2.42%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-22 14:33
Neds1.33I 75.19%NM 70.93%EV -4.35%E -3.27%K -13.17%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.20%EV -7.34%E -0.793%K -0.889%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.87%EV -9.69%E -1.94%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-24 17:34
Ladbrokes (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.93%EV -4.35%E -3.27%K -13.17%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.20%EV -7.34%E -0.793%K -0.889%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.87%EV -9.69%E -1.94%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-24 17:35
FanDuel1.28I 78.13%NM 72.27%EV -7.94%E -6.20%K -28.37%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -9.84%E -1.09%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.45%EV -4.27%E -0.806%K -0.993%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-22 14:34
NetBet (FR)1.21I 82.64%NM 72.19%EV -12.98%E -10.72%K -61.79%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 9.98%EV -12.35%E -1.41%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.83%EV -11.49%E -2.35%K -2.95%G +0.000%14.5%2026-07-24 14:45
Betway1.30I 76.92%NM 71.40%EV -6.50%E -5.00%K -21.68%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.92%EV -14.85%E -1.75%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -5.17%E -0.985%K -1.22%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-24 11:19
Unibet (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.62%EV -4.35%E -3.27%K -13.17%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.89%EV -14.85%E -1.75%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -14.20%E -2.99%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-24 14:54
Winamax (DE)1.28I 78.13%NM 71.58%EV -7.94%E -6.20%K -28.37%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.45%EV -19.86%E -2.48%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.97%EV -2.46%E -0.456%K -0.560%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-24 22:50
LeoVegas1.30I 76.92%NM 70.04%EV -6.50%E -5.00%K -21.68%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV -19.86%E -2.48%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.58%EV -11.49%E -2.35%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-24 14:55
Winamax (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 71.02%EV -8.66%E -6.82%K -32.08%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.64%EV -22.36%E -2.89%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.34%EV -6.08%E -1.17%K -1.45%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-24 22:55
Betclic (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 69.11%EV -7.22%E -5.60%K -24.91%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.50%EV -22.36%E -2.89%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.38%EV -16.91%E -3.68%K -4.70%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-24 14:55
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (4)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.32I 75.76%NM 73.58%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.09%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.33%3.0%2026-07-25 23:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.32I 75.76%NM 73.58%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.09%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.33%3.0%2026-07-25 23:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 73.58%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.09%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.33%3.0%2026-07-25 23:30
Smarkets1.32I 75.76%NM 73.32%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.07%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.61%3.3%2026-07-25 23:30