A Escola das OddsBarcelona v Atlético Madrid
Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →
Frente a frente
Barcelona (Local)
Previsão 66.48%1.50odd justa
EV -4.27%
Vantagem -2.96%
Kelly -9.70%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 1.44
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
64.77%66.45%66.32%67.96%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.331.401.401.4475.19%71.31%71.43%69.44%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Atlético Madrid (Visitante)
Previsão 16.53%6.05odd justa
EV +1.18%
Vantagem +0.193%
Kelly +0.231%
Crescimento +0.003%
pressupondo odds máximas de 6.12
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
15.77%16.58%16.56%17.62%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
5.005.675.756.1220.00%17.65%17.39%16.34%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Empate
Previsão 16.99%5.89odd justa
EV +5.31%
Vantagem +0.856%
Kelly +1.02%
Crescimento +0.054%
pressupondo odds máximas de 6.20
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
15.35%16.98%17.12%18.25%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
5.005.545.506.2020.00%18.05%18.18%16.13%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Odds das casas de apostas (31 casas de apostas)
Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante | Empate ▼ | Margem | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.96%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.31%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.69%EV -5.76%E -1.01%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.35%EV +5.31%E +0.856%K +1.02%G +0.054% | 5.1% | 2026-03-03 19:55 |
| Pinnacle | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.96%EV -5.60%E -3.94%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 6.12I 16.34%NM 15.77%EV +1.18%E +0.193%K +0.231%G +0.003% | 5.93I 16.86%NM 16.27%EV +0.723%E +0.122%K +0.147%G +0.001% | 3.6% | 2026-03-03 19:51 |
| 1xBet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.31%EV -4.27%E -2.96%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 5.95I 16.81%NM 16.29%EV -1.63%E -0.274%K -0.329%G +0.000% | 5.91I 16.92%NM 16.40%EV +0.383%E +0.065%K +0.078%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-03 19:55 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.69%EV -5.60%E -3.94%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.02%EV -0.802%E -0.134%K -0.160%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.29%EV +0.213%E +0.036%K +0.043%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-03 19:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.72%EV -5.60%E -3.94%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.23%EV -9.07%E -1.65%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.06%EV +0.213%E +0.036%K +0.043%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-03 19:35 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.93%E -3.45%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.51%EV -4.11%E -0.708%K -0.856%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.51%EV -1.49%E -0.256%K -0.309%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-03 19:31 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.93%E -3.45%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.51%EV -4.11%E -0.708%K -0.856%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.51%EV -1.49%E -0.256%K -0.309%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-03 19:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.03%EV -5.60%E -3.94%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -4.94%E -0.858%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.41%EV -1.49%E -0.256%K -0.309%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-03 19:44 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.64%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.31%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.28%EV -10.72%E -1.99%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -1.49%E -0.256%K -0.309%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-03 19:35 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.19%EV -6.26%E -4.44%K -15.27%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.33%EV -4.11%E -0.708%K -0.856%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.48%EV -2.33%E -0.406%K -0.492%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-03 19:30 |
| Unibet | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.19%EV -6.26%E -4.44%K -15.27%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.33%EV -4.11%E -0.708%K -0.856%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.48%EV -2.33%E -0.406%K -0.492%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-03 19:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.19%EV -6.26%E -4.44%K -15.27%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.33%EV -4.11%E -0.708%K -0.856%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.48%EV -2.33%E -0.406%K -0.492%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-03 19:30 |
| LeoVegas | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.05%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.31%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV -4.11%E -0.708%K -0.856%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.76%EV -4.88%E -0.872%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-03 19:30 |
| Grosvenor | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.05%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.31%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV -4.11%E -0.708%K -0.856%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.76%EV -4.88%E -0.872%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-03 19:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.37%EV -8.26%E -5.98%K -21.72%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.03%EV -4.11%E -0.708%K -0.856%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.60%EV -4.88%E -0.872%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-03 19:30 |
| Coral | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.13%EV -4.27%E -2.96%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.56%EV -4.94%E -0.858%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.31%EV -6.58%E -1.20%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-03 17:55 |
| BetMGM | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.28%EV -4.93%E -3.45%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.48%EV -4.94%E -0.858%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.23%EV -6.58%E -1.20%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-03 17:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.27%E -2.96%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.18%EV -9.07%E -1.65%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.18%EV -6.58%E -1.20%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-03 17:55 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.44%EV -5.60%E -3.94%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.41%EV -4.94%E -0.858%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.15%EV -6.58%E -1.20%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-03 19:35 |
| Betway | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.75%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.31%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.25%EV -4.94%E -0.858%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.99%EV -6.58%E -1.20%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-03 19:29 |
| Paddy Power | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.91%EV -9.58%E -7.05%K -26.62%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -9.07%E -1.65%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -6.58%E -1.20%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-03 19:05 |
| SportsBet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.91%EV -9.58%E -7.05%K -26.62%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -9.07%E -1.65%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -6.58%E -1.20%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-03 19:05 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.10%EV -6.26%E -4.44%K -15.27%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.64%EV -7.42%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -8.28%E -1.53%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-03 19:35 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.39%EV -11.58%E -8.71%K -35.09%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.01%EV -7.42%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.60%EV -8.28%E -1.53%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-03 19:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.39%EV -11.58%E -8.71%K -35.09%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.01%EV -7.42%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.60%EV -8.28%E -1.53%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-03 19:31 |
| 888sport | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.17%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.31%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.59%EV -9.07%E -1.65%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.25%EV -15.07%E -3.01%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-03 17:20 |
| William Hill | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.17%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.31%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.59%EV -9.07%E -1.65%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.25%EV -15.07%E -3.01%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-03 17:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.17%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.31%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.59%EV -9.07%E -1.65%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.25%EV -15.07%E -3.01%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-03 17:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.17%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.31%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.59%EV -9.07%E -1.65%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.25%EV -15.07%E -3.01%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-03 17:20 |
| Bet Victor | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.17%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.31%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.59%EV -9.07%E -1.65%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.25%EV -15.07%E -3.01%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-03 19:45 |
| BoyleSports | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.77%EV -9.58%E -7.05%K -26.62%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.62%EV -17.33%E -3.47%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.62%EV -15.07%E -3.01%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-03-03 19:50 |
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas
Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.
Bolsas de apostas (3)
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margem ▲ | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 68.28% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.10% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.61% | 0.3% | 2026-03-03 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 68.28% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.10% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.61% | 0.3% | 2026-03-03 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 68.09% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.85% | 0.6% | 2026-03-03 19:55 |