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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
+ 新建模型所有模型

Al-Riyadh v Al-Nassr

开赛时间： 2026-08-21 16:00 UTC

最终结果： Al-Riyadh 0–4 Al-Nassr

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

30 家博彩公司 (7 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Al-Riyadh (主队)

预测 9.70%10.31公平赔率
EV +16.35%
优势 +1.36%
Kelly +1.49%
增长率 +0.243%

假设最高赔率为 12.00

博彩公司预测分布
7.68%9.61%9.88%11.18%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
8.009.559.5012.0012.50%10.47%10.53%8.33%最小值均值中位数最大值

Al-Nassr (客队)

预测 75.14%1.33公平赔率
EV -3.82%
优势 -2.98%
Kelly -13.63%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.28

博彩公司预测分布
73.76%75.26%75.11%78.38%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.161.211.221.2886.21%82.55%81.97%78.13%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 15.16%6.60公平赔率
EV +11.89%
优势 +1.61%
Kelly +1.86%
增长率 +0.221%

假设最高赔率为 7.38

博彩公司预测分布
13.17%15.14%15.00%16.29%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
5.305.935.907.3818.87%16.87%16.95%13.55%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Al-Riyadh (主队)：9.70%；Al-Nassr (客队)：75.14%；平局：15.16%。 对于“Al-Riyadh (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为10.31。 当时有6家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为12.00，对应+16.35%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (30 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Tipico (DE)🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.68%EV +16.35%E +1.36%K +1.49%G +0.243%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.13%EV -11.33%E -9.60%K -62.95%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -1.46%E -0.224%K -0.265%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-21 15:54
1xBet🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 8.45%EV +11.50%E +1.00%K +1.10%G +0.126%1.24I 80.65%NM 78.38%EV -6.82%E -5.50%K -28.43%G +0.000%7.38I 13.55%NM 13.17%EV +11.89%E +1.61%K +1.86%G +0.221%2.9%2026-08-21 15:55
Pinnacle🎯11.04I 9.06%NM 8.55%EV +7.04%E +0.638%K +0.701%G +0.049%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.78%EV -7.57%E -6.16%K -32.93%G +0.000%6.44I 15.53%NM 14.66%EV -2.37%E -0.367%K -0.435%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-21 15:55
SportsBet🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.28%EV +6.66%E +0.605%K +0.666%G +0.044%1.18I 84.75%NM 77.16%EV -11.33%E -9.60%K -62.95%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.57%EV -5.25%E -0.839%K -0.999%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-21 15:59
Paddy Power🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.17%EV +6.66%E +0.605%K +0.666%G +0.044%1.17I 85.47%NM 76.84%EV -12.08%E -10.33%K -71.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.98%EV -9.04%E -1.51%K -1.81%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-21 15:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.17%EV +6.66%E +0.605%K +0.666%G +0.044%1.17I 85.47%NM 76.84%EV -12.08%E -10.33%K -71.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.98%EV -9.04%E -1.51%K -1.81%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-21 15:55
betfred_uk🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -3.04%E -0.304%K -0.338%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -8.32%E -6.82%K -37.84%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -9.04%E -1.51%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-21 14:50
Unibet (UK)🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV -7.89%E -0.830%K -0.928%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.63%EV -6.07%E -4.86%K -24.28%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -9.04%E -1.51%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-21 15:33
Unibet (NL)🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.60%EV -7.89%E -0.830%K -0.928%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 74.12%EV -7.57%E -6.16%K -32.93%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.28%EV -15.10%E -2.70%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-21 15:55
Unibet (SE)🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.60%EV -7.89%E -0.830%K -0.928%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 74.12%EV -7.57%E -6.16%K -32.93%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.28%EV -15.10%E -2.70%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-21 15:54
Grosvenor🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.60%EV -7.89%E -0.830%K -0.928%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 74.12%EV -7.57%E -6.16%K -32.93%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.28%EV -15.10%E -2.70%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-21 15:54
Unibet (FR)🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.57%EV -7.89%E -0.830%K -0.928%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 75.77%EV -9.83%E -8.19%K -49.14%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.66%EV -6.00%E -0.968%K -1.15%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-21 15:34
Betclic (FR)🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.55%EV -7.89%E -0.830%K -0.928%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 75.58%EV -9.83%E -8.19%K -49.14%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.87%EV -7.52%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-21 15:54
Unibet🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.54%EV -7.89%E -0.830%K -0.928%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 74.28%EV -8.32%E -6.82%K -37.84%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.18%EV -15.10%E -2.70%K -3.28%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-21 15:59
