A Escola das Odds

Atlético Madrid v Málaga

2026-08-19 19:00 UTC — La Liga - Spain

Frente a frente

33 casas de apostas (14 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Atlético Madrid (Local)

Previsão 71.92%1.39odd justa
EV -3.63%
Vantagem -2.71%
Kelly -10.67%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.34

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
69.11%71.79%72.17%73.43%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.211.301.301.3482.64%76.89%76.92%74.63%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Málaga (Visitante)

Previsão 10.02%9.98odd justa
EV +14.20%
Vantagem +1.25%
Kelly +1.37%
Crescimento +0.194%

pressupondo odds máximas de 11.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
8.58%10.06%9.90%11.64%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
7.759.529.5011.4012.90%10.51%10.53%8.77%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 18.06%5.54odd justa
EV +3.86%
Vantagem +0.671%
Kelly +0.812%
Crescimento +0.031%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
16.82%18.16%17.92%19.49%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.605.135.005.7521.74%19.51%20.00%17.39%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (33 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet1.34I 74.63%NM 73.42%EV -3.63%E -2.71%K -10.67%G +0.000%11.40I 8.77%NM 8.63%EV +14.20%E +1.25%K +1.37%G +0.194%5.48I 18.25%NM 17.95%EV -1.02%E -0.186%K -0.227%G +0.000%1.6%2026-07-22 12:15
Marathon Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 73.43%EV -5.07%E -3.84%K -15.83%G +0.000%11.25I 8.89%NM 8.62%EV +12.70%E +1.13%K +1.24%G +0.157%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.95%EV -2.46%E -0.456%K -0.560%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-22 12:14
Coolbet1.30I 76.92%NM 73.22%EV -6.50%E -5.00%K -21.68%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.65%EV +10.19%E +0.927%K +1.02%G +0.104%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.13%EV -5.17%E -0.985%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-23 07:00
betfred_uk1.30I 76.92%NM 72.56%EV -6.50%E -5.00%K -21.68%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.58%EV +10.19%E +0.927%K +1.02%G +0.104%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.87%EV -9.69%E -1.94%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-25 00:00
Betr (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.26%EV -6.50%E -5.00%K -21.68%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.95%EV +5.18%E +0.494%K +0.546%G +0.028%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -9.69%E -1.94%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-23 06:59
SportsBet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.71%EV -6.50%E -5.00%K -21.68%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.45%EV +0.176%E +0.018%K +0.020%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.84%EV -4.27%E -0.806%K -0.993%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-22 14:34
William Hill1.30I 76.92%NM 71.94%EV -6.50%E -5.00%K -21.68%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.35%EV +0.176%E +0.018%K +0.020%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -9.69%E -1.94%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-22 12:15
BoyleSports1.29I 77.52%NM 72.10%EV -7.22%E -5.60%K -24.91%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.30%EV +0.176%E +0.018%K +0.020%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -9.69%E -1.94%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-22 12:15
Mr Green (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.39%EV -6.50%E -5.00%K -21.68%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.28%EV +0.176%E +0.018%K +0.020%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -13.30%E -2.77%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-22 12:14
LowVig.ag1.32I 75.76%NM 73.26%EV -5.07%E -3.84%K -15.83%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.92%EV -2.33%E -0.239%K -0.266%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.82%EV +3.86%E +0.671%K +0.812%G +0.031%3.4%2026-07-22 15:39
BetOnline.ag1.32I 75.76%NM 73.26%EV -5.07%E -3.84%K -15.83%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.92%EV -2.33%E -0.239%K -0.266%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.82%EV +3.86%E +0.671%K +0.812%G +0.031%3.4%2026-07-22 20:49
Bovada1.30I 76.92%NM 73.01%EV -6.50%E -5.00%K -21.68%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.73%EV -2.33%E -0.239%K -0.266%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.26%EV -0.657%E -0.119%K -0.146%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-24 03:37
BetMGM1.33I 75.19%NM 71.31%EV -4.35%E -3.27%K -13.17%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.73%EV -2.33%E -0.239%K -0.266%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.97%EV -9.69%E -1.94%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-24 17:34
Pinnacle1.30I 76.92%NM 72.80%EV -6.50%E -5.00%K -21.68%G +0.000%9.65I 10.36%NM 9.81%EV -3.33%E -0.345%K -0.385%G +0.000%5.44I 18.38%NM 17.40%EV -1.74%E -0.320%K -0.392%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-24 03:40
BetUS1.31I 76.34%NM 72.56%EV -5.78%E -4.42%K -18.66%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.00%EV -4.83%E -0.509%K -0.569%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.44%EV -1.56%E -0.286%K -0.351%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-19 00:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.12%EV -4.35%E -3.27%K -13.17%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.96%EV -4.83%E -0.509%K -0.569%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -9.69%E -1.94%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-24 17:35
