La scuola delle quote

Barcelona v Atlético Madrid

Inizio: 2026-03-03 20:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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31 bookmaker (11 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Barcelona (Casa)

Previsione 66.48%1.50quota equa
EV -4.27%
Vantaggio -2.96%
Kelly -9.70%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.44

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
64.77%66.45%66.32%67.96%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.331.401.401.4475.19%71.31%71.43%69.44%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Atlético Madrid (Trasferta)

Previsione 16.53%6.05quota equa
EV +1.18%
Vantaggio +0.193%
Kelly +0.231%
Crescita +0.003%

ipotizzando la quota massima 6.12

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
15.77%16.58%16.56%17.62%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
5.005.675.756.1220.00%17.65%17.39%16.34%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 16.99%5.89quota equa
EV +5.31%
Vantaggio +0.856%
Kelly +1.02%
Crescita +0.054%

ipotizzando la quota massima 6.20

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
15.35%16.98%17.12%18.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
5.005.545.506.2020.00%18.05%18.18%16.13%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (31 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggio ▼MargineAggiornamento
Tipico (DE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.96%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.31%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.69%EV -5.76%E -1.01%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.35%EV +5.31%E +0.856%K +1.02%G +0.054%5.1%2026-03-03 19:55
Pinnacle1.42I 70.42%NM 67.96%EV -5.60%E -3.94%K -13.32%G +0.000%6.12I 16.34%NM 15.77%EV +1.18%E +0.193%K +0.231%G +0.003%5.93I 16.86%NM 16.27%EV +0.723%E +0.122%K +0.147%G +0.001%3.6%2026-03-03 19:51
1xBet1.44I 69.44%NM 67.31%EV -4.27%E -2.96%K -9.70%G +0.000%5.95I 16.81%NM 16.29%EV -1.63%E -0.274%K -0.329%G +0.000%5.91I 16.92%NM 16.40%EV +0.383%E +0.065%K +0.078%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-03 19:55
Betclic (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.69%EV -5.60%E -3.94%K -13.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.02%EV -0.802%E -0.134%K -0.160%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.29%EV +0.213%E +0.036%K +0.043%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-03 19:50
Winamax (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.72%EV -5.60%E -3.94%K -13.32%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.23%EV -9.07%E -1.65%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.06%EV +0.213%E +0.036%K +0.043%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-03 19:35
Svenska Spel1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.93%E -3.45%K -11.47%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.51%EV -4.11%E -0.708%K -0.856%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.51%EV -1.49%E -0.256%K -0.309%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-03 19:31
ATG (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.93%E -3.45%K -11.47%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.51%EV -4.11%E -0.708%K -0.856%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.51%EV -1.49%E -0.256%K -0.309%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-03 19:30
Unibet (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.03%EV -5.60%E -3.94%K -13.32%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -4.94%E -0.858%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.41%EV -1.49%E -0.256%K -0.309%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-03 19:44
Winamax (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.64%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.31%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.28%EV -10.72%E -1.99%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -1.49%E -0.256%K -0.309%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-03 19:35
Unibet (NL)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.19%EV -6.26%E -4.44%K -15.27%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.33%EV -4.11%E -0.708%K -0.856%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.48%EV -2.33%E -0.406%K -0.492%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-03 19:30
Unibet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.19%EV -6.26%E -4.44%K -15.27%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.33%EV -4.11%E -0.708%K -0.856%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.48%EV -2.33%E -0.406%K -0.492%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-03 19:30
Unibet (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.19%EV -6.26%E -4.44%K -15.27%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.33%EV -4.11%E -0.708%K -0.856%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.48%EV -2.33%E -0.406%K -0.492%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-03 19:30
LeoVegas1.40I 71.43%NM 67.05%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.31%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV -4.11%E -0.708%K -0.856%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.76%EV -4.88%E -0.872%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-03 19:30
Grosvenor1.40I 71.43%NM 67.05%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.31%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV -4.11%E -0.708%K -0.856%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.76%EV -4.88%E -0.872%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-03 19:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 67.37%EV -8.26%E -5.98%K -21.72%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.03%EV -4.11%E -0.708%K -0.856%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.60%EV -4.88%E -0.872%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-03 19:30
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 66.13%EV -4.27%E -2.96%K -9.70%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.56%EV -4.94%E -0.858%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.31%EV -6.58%E -1.20%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-03 17:55
BetMGM1.43I 69.93%NM 66.28%EV -4.93%E -3.45%K -11.47%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.48%EV -4.94%E -0.858%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.23%EV -6.58%E -1.20%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-03 17:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.27%E -2.96%K -9.70%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.18%EV -9.07%E -1.65%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.18%EV -6.58%E -1.20%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-03 17:55
Unibet (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.44%EV -5.60%E -3.94%K -13.32%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.41%EV -4.94%E -0.858%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.15%EV -6.58%E -1.20%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-03 19:35
Betway1.40I 71.43%NM 66.75%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.31%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.25%EV -4.94%E -0.858%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.99%EV -6.58%E -1.20%K -1.46%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-03 19:29
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 66.91%EV -9.58%E -7.05%K -26.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -9.07%E -1.65%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -6.58%E -1.20%K -1.46%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-03 19:05
SportsBet1.36I 73.53%NM 66.91%EV -9.58%E -7.05%K -26.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -9.07%E -1.65%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -6.58%E -1.20%K -1.46%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-03 19:05
Codere (IT)1.41I 70.92%NM 66.10%EV -6.26%E -4.44%K -15.27%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.64%EV -7.42%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -8.28%E -1.53%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-03 19:35
Virgin Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 67.39%EV -11.58%E -8.71%K -35.09%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.01%EV -7.42%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.60%EV -8.28%E -1.53%K -1.88%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-03 19:30
LiveScore Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 67.39%EV -11.58%E -8.71%K -35.09%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.01%EV -7.42%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.60%EV -8.28%E -1.53%K -1.88%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-03 19:31
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 65.17%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.31%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.59%EV -9.07%E -1.65%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.25%EV -15.07%E -3.01%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-03 17:20
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 65.17%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.31%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.59%EV -9.07%E -1.65%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.25%EV -15.07%E -3.01%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-03 17:20
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.17%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.31%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.59%EV -9.07%E -1.65%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.25%EV -15.07%E -3.01%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-03 17:20
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.17%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.31%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.59%EV -9.07%E -1.65%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.25%EV -15.07%E -3.01%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-03 17:20
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 65.17%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.31%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.59%EV -9.07%E -1.65%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.25%EV -15.07%E -3.01%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-03 19:45
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 64.77%EV -9.58%E -7.05%K -26.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.62%EV -17.33%E -3.47%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.62%EV -15.07%E -3.01%K -3.77%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-03 19:50
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (3)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.46I 68.49%NM 68.28%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.10%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.61%0.3%2026-03-03 19:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.46I 68.49%NM 68.28%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.10%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.61%0.3%2026-03-03 19:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.46I 68.49%NM 68.09%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.85%0.6%2026-03-03 19:55