Language:English
Al-Riyadh v Al-Nassr
Head to Head
Al-Riyadh (Local)
Prediction 10.46%9.56fair odd
EV +9.82%
Edge +0.935%
Kelly +1.03%
Growth +0.101%
assuming max odds 10.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
8.81%10.56%10.48%12.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.008.899.0010.5014.29%11.25%11.11%9.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Al-Nassr (Visit)
Prediction 73.76%1.36fair odd
EV -6.33%
Edge -4.98%
Kelly -23.43%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.27
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
71.63%73.47%73.71%75.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.181.221.221.2784.75%81.72%81.97%78.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 15.78%6.34fair odd
EV -2.00%
Edge -0.321%
Kelly -0.383%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 6.21
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.03%15.98%15.81%17.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.005.585.506.2120.00%17.93%18.18%16.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Al-Riyadh (Local): 10.46%; Al-Nassr (Visit): 73.76%; Draw: 15.78%. For Al-Riyadh (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 9.56. 4 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 10.50, producing a positive expected value of +9.82%.
Sportsbook Odds (27 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.81%EV +9.82%E +0.935%K +1.03%G +0.101% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.78%EV -10.01%E -8.21%K -45.52%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -5.31%E -0.885%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-18 22:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV +4.59%E +0.459%K +0.510%G +0.023% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -10.01%E -8.21%K -45.52%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -5.31%E -0.885%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-18 18:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.42%EV +1.97%E +0.203%K +0.226%G +0.004% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.28%EV -10.01%E -8.21%K -45.52%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -5.31%E -0.885%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-18 22:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 9.65I 10.36%NM 9.67%EV +0.929%E +0.096%K +0.107%G +0.001% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.29%EV -8.54%E -6.89%K -35.58%G +0.000% | 6.21I 16.10%NM 15.03%EV -2.00%E -0.321%K -0.383%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-18 21:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.64%EV -0.640%E -0.067%K -0.075%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.09%EV -10.01%E -8.21%K -45.52%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -5.31%E -0.885%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-18 18:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.52%EV -0.640%E -0.067%K -0.075%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.40%EV -11.49%E -9.57%K -57.44%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.08%EV -5.31%E -0.885%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-18 18:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 9.37I 10.67%NM 9.88%EV -2.00%E -0.213%K -0.239%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.66%EV -8.54%E -6.89%K -35.58%G +0.000% | 5.99I 16.69%NM 15.46%EV -5.47%E -0.913%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-18 18:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.11%EV -5.87%E -0.652%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.36%EV -8.54%E -6.89%K -35.58%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -13.20%E -2.40%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-18 18:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.11%EV -5.87%E -0.652%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.36%EV -8.54%E -6.89%K -35.58%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -13.20%E -2.40%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-18 18:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.11%EV -5.87%E -0.652%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.36%EV -8.54%E -6.89%K -35.58%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -13.20%E -2.40%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-18 18:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.11%EV -5.87%E -0.652%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.36%EV -8.54%E -6.89%K -35.58%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -13.20%E -2.40%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-18 18:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.11%EV -5.87%E -0.652%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.36%EV -8.54%E -6.89%K -35.58%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -13.20%E -2.40%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-18 18:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.11%EV -5.87%E -0.652%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.36%EV -8.54%E -6.89%K -35.58%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -13.20%E -2.40%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-18 18:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.83%EV -5.87%E -0.652%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.49%EV -10.01%E -8.21%K -45.52%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.69%EV -21.09%E -4.22%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-18 18:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.83%EV -5.87%E -0.652%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.49%EV -10.01%E -8.21%K -45.52%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.69%EV -21.09%E -4.22%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-18 18:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.83%EV -5.87%E -0.652%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.49%EV -10.01%E -8.21%K -45.52%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.69%EV -21.09%E -4.22%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-18 18:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.83%EV -5.87%E -0.652%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.49%EV -10.01%E -8.21%K -45.52%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.69%EV -21.09%E -4.22%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-18 18:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV -11.10%E -1.31%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.47%EV -6.33%E -4.98%K -23.43%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -5.31%E -0.885%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-18 20:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.51%EV -11.10%E -1.31%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.24%EV -10.01%E -8.21%K -45.52%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.25%EV -13.20%E -2.40%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-18 22:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.48%EV -11.10%E -1.31%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.02%EV -10.01%E -8.21%K -45.52%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.50%EV -14.78%E -2.74%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-18 18:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.32%EV -11.10%E -1.31%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 73.12%EV -11.49%E -9.57%K -57.44%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.56%EV -16.36%E -3.09%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-18 18:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.32%EV -11.10%E -1.31%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 73.12%EV -11.49%E -9.57%K -57.44%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.56%EV -16.36%E -3.09%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-18 18:19 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.16%EV -11.10%E -1.31%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 73.22%EV -12.96%E -10.99%K -72.02%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 16.62%EV -17.94%E -3.45%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-08-18 18:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 8.20I 12.20%NM 10.85%EV -14.24%E -1.74%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 73.54%EV -10.75%E -8.89%K -51.20%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.61%EV -10.04%E -1.76%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-18 20:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 10.96%EV -16.33%E -2.04%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 73.09%EV -11.49%E -9.57%K -57.44%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.95%EV -13.20%E -2.40%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-18 18:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.05%EV -21.56%E -2.87%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 72.89%EV -8.54%E -6.89%K -35.58%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.06%EV -5.31%E -0.885%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-18 20:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.48%EV -26.79%E -3.83%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 71.63%EV -10.01%E -8.21%K -45.52%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.89%EV -13.20%E -2.40%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-08-18 20:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.86% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.40% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.74% | 1.7% | 2026-08-19 00:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 9.60I 10.42%NM 9.94% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.15% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.91% | 4.8% | 2026-08-18 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 9.60I 10.42%NM 9.94% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.15% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.91% | 4.8% | 2026-08-18 18:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.13% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.99% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.88% | 5.0% | 2026-08-18 22:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 48.18% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 43.24% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 8.58% | 82.1% | 2026-08-18 19:00 |
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