Coral1.33I 75.19%NM 71.12%EV -4.35%E -3.27%K -13.17%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.96%EV -4.83%E -0.509%K -0.569%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -9.69%E -1.94%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-24 17:35
DraftKings1.30I 76.92%NM 72.23%EV -6.50%E -5.00%K -21.68%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -4.83%E -0.509%K -0.569%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.89%EV -5.17%E -0.985%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-20 15:00
Sky Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 71.75%EV -7.22%E -5.60%K -24.91%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.74%EV -4.83%E -0.509%K -0.569%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -9.69%E -1.94%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-22 14:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.29I 77.52%NM 71.75%EV -7.22%E -5.60%K -24.91%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.74%EV -4.83%E -0.509%K -0.569%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -9.69%E -1.94%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-22 14:34
Bet Victor1.29I 77.52%NM 71.05%EV -7.22%E -5.60%K -24.91%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.65%EV -4.83%E -0.509%K -0.569%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.30%EV -14.20%E -2.99%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-23 16:08
betano_uk1.29I 77.52%NM 71.05%EV -7.22%E -5.60%K -24.91%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.65%EV -4.83%E -0.509%K -0.569%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.30%EV -14.20%E -2.99%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-23 16:04
Paddy Power1.25I 80.00%NM 72.38%EV -10.10%E -8.08%K -40.40%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.52%EV -4.83%E -0.509%K -0.569%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -9.69%E -1.94%K -2.42%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-22 14:33
Neds1.33I 75.19%NM 70.93%EV -4.35%E -3.27%K -13.17%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.20%EV -7.34%E -0.793%K -0.889%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.87%EV -9.69%E -1.94%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-24 17:34
Ladbrokes (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.93%EV -4.35%E -3.27%K -13.17%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.20%EV -7.34%E -0.793%K -0.889%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.87%EV -9.69%E -1.94%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-24 17:35
FanDuel1.28I 78.13%NM 72.27%EV -7.94%E -6.20%K -28.37%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -9.84%E -1.09%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.45%EV -4.27%E -0.806%K -0.993%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-22 14:34
NetBet (FR)1.21I 82.64%NM 72.19%EV -12.98%E -10.72%K -61.79%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 9.98%EV -12.35%E -1.41%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.83%EV -11.49%E -2.35%K -2.95%G +0.000%14.5%2026-07-24 14:45
Betway1.30I 76.92%NM 71.40%EV -6.50%E -5.00%K -21.68%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.92%EV -14.85%E -1.75%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -5.17%E -0.985%K -1.22%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-24 11:19
Unibet (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.62%EV -4.35%E -3.27%K -13.17%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.89%EV -14.85%E -1.75%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -14.20%E -2.99%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-24 14:54
Winamax (DE)1.28I 78.13%NM 71.58%EV -7.94%E -6.20%K -28.37%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.45%EV -19.86%E -2.48%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.97%EV -2.46%E -0.456%K -0.560%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-24 22:50
LeoVegas1.30I 76.92%NM 70.04%EV -6.50%E -5.00%K -21.68%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV -19.86%E -2.48%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.58%EV -11.49%E -2.35%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-24 14:55
Winamax (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 71.02%EV -8.66%E -6.82%K -32.08%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.64%EV -22.36%E -2.89%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.34%EV -6.08%E -1.17%K -1.45%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-24 22:55
Betclic (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 69.11%EV -7.22%E -5.60%K -24.91%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.50%EV -22.36%E -2.89%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.38%EV -16.91%E -3.68%K -4.70%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-24 14:55
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.32I 75.76%NM 73.58%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.09%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.33%3.0%2026-07-25 23:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.32I 75.76%NM 73.58%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.09%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.33%3.0%2026-07-25 23:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 73.58%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.09%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.33%3.0%2026-07-25 23:30
Smarkets1.32I 75.76%NM 73.32%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.07%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.61%3.3%2026-07-25 23:30