Svenska Spel🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.54%EV -7.89%E -0.830%K -0.928%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 74.28%EV -8.32%E -6.82%K -37.84%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.18%EV -15.10%E -2.70%K -3.28%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-21 15:59
ATG (SE)🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.54%EV -7.89%E -0.830%K -0.928%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 74.28%EV -8.32%E -6.82%K -37.84%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.18%EV -15.10%E -2.70%K -3.28%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-21 15:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.40%EV -7.89%E -0.830%K -0.928%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 74.38%EV -9.83%E -8.19%K -49.14%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.23%EV -16.62%E -3.02%K -3.69%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-21 15:59
Sky Bet🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.34%EV -7.89%E -0.830%K -0.928%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 75.86%EV -12.08%E -10.33%K -71.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.79%EV -9.04%E -1.51%K -1.81%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-21 15:54
Coral🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.62%EV -12.74%E -1.42%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.67%EV -3.82%E -2.98%K -13.63%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.71%EV -1.46%E -0.224%K -0.265%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-21 15:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.43%EV -12.74%E -1.42%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.12%EV -6.07%E -4.86%K -24.28%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -1.46%E -0.224%K -0.265%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-21 15:59
BoyleSports🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 9.87%EV -12.74%E -1.42%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 73.99%EV -9.83%E -8.19%K -49.14%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -16.62%E -3.02%K -3.69%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-21 15:58
LiveScore Bet🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 9.78%EV -12.74%E -1.42%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 73.93%EV -10.58%E -8.89%K -55.68%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.29%EV -18.13%E -3.36%K -4.12%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-21 15:54
Virgin Bet🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 9.78%EV -12.74%E -1.42%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 73.93%EV -10.58%E -8.89%K -55.68%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.29%EV -18.13%E -3.36%K -4.12%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-21 15:54
PMU (FR)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 9.56%EV -12.74%E -1.42%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 74.20%EV -12.83%E -11.06%K -80.21%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.24%EV -19.65%E -3.71%K -4.57%G +0.000%16.2%2026-08-21 15:54
Winamax (DE)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.72%EV -17.58%E -2.07%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 74.70%EV -8.32%E -6.82%K -37.84%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.58%EV -5.25%E -0.839%K -0.999%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-21 15:10
William Hill🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.60%EV -17.58%E -2.07%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 73.86%EV -8.32%E -6.82%K -37.84%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.54%EV -12.07%E -2.08%K -2.51%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-21 15:59
888sport🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.59%EV -17.58%E -2.07%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 73.76%EV -8.32%E -6.82%K -37.84%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.65%EV -12.83%E -2.23%K -2.70%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-21 15:54
888sport (SE)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.59%EV -17.58%E -2.07%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 73.76%EV -8.32%E -6.82%K -37.84%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.65%EV -12.83%E -2.23%K -2.70%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-21 15:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.59%EV -17.58%E -2.07%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 73.76%EV -8.32%E -6.82%K -37.84%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.65%EV -12.83%E -2.23%K -2.70%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-21 15:54
Winamax (FR)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.18%EV -22.43%E -2.80%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 73.91%EV -9.08%E -7.50%K -43.22%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.91%EV -9.04%E -1.51%K -1.81%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-21 15:10
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎13.00I 7.69%NM 7.62%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.62%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.76%0.9%2026-08-21 15:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎13.00I 7.69%NM 7.62%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.62%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.76%0.9%2026-08-21 15:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎13.00I 7.69%NM 7.62%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.62%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.76%0.9%2026-08-21 15:55
Smarkets◎12.50I 8.00%NM 7.85%1.25I 80.00%NM 78.52%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.63%1.9%2026-08-21 15:55
Kalshi◎12.50I 8.00%NM 7.84%1.25I 80.00%NM 78.43%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.73%2.0%2026-08-21 15:35