Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Al-Riyadh v Al-Nassr

2026-08-21 16:00 UTC — Saudi Pro League

Testa a testa

27 bookmaker (6 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Al-Riyadh (Casa)

Previsione 10.46%9.56quota equa
EV +9.82%
Vantaggio +0.935%
Kelly +1.03%
Crescita +0.101%

ipotizzando la quota massima 10.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
8.81%10.56%10.48%12.48%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
7.008.899.0010.5014.29%11.25%11.11%9.52%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Al-Nassr (Trasferta)

Previsione 73.76%1.36quota equa
EV -6.33%
Vantaggio -4.98%
Kelly -23.43%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.27

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
71.63%73.47%73.71%75.78%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.181.221.221.2784.75%81.72%81.97%78.74%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 15.78%6.34quota equa
EV -2.00%
Vantaggio -0.321%
Kelly -0.383%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 6.21

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
15.03%15.98%15.81%17.69%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
5.005.585.506.2120.00%17.93%18.18%16.10%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Per Testa a testa, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stima queste probabilità: Al-Riyadh (Casa): 10.46%; Al-Nassr (Trasferta): 73.76%; Pareggio: 15.78%. Per Al-Riyadh (Casa), questa stima equivale a una quota decimale equa di 9.56. 4 bookmaker offrono quote superiori a tale livello; la migliore quota disponibile è 10.50, con un valore atteso positivo del +9.82%.

Quote dei bookmaker (27 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 8.81%EV +9.82%E +0.935%K +1.03%G +0.101%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.78%EV -10.01%E -8.21%K -45.52%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -5.31%E -0.885%K -1.06%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-18 22:45
Tipico (DE)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV +4.59%E +0.459%K +0.510%G +0.023%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -10.01%E -8.21%K -45.52%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -5.31%E -0.885%K -1.06%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-18 18:19
SportsBet🎯9.75I 10.26%NM 9.42%EV +1.97%E +0.203%K +0.226%G +0.004%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.28%EV -10.01%E -8.21%K -45.52%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -5.31%E -0.885%K -1.06%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-18 22:45
1xBet🎯9.65I 10.36%NM 9.67%EV +0.929%E +0.096%K +0.107%G +0.001%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.29%EV -8.54%E -6.89%K -35.58%G +0.000%6.21I 16.10%NM 15.03%EV -2.00%E -0.321%K -0.383%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-18 21:25
betfred_uk🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.64%EV -0.640%E -0.067%K -0.075%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.09%EV -10.01%E -8.21%K -45.52%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -5.31%E -0.885%K -1.06%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-18 18:20
Paddy Power🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.52%EV -0.640%E -0.067%K -0.075%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 75.40%EV -11.49%E -9.57%K -57.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.08%EV -5.31%E -0.885%K -1.06%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-18 18:19
Pinnacle🎯9.37I 10.67%NM 9.88%EV -2.00%E -0.213%K -0.239%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 74.66%EV -8.54%E -6.89%K -35.58%G +0.000%5.99I 16.69%NM 15.46%EV -5.47%E -0.913%K -1.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-18 18:20
Unibet🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.11%EV -5.87%E -0.652%K -0.734%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 73.36%EV -8.54%E -6.89%K -35.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -13.20%E -2.40%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-18 18:20
Unibet (NL)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.11%EV -5.87%E -0.652%K -0.734%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 73.36%EV -8.54%E -6.89%K -35.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -13.20%E -2.40%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-18 18:20
Unibet (SE)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.11%EV -5.87%E -0.652%K -0.734%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 73.36%EV -8.54%E -6.89%K -35.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -13.20%E -2.40%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-18 18:20
Grosvenor🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.11%EV -5.87%E -0.652%K -0.734%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 73.36%EV -8.54%E -6.89%K -35.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -13.20%E -2.40%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-18 18:19
Svenska Spel🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.11%EV -5.87%E -0.652%K -0.734%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 73.36%EV -8.54%E -6.89%K -35.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -13.20%E -2.40%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-18 18:20
ATG (SE)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.11%EV -5.87%E -0.652%K -0.734%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 73.36%EV -8.54%E -6.89%K -35.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -13.20%E -2.40%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-18 18:20
William Hill🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 9.83%EV -5.87%E -0.652%K -0.734%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 72.49%EV -10.01%E -8.21%K -45.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.69%EV -21.09%E -4.22%K -5.27%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-18 18:20
888sport🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 9.83%EV -5.87%E -0.652%K -0.734%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 72.49%EV -10.01%E -8.21%K -45.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.69%EV -21.09%E -4.22%K -5.27%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-18 18:20
888sport (SE)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 9.83%EV -5.87%E -0.652%K -0.734%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 72.49%EV -10.01%E -8.21%K -45.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.69%EV -21.09%E -4.22%K -5.27%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-18 18:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 9.83%EV -5.87%E -0.652%K -0.734%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 72.49%EV -10.01%E -8.21%K -45.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.69%EV -21.09%E -4.22%K -5.27%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-18 18:20
Unibet (UK)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV -11.10%E -1.31%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.47%EV -6.33%E -4.98%K -23.43%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -5.31%E -0.885%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-18 20:30
Sky Bet🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.51%EV -11.10%E -1.31%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 73.24%EV -10.01%E -8.21%K -45.52%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.25%EV -13.20%E -2.40%K -2.93%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-18 22:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.48%EV -11.10%E -1.31%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 73.02%EV -10.01%E -8.21%K -45.52%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.50%EV -14.78%E -2.74%K -3.36%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-18 18:20
LiveScore Bet🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.32%EV -11.10%E -1.31%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 73.12%EV -11.49%E -9.57%K -57.44%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.56%EV -16.36%E -3.09%K -3.80%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-18 18:20
Virgin Bet🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.32%EV -11.10%E -1.31%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 73.12%EV -11.49%E -9.57%K -57.44%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.56%EV -16.36%E -3.09%K -3.80%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-18 18:19
PMU (FR)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.16%EV -11.10%E -1.31%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 73.22%EV -12.96%E -10.99%K -72.02%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.62%EV -17.94%E -3.45%K -4.27%G +0.000%15.7%2026-08-18 18:20
Unibet (FR)🎯8.20I 12.20%NM 10.85%EV -14.24%E -1.74%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 73.54%EV -10.75%E -8.89%K -51.20%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.61%EV -10.04%E -1.76%K -2.14%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-18 20:30
BoyleSports🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 10.96%EV -16.33%E -2.04%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 73.09%EV -11.49%E -9.57%K -57.44%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.95%EV -13.20%E -2.40%K -2.93%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-18 18:19
Winamax (DE)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.05%EV -21.56%E -2.87%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 72.89%EV -8.54%E -6.89%K -35.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.06%EV -5.31%E -0.885%K -1.06%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-18 20:30
Winamax (FR)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.48%EV -26.79%E -3.83%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 71.63%EV -10.01%E -8.21%K -45.52%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.89%EV -13.20%E -2.40%K -2.93%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-18 20:30
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi12.50I 8.00%NM 7.86%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.40%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.74%1.7%2026-08-19 00:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)9.60I 10.42%NM 9.94%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.15%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.91%4.8%2026-08-18 18:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)9.60I 10.42%NM 9.94%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.15%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.91%4.8%2026-08-18 18:20
Smarkets9.40I 10.64%NM 10.13%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.99%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.88%5.0%2026-08-18 22:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.14I 87.72%NM 48.18%1.27I 78.74%NM 43.24%6.40I 15.63%NM 8.58%82.1%2026-08-18 19:00

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