L’École des cotesBarcelona v Atlético Madrid
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Barcelona (Local)
Prévision 66.48%1.50cote équitable
EV -4.27%
Avantage -2.96%
Kelly -9.70%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.44
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
64.77%66.45%66.32%67.96%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.331.401.401.4475.19%71.31%71.43%69.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Atlético Madrid (Visiteur)
Prévision 16.53%6.05cote équitable
EV +1.18%
Avantage +0.193%
Kelly +0.231%
Croissance +0.003%
avec la cote maximale 6.12
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.77%16.58%16.56%17.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.005.675.756.1220.00%17.65%17.39%16.34%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 16.99%5.89cote équitable
EV +5.31%
Avantage +0.856%
Kelly +1.02%
Croissance +0.054%
avec la cote maximale 6.20
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.35%16.98%17.12%18.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.005.545.506.2020.00%18.05%18.18%16.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (31 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.96%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.31%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.69%EV -5.76%E -1.01%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.35%EV +5.31%E +0.856%K +1.02%G +0.054% | 5.1% | 2026-03-03 19:55 |
| Pinnacle | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.96%EV -5.60%E -3.94%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 6.12I 16.34%NM 15.77%EV +1.18%E +0.193%K +0.231%G +0.003% | 5.93I 16.86%NM 16.27%EV +0.723%E +0.122%K +0.147%G +0.001% | 3.6% | 2026-03-03 19:51 |
| 1xBet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.31%EV -4.27%E -2.96%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 5.95I 16.81%NM 16.29%EV -1.63%E -0.274%K -0.329%G +0.000% | 5.91I 16.92%NM 16.40%EV +0.383%E +0.065%K +0.078%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-03 19:55 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.69%EV -5.60%E -3.94%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.02%EV -0.802%E -0.134%K -0.160%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.29%EV +0.213%E +0.036%K +0.043%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-03 19:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.72%EV -5.60%E -3.94%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.23%EV -9.07%E -1.65%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.06%EV +0.213%E +0.036%K +0.043%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-03 19:35 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.93%E -3.45%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.51%EV -4.11%E -0.708%K -0.856%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.51%EV -1.49%E -0.256%K -0.309%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-03 19:31 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.93%E -3.45%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.51%EV -4.11%E -0.708%K -0.856%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.51%EV -1.49%E -0.256%K -0.309%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-03 19:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.03%EV -5.60%E -3.94%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -4.94%E -0.858%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.41%EV -1.49%E -0.256%K -0.309%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-03 19:44 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.64%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.31%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.28%EV -10.72%E -1.99%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -1.49%E -0.256%K -0.309%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-03 19:35 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.19%EV -6.26%E -4.44%K -15.27%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.33%EV -4.11%E -0.708%K -0.856%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.48%EV -2.33%E -0.406%K -0.492%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-03 19:30 |
| Unibet | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.19%EV -6.26%E -4.44%K -15.27%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.33%EV -4.11%E -0.708%K -0.856%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.48%EV -2.33%E -0.406%K -0.492%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-03 19:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.19%EV -6.26%E -4.44%K -15.27%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.33%EV -4.11%E -0.708%K -0.856%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.48%EV -2.33%E -0.406%K -0.492%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-03 19:30 |
| LeoVegas | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.05%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.31%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV -4.11%E -0.708%K -0.856%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.76%EV -4.88%E -0.872%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-03 19:30 |
| Grosvenor | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.05%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.31%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV -4.11%E -0.708%K -0.856%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.76%EV -4.88%E -0.872%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-03 19:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.37%EV -8.26%E -5.98%K -21.72%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.03%EV -4.11%E -0.708%K -0.856%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.60%EV -4.88%E -0.872%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-03 19:30 |
| Coral | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.13%EV -4.27%E -2.96%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.56%EV -4.94%E -0.858%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.31%EV -6.58%E -1.20%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-03 17:55 |
| BetMGM | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.28%EV -4.93%E -3.45%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.48%EV -4.94%E -0.858%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.23%EV -6.58%E -1.20%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-03 17:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.27%E -2.96%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.18%EV -9.07%E -1.65%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.18%EV -6.58%E -1.20%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-03 17:55 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.44%EV -5.60%E -3.94%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.41%EV -4.94%E -0.858%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.15%EV -6.58%E -1.20%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-03 19:35 |
| Betway | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.75%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.31%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.25%EV -4.94%E -0.858%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.99%EV -6.58%E -1.20%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-03 19:29 |
| Paddy Power | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.91%EV -9.58%E -7.05%K -26.62%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -9.07%E -1.65%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -6.58%E -1.20%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-03 19:05 |
| SportsBet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.91%EV -9.58%E -7.05%K -26.62%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -9.07%E -1.65%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -6.58%E -1.20%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-03 19:05 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.10%EV -6.26%E -4.44%K -15.27%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.64%EV -7.42%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -8.28%E -1.53%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-03 19:35 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.39%EV -11.58%E -8.71%K -35.09%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.01%EV -7.42%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.60%EV -8.28%E -1.53%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-03 19:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.39%EV -11.58%E -8.71%K -35.09%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.01%EV -7.42%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.60%EV -8.28%E -1.53%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-03 19:31 |
| 888sport | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.17%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.31%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.59%EV -9.07%E -1.65%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.25%EV -15.07%E -3.01%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-03 17:20 |
| William Hill | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.17%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.31%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.59%EV -9.07%E -1.65%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.25%EV -15.07%E -3.01%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-03 17:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.17%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.31%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.59%EV -9.07%E -1.65%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.25%EV -15.07%E -3.01%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-03 17:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.17%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.31%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.59%EV -9.07%E -1.65%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.25%EV -15.07%E -3.01%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-03 17:20 |
| Bet Victor | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.17%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.31%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.59%EV -9.07%E -1.65%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.25%EV -15.07%E -3.01%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-03 19:45 |
| BoyleSports | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.77%EV -9.58%E -7.05%K -26.62%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.62%EV -17.33%E -3.47%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.62%EV -15.07%E -3.01%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-03-03 19:50 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (3)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 68.28% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.10% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.61% | 0.3% | 2026-03-03 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 68.28% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.10% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.61% | 0.3% | 2026-03-03 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 68.09% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.85% | 0.6% | 2026-03-03 19:55 |