Langue:Français
Al-Riyadh v Al-Nassr
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Al-Riyadh (Local)
Prévision 9.70%10.31cote équitable
EV +16.35%
Avantage +1.36%
Kelly +1.49%
Croissance +0.243%
avec la cote maximale 12.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
7.68%9.61%9.88%11.18%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
8.009.559.5012.0012.50%10.47%10.53%8.33%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Al-Nassr (Visiteur)
Prévision 75.14%1.33cote équitable
EV -3.82%
Avantage -2.98%
Kelly -13.63%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.28
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
73.76%75.26%75.11%78.38%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.161.211.221.2886.21%82.55%81.97%78.13%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 15.16%6.60cote équitable
EV +11.89%
Avantage +1.61%
Kelly +1.86%
Croissance +0.221%
avec la cote maximale 7.38
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
13.17%15.14%15.00%16.29%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.305.935.907.3818.87%16.87%16.95%13.55%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Al-Riyadh (Local) : 9.70% ; Al-Nassr (Visiteur) : 75.14% ; Match nul : 15.16%. Pour Al-Riyadh (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 10.31. 6 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 12.00, soit une espérance positive de +16.35%.
Cotes des opérateurs (30 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.68%EV +16.35%E +1.36%K +1.49%G +0.243% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.13%EV -11.33%E -9.60%K -62.95%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -1.46%E -0.224%K -0.265%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-21 15:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.45%EV +11.50%E +1.00%K +1.10%G +0.126% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.38%EV -6.82%E -5.50%K -28.43%G +0.000% | 7.38I 13.55%NM 13.17%EV +11.89%E +1.61%K +1.86%G +0.221% | 2.9% | 2026-08-21 15:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 11.04I 9.06%NM 8.55%EV +7.04%E +0.638%K +0.701%G +0.049% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.78%EV -7.57%E -6.16%K -32.93%G +0.000% | 6.44I 15.53%NM 14.66%EV -2.37%E -0.367%K -0.435%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-21 15:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.28%EV +6.66%E +0.605%K +0.666%G +0.044% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.16%EV -11.33%E -9.60%K -62.95%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.57%EV -5.25%E -0.839%K -0.999%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-21 15:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.17%EV +6.66%E +0.605%K +0.666%G +0.044% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 76.84%EV -12.08%E -10.33%K -71.07%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.98%EV -9.04%E -1.51%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-21 15:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.17%EV +6.66%E +0.605%K +0.666%G +0.044% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 76.84%EV -12.08%E -10.33%K -71.07%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.98%EV -9.04%E -1.51%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-21 15:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -3.04%E -0.304%K -0.338%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -8.32%E -6.82%K -37.84%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -9.04%E -1.51%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-21 14:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV -7.89%E -0.830%K -0.928%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.63%EV -6.07%E -4.86%K -24.28%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -9.04%E -1.51%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-21 15:33 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.60%EV -7.89%E -0.830%K -0.928%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.12%EV -7.57%E -6.16%K -32.93%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.28%EV -15.10%E -2.70%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-21 15:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.60%EV -7.89%E -0.830%K -0.928%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.12%EV -7.57%E -6.16%K -32.93%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.28%EV -15.10%E -2.70%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-21 15:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.60%EV -7.89%E -0.830%K -0.928%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.12%EV -7.57%E -6.16%K -32.93%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.28%EV -15.10%E -2.70%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-21 15:54 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.57%EV -7.89%E -0.830%K -0.928%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.77%EV -9.83%E -8.19%K -49.14%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.66%EV -6.00%E -0.968%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-21 15:34 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.55%EV -7.89%E -0.830%K -0.928%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.58%EV -9.83%E -8.19%K -49.14%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.87%EV -7.52%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-21 15:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.54%EV -7.89%E -0.830%K -0.928%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.28%EV -8.32%E -6.82%K -37.84%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.18%EV -15.10%E -2.70%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-21 15:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.54%EV -7.89%E -0.830%K -0.928%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.28%EV -8.32%E -6.82%K -37.84%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.18%EV -15.10%E -2.70%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-21 15:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.54%EV -7.89%E -0.830%K -0.928%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.28%EV -8.32%E -6.82%K -37.84%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.18%EV -15.10%E -2.70%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-21 15:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.40%EV -7.89%E -0.830%K -0.928%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.38%EV -9.83%E -8.19%K -49.14%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.23%EV -16.62%E -3.02%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-21 15:59 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.34%EV -7.89%E -0.830%K -0.928%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 75.86%EV -12.08%E -10.33%K -71.07%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.79%EV -9.04%E -1.51%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-21 15:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.62%EV -12.74%E -1.42%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.67%EV -3.82%E -2.98%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.71%EV -1.46%E -0.224%K -0.265%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-21 15:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.43%EV -12.74%E -1.42%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.12%EV -6.07%E -4.86%K -24.28%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -1.46%E -0.224%K -0.265%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-21 15:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.87%EV -12.74%E -1.42%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 73.99%EV -9.83%E -8.19%K -49.14%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -16.62%E -3.02%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-21 15:58 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.78%EV -12.74%E -1.42%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 73.93%EV -10.58%E -8.89%K -55.68%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.29%EV -18.13%E -3.36%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-08-21 15:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.78%EV -12.74%E -1.42%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 73.93%EV -10.58%E -8.89%K -55.68%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.29%EV -18.13%E -3.36%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-08-21 15:54 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.56%EV -12.74%E -1.42%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 74.20%EV -12.83%E -11.06%K -80.21%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.24%EV -19.65%E -3.71%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-08-21 15:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.72%EV -17.58%E -2.07%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.70%EV -8.32%E -6.82%K -37.84%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.58%EV -5.25%E -0.839%K -0.999%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-21 15:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.60%EV -17.58%E -2.07%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.86%EV -8.32%E -6.82%K -37.84%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.54%EV -12.07%E -2.08%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-21 15:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.59%EV -17.58%E -2.07%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.76%EV -8.32%E -6.82%K -37.84%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.65%EV -12.83%E -2.23%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-21 15:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.59%EV -17.58%E -2.07%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.76%EV -8.32%E -6.82%K -37.84%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.65%EV -12.83%E -2.23%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-21 15:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.59%EV -17.58%E -2.07%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.76%EV -8.32%E -6.82%K -37.84%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.65%EV -12.83%E -2.23%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-21 15:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.18%EV -22.43%E -2.80%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 73.91%EV -9.08%E -7.50%K -43.22%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.91%EV -9.04%E -1.51%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-21 15:10 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.62% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.62% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.76% | 0.9% | 2026-08-21 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.62% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.62% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.76% | 0.9% | 2026-08-21 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.62% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.62% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.76% | 0.9% | 2026-08-21 15:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.85% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.52% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.63% | 1.9% | 2026-08-21 15:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.84% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.43% | 7.14I 14.01%NM 13.73% | 2.0% | 2026-08-21 15:35 |